spb/anomaly-atlas Public License
Systematic discovery & rigorous validation of statistical anomalies in open HF market data (hfmarketdata.io) — pre-registered, artifact-null-driven, fully reproducible. Live atlas: www.anomaly-atlas.io
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1---2project: anomaly-atlas3document: candidate_03/hypothesis4author: Simon-Pierre Boucher5contact: contact@spboucher.ai6data_source: hfmarketdata.io7created: 2026-08-128status: draft9---1011# Hypothesis — candidate_031213```text14Hypothesis15 <what we believe and why — pre-specified BEFORE looking at results>1617Falsification criterion18 <the concrete measurable outcome that would prove this wrong>1920Artifact null(s)21 <the fake-signal baseline(s) this must beat: bounce / staleness /22 non-synchronous timestamps / permuted calendar / random walk>2324Method25 <exact procedure, universe, split (train/validation/holdout), seeds,26 number of hypotheses tested, correction applied>2728Result29 <filled after the run: effect size, bootstrap CIs, corrected p-values,30 OOS status, cost-adjusted effect, credits used>3132Interpretation33 <what the numbers mean, WITH confidence level (0-3); alternative34 explanations considered — artifact first>3536Next experiment37 <the most informative follow-up given this result>38```39