project: anomaly-atlas document: expA_data_reality/hypothesis author: Simon-Pierre Boucher contact: contact@spboucher.ai data_source: hfmarketdata.io created: 2026-08-12 modified: 2026-08-12 status: final
Hypothesis — expA_data_reality
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Hypothesis
hfmarketdata.io advertises 1min→1day bars across stock/etf/futures/index/
fx/crypto plus daily options chains. We believe the advertised granularity
is real, but that session semantics, timestamp conventions, adjustment
behavior, missing-data patterns and response limits are NOT documented
precisely enough to design honest experiments — they must be measured.
Falsification criterion
Not a statistical hypothesis: this experiment FAILS if any downstream-
critical property (granularity, timestamp basis, adjustment arithmetic,
row caps, completeness) cannot be pinned down empirically, or if the
advertised 1-minute granularity turns out to be resampled/absent.
Artifact null(s)
None (no anomaly is claimed). This experiment EXISTS to seed the artifact
taxonomy that later experiments must beat.
Method
Eight probe families (A1–A8) through the single cached client:
inventory; history bounds per class (representative tickers AAPL, SPY, ES,
SPX, EURUSD, BTC); intraday session structure incl. a sparse ticker (AIZN);
daily-vs-1min aggregate comparison; AAPL 2020 4:1 split across all three
adjustment series; row-cap + pagination check on one year of SPY 1min;
latency profile; options coverage. All responses cached; manifest indexed.
Result
See analysis.md and results/expA_data_reality/20260812T054515Z/results.json.
54 network requests, 274 571 rows, 0 retries; re-run = 55 cache hits,
0 network requests.
Interpretation
Confidence n/a (no anomaly claim). Dataset is fit for Q1–Q3 research with
five load-bearing caveats (see data_source_profile.md §9).
Next experiment
expB_artifact_baselines: build the measured null distributions for
bid-ask bounce, stale prices, and non-synchronous lead-lag on THIS data.