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spb/anomaly-atlas Public License

Systematic discovery & rigorous validation of statistical anomalies in open HF market data (hfmarketdata.io) — pre-registered, artifact-null-driven, fully reproducible. Live atlas: www.anomaly-atlas.io

Python 61.4% JavaScript 28.7% CSS 8.6% Shell 0.7% Makefile 0.5%

History of experiments/micro/expB_artifact_baselines/analysis.md · clear filter

  1. expB: artifact baselines measured (after §8.1 synthetic gate)
    - synthetic generators with known ground truth + 11-test gate; the gate
      caught a real VR estimator bug (double division by q) before real data
    - stats: reversion (VR/AC1/half-life), leadlag, block bootstrap;
      validation: Roll spread, excess reversion, staleness, LOCF
    - expB (pre-specified protocol): 31 tickers Q1 2024 RTH 1min —
      bounce AC1 -0.009/-0.051/-0.232 by staleness tercile, VR30 down to 0.55
      with zero economics, SPY spuriously leads stale names (+0.047 at +1min,
      Spearman +0.43), SPX lags SPY by 1min (+0.065)
    - artifact_taxonomy.md: 7 entries T1-T7 with measured magnitudes
    
    Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
    Simon-Pierre Boucher committed 7 h ago (Aug 12, 2026) · 1 file changed +46 −2
  2. Bootstrap: full research skeleton (CLAUDE.md §3, localvm-research layout) + web platform
    Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
    Simon-Pierre Boucher committed 7 h ago (Aug 12, 2026) · 1 file changed +13