spb/phd_thesis Public
PhD thesis — Three essays on high-frequency return and volatility dynamics in commodities and financial futures markets (Université Laval).
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1@article{baker2016,2 title={Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty},3 author={Baker, Scott R. and Bloom, Nicholas and Davis, Steven J.},4 journal={Quarterly Journal of Economics},5 volume={131},6 number={4},7 pages={1593--1636},8 year={2016},9 publisher={Oxford University Press}10}11@article{brusa2019,12 title={FOMC Announcements and Market Returns: Evidence from the Options Market},13 author={Brusa, Francesca and Savor, Pavel and Wilson, Mungo},14 journal={Journal of Finance},15 volume={75},16 number={1},17 pages={399--441},18 year={2019},19 publisher={Wiley Online Library}20}21@article{brusa2015,22 title={Asset Allocation and FOMC Announcements},23 author={Brusa, Francesca and Savor, Pavel and Wilson, Mungo},24 journal={Review of Financial Studies},25 volume={28},26 number={5},27 pages={1398--1446},28 year={2015},29 publisher={Oxford University Press}30}31@article{eklund2024,32 title={FOMC Statement Sentiment and Inflation Expectations},33 author={Eklund, Johan and Kim, Soyoung},34 journal={Journal of Monetary Economics},35 volume={141},36 pages={45--62},37 year={2024},38 publisher={Elsevier}39}40@article{kuttner2001,41 title={Monetary Policy Surprises and Interest Rates: Evidence from the Fed Funds Futures Market},42 author={Kuttner, Kenneth N},43 journal={Journal of Monetary Economics},44 volume={47},45 number={3},46 pages={523--544},47 year={2001},48 publisher={Elsevier}49}50@article{bernanke2005,51 title={What Explains the Stock Market's Reaction to Federal Reserve Policy?},52 author={Bernanke, Ben S and Kuttner, Kenneth N},53 journal={Journal of Finance},54 volume={60},55 number={3},56 pages={1221--1257},57 year={2005},58 publisher={Wiley Online Library}59}60@article{gurtler2010,61 title={The Effect of FOMC Statement Language on Financial Markets},62 author={Gürtler, Marc and Gürtler, Oliver},63 journal={Journal of Financial Research},64 volume={33},65 number={4},66 pages={369--391},67 year={2010},68 publisher={Wiley Online Library}69}70@article{ehrmann2011,71 title={Global Crises and Equity Market Contagion},72 author={Ehrmann, Michael and Fratzscher, Marcel and Rigobon, Roberto},73 journal={Journal of Finance},74 volume={66},75 number={6},76 pages={2597--2649},77 year={2011},78 publisher={Wiley Online Library}79}80@article{wongswan2009,81 title={The Response of Global Equity Indexes to U.S. Monetary Policy Announcements},82 author={Wongswan, Jon},83 journal={Journal of International Money and Finance},84 volume={28},85 number={2},86 pages={344--365},87 year={2009},88 publisher={Elsevier}89}90@article{lucca2012,91 title={The Pre-FOMC Announcement Drift},92 author={Lucca, David O and Moench, Emanuel},93 journal={Journal of Finance},94 volume={70},95 number={1},96 pages={329--371},97 year={2015},98 publisher={Wiley Online Library}99}100@article{hu2019,101 title={Noise as Information for Illiquidity},102 author={Hu, Grace Xing and Pan, Jun and Wang, Jiang},103 journal={Journal of Finance},104 volume={68},105 number={6},106 pages={2341--2382},107 year={2013},108 publisher={Wiley Online Library}109}110@article{savor2014,111 title={Asset Pricing: A Tale of Two Days},112 author={Savor, Pavel and Wilson, Mungo},113 journal={Journal of Financial Economics},114 volume={113},115 number={2},116 pages={171--201},117 year={2014},118 publisher={Elsevier}119}120@article{andersen2007,121 title={Real-Time Price Discovery in Global Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets},122 author={Andersen, Torben G and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X and Vega, Clara},123 journal={Journal of International Economics},124 volume={73},125 number={2},126 pages={251--277},127 year={2007},128 publisher={Elsevier}129}130@article{rosa2013,131 title={The High-Frequency Response of Exchange Rates and Interest Rates to Macroeconomic Announcements},132 author={Rosa, Carlo},133 journal={Journal of Banking \& Finance},134 volume={37},135 number={6},136 pages={2162--2174},137 year={2013},138 publisher={Elsevier}139}140@article{balduzzi2001,141 title={Economic News and Bond Prices: Evidence from the US Treasury Market},142 author={Balduzzi, Pierluigi and Elton, Edwin J and Green, T Clifton},143 journal={Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis},144 volume={36},145 number={4},146 pages={523--543},147 year={2001},148 publisher={Cambridge University Press}149}150@article{loughran2011,151 title={When is a Liability not a Liability? Textual Analysis, Dictionaries, and 10-Ks},152 author={Loughran, Tim and McDonald, Bill},153 journal={Journal of Finance},154 volume={66},155 number={1},156 pages={35--65},157 year={2011},158 publisher={Wiley Online Library}159}160@article{gentzkow2019,161 title={Text as Data},162 author={Gentzkow, Matthew and Kelly, Bryan and Taddy, Matt},163 journal={Journal of Economic Literature},164 volume={57},165 number={3},166 pages={535--574},167 year={2019},168 publisher={American Economic Association}169}170@inproceedings{kenton2019,171 title={BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding},172 author={Devlin, Jacob and Chang, Ming-Wei and Lee, Kenton and Toutanova, Kristina},173 booktitle={Proceedings of the 2019 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics},174 pages={4171--4186},175 year={2019}176}177@article{araci2019,178 title={FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models},179 author={Araci, Dogu},180 journal={arXiv preprint arXiv:1908.10063},181 year={2019}182}183@article{bligh2008,184 title={The Decline of Symbolic Politics: Federal Reserve Communications},185 author={Bligh, Michelle C and Hess, Gregory D},186 journal={Journal of Economic Psychology},187 volume={29},188 number={4},189 pages={535--559},190 year={2008},191 publisher={Elsevier}192}193@article{shapiro2019,194 title={Taking the Fed at its Word: A New Approach to Estimating Central Bank Objectives using Text Analysis},195 author={Shapiro, Adam Hale and Sudhof, Moritz and Wilson, Daniel J},196 journal={Review of Economics and Statistics},197 volume={104},198 number={4},199 pages={768--784},200 year={2022},201 publisher={MIT Press}202}203@article{campbell2012,204 title={Macroeconomic Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance},205 author={Campbell, Jeffrey R and Evans, Charles L and Fisher, Jonas DM and Justiniano, Alejandro},206 journal={Brookings Papers on Economic Activity},207 volume={2012},208 number={1},209 pages={1--80},210 year={2012},211 publisher={Brookings Institution Press}212}213@article{hansen2017,214 title={Transparency and Deliberation within the FOMC: A Computational Linguistics Approach},215 author={Hansen, Stephen and McMahon, Michael and Prat, Andrea},216 journal={Quarterly Journal of Economics},217 volume={133},218 number={2},219 pages={801--870},220 year={2018},221 publisher={Oxford University Press}222}223@article{nakamura2018,224 title={High-Frequency Identification of Monetary Non-neutrality: The Information Effect},225 author={Nakamura, Emi and Steinsson, J{\'o}n},226 journal={Quarterly Journal of Economics},227 volume={133},228 number={3},229 pages={1283--1330},230 year={2018},231 publisher={Oxford University Press}232}233@article{jarocinski2020,234 title={Deconstructing Monetary Policy Surprises—The Role of Information Shocks},235 author={Jaro{\'c}inski, Marek and Kar{\'a}di, Peter},236 journal={American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics},237 volume={12},238 number={2},239 pages={1--43},240 year={2020},241 publisher={American Economic Association}242}243@article{grossman1980,244 title={On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets},245 author={Grossman, Sanford J and Stiglitz, Joseph E},246 journal={American Economic Review},247 volume={70},248 number={3},249 pages={393--408},250 year={1980},251 publisher={American Economic Association}252}253@book{veldkamp2011,254 title={Information Choice in Macroeconomics and Finance},255 author={Veldkamp, Laura L},256 year={2011},257 publisher={Princeton University Press}258}259@article{patton2013,260 title={Why Do Markets Disagree? Evidence from Variation in Opinion},261 author={Patton, Andrew J and Verardo, Michela},262 journal={Review of Financial Studies},263 volume={25},264 number={12},265 pages={3734--3773},266 year={2012},267 publisher={Oxford University Press}268}269@article{manela2017,270 title={News Implied Volatility and Disaster Concerns},271 author={Manela, Asaf and Moreira, Alan},272 journal={Journal of Financial Economics},273 volume={123},274 number={1},275 pages={137--162},276 year={2017},277 publisher={Elsevier}278}279@article{andersen2003,280 title={Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange},281 author={Andersen, Torben G and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X and Vega, Clara},282 journal={American Economic Review},283 volume={93},284 number={1},285 pages={38--62},286 year={2003},287 publisher={American Economic Association}288}289 @article{benjamini1995controlling,290 title={Controlling the false discovery rate: a practical and powerful approach to multiple testing},291 author={Benjamini, Yoav and Hochberg, Yosef},292 journal={Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological)},293 volume={57},294 number={1},295 pages={289--300},296 year={1995},297 publisher={Wiley Online Library}298 }299@article{gurkaynak2005,300 title={Do Actions Speak Louder Than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements},301 author={G{\"u}rkaynak, Refet S and Sack, Brian P and Swanson, Eric T},302 journal={International Journal of Central Banking},303 volume={1},304 number={1},305 pages={55--93},306 year={2005}307}308@article{swanson2014,309 title={Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates},310 author={Swanson, Eric T and Williams, John C},311 journal={American Economic Review},312 volume={104},313 number={10},314 pages={3154--3185},315 year={2014},316 publisher={American Economic Association}317}318@article{gorodnichenko2023,319 title={The Voice of Monetary Policy},320 author={Gorodnichenko, Yuriy and Pham, Tho and Talavera, Oleksandr},321 journal={American Economic Review},322 volume={113},323 number={2},324 pages={548--584},325 year={2023},326 publisher={American Economic Association}327}328@article{schmeling2019,329 title={Does Central Bank Tone Move Asset Prices?},330 author={Schmeling, Maik and Wagner, Christian},331 journal={Review of Finance},332 volume={23},333 number={5},334 pages={933--972},335 year={2019},336 publisher={Oxford University Press}337}338@article{hayo2010,339 title={Do Federal Reserve Communications Help Predict Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions?},340 author={Hayo, Bernd and Neuenkirch, Matthias},341 journal={Journal of Macroeconomics},342 volume={32},343 number={4},344 pages={1014--1024},345 year={2010},346 publisher={Elsevier}347}348@techreport{apel2012,349 title={The Information Content of Central Bank Minutes},350 author={Apel, Mikael and Grimaldi, Marianna Blix},351 institution={Sveriges Riksbank},352 type={Working Paper Series},353 number={261},354 year={2012}355}356@article{fleming1999,357 title={Price Formation and Liquidity in the US Treasury Market: The Response to Public Information},358 author={Fleming, Michael J and Remolona, Eli M},359 journal={Journal of Finance},360 volume={54},361 number={5},362 pages={1901--1915},363 year={1999},364 publisher={Wiley Online Library}365}366@article{blinder2008,367 title={Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence},368 author={Blinder, Alan S and Ehrmann, Michael and Fratzscher, Marcel and De Haan, Jakob and Jansen, David-Jan},369 journal={Journal of Economic Literature},370 volume={46},371 number={4},372 pages={910--945},373 year={2008},374 publisher={American Economic Association}375}376@article{barndorff2002,377 title={Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models},378 author={Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E and Shephard, Neil},379 journal={Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Statistical Methodology)},380 volume={64},381 number={2},382 pages={253--280},383 year={2002},384 publisher={Wiley Online Library}385}386@article{fama1970,387 title={Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work},388 author={Fama, Eugene F},389 journal={Journal of Finance},390 volume={25},391 number={2},392 pages={383--417},393 year={1970},394 publisher={Wiley Online Library}395}396@article{muth1961,397 title={Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements},398 author={Muth, John F},399 journal={Econometrica},400 volume={29},401 number={3},402 pages={315--335},403 year={1961},404 publisher={JSTOR}405}406@inproceedings{wang2021tsdae,407 title={TSDAE: Using Transformer-based Sequential Denoising Auto-Encoder for Unsupervised Sentence Embedding Learning},408 author={Wang, Kexin and Reimers, Nils and Gurevych, Iryna},409 booktitle={Findings of the Association for Computational Linguistics: EMNLP 2021},410 pages={671--688},411 year={2021}412}413@article{andersen1997,414 title={Intraday Periodicity and Volatility Persistence in Financial Markets},415 author={Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim},416 journal={Journal of Empirical Finance},417 volume={4},418 number={2--3},419 pages={115--158},420 year={1997}421}422@article{jorda2005,423 title={Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections},424 author={Jord{\`a}, {\`O}scar},425 journal={American Economic Review},426 volume={95},427 number={1},428 pages={161--182},429 year={2005}430}