spb/qc-election
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1{2 "generated": "2026-08-31",3 "model_version": "3.1.0",4 "protocol": "LOEO strict : house effects, fondamentaux et σ_industrie appris sur les autres élections; rolling origin J-120→J-1.",5 "elections": {6 "2007": {7 "year": 2007,8 "parties": [9 "ADQ",10 "PLQ",11 "PQ",12 "QS",13 "AUT"14 ],15 "actual": {16 "ADQ": 30.84,17 "PLQ": 33.08,18 "PQ": 28.35,19 "QS": 3.64,20 "AUT": 4.0921 },22 "horizons": [23 {24 "horizon": 120,25 "as_of": "2006-11-26",26 "n_polls": 28,27 "mae_pp": 9.038,28 "rmse_pp": 9.568,29 "bias_pp": {30 "ADQ": -13.33,31 "PLQ": -9.26,32 "PQ": 11.16,33 "QS": 4.25,34 "AUT": 7.1935 },36 "coverage_50": 0.0,37 "coverage_90": 0.8,38 "coverage_95": 0.8,39 "crps_pp": 5.732,40 "log_score": -7.751,41 "sharpness_pp": 30.59,42 "forecast": {43 "ADQ": 17.5,44 "PLQ": 23.8,45 "PQ": 39.5,46 "QS": 7.9,47 "AUT": 11.348 },49 "baselines_mae_pp": {50 "dernier_sondage": 8.884,51 "moyenne_14j": 7.46552 }53 },54 {55 "horizon": 90,56 "as_of": "2006-12-26",57 "n_polls": 28,58 "mae_pp": 9.048,59 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