\chapter{Additional Tables and Figures (Chapter 3)} \label{ch3:sec:app_additional} This appendix collects supplementary tables and figures that support the main results but are not essential for following the core argument. \section{Descriptive Figures} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figD1_return_density.pdf} \caption{Distribution of 1-minute log returns on FOMC days. Winsorized at 0.5\% tails for display. The heavy tails and leptokurtic shape are consistent with the Jarque--Bera test rejections reported in Table~\ref{ch3:tab:desc_1min_ret}.} \label{ch3:fig:D1} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figD5_acf_returns.pdf} \caption{Autocorrelation of 1-minute returns. Grey band shows 95\% confidence interval. Negative first-order autocorrelation reflects bid--ask bounce effects typical of high-frequency data.} \label{ch3:fig:D5} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figD8b_log_rv_distribution.pdf} \caption{Distribution of $\log(\mathrm{RV})$. Near-Gaussian shape validates the use of $\log(\mathrm{RV})$ as the dependent variable in the panel regressions.} \label{ch3:fig:D8b} \end{figure} \section{Ensemble Model Diagnostics} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.6\textwidth]{pca_axis_quality.png} \caption{PCA axis assignment quality. Bar height shows $|\text{Corr}|$ between PC projection and keyword differential. All axes exceed the 0.04 minimum separation threshold.} \label{ch3:fig:pca_quality} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \begin{subfigure}[b]{0.48\textwidth} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{novelty_comparison.png} \caption{Novelty: MiniLM vs BERT} \end{subfigure} \hfill \begin{subfigure}[b]{0.48\textwidth} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{scatter_comparison.png} \caption{Score scatter plots} \end{subfigure} \caption{Model comparison: MiniLM (384d) vs.\ BERT (768d). Novelty correlation $r = 0.72$; policy stance tone $r = 0.56$. The moderate inter-model correlation supports the use of an ensemble approach.} \label{ch3:fig:model_comparison} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \begin{subfigure}[b]{0.48\textwidth} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{tone_comparison.png} \caption{Tone comparison across models} \end{subfigure} \hfill \begin{subfigure}[b]{0.48\textwidth} \includegraphics[width=\textwidth]{confidence_distribution.png} \caption{Ensemble confidence distribution} \end{subfigure} \caption{Tone model comparison and confidence diagnostics. The right panel shows that ensemble confidence is concentrated above 0.7, indicating strong inter-model agreement for most statements.} \label{ch3:fig:tone_conf} \end{figure} \section{Additional Panel Regression Tables} Tables~\ref{ch3:tab:panel_rv_stance}--\ref{ch3:tab:panel_return_novelty} report panel minute-level regressions for the remaining dependent variables (realized volatility in levels, realized beta, and returns), separately for stance and novelty. \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_rv_stance.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_rv_novelty.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_beta_stance.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_beta_novelty.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_return_stance.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableP_panel_return_novelty.tex} \section{Additional Event-Level Regression Tables} Tables~\ref{ch3:tab:rolling_rv_ratio_30min} and~\ref{ch3:tab:rolling_log_rv_ratio_30min} report the event-level RV-ratio specifications, which corroborate the pre/post difference results in the main text. \input{chapitre3/tables/tableR_rv_ratio_30min.tex} \input{chapitre3/tables/tableR_log_rv_ratio_30min.tex} \section{Additional IRF and Drift Figures} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figR9_drift_by_novelty.pdf} \caption{Cumulative return drift by novelty tercile. Unlike stance-based drift (Figure~\ref{ch3:fig:R8}), novelty terciles show less directional separation, consistent with novelty affecting volatility rather than returns.} \label{ch3:fig:R9} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figR10_irf_ret_h_novelty.pdf} \caption{Impulse response: cumulative return to novelty. Effects are generally smaller and less significant than stance effects (Figure~\ref{ch3:fig:R10_stance}), supporting the hypothesis that novelty operates through volatility rather than returns.} \label{ch3:fig:R10_novelty} \end{figure} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figR10b_irf_placebo_novelty.pdf} \caption{Pre-announcement placebo: IRF for novelty. All coefficients are near zero, corroborating the placebo results for stance (Figure~\ref{ch3:fig:placebo_stance}).} \label{ch3:fig:placebo_novelty} \end{figure} \section{Sub-Period Stability} \begin{figure}[H] \centering \includegraphics[width=0.85\textwidth]{figRob_subperiod_heatmap.pdf} \caption{Sub-period stability: regression coefficients across six Fed policy regimes. Coefficient signs are generally consistent across sub-periods, though magnitudes vary with the degree of policy uncertainty in each regime.} \label{ch3:fig:rob_subperiod} \end{figure}