/*
  research.ts
  spboucher.ai Web
  Author: Simon-Pierre Boucher
  Mail: contact@spboucher.ai
*/

export interface ResearchPaper {
  slug: string;
  kind: "wp" | "chapter";
  num: string;
  pages?: string;
  title: string;
  description: string;
  status?: string;
  pdf: string;
  source?: string;
  repo?: string;
}

export const uqoWorkingPapers: ResearchPaper[] = [
  {
    slug: "wp2",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 2",
    pages: "53 pages",
    title:
      "Decoding Real Estate Descriptions: Semantic Embeddings and Hedonic Pricing of Residential Properties in Quebec",
    description:
      "Adds sentence-transformer embeddings of listing descriptions to hedonic models of 17,087 Quebec houses — lifting adjusted R² from 0.452 to 0.511 beyond structural attributes alone.",
    pdf: "/papers/wp2_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp2_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp3",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 3",
    pages: "60 pages",
    title:
      "Hedonic Housing Price Models for the United States: A Multi-Method Comparison of Parametric, Quantile, and Machine Learning Approaches",
    description:
      "OLS, quantile regression, and gradient-boosting (XGBoost + SHAP) approaches compared on 788,842 Zillow listings covering all 50 states and DC.",
    pdf: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp3_uqo/blob/main/paper/main.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp3_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp5",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 5",
    pages: "51 pages",
    title:
      "Airbnb, Residential Rents, and Housing Market Pressure: A Hedonic and Spatial Econometric Analysis",
    description:
      "Hedonic, spatial, quantile, and machine-learning evidence from 8,303 Quebec rental listings and 3,456 Airbnb listings — each active Airbnb within 500 m is associated with roughly 0.4% higher asking rent.",
    pdf: "/papers/wp5_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp5_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp7",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 7",
    pages: "29 pages",
    title:
      "The Options-Implied Information Content for Cross-Asset Return and Volatility Prediction: Evidence from 3.8 Billion Option Contracts",
    description:
      "Options-implied moments forecast returns and volatility on a panel of 264,383 ticker-days (69 tickers, 2010–2025); a kurtosis long/short strategy delivers a Sharpe ratio of 2.33.",
    pdf: "/papers/wp7_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp7_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp9",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 9",
    pages: "26 pages",
    title:
      "A Grand Hedonic Model of the Canadian Housing Market: Decomposing the Value of Structure and Location",
    description:
      "140,931 MLS listings with 1,153 neighbourhood (FSA) fixed effects — location alone adds ~30 points of R² (46% → 77%), valuing held-out homes with a 15.8% median absolute error (OOS R² = 0.764).",
    pdf: "/papers/wp9_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp9_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp10",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 10",
    pages: "29 pages",
    title:
      "The Assessment Gap in Quebec: Vertical and Horizontal Inequity in Municipal Property Valuation",
    description:
      "First province-wide audit of property-assessment equity in Canada — 522,769 sales matched to the assessment rolls. 99% of municipalities fail the IAAO uniformity standard; the median dwelling in the bottom local price decile pays ~65% more property tax than uniform assessment would imply.",
    pdf: "/papers/wp10_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp10_uqo",
  },
  {
    slug: "wp11",
    kind: "wp",
    num: "UQO Working Paper No. 11",
    pages: "23 pages",
    title:
      "Half a Million Prices, Twenty Models: A Systematic Assessment of Hedonic Specifications and Estimation Methods for the Quebec Housing Market, 2021–2026",
    description:
      "A controlled horse race of 20 hedonic models on 514,212 roll-matched Quebec sales — spatial controls are first-order (~10 pp of MdAPE), functional form second-order (±2 pp), and gradient boosting's edge under random validation reverses under a forward-in-time split.",
    pdf: "/papers/wp11_uqo.pdf",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/wp11_uqo",
  },
];

export const thesisChapters: ResearchPaper[] = [
  {
    slug: "chapter-1",
    kind: "chapter",
    num: "Chapter 1",
    status: "Revised version for The Energy Journal",
    title:
      "Speculative Trading in Energy Markets: Evidence from Macroeconomic Surprises",
    description:
      "How speculative positioning conditions the reaction of energy futures to macroeconomic news surprises.",
    pdf: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/blob/main/phd_chap1_20260731/main.pdf",
    source:
      "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/tree/main/phd_chap1_20260731",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis",
  },
  {
    slug: "chapter-2",
    kind: "chapter",
    num: "Chapter 2",
    status: "Submission version, Journal of Futures Markets",
    title:
      "Seeing Through the ETF: Indicative NAV and Commodity Volatility Transmission",
    description:
      "Uses intraday indicative NAV to trace how volatility and jumps transmit between commodity ETFs and their underlying assets.",
    pdf: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/blob/main/phd_chap2_20260731/main.pdf",
    source:
      "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/tree/main/phd_chap2_20260731",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis",
  },
  {
    slug: "chapter-3",
    kind: "chapter",
    num: "Chapter 3",
    status: "Manuscript, 2026",
    title:
      "Returns and Volatility Around FOMC Announcements: A High-Frequency Analysis of Policy Tone and Novelty",
    description:
      "High-frequency evidence on how the tone and novelty of FOMC communication move returns and volatility across asset classes.",
    pdf: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/blob/main/PHD_chapitre3_theses_20260731/chapitre3.pdf",
    source:
      "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis/tree/main/PHD_chapitre3_theses_20260731",
    repo: "https://git.spboucher.ai/phd_thesis",
  },
];

export const allResearchPapers: ResearchPaper[] = [
  ...uqoWorkingPapers,
  ...thesisChapters,
];

export function getResearchPaper(slug: string): ResearchPaper | undefined {
  return allResearchPapers.find((p) => p.slug === slug);
}