# RECORD 01e2f1bf2915117a013dff8a924c07e2ed16f152 # TITLE: Living apart together: The economic value of ethnic diversity in cities # YEAR: 2018.0 VENUE: Environment and Planning B Urban Analytics and City Science DOI: 10.1177/23998083221082112 # AUTHORS: J. Bakens; R. Florax; H. D. de Groot; P. Mulder # PAGES: 16 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [5, 6] # ABSTRACT: In consumer cities, the presence and location of immigrants impacts house prices through two channels, which both can be valued positively as well as negatively: (i) their presence and contribution to population diversity and (ii) the creation of immigrant-induced consumer amenities like those associated with ethnic restaurants in terms of both their quantity as well as diversity. We hypothesize that these two mechanisms create a trade-off in which city dwellers want to live apart yet consume together. We use unique microdata of house prices and ethnic restaurants in the city of Amsterdam over the 1996–2011 period and a generalized propensity score (GPS) matching technique for multiple continuous treatments to estimate the trade-off between consumers’ love for ethnic goods and their variety on the one hand, and ethnic residential composition on the other hand. We find evidence for the existence of such a trade-off: proximity to ethnically diverse restaurants indeed compensates for a negative correlation between the presence of immigrants and house prices. This trade-off mostly holds for neighborhoods featuring both a diverse population and a high level of amenities in terms of restaurants. ===== PAGE 1 (score 6, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 6) ===== Manuscript EPB: Urban Analytics and City Science 2022, Vol. 0(0) 1–16 © The Author(s) 2022 Article reuse guidelines: sagepub.com/journals-permissions DOI: 10.1177/23998083221082112 journals.sagepub.com/home/epb Living apart together: The economic value of ethnic diversity in cities Jessie Bakens Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands Raymond JGM Florax Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA Department of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Henri LF de Groot Department of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Peter Mulder TNO, Amsterdam, The Netherlands Abstract In consumer cities, the presence and location of immigrants impacts house prices through two channels, which both can be valued positively as well as negatively: (i) their presence and con- tribution to population diversity and (ii) the creation of immigrant-induced consumer amenities like those associated with ethnic restaurants in terms of both their quantity as well as diversity. We hypothesize that these two mechanisms create a trade-off in which city dwellers want to live apart yet consume together. We use unique microdata of house prices and ethnic restaurants in the city of Amsterdam over the 1996–2011 period and a generalized propensity score (GPS) matching technique for multiple continuous treatments to estimate the trade-off between consumers’ love for ethnic goods and their variety on the one hand, and ethnic residential composition on the other hand. We find evidence for the existence of such a trade-off: proximity to ethnically diverse restaurants indeed compensates for a negative correlation between the presence of immigrants and house prices. This trade-off mostly holds for neighborhoods featuring both a diverse population and a high level of amenities in terms of restaurants. Corresponding author: Jessie Bakens, Research Centre for Education and the Labour Market, Maastricht University, Tongersestraat 53, Maastricht 6211LM, The Netherlands. Email: j.bakens@maastrichtuniversity.nl ===== PAGE 5 (score 20, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 12) ===== In addition to the density of immigrants and restaurants, we look at their diversity. Diversity is measured with the broadly used Hirschman-Herfindahl index, which allows to measure both richness (the number of groups) and diversity (the distribution across groups). Analogously to the density measure, we use the relative diversity index, that is, the diversity relative to the overall diversity of the immigrant population and restaurant diversity in Amsterdam. A summary of all variables included in the analysis and descriptive statistics can be found in Tables 1 and 2. The majority of the observations in our data lie between a treatment intensity of 1 and 5 for immigrant density, between a treatment intensity of 0.9 and 1 for immigrant diversity, and below a treatment intensity of 1 for restaurants. As Table 3 shows, the correlation between immigrant and restaurant density is negative and low, but statistically significant (the coefficient is 0.14), which indicates that within areas there is no strong correlation between the size of the immigrant pop- ulation and the number of restaurants. Correlations between the treatments do show that restaurants are more diverse in areas with more immigrants. The positive correlation between restaurant di- versity and immigrant density is not investigated in this paper, but used as an assumption. The statistically significant correlation points towards the fact that immigrant-induced diverse amenities arise with the presence of immigrants because of a supply as well as demand effect of immigrants of ethnic goods and services. The data also reveal a positive correlation between restaurant density and diversity indicating that areas with a higher restaurant density on average have a higher diversity of restaurants. The same holds for immigrant diversity. Figures 1 and 2 show the spatial distribution of the treatments, specifically the treatment intensities. From these maps, it can be seen that the areas that have both a large immigrant population share and many restaurants (in addition to high immigrant and restaurant diversity)) are limited to the neighborhoods just outside the city center— where, compared to the city center, immigrant density starts to increase, restaurant density starts to decrease, and restaurant diversity is highest. Insofar as we would find a trade-off between immigrant density and restaurant density it is most likely to happen in these neighborhoods because the joint Table 1. Descriptive statistics. mean st. dev. min. max. Price per square meter in e 3435 1000 770 12,190 Relative immigrant densitya 4.05 2.16 0.05 13.05 Relative restaurant densitya 1.28 1.47 0.08 9.11 Relative immigrant diversitya 0.85 0.15 0.14 1.02 Relative restaurant diversitya 0.91 0.16 0.18 1.20 Share social rent pc6 0.24 0.32 0 1 Share owner occupied pc6 0.43 0.29 0 1 Population density km2 10,930 4346 322 20,510 Distance to Amsterdam CS station (meter) 3617 2,01 250 1162 Distance to top10 (meter)b 32,500 18,167 11,000 108,000 Distance to nearest metro station (meter) 1660 925 21 4889 Data source: OIS and NVM. aWe use the diversity and density relative to the overall diversity and density of the immigrant population and restaurants in Amsterdam. Because of this scaling, the distribution of the measures is not normally distributed around 1, which would have been the case if we had used the measures relative to the density or diversity in the sample. The immigrant density and diversity are measured in a 250 m radius around the dwelling. The restaurant density and diversity is measured in a 1000 m radius around the dwelling. bThe ten main tourist attractions are based on visitor numbers. We use total distance from the dwelling to the ten attractions. The ten tourist attractions used are the Rijksmuseum, Van Gogh Museum, Anne Frank Huis, Artis Zoo, Stedelijk Museum, Madame Tussauds, Heineken Experience, Nemo Science Center, Hermitage, and Venustempel Museum. Bakens et al. 5 ===== PAGE 6 (score 27, numeric-paren 6, table-words 4, var-words 13) ===== occurrence of both restaurants and immigrants is necessary for a trade-off. A more detailed dis- cussion of the distribution of the treatments and the joint spatial occurrence of multiple treatment intensities can be found in the Supplemental Material. Method and diagnostic tests Following the approach of Hirano and Imbens (2004) for GPS and the modification of the estimation for multiple continuous treatments (Egger and Von Ehrlich, 2013) we estimate the dose-response Table 2. Dummy variables. Category Observations Inside A10 highway ring Yes 32, 621 No 7, 519 Garden Yes 2, 852 No 37, 288 Transaction year 2006 7, 785 2007 7, 640 2008 6, 385 2009 6, 179 2010 6, 279 2011 5, 872 Number of rooms 3 or less 27, 981 4 7, 505 5 or more 4, 654 Type of dwelling Simple house 153 Canal house 209 Bungalow 29 Villa 94 Ground floor apartment 5, 640 Upper floor apartment 24, 732 Gallery apartment 1, 457 Maisonette 1, 464 Portico flat 3, 035 Ground and upper floor apartment 285 Single-family house 2, 266 Town house 734 Rest category 42 Observations 40, 140 Data source: OIS and NVM. Table 3. Correlations between relative treatments.a Immigrant density Restaurant density Immigrant diversity Restaurant density 0.14*** Immigrant diversity 0.45*** 0.55*** Restaurant diversity 0.36*** 0.29*** 0.04*** Data source: OIS and NVM. aThe statistical significance of the correlation coefficients is indicated by ***, **, * for the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 significance levels, respectively. 6 EPB: Urban Analytics and City Science 0(0) ===== PAGE 7 (score 11, numeric-paren 0, table-words 2, var-words 7) ===== function in three steps. A detailed description is given in the Supplemental Material. In the first step, the conditional distribution of the treatments given the covariates is modeled. In the second stage, we estimate the conditional expected house prices given the multivariate treatment intensities and the estimated GPS. In the final stage, the average potential outcome at different treatment level combinations is estimated. The covariates in the selection equation explain about 53 percent of the variation in immigrant density and 81 percent of the variation in restaurant density.9 The R2-values of the immigrant and restaurant diversity estimations are relatively low, 25 percent and 37 percent, respectively. Although the spatial distribution of the treatment intensity of restaurant and immigrant diversity does not indicate the nature of the omitted variables, there is likely an underlying pattern explaining res- taurant and immigrant diversity that we cannot perfectly capture with our data. Restaurant diversity might also be related to market factors such as competition and quality, while immigrant diversity might relate to other spatial aspects, that we do not observe. For the GPS to obtain unbiased estimates of the dose-response function, the covariates in the first step need to be normally dis- tributed. A Henze-Zirkler multivariate normality test of a random 10 percent sample of the errors of the GPS estimation shows that the conditional treatments are not multivariate normally distributed. The univariate Q-Q plots of the residuals in the Supplemental Material show that the non-normality in the data is present for all treatments. The Q-Q plots show high kurtosis for all treatments, especially in the left tails, but the effect is most apparent for restaurant diversity. In the second stage, we estimate the conditional expected house prices given the multivariate treatment intensities and the estimated GPS. The likelihood ratio test shows that including the GPS leads to a better model specification for estimating the dose-response function, with a χ2 of 1941. We reject the null hypothesis that the GPS does not improve the specification, with a p-value less than 0.1 percent. Figure 1. Average per square meter house prices between 2006–2011 in constant 2088 prices. Bakens et al. 7