# RECORD 1d57857811e3f735e7c7dfe3dfb0c766f1aba868 # TITLE: Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices # YEAR: 2020.0 VENUE: Journal of real estate finance and economics DOI: 10.1007/s11146-020-09798-x # AUTHORS: Caixia Liu; Xiaolong Liu # PAGES: 22 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [13, 14, 15, 17, 19] # ABSTRACT: Due to social demographic change and secularization, religious heritage sites in Europe are on the verge of losing their original functions. While the adaptive reuse seems to be a proactive strategy to preserve the historical and cultural value embedded in religious heritage sites, little is known concerning its external impact. This paper aims to fill this gap by investigating the external effect of reusing religious heritage on surrounding house prices. Employing both the parametric and non-parametric difference-in-differences hedonic model on a sample of 42 projects of reusing religious heritage and a rich dataset of housing transactions in the Netherlands, we find significant positive externality of reusing religious heritage on local house prices. The external effects are heterogeneous across differentiated project size and monumental status. Larger religious heritage reuse projects and those listed as national monuments exert greater influence on surrounding house prices. ===== PAGE 1 (score 5, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 5) ===== Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices Caixia Liu1 & Xiaolong Liu2 Accepted: 28 September 2020 / # The Author(s) 2020 Abstract Due to social demographic change and secularization, religious heritage sites in Europe are on the verge of losing their original functions. While the adaptive reuse seems to be a proactive strategy to preserve the historical and cultural value embedded in religious heritage sites, little is known concerning its external impact. This paper aims to fill this gap by investigating the external effect of reusing religious heritage on surrounding house prices. Employing both the parametric and non-parametric difference-in- differences hedonic model on a sample of 42 projects of reusing religious heritage and a rich dataset of housing transactions in the Netherlands, we find significant positive externality of reusing religious heritage on local house prices. The external effects are heterogeneous across differentiated project size and monumental status. Larger religious heritage reuse projects and those listed as national monuments exert greater influence on surrounding house prices. Keywords Religious heritage . Adaptive reuse . Urban revitalization . House prices JEL-Classification C21 . D62 . D84 . O22 . R31 Introduction Religious heritage constitutes an important element that shapes the urban historical and cultural landscape in Western European countries. Over the last few decades, due to https://doi.org/10.1007/s11146-020-09798-x * Xiaolong Liu xiaolong.liu@rug.nl Caixia Liu cx0619.liu@gmail.com 1 College of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China 2 Real Estate Center, Department of Economic Geography, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen 9747AD, The Netherlands Published online: 12 October 2020 J Real Estate Finan Econ (2022) 64:71–92 ===== PAGE 13 (score 26, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 16) ===== heritage reuse projects with size over 5000 square meters as a subsample. Column (3) and (4) report the average treatment effect of large scale religious heritage reuse projects. The coefficient presented in Column (3) indicates that religious heritage reuse projects with size over 5000 square meters lead to an increase in local house prices by 7.15%, which is larger than the average treatment effect estimated using all religious heritage reuse projects as shown in column (1). Similar finding is reported after controlling for housing and neighborhood characteristics in Column (4). The results Table 2 Descriptive Statistics of Full Sample Mean S.D. Panel A: Housing characteristics Transaction price (€) 221,776.97 144,487.2 Lift (yes = 1) 0.11 0.31 Size (m2) 102.07 42.7 Number of rooms 3.87 1.48 Parking (yes = 1) 0.2 0.4 Garden (yes = 1) 0.47 0.5 Balcony (yes = 1) 0.4 0.49 Roofterrace (yes = 1) 0.1 0.3 Building year <1945 (yes = 1) 0.5 0.5 Building year 1945–1959 (yes = 1) 0.1 0.3 Building year 1960–1970 (yes = 1) 0.13 0.34 Building year 1971–1980 (yes = 1) 0.06 0.25 Building year 1981–1990 (yes = 1) 0.06 0.25 Building year 1991–2000 (yes = 1) 0.08 0.28 Building year >2000 (yes = 1) 0.06 0.23 Housing type-Apartment (yes = 1) 0.57 0.5 Housing type-Semi-detached house (yes = 1) 0.32 0.47 Housing type-Corner house (yes = 1) 0.08 0.27 Housing type-Detached house (yes = 1) 0.03 0.18 Observations 342,439 Panel B: Neighborhood characteristics Population density (per km2) 9536.01 6362.37 Average household size 1.99 0.49 Proportion of immigrants (%) 23.34 15.79 Population aged 0–14 (%) 13.55 4.98 Population aged 15–24 (%) 15.02 6.92 Population aged 25–44 (%) 35.87 8.86 Population aged 45–64 (%) 22.44 5.26 Population aged 65 and over (%) 13.12 7.38 Number of neighbourhoods 1623 83 Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices ===== PAGE 14 (score 22, numeric-paren 12, table-words 3, var-words 3) ===== imply that large scale religious heritage reuse projects bring more positive impact on local house prices than that of reuse projects with relatively smaller size. Next to the scale difference among reuse projects, these projects also vary in terms of their designated monumental status. In the Netherlands, historical buildings, includ- ing religious heritage sites, are listed with various monumental status, such as national monument, provincial monument, municipal monument or no monumental status at all, based on their cultural and historical values. It is perceivable that religious heritage sites designated with national monument status may bring reputation effects such that they Table 3 Parametric Difference-in-Differences Estimates Full sample Project size≥5000m2 National monuments DV: lnp (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) treat × post 0.0399*** 0.0217*** 0.0715*** 0.0338*** 0.0459*** 0.0228*** (0.002) (0.001) (0.007) (0.003) (0.004) (0.002) Housing characteristics no yes no yes no yes Neighborhood characteristics no yes no yes no yes Year fixed effects yes yes yes yes yes yes Neighborhood fixed effects yes yes yes yes yes yes Observations 342,439 342,439 64,337 64,337 159,980 159,980 Adjusted R2 0.585 0.866 0.544 0.872 0.588 0.866 Note: *** , ** , * denotes the significance of coefficients at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively. The dependent variable is the natural log of house transaction price. Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses Fig. 4 Average Price Impact of 42 Religious Heritage Reuse Projects 84 C. Liu, X. Liu ===== PAGE 15 (score 36, numeric-paren 31, table-words 1, var-words 0) ===== Table 4 Non-parametric Difference-in-Differences Estimates: Full Sample Distance (km) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Price impact 0.0348** (0.0224) 0.0346** (0.0178) 0.0345** (0.0160) 0.0324** (0.0155) 0.0316** (0.0158) 0.0312** (0.0162) Distance (km) 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Price impact 0.0318** (0.0161) 0.0332* (0.0173) 0.0349* (0.0173) 0.0359* (0.0210) 0.0353 (0.0192) 0.0334* (0.0175) Distance (km) 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 Price impact 0.0321* (0.0191) 0.0310* (0.0162) 0.0295 (0.0179) 0.0270 (0.0164) 0.0217 (0.0145) 0.0119 (0.0128) Note: *** , ** , * denotes the significance of coefficients at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively. Bootstrapped standard errors are reported in brackets 85 Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices ===== PAGE 16 (score 6, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 4) ===== are more attractive to local residents, and there is a higher chance for them to be qualified for financial support aiming at maintenance and renovation than those without such a distinguished status (Koster and Rouwendal 2017). Therefore, it seems plausible that such reputation effects would be reflected in the estimated treatment effect so that projects of reusing religious heritage sites with national monumental status would impose greater positive externality on local housing market than that of other projects. To check if this is the case, we re-estimate the model using only those sites listed as national monuments and results are displayed in Column (5) and (6). Comparing the coefficient estimates of the treatment variable shown in Column (5) and (6) with their respective counterparts listed in Column (1) and (2) that are estimated using the full sample, it appears that the average treatment effect is indeed larger for projects of reusing religious heritage listed as national monuments. Non-parametric Difference-in-Differences Estimates The parametric difference-in-differences specification offers a rather straightforward way to measure the average treatment effect of reusing religious heritage sites, how- ever, it fails to make distinction of treatment effect variation along both the spatial and temporal dimensions. In contrast, with the non-parametric difference-in-differences specification, we are able to recover the gradient of treatment effect of reusing religious heritage sites across space and time. Fig. 4 is the wireframe mesh plot which illustrates the average treatment effect of 42 religious heritage reuse projects over space and time. The mesh grid color is determined by the value of house price in natural log, and proportional to surface height. As shown in Fig. 4, the house price surface before the commencement of religious heritage reuse projects is quite flat, which validates that Fig. 5 Price Impact of Religious Heritage Reuse with Project Size larger than 5000 Square Meters 86 C. Liu, X. Liu ===== PAGE 17 (score 28, numeric-paren 23, table-words 1, var-words 0) ===== Table 5 Non-parametric Difference-in-Differences Estimates: Project Size≥5000m2 Distance (km) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Price impact 0.1471*** (0.0195) 0.1435*** (0.0115) 0.1276*** (0.0256) 0.1122*** (0.0396) 0.1007** (0.0513) 0.0845 (0.0561) Distance (km) 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Price impact 0.0683 (0.0564) 0.0566 (0.0531) 0.0505 (0.0482) 0.0510 (0.0448) 0.0526 (0.0426) 0.0522 (0.0412) Distance (km) 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 Price impact 0.0488 (0.0398) 0.0417 (0.0379) 0.0312 (0.0343) 0.0198 (0.0288) 0.0099 (0.0226) 0.0016 (0.0160) Note: *** , ** , * denotes the significance of coefficients at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively. Bootstrapped standard errors are reported in brackets 87 Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices ===== PAGE 18 (score 8, numeric-paren 0, table-words 2, var-words 4) ===== house prices close to the religious heritage site and house prices slightly further away from the site share similar trends before the treatment. After the religious heritage starts the reuse process, the house price surface jumps up steeply, indicating that religious heritage reuse indeed has positive impact on local house prices. 5 years after the start of the projects, the religious heritage reuse triggers house price appreciation within its close proximity, i.e. 0.1 km, by approximately 5.2%. To illustrate the treatment effect of religious heritage reuse numerically, Table 4 summarizes those point estimates shown in Fig. 4 and the price impacts reported in Table 4 are the average treatment effect estimated as the price difference between the post-treatment years, i.e. 0 to 5 years, and pre-treatment years, i.e. -5 to −1 years, at each 0.1-km distance to the religious heritage site. Between 0.1 and 0.7 km distance to the religious heritage site, house price appreciation is 3.1 ~ 3.5% after the start of the reuse project, and is statistically significant at the 5% level. Similar degree of price appreciation is observed for houses located between 0.8 and 1.4 km distance to the religious heritage site, but is only significant at the 10% level. For houses that are located further than 1.4 km to the religious heritage site, the treatment effect becomes smaller and statistically insignificant. Next, we keep those religious heritage reuse projects with size more than 5000 square meters to investigate whether the treatment effect is heterogeneous based on the project size. Fig. 5 presents the mesh plot of the price impacts of large-scale religious heritage reuse projects. Similar to the non-parametric results using the full sample, the house price surface remains low and flat up to the start of the religious heritage reuse projects. When reuse projects are initiated, the house price surface is first elevated sharply then flattens off gradually until year 5. For houses located 0.1 km away from the religious heritage site, the price appreciation is about 20% after 5 years since the start of reuse project. Fig. 6 Price Impact of Reusing Religious Heritage Designated as National Monument 88 C. Liu, X. Liu ===== PAGE 19 (score 33, numeric-paren 28, table-words 1, var-words 0) ===== Table 6 Non-parametric Difference-in-Differences Estimates: National Monuments Distance (km) 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 Price impact 0.0692** (0.0314) 0.0670** (0.0308) 0.0637** (0.0279) 0.0578** (0.0265) 0.0517** (0.0262) 0.0466* (0.0255) Distance (km) 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Price impact 0.0438* (0.0246) 0.0427* (0.0235) 0.0426* (0.0227) 0.0415* (0.0222) 0.0387 (0.0215) 0.0344 (0.0242) Distance (km) 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 Price impact 0.0323 (0.0244) 0.0315 (0.0237) 0.0290 (0.0225) 0.0248 (0.0173) 0.0191 (0.0151) 0.0106 (0.0109) Note: *** , ** , * denotes the significance of coefficients at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively. Bootstrapped standard errors are reported in brackets 89 Adaptive Reuse of Religious Heritage and Its Impact on House Prices ===== PAGE 20 (score 11, numeric-paren 0, table-words 4, var-words 3) ===== Table 5 reports the average treatment effect of large-scale projects across space. Overall, the house price appreciation triggered by these large religious heritage reuse projects exhibits spatial decay which is more pronounced than that reported in Table 4, and the treatment effect of these projects are much greater in comparison with the non- parametric results using the full sample. Specifically, large projects contribute to house price increase by 14.7% at the 0.1-km distance, which is statistically significant at the 1% level. From 0.2-km to 0.5-km distance to the religious heritage site, the extent of house price appreciation drops gradually from 14% to 10% and remains statistically significant at least at the 5% level. Beyond 0.6 km, the average treatment effect keeps decreasing over space but becomes statistically insignificant. Further, we restrict the non-parametric estimation using religious heritage sites designated with national monument status. Fig. 6 demonstrates the treatment effect of these religious heritage reuse projects over space and time. The house price surface exhibits similar pattern to those shown in Figs. 4 and 5. At 0.1-km distance to the religious heritage site listed as national monument, local house price appreciation is approximately 7% after 5 years since the initiation of reuse project. Table 6 reports the spatial distribution of the average treatment effect of reusing the religious heritage sites with national monument status. Overall, the house price impact decreases with the distance to the religious heritage site. Between 0.1-km and 0.5-km distance to the religious heritage site, reusing religious heritage listed as national monument pushes up local house prices by 5 ~ 7%, and the treatment effect is statistically significant at the 5% level. In terms of the magnitude, the price impacts are larger than those reported in Table 4. From 0.6-km to 1-km distance to the religious heritage sites, the average treatment effect drops gradually from 4.7% to 4.2% which is significant at the 10% level. These religious heritage reuse projects do not seem to have significant impact on house prices further than 1.1 km distance to the sites. Conclusion In this paper, we examine the external effect of reusing religious heritage on local house prices. We begin with employing the standard parametric difference-in-differences approach to estimate the average treatment effect of religious heritage reuse by comparing house prices within an inner ring, i.e. treatment area, with house prices in the outer ring, i.e. control area, before and after the treatment. We then resort to a novel non-parametric difference-in-differences method to estimate the spatial and temporal variation of the treatment effect of reusing religious heritage sites. Using 42 completed reuse projects that spread across the Netherlands and span the period from 1995 to 2017, findings from both the parametric and non-parametric estimation reveal the presence of positive external effect of reusing religious heritage sites on surrounding house prices. We further show that the project size and monument status are the driving factors in determining the magnitude of observed positive externality associated with reusing the religious heritage. Overall, these results indicate that the adaptive reuse contributes to not only the historical and cultural preservation in place but also the welfare of local communities in terms of housing price capitalization. This study could be a useful reference towards better understanding of the welfare implications of historic preservation and urban revitalization policies. To a certain 90 C. Liu, X. Liu