# RECORD 291ca9688b933cfaf7d01e6f6552e428bb2432b5 # TITLE: Occupant Well-Being and House Values # YEAR: 2018.0 VENUE: nan DOI: 10.36934/wecon2019-023 # AUTHORS: R. Rijnks; S. Sheppard # PAGES: 38 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [17, 23, 24, 25, 26] # ABSTRACT: A difficulty in identifying the contribution of structure and neighborhood attributes to the market value of residential property is the lack of data on subjective characteristics of the neighborhood (friendliness of neighbors, proximity to friends and acquaintances) or difficult-to-observe subjective attributes of the structure itself (such as "curb appeal" or the presence of unpleasant odors). Concern may also arise from the understanding that the observed market price of most residential property is the result of a process of bargaining. A buyer who is optimistic by nature may assume that the quality of the neighborhood will be wonderful, or that the unusual odor will eventually go away, and therefore be willing to bid a higher price for the structure than a prospective buyer who is more nervous about all the ways that a house purchase can generate disappointment. Estimates of the value of structure or neighborhood attributes may tell us as much about the emotional affect of the buyer as they do about the actual costs or benefits of the attributes (or of cleaning or mitigating them). These observations suggest that incorporating data on the levels of subjective well being (SWB) and emotional affect of the buyers might be usefully applied to improve hedonic analysis of housing markets. The goal of this paper is to undertake such analysis and to explore the potential for improved analysis of the value of residential property. We make use of unique data collected as part of a multi-year analysis of health outcomes, matched with data on market transactions of residential property in three provinces of the Netherlands. We employ the spatial model developed by Kelejian and Prucha (2010) which allows us to incorporate a spatial error specification, as well explicitly control for possible endogeneity between the measure of SWB and the transaction price. By examining aggregate measures of SWB at different spatial scales, we obtain insights into whether these measurements are capturing subjective characteristics of the community, the neighborhood or the structure and the buyer who negotiateover the eventual price. ===== PAGE 1 (score 8, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 6) ===== Occupant Well-Being and House Values † Richard H. Rijnks‡† Stephen Sheppard §‡ August 29, 2020 Abstract Recent research indicates that subjective evaluation of well-being increases when conditions of housing are improved. This suggests that subjective well-being might serve as a useful proxy for characteristics of a home or neighbourhood that are relevant to an occupant, but unobserved by the analyst. In this paper, we assess this idea through analysis of residential property valuation, using a sample of 95,413 respondents matched to house sales for 2000 to 2012 in the North of the Netherlands. Using a spatial econometric approach, we find a significant and positive association between individual and regional subjective well-being and house prices. This suggests that house buyers are willing to pay more for, or that house sellers require greater compensation to sell and move from, properties and areas in which the resident experiences greater happiness. Our study provides the first estimates of the importance of these effects. Keywords: Subjective well-being, house price, hedonic model JEL Classification: D91, R2, R3 Author(s) Conflict-of-interest: None †We would like to thank Erik Johnson for helpful comments, and to acknowledge funding support from the University of Groningen, Campus Fryslân, and the Waddenacademie ‡Department of Economic Geography, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands §Department of Economics, Williams College, Williamstown, Massachusetts ===== PAGE 17 (score 49, numeric-paren 0, table-words 13, var-words 18) ===== Table 3: Descriptive statistics for model variables Variable name Mean Std Dev Min Max Property sales price 200,311 96,523 18501 2450000 Ln(sales price) 12.118 0.412 9.826 14.712 Ln(positive affect) 1.511 0.095 0.693 1.792 Ln(well-being+1) 4.366 0.207 0 4.615 Ln(lag well-being+1) 4.381 0.057 3.219 4.615 Ln(urban distance) 2.443 1.154 -4.216 3.862 Ln(density) 5.904 0.942 4.007 7.797 Ln(foreign+1) 1.633 0.469 0.693 2.485 Ln(burglary+1) 3.294 0.508 1.902 4.055 Ln(floor area+1) 4.813 0.290 3.555 6.223 Ln(lotsize+1)† 5.399 1.742 0 11.195 Ln(rooms) 1.541 0.260 0 3.526 Dichotomous Variables Two Bathrooms 0.056 0.0019 0 1 Three Bathrooms 0.001 0.0002 0 1 Balcony 0.126 0.332 0 1 Parking 0.605 0.489 0 1 Basement 0.936 0.245 0 1 Attic 0.344 0.475 0 1 Under Roof Area 0.143 0.350 0 1 Listed 0.004 0.065 0 1 Monument 0.007 0.082 0 1 The population density of the municipality containing the house is included as an additional control for effects of smaller population centers (rural towns and large villages). The official classification of “Non-western foreigners” in Dutch statistics is people who have a migration history (their own or at least one of their parents) from Africa, Latin-America, Asia, or Turkey, excluding Indonesia and Japan, as described in Dutch National Statistics (CBS) (2018a). We include 1 plus the percentage of population with a non-western background in the municipality containing the house as a proxy for ethnic diversity in the neighbourhood. From Table 4 we see that just over 60% of the properties in the sample were constructed in the 1970’s or later. The median sales date of properties in the sample is mid-2006. Operationalisation of main variables The use of subjective measures of happiness has seen tremendous progress over recent decades, although the field has yet to reach consensus on which measures are preferable, as noted by Frey and Stutzer (2002). Generally, three distinct constructs of happiness are evaluated which capture separate but complementary information on overall subjective well-being. The first component of overall subjective well-being is the general happiness or general life satisfaction component. This is measured either through a single survey item (e.g. all things considered, how satisfied are you with your life these days?) or preferably 16 ===== PAGE 18 (score 7, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 1) ===== Table 4: Descriptive statistics for indicator variables Variable Mean Variable Mean Interior maintenance Exterior maintenance Interior 1 (Poor) 0.10 Exterior 1 (Poor) 0.11 Interior 2 0.07 Exterior 2 0.02 Interior 3 0.66 Exterior 3 0.48 Interior 4 0.24 Exterior 4 0.26 Interior 5 5.18 Exterior 5 4.84 Interior 6 2.79 Exterior 6 3.06 Interior 7 77.24 Exterior 7 78.33 Interior 8 1.47 Exterior 8 1.41 Interior 9 (Excellent) 12.25 Exterior 9 (Excellent) 11.50 Construction period Year property sold Up to 1905 4.35 Y2000 5.47 1906-1930 9.65 Y2001 6.91 1931-1944 7.39 Y2002 7.98 1945-1959 5.18 Y2003 8.05 1960-1970 12.98 Y2004 8.79 1971-1980 22.51 Y2005 10.24 1981-1990 13.81 Y2006 11.05 1991-2000 18.82 Y2007 9.51 2000 and later 5.31 Y2008 8.64 Y2009 6.95 Insulation Y2010 6.43 No insulation 9.99 Y2011 5.53 1 type of insulation 32.52 Y2012 4.45 2 types of insulation 13.58 3 types of insulation 12.48 4 types of insulation 10.94 Fully insulated 20.50 a compound measure using a set of questions as suggested in Kahneman and Krueger (2006). The general happiness or general life satisfaction component is used to measure a cognitive evaluation of the quality of life by the respondent. The measurement used for this study is drawn from the SF-36 item short form survey. The SF-36 survey is one of the most widely used approaches to measuring health related quality of life, and is surveyed in Hays and Morales (2001). The survey groups 36 items into eight separate constructs. Seven of these deal with a variety of issues relating to physical health, subjective health, social functioning, and experienced limitations and pain. The construct from SF-36 we use in this study is Emotional well-being. Emotional well-being is measured on a 0 to 100 scale by weighting and adding together the underlying items, which are the extent an individual felt happy, nervous, depressed, calm, and downhearted over the past four weeks. The responses then averaged for each individual. The measure is tested for internal reliability (Cronbach’s Alpha = 0.83), showing that the underlying items are reliably correlated. Spatial lags of this variable were considered at 1, 2.5, 5 and 10 kilometers, using an inverse euclidean distance weighting. 17 ===== PAGE 23 (score 24, numeric-paren 9, table-words 6, var-words 0) ===== Table 6: Subjective well-being and time in residence Coefficients: Years Days Constant 2.8497*** 2.8530*** σ 0.0522 0.0547 Ln(Affect + 1) 0.7642*** 0.7710*** σ 0.0167 0.0173 Ln(Price) 0.0294*** 0.0284*** σ 0.0039 0.0041 TiR −1.4867 × 10−3 −5.5870 × 10−6 σ 1.5609 × 10−3 5.7080 × 10−6 TiR2 3.5530 × 10−4** 3.0070 × 10−9** σ 1.4390 × 10−4 1.3180 × 10−9 F(4, 14852) 562.7*** 527.6*** RSE 0.1931 0.1943 R2 0.1316 0.1943 ¯R2 0.1314 0.1324 *** - p < 0.001, ** - p<0.01, * - p<0.05, † - p<0.10 spatial econometric approaches to account for spatially correlated errors, spatial autoregressive structures, and spatially lagged effects of subjective well-being. The dependent variable in all models is the log of the transaction price. 22 ===== PAGE 24 (score 102, numeric-paren 64, table-words 9, var-words 6) ===== Table 7: Hedonic model estimates Variable OLS Model 1 OLS Model 2 OLS Model 3 IV Health IV Health/Pain GNS SAC Behavioural and Subjective Characteristics Well-being 0.0385*** 0.181*** 0.1744*** 0.0893*** 0.1149*** σ 0.009 0.029 0.026 0.018 0.023 Lag well-being (θ) 0.1007** σ 0.035 Positive affect 0.1018*** -0.0077 -0.0027 0.0321 0.0094 σ 0.02 0.029 0.028 0.021 0.024 ρ (spatial error dependence) 0.4282*** 0.4238*** σ 0.012 0.012 λ (spatial autocorrelation) 0.2409*** 0.2445*** σ 0.012 0.012 neighbourhood and Environmental Characteristics Ln(Urban distance) -0.0053* -0.0055* -0.0058* -0.0058* -0.0119*** -0.0116*** σ 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 Ln(Density) 0.1008*** 0.1006*** 0.1003*** 0.1003*** 0.0859*** 0.0859*** σ 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.007 0.007 Ln(Foreign) -0.1536*** -0.1535*** -0.1531*** -0.1531*** -0.1164*** -0.1159*** σ 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.013 0.013 Burglary -0.0185*** -0.0182*** -0.0171** -0.0172** -0.0118 -0.012 σ 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.005 0.008 0.008 Ln(Water distance) -0.0087*** -0.0087*** -0.0088*** -0.0088*** -0.0116*** -0.0115*** σ 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 Ln(Forest distance) -0.0045* -0.0043* -0.0038* -0.0039* -0.0039 -0.004† σ 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002 Ln(Nature distance) -0.0553*** -0.0549*** -0.0546*** -0.0547*** -0.0357*** -0.0359*** σ 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004 Structure Characteristics Ln(Floor Area) 0.6616*** 0.6508*** 0.6485*** 0.6471*** 0.6471*** 0.5932*** 0.5931*** σ 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.008 Ln(Lotsize) 0.0461*** 0.0514*** 0.0514*** 0.0514*** 0.0514*** 0.0553*** 0.0552*** σ 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 *** - p < 0.001, ** - p<0.01, * - p<0.05, † - p<0.10 Continued on next page 23 ===== PAGE 25 (score 99, numeric-paren 72, table-words 0, var-words 12) ===== ... continued from previous page: Variable OLS Model 1 OLS Model 2 OLS Model 3 IV Health IV Health/Pain GNS SAC Rooms 0.0309*** 0.0327*** 0.0326*** 0.0323*** 0.0323*** 0.0498*** 0.05*** σ 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.008 Two Bathrooms 0.1438*** 0.1395*** 0.1386*** 0.1374*** 0.1375*** 0.1164*** 0.116*** σ 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.007 0.007 Three Bathrooms 0.2432*** 0.2489*** 0.2487*** 0.2542*** 0.254*** 0.1801*** 0.1806*** σ 0.063 0.061 0.061 0.061 0.061 0.053 0.053 Balcony 0.1196*** 0.1158*** 0.1153*** 0.1153*** 0.1153*** 0.087*** 0.0871*** σ 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.005 Parking 0.1244*** 0.1342*** 0.1338*** 0.1327*** 0.1327*** 0.1203*** 0.1205*** σ 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 Basement -0.0192* -0.0228** -0.0227** -0.0223** -0.0223** -0.032*** -0.0319*** σ 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.008 0.007 0.007 Attic -0.0392*** -0.0371*** -0.0373*** -0.0389*** -0.0389*** -0.0316*** -0.032*** σ 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 0.004 Under roof -0.0064 -0.0051 -0.0054 -0.0073 -0.0073 -0.0106* -0.0112* σ 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.006 0.006 0.005 0.005 Listed 0.2465*** 0.2313*** 0.2287*** 0.2257*** 0.2258*** 0.1899*** 0.1895*** σ 0.029 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.028 0.025 0.025 Monument 0.1416*** 0.1425*** 0.14*** 0.1418*** 0.1418*** 0.1648*** 0.1648*** σ 0.024 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.023 0.02 0.02 Constant 8.3239*** 8.5819*** 8.271*** 7.8333*** 7.8533*** 4.8285*** 5.1519*** σ 0.072 0.079 0.088 0.122 0.117 0.242 0.185 Other variables in models Int/Exterior maintenance Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Insulation level Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Construction Period Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year of sale Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes *** - p < 0.001, ** - p<0.01, * - p<0.05, † - p<0.10 Continued on next page 24 ===== PAGE 26 (score 33, numeric-paren 21, table-words 4, var-words 0) ===== ... continued from previous page: Variable OLS Model 1 OLS Model 2 OLS Model 3 IV Health IV Health/Pain GNS SAC Measures of model fit to data Residual σ 0.2247 0.2175 0.217 0.2187 0.2186 R2 0.7035 0.7223 0.7235 0.7191 0.7195 0.7574 0.7568 ¯R2 0.7024 0.7212 0.7224 0.7179 0.7183 AIC -2150.58 -3109.98 -3172.68 Tests of performance of variables in model F 662.7*** 641.4*** 624.5*** Wald test 615*** 615.9*** Weak instruments 1744.71*** 1057.375*** Wu-Hausman 28.05*** 30.969*** Sargan 0.332 Tests for spatial dependence and autocorrelation LM spatial error 4877*** 3561.8*** 3511.8*** LM spatial lag 177.84*** 259.98*** 266.8*** Moran’s I 55.294*** 54.548*** Partial first stage results for well-being instruments Ln(Health+1) 0.1723*** 0.1723*** 0.1723*** σ 0.006 0.006 0.006 Ln(Pain+1) 0.0807*** 0.0807*** σ 0.005 0.005 *** - p < 0.001, ** - p<0.01, * - p<0.05, † - p<0.10 25 ===== PAGE 27 (score 26, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 24) ===== OLS Model 1 presents estimates that include only structure characteristics. The estimated parameters are largely as would be expected. A one per cent change in floorspace is associated with a 0.65 to 0.66 percent increase in the transaction price. A one percent change in lot size increases the transaction price by 0.05 per cent. The number of rooms, and availability of bathrooms, balconies, and parking are all associated with an increase in the transaction price. The presence of an attic, basement, and under-roof storage area are associated with lower transaction prices. The data for usable interior surface area as described in NVM and VBO and VastgoedPRO and Vereniging Nederlandse Gemeenten and Waarderingskamer (2018) specify that floorspace (floorm2) includes all usable area, which includes basements, attics, and under-roof storage. The negative coefficients estimates arise from a portion of the interior area not being part of the living area. Listed buildings (monuments) are more valuable than those that are not listed, and for non-monuments, a monumental appearance leads to a smaller increase in price. Higher levels of interior and exterior maintenance are associated with higher transaction prices, and similarly higher levels of insulation are associated with higher transaction prices, although buildings with only one layer of insulation appear to sell for less than those with no insulation (reference group). Structures from the 1980’s attract the lowest transaction prices. OLS Model 2 adds the neighbourhood characteristics. Increases in density are associated with increases in transaction price, which is consistent with the standard urban land use model presented in Alonso (1964). Controlling for that, larger distances to an urban center (as a proxy for labor market access) are associated with lower transaction prices, burglaries are associated with lower transaction prices, as is ethnic diversity. OLS Model 3 includes subjective well-being and positive affect. Both coefficients are significant and positively related to transaction price. This supports our hypothesis that higher transaction prices are associated with higher derived utility from living in a house and location, which can be measured using subjective well-being. In addition, this model shows that positive affect is associated with a higher transaction price, which supports the optimistic buyer hypothesis. The AIC’s for these three models suggest that the fully specified model is the preferred one, decreasing from -2,151 for the property characteristics model, to -3,110 for the model including neighbourhood characteristics, and finally -3,173 for the model including subjective well-being. The inclusion of subjective well-being in model 3 is associated with a number of small changes to the parameter estimates for the usual variables included in a hedonic price model (model 2). The parameter estimate for floorspace, for example, decreases by 0.0023, equivalent to 0.26 of the standard error of the parameter estimate. This suggests that the parameter estimate in the standard hedonic is slightly biased upwards, meaning that some part of the increased willingness to pay attributed to a larger floor area is actually due to the omitted attributes proxied through subjective well-being. We note a similar change in the coefficients for the distance to forests and the distance to nature: the negative association in both coefficients decreases when subjective well-being is included in the model. This indicates that part of the willingness to pay attributed to proximity to nature is potentially due to some other unobserved characteristic associated with occupant subjective well-being. Similar to Anselin and Lozano-Gracia (2008) we test for spatial dependence in our data, and find robust Lagrange Multipliers in excess of 3,511 for spatial dependence in the error term, and greater than 177 for spatial dependence in the 26