# RECORD 4412b66b7af7dc2e4784f04e96dda07a5d24ef90 # TITLE: Buyers’ property asset purchase decisions: an empirical study on the high-end residential property market in Hong Kong # YEAR: 2016.0 VENUE: nan DOI: 10.3846/1648715x.2015.1105322 # AUTHORS: W. M. Jayantha; Jia-Ming Lau # PAGES: 16 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [10, 11, 12] # ABSTRACT: Demand for luxury housing units from the upper and upper-middle income groups in Hong Kong has been increasing over the last few years. as the market cannot satisfy demand, some prospective buyers have turned their attention to “special” housing units. this research paper attempts to investigate buyers’ preferences for two types of “special” units, namely duplex units and adjoining flats. the study investigates the price premiums paid by the buyers, and examines the effects of these special units on property price. the study employs two hedonic price models: one measuring the buy- ers’ preference on duplex units and the other one measuring buyers’ preference on adjoining flats. The results show that buyers are willing to pay a larger premium for special residential units: HK$588/ft-super-2 more for a duplex unit and HK$934/ft-super-2 more for an adjoining property unit, respectively. furthermore, a relatively larger premium is found for adjoining flats compared to duplex units. This implies that a property unit, purchased as an adjoining flat can add more value to the property price (in terms of $s per sq. ft.) compared with being a duplex unit. ===== PAGE 1 (score 11, numeric-paren 1, table-words 0, var-words 10) ===== Copyright © 2016 Vilnius Gediminas Technical University (VGTU) Press http://www.tandfonline.com/tspm International Journal of Strategic Property Management ISSN 1648-715X / eISSN 1648-9179 2016  Volume  20(1): 1–16 doi:10.3846/1648715X.2015.1105322 * Corresponding author. E-mail: bsmjwadu@polyu.edu.hk BUYERS’ PROPERTY ASSET PURCHASE DECISIONS: AN EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE HIGH-END RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY MARKET IN HONG KONG Wadu Mesthrige JAYANTHA a,*, Jia Ming LAU b a Department of Building and Real Estate, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China b Freelance author, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China Received 5 September 2014; accepted 14 January 2015 ABSTRACT. Demand for luxury housing units from the upper and upper-middle income groups in Hong Kong has been increasing over the last few years. As the market cannot satisfy demand, some prospective buyers have turned their attention to “special” housing units. This research paper attempts to investigate buyers’ preferences for two types of “special” units, namely duplex units and adjoining flats. The study investigates the price premiums paid by the buyers, and examines the effects of these special units on property price. The study employs two hedonic price models: one measuring the buy- ers’ preference on duplex units and the other one measuring buyers’ preference on adjoining flats. The results show that buyers are willing to pay a larger premium for special residential units: HK$588/ft2 more for a duplex unit and HK$934/ft2 more for an adjoining property unit, respectively. Furthermore, a relatively larger premium is found for adjoining flats compared to duplex units. This implies that a property unit, purchased as an adjoining flat can add more value to the property price (in terms of $s per sq. ft.) compared with being a duplex unit. KEYWORDS: Property market; Duplex unit; Adjoining flat; Property price; Hong Kong 1. INTRODUCTION Even though the housing affordability issue in Hong Kong has been a serious problem, especially among many low and medium income households, there has been an increasing demand for luxury housing units by the upper middle and high income households over the last few years. With the rising aspirations of this sector in society, along with in- creasing national income (and per capita income), there is an increasing demand for so-called “spe- cial” housing units (i.e. duplex units and adjoining flats). As the market cannot satisfy demand, some prospective buyers have turned their attention to these types of “special” housing units, for some as a way of getting into the market, for others as a way of increasing their investment and diversifica- tion into this type of asset. The main reason for this significant increase in demand for special units is the existence of the wealth effect and the limited supply of these units in the property market (Fong 2009). The wealth effect is defined as “…an increase in spending or consumption that accompanies an in- crease in wealth, or merely a perceived increase in wealth.” (Pigou 1943). According to Cheung et al. (2004), property equity has dominated the wealth portfolio of typical middle-class Hong Kong resi- dents for a long time. Buying “bricks and mortar”, i.e. property, has been viewed as one of the safest stores of wealth as well as investment, according to Chinese tradition. These special housing units, in particular (i.e. duplex units and adjoining flats), are regarded as high quality durable investment goods as well as consumer goods. It is clear that people in Hong Kong have begun, on one hand, to appre- ciate the characteristics of these property units in terms of prestige value and potential for asset appreciation, and, on the other hand, to embrace green living (Jayantha, Wan 2012). Hence, these special housing units are in high demand in the lo- cal property market. ===== PAGE 10 (score 42, numeric-paren 0, table-words 16, var-words 8) ===== W. M. Jayantha et al. 10 aspects of the properties, date of occupation of the building, etc. were obtained from Economic Prop- erty Research Centre (EPRC) Limited and crossed checked with Centadata, which is established by Centaline  Property Agency. EPRC provides a database that records all the registered prop- erty transaction in the Land Registry since 1991 in Hong Kong. The data provided in Centadata is based on the registered property transactions in the Government Land Registry. When necessary, a land search was obtained from the Land Registry for verification and supplementary purposes. Other property information is obtained through various government departments and site investigation. Location, geographical and neighbourhood informa- tion of the selected buildings are gathered from the GeoInfo Map powered by the Lands Department. Floor plans of some of the selected properties were collected from the Building Records Access and Viewing On-line (BRAVO) System established by the Buildings Department. The building manage- ment information employed in this research was obtained from the Database of Private Buildings in Hong Kong provided by the Home Affairs De- partment. Recreational facilities associated with the chosen residential developments were verified through property agents’ and developers’ websites. Site investigation was also conducted to identify the views, accessibilities, etc. of the properties. 3.4. Statistical interpretations in the HPM Empirical results of HPM (regression model) are generally interpreted and analyzed by using nu- merous simple statistical techniques (i.e. t-test, F-test and adjusted R2). Our HPM has eleven in- dependent variables, and the t-test is used to test whether each parameter of a variable is significant or not. This is done by comparing the estimated t-value with the critical t-value. An independent variable is said to be significant if the absolute t-statistic for that coefficient of the variable is greater than the critical value. That implies that a particular variable has a significant impact on the dependent variable. Another important statistic in the regression model is the F-test, which reflects the overall performance of the model. The overall model is said to be performing well or is statisti- cally highly significant if the estimated F-statis- tic is larger than the critical value. That means the independent variables included in the model jointly explain the dependent variable satisfacto- rily. Finally, the explanatory power of the model is evaluated through the adjusted R2 value that ranges from 0 to 1; and the greater the value of it, the better the model. High values of R2 indicate that the independent variables selected, together substantially explain the behaviour of the depend- ent variable (meaning that no significant variables are missing). Table 2. Summary of descriptive statistics (Model 1) Variable Mean STD Min Max Price 9010.88 1806.72 2177.00 15472.00 FlatSize 770.01 202.62 556.00 1229.00 FlatRoof 68.50 92.34 0.00 292.00 AGE 14.56 5.30 5.73 25.24 Floor 17.14 0.88 15.00 19.00 4. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS 4.1. Results of model 1 (Duplex unit) Table 2 presents the descriptive statistics of the variables used in model 1. Empirically estimated coefficients and the explanatory power of the mod- el along with statistical measures are presented in Table 3. All the employed independent variables (except Orient) are found to be highly significant at conventional levels and also bear the antici- pated theoretical signs of variables. The adjusted R2 value of 0.745 indicates that around 75 percent of the total variation of residential property price can be described by the explanatory variables, and this is quite a high value. The estimated F-value of 231.95 (p-value is 0.000) also suggests that the set of explanatory variables chosen are jointly statisti- cally significant and at least one of the independ- ent variables is able to explain the variation of the property price in the model. Confidence interval levels (at 95%) were also tested for all the esti- mates of independent variables8. All the estimated coefficients are within the range of 95 % confidence level, confirming the reliability of the estimates. The most relevant and significant variable in the study is DUPLEX, and as anticipated, it is found to be statistically highly significant. The es- timated t-value of 2.408 and p-value 0.016 suggest that the variable DUPLEX is highly significant at 5 percent level. The coefficient of 588.54 of DU- PLEX means a property being a duplex unit can add value and raise the property price by $588.54/ sq.ft. To put it differently, potential buyers are ready to pay $588.54 more per square feet for a duplex property unit than for a normal/typical unit. This tells us that if a residential building has duplex units, the value of the other units in the residential property increases significantly. 8 Not reported in the text, but available upon request. ===== PAGE 11 (score 53, numeric-paren 10, table-words 11, var-words 17) ===== Buyers’ property asset purchase decisions: an empirical study on the high-end residential property market… 11 A duplex unit can enhance the living standard of the end user due to the protection of privacy among users through the separation of spaces into two floors. In addition, the property owner can en- joy the prestige value of the duplex unit because of the limited supply of these units in the market. The result shows that the quality of housing prop- erty in terms of prestige and living standard seems to be playing an important role in buyers’ decisions on purchasing a property. As duplex units are now well recognized housing units with these attrib- utes, potential property buyers may be willing to pay a premium for these special housing units that enhance their prestige level and living standard. All the other explanatory variables (except Ori- ent) incorporated into the model are also statisti- cally significant. The coefficient of 3.229 of Flat- Size suggests a positive relationship between the saleable area (excluding flat roof area) and the property value per square feet. Buyers are willing to pay a higher price as they can enjoy a larger liv- ing space. It reveals that a property with a larger perimeter and larger living area naturally tend to appreciate more rapidly (Cebula 2009). The result is consistent with previous research works (e.g., Mok et al. 1995; So et al. 1997; Chau et al. 2003). Variable FlatRoof is also found to be highly sig- nificant (t-statistics of 3.734 and p-value of 0.000) with the coefficient of 4.056. This indicates that potential property buyers value a flat roof area as part of the property and are willing to pay $4.056 for every 1 square foot of flat roof area. In other words, every 1 sq. ft. of flat roof area causes the property price (per saleable area) (excluding flat roof area) to increase by $4.056. The positive re- lationship is obvious since the property price per saleable area by definition excludes the flat roof area. With a bigger flat roof size, the property owner can enjoy a larger open space for leisure and recreational activities, for example barbeque, resting, feeding pets, etc. Hence, the purchasers are willing to pay a premium for the added benefit of a flat roof area. The negative coefficient of age (–45.506) im- plies a negative correlation between building age and property price (per square feet) with a rate of $45.506/sq. ft. per year. The estimate is significant at 5% level with t-statistics of –6.948 and p-value of 0.000. This finding is consistent with Mok et al. (1995) and Choy et al. (2007) and Coulson and Lahr (2005). The age of a building is expected to link negatively with the property value as the build- ing structure deteriorates physically with time. Potential buyers obviously pay only lower prices for older buildings as structural defects are gener- ally found in aged properties requiring significant maintenance, so buyers pay only lower prices. The coefficient of Floor has a positive sign with a value of 187.311, which means that the higher the floor level of the property is located, the higher the property price per square feet with a rate of $187.311. for each successive floor level. The result is significant at 5% level with t-statistics of 2.843 and p-value of 0.005. This suggests that the buy- ers are willing to pay more ($187.31 per square foot) for a unit at higher level to enjoy the better view and the cleaner air. Generally, higher level units enjoy cleaner air and better view, and fewer mosquitoes, compared with properties located at lower floor levels and this is totally true in Hong Kong. The result is in line with previous research- ers such as Mok et al. (1995), So et al. (1997) and Chau et al. (2003). Property buyers treat ‘orientation’ as a key fac- tor when purchasing a property in Hong Kong. The reason being that the West direction is normally considered as the worst orientation because units facing West would be a lot warmer in summer, whilst on the other hand; units facing South di- rection would enjoy a better ventilation (airflow) and better natural lighting. However, the results do not support this view. The variable Orient is found to be insignificant even though it bears the expected negative sign. This suggests that buyers do not take orientation into serious considerations in purchasing properties. The reason may be partly because some blocks in selected residential estates, for instance Heng Fa Chuen, are surrounded by other blocks of building or mountain and thus have a less exposure to excessive sunlight. The obstruc- tion of sunlight may somehow reduce the negative impact on some of the units. Table 3. Coefficients of the model 1 (Duplex) Variable Coefficient t-statistic Sig. Constant 3465.965* 3.111 0.002 FlatSize 3.229* 5.414 0.000 FlatRoof 4.056* 3.734 0.000 AGE –45.506* –6.948 0.000 Floor 187.311* 2.843 0.005 Orient –102.268 –1.367 0.172 ViewHw –229.866** –2.190 0.029 ViewMount 390.095** 2.511 0.012 ViewSea 1368.619* 8.530 0.000 DUPLEX 588.540** 2.408 0.016 Adj. R2 0.745 F-value 231.950 *, ** indicate significant at 1% and 5% levels, respectively. ===== PAGE 12 (score 65, numeric-paren 14, table-words 15, var-words 14) ===== W. M. Jayantha et al. 12 The view factor is another significant element in Hong Kong that influences purchasing decision of a property (see for example, Mok et al. 1995). Sea view is considered as the best, followed by the mountain view for many property buyers whilst units having high-way view or obstruction with adjacent buildings and structures are considered negatively. Findings of the model support this view. The negative coefficient (–229.866) of Vie- wHw indicates that the possession of a highway or railway view lowers the property price (per sq. ft.) significantly. The result is significant at 5% level with t-statistics of –2.190 and p-value of 0.029. It is obvious that traffic noise and air pollution aris- ing from the highway or railway cause an undesir- able living environment to the end user leading to discounts in the property value. This finding is also in line with previous works (e.g., Nelson 1982; Theebe 2004; Brandt, Maennig 2011). On the other hand, the positive coefficient of ViewMount sug- gests that possession of a mountain view enhanc- es property price (per square foot). It is obvious that the tenants would appreciate a mountain view (compared to a highway or buildings view) as it is pleasing to have a green view to the eye of the end user, and hence they are willing to pay a higher price for such properties. The most ap- preciated view by the buyers is the sea view; and, this is very clearly reflected through the result. Highly significant positive coefficient (1358.619) of ViewSea indicates that the possession of a sea view would increase the property price dramati- cally, by $1358.619/sq.ft. Potential buyers would be willing to pay a larger premium if the unit pos- sesses a sea view as the sea view can yield more satisfaction to the end users with a better living environment. The estimate is significant result at 1% level with -statistics of 8.530 and p-value of 0.000. This finding is also consistent with previous studies (e.g., Mok et al. 1995; Choy et al. 2007). All these physical and locational attributes have been well documented in the literature with regard to the housing price. For example, floor area of the unit (Cebula 2009; Neill et al. 2007; Sirmans et  al. 2005; Coulson, Lahr 2005; Chau et al. 2003; So et al. 1997; Mok et al. 1995), age (Choy et al. 2007; Neill et al. 2007; Coulson, Lahr 2005; Sirmans et al. 2005; Mok et al. 1995), floor (Jayantha, Wan 2012; Chau et al. 2003; So et al. 1997; Mok et al. 1995), orientation (Jayantha, Wan 2012), view (Brandt, Maennig 2011; Theebe 2004; Mok et al. 1995; Nelson 1982). 4.2. Results of model 2 (Adjoining flat) Descriptive statistics of the data series for the model are summarized in Table 4. The empiri- cal estimates of variables of the model 2, includ- ing t-statistics and other measures are shown in Table 5. The adjusted R2 (0.81) suggest that 81 percent of the total variation of housing price (for saleable area) can be explained by the attributes of the model, meaning that is has a very high ex- planatory power. Again, as in model 1, all the ex- planatory variables (excluding Orient) are found be significant at conventional levels. The F-statis- tic value of 266.09 indicates that the overall model performs very well and all the selected explanatory variables are jointly statistically significant. The main emphasis of the model is on ADJOIN, which represents the special housing units (adjoin- ing flats). As in model 1, it is found that variable ADJOIN (special unit) is highly significant and bears the expected positive sign. The estimated coefficient of ADJOIN is 934.079, which is much larger than (estimates for DUPLEX) that of in model 1. The t-statistic (2.513) along with 0.012 of corresponding p-value indicates that the ADJOIN variable is highly significant. Thus this variable Table 4. Summary of descriptive statistics (Model 2) Variable Mean STD Min Max Price 8852.52 2555.75 3608.00 21426.00 FlatSize 852.41 295.64 518.00 1654.00 FlatRoof 100.01 177.25 0.00 541.00 AGE 14.17 8.55 0.00 32.58 AgeSq 273.88 269.01 0.00 1061.51 Floor 32.85 6.57 0.25 42.00 Table 5. Coefficients of the model 1 (Adjoining) Variable Coefficient t-statistic Sig. Constant 1786.530* 1.854 0.064 FlatSize 2.690* 5.376 0.000 FlatRoof 4.469* 4.442 0.000 AGE –56.700* –2.833 0.005 AgeSq 1.538* 2.618 0.009 Floor 110.119* 4.763 0.000 Orient –101.477 –0.999 0.318 ViewOpen 596.154* 3.226 0.001 ViewMount 338.198** 1.977 0.048 ViewSea 1040.848* 6.207 0.000 ADJOIN 934.079* 2.513 0.012 Adj. R2 0.810 F-value 266.086 *, ** indicate significant at 1% and 5% level, respec- tively. ===== PAGE 13 (score 30, numeric-paren 0, table-words 5, var-words 19) ===== Buyers’ property asset purchase decisions: an empirical study on the high-end residential property market… 13 exerts a strong positive impact on residential prop- erty price. The coefficient of 934.079 suggests that a property being an adjoining flat can add val- ue and raise the property price by $934.079 per square feet. Put differently, potential buyers are willing to pay $934.079 more per square feet if it is an adjoining property unit. This means if a resi- dential building is with adjoining flats, the value of the other normal units in the residential property also increases significantly. Adjoining flats by their nature improve the living standard of the end user due to a wider view and extensive enlargement of floor spaces. In addition, great prestige feeling val- ue that potential buyers have living in such a unit encourages them to pay extra money for the prop- erty being an adjoining flat. This finding is in line with the results obtained from model 1. The find- ings of both models indicate that potential prop- erty purchasers value special units (Duplex units and Adjoining flats) and are ready to pay an extra amount of money for them. This is very much in line with findings of some of the previous stud- ies. For example, Cebula (2009), Coulson and Lahr (2005) and Sirmans et al. (2005) find out that de- sirable internal luxury housing attributes such as courtyards, number of bedrooms and bathrooms, stories in structure, garage car spaces, square footage, the presence of a deck, a pool/hot-tub, etc. are positively related with the real housing price. These special units (Duplex units and Adjoining flats) possess all these housing attributes. Similar to model 1, all the other variables (except Orient), are also found to be highly significant, implying the fitness of the model. 4.3. Difference in magnitudes of price effect between Model 1 and Model 2 In an attempt to compare these two models, the magnitudes of price effects between these two cases are analyzed in this section. Models 1 and 2 clearly indicate that potential buyers value spe- cial units (Duplex units and Adjoining flats) and are ready to pay a premium for them. Both models also show that special units exert a clear positive impact on property price. The empirical results summarized in Table 6 clearly show that the coefficients of special units in both models are highly significant. This suggests that potential property buyers are happy to pay an extra amount over and above typical units (a premium) for special units: duplex units and ad- joining flats. Potential buyers normally tend to appreciate and value a better living environment, and hence are willing to pay a higher premium for these units. However, the magnitude of coefficient of ADJOIN is much larger than that in DUPLEX: 588.054 and 934.079, respectively. That means po- tential buyers are willing to pay a higher premium for adjoining flats compared to duplex units: a pre- mium of HK$934/ft2 compared to HK$588/ft2. In other words, a property being an adjoining flat can add more value (i.e. HK$346/ft2) to the property price compared with being a duplex unit. The re- sult indicates that buyers prefer an adjoining flat than duplex unit. It can be therefore concluded from the empirical results that an adjoining flat has a greater positive impact on the property price and is more preferred by homeowners in Hong Kong compared with duplex unit. This situation could be explained this way. Though duplex units enhance the prestige im- age and provide a house-like feeling for the own- ers, it also has some disadvantages for the users. Duplex units normally comprise of two stories with a stair case, and staircase occupied some floor spaces of the unit. However, adjoining flats do not have this disadvantage. Also, older people may not feel safe in climbing stairs, so adjoining floor space would be safer and preferable. On the other hand, adjoining flats enhance the floor space usage and also possess a broader view. Thus, in- vestors specially consider adjoining flats as a good investment. 5. SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS The study aimed to investigate the buyers’ prefer- ence for special housing units (duplex units and adjoining flats), and to examine the effects of these special housing units on property prices. This re- search issue was investigated by adopting two models (cases). The empirical results suggest that special units can add value and raise the property price significantly. Potential buyers are willing to pay HK$588/ft2 and HK$934/ft2 more for a duplex unit and an adjoining property unit, respectively. In other words, the findings suggest that poten- tial buyers are willing to pay a larger premium for special housing units. For example, one may be willing to pay HK$ 588,000 (model 1) and HK$ 934,000 (model 2) more on a duplex unit and Table 6. Comparison of coefficients of special units (Duplex and Adjoining) Coefficient t-statistic Sig. Model 1 (Duplex) 588.540 2.408 0.016 Model 2 (Adjoining) 934.079 2.513 0.012