# RECORD 467b5db9559e6802d7f96e2e470749e1440b69fd # TITLE: VALUING OPEN SPACE IN A MARSHLAND ENVIRONMENT: DEVELOPMENT ALTERNATIVES FOR COASTAL GEORGIA # YEAR: 2016.0 VENUE: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics DOI: 10.1017/aae.2016.25 # AUTHORS: Ajita Atreya; Warren P. Kriesel; J. Mullen # PAGES: 20 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [13, 14] # ABSTRACT: Abstract In a coastal environment, open space can exist as land set aside by a real estate developer or as tidal marshland. In this article, we determine the relative values of both types of open spaces in a coastal county in Georgia using a spatial hedonic price framework. Results indicate that (1) there is a price premium associated with the marshlands and (2) developers have market incentives to incorporate more open space into their designs of residential subdivisions. Regarding marshlands, we also find that accessibility is an important variable that adds much more value to a property than just the proximity. ===== PAGE 1 (score 8, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 8) ===== Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 48, 4 ( 2016): 383–402 C⃝2016 The Author(s). This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. doi:10.1017/aae.2016.25 VALUING OPEN SPACE IN A MARSHLAND ENVIRONMENT: DEVELOPMENT ALTERNATIVES FOR COASTAL GEORGIA AJITA ATREYA ∗ The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania WARREN KRIESEL Department of Agriculture and Applied Economics, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia JEFFREY D. MULLEN Department of Agriculture and Applied Economics, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia Abstract. In a coastal environment, open space can exist as land set aside by a real estate developer or as tidal marshland. In this article, we determine the relative values of both types of open spaces in a coastal county in Georgia using a spatial hedonic price framework. Results indicate that (1) there is a price premium associated with the marshlands and (2) developers have market incentives to incorporate more open space into their designs of residential subdivisions. Regarding marshlands, we also find that accessibility is an important variable that adds much more value to a property than just the proximity. Keywords. Coastal, Georgia, market incentive, spatial hedonic JEL Classifications: R21, R58, Q51 1. Introduction In most jurisdictions of the United States, land use policy is made at the local level within the context of existing federal and state regulations. County and city government officials scrutinize developers’ requests for zoning variations and building permits. Local officials make their decisions under two potentially conflicting objectives. First, they are concerned with providing adequate financing for their jurisdiction, which can be accomplished by increasing the extent of developed land and improving their real estate tax base. Second, they are charged with meeting environmental quality objectives, which sometimes requires the preservation of land in an undeveloped state. This publication was supported in part by an institutional grant (NA10OAR4170098) to the Georgia Sea Grant College Program from the National Sea Grant Office, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce. ∗Corresponding author’s e-mail: atreya@wharton.upenn.edu 383 https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2016.25 Published online by Cambridge University Press ===== PAGE 13 (score 86, numeric-paren 59, table-words 2, var-words 11) ===== Valuing Open Space in a Marshland Environment 395 Table 3. SARAR Model Results using an Inverse Distance Matrix Truncated at 200 Meters (dependent variable: lnPrice) Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 lnHousesize 0.82∗∗∗ 0.75∗∗∗ 0.75∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) lnParcelsize 0.13∗∗∗ 0.13∗∗∗ 0.10∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Beds −0.01 0.001 0.002 (0.008) (0.009) (0.008) Age −0.007∗∗∗ −0.007∗∗∗ −0.008∗∗∗ (0.0007) (0.0007) (0.0007) Agesq 7.5e-05∗∗∗ 7.3e-05∗∗∗ 7.5e-05∗∗∗ (6.1e-06) (6.0e-06) (5.9e-06) Fireplace 0.04∗∗∗ 0.034∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Brick −0.013 0.01 0.01 (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Garage 0.07∗∗∗ 0.09∗∗∗ 0.10∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Deck 0.06∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) Pool 0.10∗∗∗ 0.10∗∗∗ 0.10∗∗∗ (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) lnCommonspace 0.07∗∗∗ 0.06∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ (0.005) (0.005) (0.006) lnMajorroads 0.02∗∗∗ 0.008 0.002 (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) lnSchool 0.03∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗∗ (0.008) (0.009) (0.008) SFHA 0.03∗ 0.009 −0.0004 (0.01) (0.015) (0.015) Bltpostfir 0.06∗∗∗ 0.04∗∗ 0.06∗∗∗ (0.01) (0.018) (0.018) lnNonwhite −0.09∗∗∗ −0.0861∗∗∗ −0.086∗∗∗ (0.006) (0.006) (0.006) lnIncome 0.26∗∗∗ 0.25∗∗∗ 0.27∗∗∗ (0.02) (0.019) (0.0189) lnPark −0.09∗∗∗ −0.08∗∗∗ (0.008) (0.008) lnMarsh −0.07∗∗∗ −0.04∗∗∗ (0.005) (0.006) Waterview 0.10∗∗∗ 0.17∗∗∗ (0.02) (0.02) Wateraccess 0.38∗∗∗ (0.06) Dock 0.51∗∗∗ (0.03) Year2005 0.22∗∗∗ 0.21∗∗∗ 0.21∗∗∗ (0.016) (0.02) (0.01) https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2016.25 Published online by Cambridge University Press ===== PAGE 14 (score 46, numeric-paren 24, table-words 5, var-words 7) ===== 396 AJITA ATREYA ET AL. Table 3. Continued Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Year2006 0.41∗∗∗ 0.40∗∗∗ 0.40∗∗∗ (0.017) (0.02) (0.07) Year2007 0.51∗∗∗ 0.50∗∗∗ 0.50∗∗∗ (0.018) (0.018) (0.02) Year2008 0.37∗∗∗ 0.36∗∗∗ 0.37∗∗∗ (0.02) (0.019) (0.02) Year2009 0.21∗∗∗ 0.20∗∗∗ 0.21∗∗∗ (0.02) (0.02) (0.020) Year2010 0.05∗∗ 0.04∗∗ 0.05∗∗ (0.02) (0.02) (0.020) Constant 3.67∗∗∗ 5.08∗∗∗ 5.07∗∗∗ (0.21) (0.22) (0.22) Lambda 0.03∗∗∗ 0.02∗∗∗ 0.026∗∗∗ (0.003) (0.003) (0.003) Rho 3.65∗∗∗ 3.56∗∗∗ 3.5∗∗∗ (0.10) (0.07) (0.0814) Notes: N = 11,011. Standard errors in parentheses. ∗∗∗P < 0.01, ∗∗P < 0.05, ∗P < 0.1. SARAR, spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive residuals. (i.e., all continuous variables were transformed to their natural logarithms).5 Throughout, heteroskedasticity consistent standard errors are reported. The estimate for λ, the spatial autoregressive coefficient, is significant and in the expected direction indicating a positive adjacency effect; that is, a higher sale price of adjacent properties should result in a higher average sale price, ceteris paribus. Regarding the interpretation of the regression coefficients in the SARAR model, a marginal effect is calculated by multiplying an estimate into a spatial multiplier, 1/(1 −λ), as suggested by Kim, Phipps, and Anselin (2003). All coefficients for the structural variables have their expected sign and are statistically significant except Beds and Brick.6 The quadratic specification for the variable Age seems to capture the diminishing marginal effects as shown by the positive and significant Agesq variable. Housesize and Parcelsize have significant impacts on property prices. A 1% increase in Housesize and Parcelsize increases property prices by 0.75% to 0.82% and 0.10% to 0.13%, respectively, which is equivalent to approximately $1,389 to $1,506 and $22 to $27 when evaluated for an average priced property across the three models (Table 4).7 In Table 4, model 3 results indicate that a property with a fireplace (Fireplace), garage (Garage), deck (Deck), or pool (Pool), however, commands even higher price 5 We performed the Box-Cox transformation of the dependent variable and concluded that the natural log of price as the dependent variable was the best specification for our model. Others have used semiparametric models, but those models are difficult to interpret. 6 The interpretation hereafter will be in regard to model 3 unless specified otherwise. 7 Note that the spatial multiplier (1/1 −λ) is taken into account when calculating marginal effects. https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2016.25 Published online by Cambridge University Press ===== PAGE 15 (score 16, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 14) ===== Valuing Open Space in a Marshland Environment 397 Table 4. Marginal Effects Evaluated for an Average Property in Chatham County Variables Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Housesize $1,506.1 $1,375.4 $1,389.1 Parcelsize $26.7 $27.3 $21.8 Beds −$1,292.8 $114.5 $212.1 Age −$67.2 −$68.3 −$75.5 Agesq $0.7 $0.7 $0.7 Fireplace $12,055.6 $10,218.9 $11,708.3 Brick −$3,819.6 $2,779.2 $3,106.3 Garage $22,111.8 $27,319.3 $28,404.5 Deck $17,009.1 $12,168.2 $12,992.6 Pool $29,094.5 $29,150.5 $27,747.4 Commonspace $4,476.1 $3,726.1 $3,075.0 Majorroads $14.8 $5.8 $2.0 School $3.4 $4.7 $5.5 SFHA $8,206.1 $2,678.8 −$115.0 Bltpostfir $16,501.8 $12,050.0 $16,606.7 Nonwhite −$821.5 −$777.9 −$783.0 Income $1.3 $1.2 $1.2 Park −$7.6 −$7.9 Marsh −$53.0 −$31.1 Waterview $29,534.4 $49,282.3 Wateraccess $112,901.3 Dock $154,716.7 Note: Marginal effect calculation takes into account the spatial multiplier. premiums equal to approximately $11,708, $28,404, $12,992, and $27,747, respectively, when evaluated for an average priced home. All coefficients for neighborhood and location variables are of the expected sign and are statistically significant except the proximity to roads (lnMajorroads) and location in SFHA. In Chatham County, the coefficient of lnCommonspace indicates that a 1% increase in the percentage of common area in the neighborhood increases the property prices on average by approximately $3,075 when evaluated for an average price home. This result indicates that developers have an incentive to keep more common space in their design feature for greater revenue. The proximity to school significantly decreases the price of the property, which may be attributed to the level of noise from a school. An increase in the proportion of nonwhites in a community is negatively related to the property prices, whereas an increase in income is positively related to the property prices in Chatham County. Regarding the environmental amenity variables, all of those included in the model have their expected positive sign and are statistically significant. The variables lnPark, lnMarsh, and Waterview all seem to be important factors adding value to a property. The finding that both lnCommonspace and lnMarsh are significant, positive contributors to property prices is surprising. The initial https://doi.org/10.1017/aae.2016.25 Published online by Cambridge University Press