# RECORD 4a6c4412ae803b09046980401041b08141e48e51 # TITLE: 'No Drugs in My Back Yard:' the Ambivalent Reception of Cannabis Retailers # YEAR: 2019.0 VENUE: Social Science Research Network DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3461820 # AUTHORS: L. M. Bruijn; R. Ribas # PAGES: 20 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [9, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16] # ABSTRACT: Can individuals' aversion to drug markets curb the benefits of decriminalization? We investigate the effect of two policies on housing demand in the Netherlands: the distance-to-school criterion, which closed some cannabis shops in a few cities; and the zero-tolerance policy, which banned shops within municipal jurisdictions. While a small increase in the distance to retailers raised house prices by 1-5%, a substantial increase reduced them by 1-6%. Both policies reduced property crime, but the zero-tolerance was also related to fewer jobs. Our findings reveal that cities benefit from having cannabis shops, but households' aversion to related nuisances depreciates surrounding areas. ===== PAGE 1 (score 4, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 4) ===== University of Groningen “No drugs in my back yard” Bruijn, Larissa Michelle; Ribas , Rafael P. Published in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2022.05.005 IMPORTANT NOTE: You are advised to consult the publisher's version (publisher's PDF) if you wish to cite from it. Please check the document version below. Document Version Publisher's PDF, also known as Version of record Publication date: 2022 Link to publication in University of Groningen/UMCG research database Citation for published version (APA): Bruijn, L. M., & Ribas , R. P. (2022). “No drugs in my back yard”: The ambivalent reception of cannabis retailers. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 199, 103-121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.05.005 Copyright Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download or to forward/distribute the text or part of it without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license (like Creative Commons). The publication may also be distributed here under the terms of Article 25fa of the Dutch Copyright Act, indicated by the “Taverne” license. More information can be found on the University of Groningen website: https://www.rug.nl/library/open-access/self-archiving-pure/taverne- amendment. Take-down policy If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim. Downloaded from the University of Groningen/UMCG research database (Pure): http://www.rug.nl/research/portal. For technical reasons the number of authors shown on this cover page is limited to 10 maximum. Download date: 21-10-2026 ===== PAGE 9 (score 45, numeric-paren 24, table-words 5, var-words 7) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Table 1 Cross-Sectional Relationship between House Prices and Distance to Retailer. Period 1999–2001 2012–2016 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Distance in 1999 (miles) < 0 . 2 0.044 ∗∗∗ −0.036 0.056 ∗∗∗ −0.030 (0.014) (0.035) (0.016) (0.035) 0.2–0.4 0.024 ∗∗ −0.039 0.048 ∗∗∗ −0.032 (0.011) (0.030) (0.011) (0.030) 0.4–1.0 0.015 ∗ −0.039 ∗∗ 0.032 ∗∗∗ −0.035 ∗ (0.008) (0.019) (0.009) (0.020) Distance in 2016 (miles) < 0 . 2 0.057 ∗∗∗ 0.090 ∗∗ 0.067 ∗∗∗ 0.094 ∗∗ (0.017) (0.041) (0.019) (0.042) 0.2–0.4 0.035 ∗∗∗ 0.071 ∗∗ 0.060 ∗∗∗ 0.088 ∗∗ (0.013) (0.035) (0.015) (0.038) 0.4–1.0 0.027 ∗∗∗ 0.063 ∗∗∗ 0.046 ∗∗∗ 0.076 ∗∗∗ (0.009) (0.021) (0.010) (0.023) House characteristics Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Town fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 171,804 171,804 171,804 300,967 300,967 300,967 Number of towns 201 201 201 201 201 201 This table presents the linear regression of log price per square meter of traded houses on their shortest distance to a cannabis retailer. This distance is represented by three dummies: less than 0.2 miles, between 0.2 and 0.4 miles, and between 0.4 and one mile; the reference is the group of houses farther than one mile. Columns (1) to (3) show estimates for transaction prices from 1999 to 2001 as a function of distance in 1999, distance in 2016, and distances in both 1999 and 2016, respectively. Columns (4) to (6) show the same regressions but from 2012 to 2016. All regressions include house characteristics, as in Table A1, year dummies, and town fixed effects. The sam ple includes properties located up to 3.1 miles from the nearest retailer in towns that have ever had a retailer within one mile. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. We also estimate the relationship between demographic characteristics and the distance to a retailer. Table A3 of the Online Appendix displays the estimates. In summary, areas near coffeeshops concentrate more men, people between 15 and 39 years old, single-person households, and Western immigrants. In contrast, these areas present relatively fewer children and adults over 40. The closures were more often in areas with a lower share of adults under 40, higher shares of adults over 40 and non-Western immigrants, and more elderly people in the vicinity. Over time, those areas have experienced an outflow of adults under 40, compensated by an inflow of adults over 40 and Western immigrants. These initial findings stress the importance of controlling for local characteristics, as well as using a comparison group that is equally distant to a retailer, when estimating the effect of closures. Presumably, the postcode fixed effects should control for the selection of areas with closed retailers, and the comparison group should control for the overall appreciation of areas with a coffeeshop. If specific variations in property values triggered the closure policies, we should observe this variation before treatment (see Fig. 3 below). 5. Empirical strategy This section describes our empirical models. First, it presents the reduced-form difference-in-differences (DiD), which compares houses whose nearest retailer was closed with houses that were equally distant from a retailer. For this compari- son, we consider only closures forced by the distance-to-school criterion (DTSC) and the zero-tolerance policy (ZTP). Homes whose nearest shop was closed for another reason are excluded from the analysis. The closures made by those policies result in two instrumental variables (IVs): nearest shop closed by the DTSC and nearest shop closed by the ZTP. While the former instrument is used to identify the effect of a small but significance change in the distance to retailers, the latter is used to identify the effect of a much larger increase in distance. Accordingly, we apply an IV strategy, described in the second part of this section, to estimate the nonlinear effect of distance to cannabis outlets on house prices. Other empirical models used in this study are described in the Online Appendix. 5.1. Reduced form Closing a coffeeshop should, if anything, increase the shortest distance from homes to retailers. Thus, we first estimate the effect that closures have on house prices. Let y ilt be the log price per square meter of house i in location l and year t, c l be the indicator whether the nearest retailer is closed, and q l be the year of closure. The average effect is identified by the following DiD estimator: τ = E(y ilt | c l = 1 , t ≥q l ) −E(y ilt | c l = 0 , t ≥q l ) −[ E(y ilt | c l = 1 , t < q l ) −E(y ilt | c l = 0 , t < q l )] (1) 110 ===== PAGE 10 (score 5, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 3) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Fig. 3. Estimated Differences in House Prices around the Year of Closure. This figure presents the lead and lagged difference-in-differences (DiD) on the log price per square meter of traded houses. Panel (a) shows the changes before and after cannabis retailers are closed by the distance-to-school criterion (DTSC). Panel (b) shows the changes before and after introduction of the zero-tolerance policy. Each graph uses a different sam ple, defined by the initial distance to a retailer. All regressions include house characteristics, as in Table A1, year dummies, year dummies times a dummy for municipalities that implemented the DTSC, and six-digit postcode fixed effects. The sample excludes houses in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. Robust standard errors are clustered by postcode. Vertical lines around the point estimates represent 90% and 95% confidence intervals, respectively. where c l is one if the nearest retailer is closed and zero otherwise. Location refers to the centroid of a six-digit postcode. The DiD parameter, τ, is estimated using a fixed-effect model and varies with the initial distance to a cannabis shop: y ilt = ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ τ 0 c l · I(t ≥q l ) + β0 x i + θ 0 gdp lt + μ0 t + μl + ε ilt if d l0 ∈  0 , D 0  τ 1 c l · I(t ≥q l ) + β1 x i + θ 1 gdp lt + μ1 t + μl + ε ilt if d l0 ∈  D 0 , D 1  . . . τ n c l · I(t ≥q l ) + βn x i + θ n gdp lt + μn t + μl + ε ilt if d l0 ∈  D n −1 , D n  , (2) where x i is a vector of house characteristics, gdp lt is the regional log GDP, { μ j t } n j=0 are year-specific effects, μl is the postcode fixed effect, ε ilt is the deal-specific error term, d l0 is the initial distance from location l to the nearest shop, and { D j } n j=0 is a set of distance thresholds — say 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.6, and 0.8 miles. Standard errors are clustered by postcode to account for serial error correlation ( Bertrand et al., 2004 ). Since the regulation of sales and the demand for cannabis have evolved, the (dis)amenity created by retailers has also varied. Even if the distance of a home to retailers remains the same, its price may respond to changes in nuisances. To control for time-varying unobservables, we let the year-specific effects, { μ j t } n j=0 , vary across location ranges so that they capture distinct improvements happening near and far away from cannabis outlets. This type of DiD is different from those applied by, for instance, Linden and Rockoff (2008) and Conklin et al. (2017) , who instead compare near and distant areas over time. By breaking the effect into several location ranges, we can also verify the magnitude of general equilibrium effects on further areas. 111 ===== PAGE 12 (score 37, numeric-paren 16, table-words 6, var-words 6) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Table 2 Estimated Effect of Closures on Distance to Retailer and House Price. Initial distance to retailer (miles) 0–0.2 0.2–0.3 0.3–0.4 0.4–0.6 Distance to retailer (miles) Distance-to-school 0.147 ∗∗∗ 0.118 ∗∗∗ 0.127 ∗∗∗ 0.162 ∗∗∗ (0.010) (0.011) (0.020) (0.026) Zero-tolerance 3.562 ∗∗∗ 3.070 ∗∗∗ 3.172 ∗∗∗ 3.416 ∗∗∗ (0.161) (0.221) (0.173) (0.117) Log price per m 2 Distance-to-school 0.015 0.041 ∗∗ 0.053 ∗∗ −0.001 (0.017) (0.020) (0.021) (0.020) Zero-tolerance −0.024 −0.059 ∗∗∗ −0.009 −0.007 (0.015) (0.021) (0.020) (0.012) House characteristics Yes Yes Yes Yes Regional GDP Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies × DTSC Yes Yes Yes Postcode fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 73,937 50,368 45,659 94,497 Number of postcodes 8561 5445 5044 10,504 with distance-to-school 479 210 98 83 with zero-tolerance 284 210 228 484 comparison 7798 5025 4718 9937 This table presents the difference-in-differences (DiD) estimates, as in Eq. (2) , for two outcomes: shortest distance to a cannabis retailer (top panel) and log price per square meter of traded houses (bottom panel). Each regression contains two DiDs: one for closures forced by the distance-to-school criterion (DTSC), and another for closures forced by the zero-tolerance policy. Each column shows a regression using a different sample, defined by the initial distance to a retailer. All regressions include house characteristics, as in Table A1, year dummies, year dummies times a dummy for municipalities that implemented the DTSC, and six-digit postcode fixed effects. The sample excludes houses in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. Conklin et al. (2017) , who show that prices increase by 8% after medical dispensers are converted into retailers, and with Cheng et al. (2018) , who show a rise of 6% in municipalities in Colorado that legalized marijuana retail. Nevertheless, if there are many retailers in the city, closing some of them reshuffles the housing demand, raising prices in adjacent neighborhoods and reducing prices further away. Although the city benefits from having cannabis retailers, house- holds seem to pay to be just far enough from them. The latter is in line with Adda et al. ’s (2014) evidence that the de- criminalization of cannabis possession decreases house prices in hot spots and increases them in areas where it is still a crime. As regards the consistency of our findings, one may argue that they result from differences in the previous trends between places where shops were closed and where they were not — i.e., a violation of the parallel trend assumption ( Abadie, 2005 ). Fig. 3 shows the difference in log prices between treated and comparison groups for each year before and after the closure of the nearest shop. Before, the difference fluctuates around zero and does not exhibit a distinct trend for houses affected by the DTSC and by the ZTP. After the nearest coffeeshop closes due to the DTSC, prices immediately increase between 0.3 and 0.4 miles away and persist at least until the third year. The positive effect on homes between 0.2 and 0.3 miles appears as significant only four years later. 15 Therefore, it takes a few years for the housing demand to adjust to the new policy fully. Similarly, the effect of a ZTP seems gradual. For homes within 0.3 miles, the effect appears at least a year after the last coffeeshop was closed in the municipality. For homes between 0.4 and 1 miles away, we observe a short-term effect that does not persist after three years. Overall, the ZTP shifts housing demand in different areas and with different timings, but the net impact on the local economy ends up negative after three years. 6.2. The estimated distance function 6.2.1. House prices The findings in the previous part suggest that the relationship between house prices and distance to cannabis shops is non-monotonic. That is, a small increase in distance is followed by an increase in prices, while a large increase in distance depreciates prices. Table 3 presents the estimated distance function, as in Eq. (3) , using two estimators. The first one takes into account changes in distance provoked by any closure. Then we restrict the sample to homes whose distance to the nearest and second-nearest shop has not changed, and those whose distance was affected by either policy. The closures 15 The higher significance of the effect for this range in Table 2 is due to the aggregation of values in the post-treatment period, which produces narrower confidence intervals. 113 ===== PAGE 13 (score 46, numeric-paren 16, table-words 11, var-words 5) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Table 3 Estimated Effect of Distance to Retailer on House Price. Final Initial distance to retailer (miles) distance (miles) < 0 . 3 < 0 . 4 < 0 . 5 < 0 . 6 Least square < 0 . 3 −0.016 ∗∗∗ −0.013 ∗∗∗ −0.015 ∗∗∗ −0.016 ∗∗∗ (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) (0.004) > 2 . 0 −0.056 ∗∗∗ −0.034 ∗∗∗ −0.028 ∗∗∗ −0.024 ∗∗∗ (0.009) (0.008) (0.006) (0.006) House characteristics Yes Yes Yes Yes Regional GDP Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies × DTSC Yes Yes Yes Yes Postcode fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 199,172 274,769 350,269 422,630 Number of postcodes 22,087 30,268 38,518 46,630 Instrumental variable < 0 . 3 −0.019 −0.046 ∗∗ −0.064 ∗∗∗ −0.067 ∗∗∗ (0.021) (0.021) (0.022) (0.023) > 2 . 0 −0.068 ∗∗ −0.060 ∗∗∗ −0.058 ∗∗∗ −0.047 ∗∗∗ (0.029) (0.021) (0.016) (0.013) House characteristics Yes Yes Yes Yes Regional GDP Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies × DTSC Yes Yes Yes Yes Postcode fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes LM stat. for under-identification 155.1 148.8 145.5 143.6 Wald stat. for weak instruments 98.9 92.9 87.7 86.3 Number of observations 122,605 167,757 214,215 261,261 Number of postcodes 12,306 16,843 21,530 26,354 This table presents the relationship between changes in the distance to the nearest cannabis retailer and in the log of house price per square meter, as in Eq. (3) . The distance is represented by two dummies: less than 0.3 miles, and more than two miles; the reference is the group of houses between 0.3 and two miles. All regressions include house characteristics, as in Table A1, year dummies, year dummies times a dummy for municipalities that implemented the distance-to-school criterion (DTSC), and postcode fixed effects. The columns show the results from different samples, based on their initial distance to a retailer. In the top panel, regressions exploit any variation in the distance. In the bottom panel, variations in the distance are instrumented by the closures forced by the DTSC and the zero-tolerance policy. The sample in the bottom panel excludes houses in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. made by the two policies are used as IVs for the distance function. In both models, we control for house characteristics, postcode fixed effects, regional GDP, and year dummies. Since both house prices and the operation of coffeeshops can jointly respond to other local events, the variation in distance can be endogenous in the first estimated model (in the top panel of Table 3 ). With the IVs, though, changes in distance are triggered by exogenous events, which are not preceded by variations in house prices (see Fig. 3 ). Indeed, the least-square estimates point to the same conclusion as the IV estimates, but the magnitudes are at most half as large. Fig. A2 of the Online Appendix confirms that closures brought about for procedural reasons also increase the price of properties farther than 0.2 miles. However, it also indicates that prices farther than 0.4 miles were increasing before these closures. The IV estimates in Table 3 reveal that houses are 2–7% less valuable if within 0.3 miles of retailers, but they are also 5– 7% cheaper if located farther than two miles. In other words, house prices peak at a distance at which cannabis shops are far enough to avoid any disturbance, but they decrease moving farther. This result is robust to different distance categorizations; see Table A6 of the Appendix. If we expand the definition of “near” to within 0.4 miles, the magnitudes of IV estimates become much larger. However, the IVs get weaker. Thus, we choose to present more conservative estimates as our main results. Section 7 examines some reasons for the non-monotonicity in housing prices. We also estimate the distance function with a restricted cubic spline. Fig. A3 of the Online Appendix suggests that prices are 15–25% higher about two miles from the retailers, and decline moving farther away. This pattern is similar to the one Giambona and Ribas (2018) report for prostitution in the Netherlands. Their evidence is that households pay an increasing premium to live as far as two kilometers from areas with prostitution. 6.2.2. Demographic composition A critical concern is that the non-monotonic pattern resulted from the sorting of distinct demographic groups after the closures. That is, the households driving values down around retailers were different from those affecting values far away. To verify this issue, we estimate the share of demographic groups using the same IV model as in Table 3 . For most groups, the estimates are not significant. In Table 4 , we present those that are. Table A7 of the Online Appendix presents the remaining results. 114 ===== PAGE 14 (score 62, numeric-paren 32, table-words 7, var-words 10) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Table 4 Estimated Effect of Distance to Retailer on Demographic Composition. Final Initial distance to retailer (miles) distance (miles) < 0 . 3 < 0 . 4 < 0 . 5 < 0 . 6 Log share of 25–39 years old < 0 . 4 −0.515 ∗ −0.466 ∗∗ −0.527 ∗ −0.545 ∗∗ (0.273) (0.236) (0.275) (0.277) > 2 . 0 −0.462 ∗∗ −0.347 ∗∗ −0.394 ∗ −0.361 ∗ (0.222) (0.169) (0.211) (0.201) Log share of 60 + years old < 0 . 4 0.514 ∗ 0.465 ∗ 0.567 ∗ 0.590 ∗∗ (0.306) (0.251) (0.290) (0.293) > 2 . 0 0.502 ∗ 0.395 ∗∗ 0.454 ∗∗ 0.411 ∗ (0.260) (0.181) (0.223) (0.214) Log share of single-person households < 0 . 4 0.204 ∗∗ 0.209 ∗∗ 0.288 ∗∗ 0.327 ∗∗ (0.095) (0.101) (0.140) (0.155) > 2 . 0 0.165 ∗∗ 0.159 ∗∗ 0.230 ∗∗ 0.236 ∗∗ (0.077) (0.070) (0.105) (0.109) Log share of couples with children < 0 . 4 −0.323 ∗ −0.286 ∗ −0.331 ∗∗ −0.341 ∗∗ (0.176) (0.150) (0.167) (0.166) > 2 . 0 −0.288 ∗∗ −0.248 ∗∗ −0.270 ∗∗ −0.250 ∗∗ (0.143) (0.105) (0.124) (0.118) Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Neighborhood fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Number of observations 2182 3226 4285 5264 Number of neighborhood 151 211 280 338 This table presents the relationship between changes in the distance to the nearest cannabis retailer and in the log share of certain demographic groups in the neighborhood. Results for other groups are presented in Table A7 of the Online Appendix. A neighborhood is defined by its four-digit postcode. The distance is represented by two dummies: less than 0.4 miles, and more than two miles; the reference is the group of houses between 0.4 and two miles. All regressions include year dummies and neighborhood fixed effects, and the dummies for distance are instrumented by the closures caused by the distance-to-school criterion and the zero-tolerance policy. The columns show the results from different samples, based on their initial distance to a retailer. The sample excludes neighborhoods in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. As regards the demographics, adults under 40 and couples with children are the least willing to live either near or far away from shops. In contrast, elderly and single people are the most willing to live in these areas. Despite these differences, these results indicate that the same demographic groups explain the results in Table 3 . 7. Additional results In this section, we present additional results to help us understand the ambivalent effect of closure policies on house prices. First, we show that these policies affect the whole distribution of prices, yet the effect is higher in the lower tail. Then we verify whether our main results are explained by changes in housing supply or other amenities, such as bars and schools. Finally, we investigate what also happened in terms of employment and crime rates after closures. 7.1. Estimated effects on the distribution of prices From the previous results, one can make inferences on the average capitalization effect of closing retailers ( Kuminoff and Pope, 2014 ). This average should lie between former residents’ and future residents’ willingness to pay for coffeeshops (after closures), as long as the comparison group is not affected by those policies ( Banzhaf, 2018 ). To shed some light on the distribution of tastes, we also estimate the effect on conditional quantiles of house prices, which reveals the house’s risk of under- and overvaluation. Details are in Section 11 of the Online Appendix. Fig. 4 presents the estimated quantile effects of closures. The left-hand graph shows the effect caused by the DTSC, for homes between 0.2 and 0.4 miles. The right-hand graph shows the effect of a ZTP, for homes within 0.3 miles. These distance ranges are defined based on the results from Table 2 . In both cases, the effect is higher in the lower tail. The DTSC is found to shift the entire distribution of prices, raising all quantiles. Overall, those households agree that being 0.13 miles more distant is beneficial. Besides, the higher effect at the lower tail means that a house is less likely to be underpriced. That is, the DTSC made it easier to find a buyer. The effect of the ZTP has the opposite pattern. Households living within 0.3 miles agree that the loss of coffeeshops is detrimental. Moreover, those houses are more likely to be underpriced — i.e., it became harder to find a buyer. To complement this analysis, we also estimate the effects on the number of days a house stays on the market. Table A5 of the Online Appendix displays these estimates. Indeed, they confirm that after the DTSC, houses are sold more quickly. The ZTP presents similar effects, but they are not found to be significant. 115 ===== PAGE 15 (score 37, numeric-paren 12, table-words 8, var-words 7) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Fig. 4. Quantile Effects of Closings on House Prices. This figure presents the quantile regression coefficients on the residual of a hedonic model, which includes house characteristics, as in Table A1, regional GDP, year dummies, year dummies times a dummy for municipalities that implemented the distance- to-school criterion (DTSC), and six-digit postcode fixed effects. See equation (K.1) in the Online Appendix. In the left-hand graph, the sample includes properties located between 0.2 and 0.4 miles from the nearest retailer. In the right-hand graph, the sample includes properties located within 0.3 miles of the nearest retailer. Both samples exclude houses in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. The graphs come from separate quantile regressions, which have a simple difference-in-differences specification. The grey area represents the 95% confidence interval of the coefficients. Table 5 Estimated Effect of Closing Policies on Housing Stock. Initial distance to retailer (miles) < 0 . 3 < 0 . 4 < 0 . 6 < 0 . 8 < 1 . 0 < 3 . 0 Distance-to-school −0.011 −0.016 −0.012 −0.012 −0.011 −0.001 (0.014) (0.014) (0.012) (0.012) (0.011) (0.009) Number of observations 1547 1781 2332 2813 3313 5438 Number of cells 119 137 181 218 258 424 Zero-tolerance −0.007 0.001 0.001 −0.001 0.000 −0.006 (0.011) (0.011) (0.010) (0.008) (0.008) (0.006) Number of observations 15,525 20,065 31,459 43,711 56,720 211,362 Number of cells 1196 1546 2426 3373 4377 16,383 Year dummies Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Cell fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes This table presents the difference-in-differences (DiD) estimates, as in Eq. (2) , for the log number of homes in a 500m-by-500m cell. Two separate DiDs are run using Poisson regressions: one for closures forced by the distance-to-school criterion, and another for closures forced by the zero-tolerance policy. Each column uses a different sample, defined by the initial distance of the cell to a retailer. All regressions include year dummies and cell fixed effects. The sample excludes cells in which the nearest retailer was closed for another reason. The top panel includes cells only in Rotterdam and Amersfoort. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. 7.2. Housing supply and other amenities Other than the effect of the closure policies on housing demand, our main findings could also be explained by changes in housing supply and other amenities. Regarding the housing supply, Table 5 shows that the number of houses near cannabis shops is not significantly affected. Given the inelastic supply, our results on house prices should be interpreted as shifts in housing demand. As regards the DTSC, the concern is that the relationship between house prices and distance to schools has changed over time. Table A8 of the Online Appendix shows the estimated effect controlling for this time-varying relationship. Indeed, the demand for houses closer to primary schools has increased in Rotterdam and Amersfoort. Nevertheless, the estimated effect of the closure policy remains nearly the same after controlling for this process. Another concern is whether our results were explained by other businesses that tend to cluster around coffeeshops, such as bars and nightclubs. Table A9 of the Appendix confirms that the ZTP slightly increased the distance of homes to these establishments. This evidence suggests that bars seem to cluster around cannabis retailers. Notwithstanding, the estimated effects on house prices do not change after we control for the time-varying distance to bars. 116 ===== PAGE 16 (score 31, numeric-paren 10, table-words 4, var-words 11) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Table 6 Estimated Effect of Closures on Employment and Crime. jobs/ soft drug hard drug property inhabitant unemployment offenses offenses violence crimes Distance-to-school −0.659 0.017 0.048 −0.238 ∗∗∗ (0.459) (0.208) (0.073) (0.059) Zero-tolerance −0.039 ∗∗∗ 0.001 −0.054 0.238 ∗∗∗ −0.097 −0.125 ∗∗ (0.013) (0.001) (0.080) (0.069) (0.140) (0.063) Regional GDP Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Municipal jobs and unemployment No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies × province Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year dummies × Rotterdam No No Yes Yes Yes Yes Municipality fixed effects Yes Yes No No No No Neighborhood fixed effects No No Yes Yes Yes Yes No. of observations 730 876 1090 1150 1150 1150 No. of municipalities/neighborhoods 73 73 109 115 115 115 with distance-to-school 0 0 32 32 32 32 with zero-tolerance 3 3 4 4 4 4 comparison 69 69 80 80 80 80 This table presents the difference-in-differences (DiD) estimates for labor outcomes and crime. Each regression contains two DiDs: one for closures forced by the distance-to-school criterion, and another for closures forced by the zero-tolerance policy. The first two columns show linear regressions using a sample of municipalities. The last four columns show Poisson regressions using a sample that combines municipalities and neighborhoods of Rotterdam. The samples exclude municipalities that have never had cannabis retailers or in which retailers were closed for another reason. Clustered robust standard errors are in parentheses. ∗∗∗, ∗∗, ∗represent statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively. 7.3. Change in employment and crimes To understand the changes in housing demand, we finally look at other objective outcomes related to employment and nuisances. Table 6 presents the average DiD estimates for these outcomes. Fig. 5 shows the estimates per year before and after the closures. We use this figure to verify the timing of the effects and whether previous trends explain our results. The effects on employment outcomes are at the municipal level, so we only report the effects of the ZTP. The effect on crime rates, however, is estimated at the neighborhood level in Rotterdam. Thus, at least for Rotterdam, we compare areas where the DTSC closed shops with areas that still have coffeeshops. For other municipalities, crime rates are at the municipal level. 7.3.1. Estimated effects on employment In terms of labor market outcomes, the ZTP had no effect on the unemployment rate. This null evidence is consistent with other studies that investigate the relationship between access to cannabis and labor outcomes (e.g., van Ours, 2006; Sabia and Nguyen, 2018 ). 16 Although the employment of municipal residents does not change, the number of workers employed in the city gradually declines after the ban — see Fig. 5 . Banning cannabis retailers from the jurisdiction reduces by 4 percentage points (or 9%) the number of jobs per inhabitant. One explanation for this economic impact is that tight quantity constraints on any business should make the economy less efficient ( Buchanan and Tullock, 1975; Gruber, 2011 ). However, we cannot verify whether the economic loss is either the cause or the consequence (or both) of a depreciated housing market. 7.3.2. Estimated effects on drug-related crimes Regarding drug consumption, we find that both policies reduced the number of crimes related to soft drugs. This effect, though, is not persistent and becomes insignificant four years later. On the other hand, the ZTP has another side effect. After closing the last cannabis outlet, crimes related to hard drugs soared by 24%. This effect is also increasing over time, reaching over 50% four years after introduction of the policy. The result suggests that legal access to soft drugs is not a gateway, but a substitute for hard drugs ( Model, 1993; van Ours, 2003; Chu, 2015 ). 17 Once again, we cannot tell whether the depreciated housing market and the declining number of jobs either cause or result from the rise in illicit drug offenses. 7.3.3. Estimated effects on violence and property crimes Neither policy significantly affects violence, but both are found to reduce the number of thefts by at least 12%. Unlike the evidence from Chang and Jacobson (2017) , Hunt et al. (2018) , and Brinkman and Mok-Lamme (2019) , this result contradicts the “eyes on the street” role of cannabis retailers. Both studies find that marijuana dispensers reduced property crimes in 16 DeSimone (2002) is one of a few who shows that more access leads to a lower employment rate. See also van Ours and Williams (2015) for a comprehensive review. 17 DiNardo and Lemieux (2001) and Conlin et al. (2005) present a similar pattern regarding alcohol and illicit drugs, and Bradford and Brad- ford (2018) present evidence for the substitution between cannabis and prescription drugs. In contrast, Melberg et al. (2010) and Kelly and Ra- sul (2014) present evidence for the gateway effect. 117 ===== PAGE 17 (score 4, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 4) ===== L.M. Bruijn and R.P. Ribas Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 199 (2022) 103–121 Fig. 5. Estimated Differences in Employment and Crimes around the Year of Closure. This figure presents the lead and lagged difference-in-differences (DiD) on labor outcomes and crime rates. Panel (a) shows the changes before and after cannabis retailers are closed by the distance-to-school criterion (DTSC). Panel (b) shows the changes before and after the zero-tolerance policy. The labor outcomes (the first two graphs in each panel) are estimated by a linear regression using a sample of municipalities. Crime rates are estimated by a Poisson regression using a sample that combines municipalities and neighborhoods of Rotterdam. The samples exclude municipalities that have never had cannabis retailers or in which retailers were closed for another reason. Robust standard errors are clustered by municipality. Vertical lines around the point estimates represent 90% and 95% confidence intervals, respectively. 118