# RECORD 527c17fa11ad1ccaff05d13eaeb2dfa2ff940bdd # TITLE: Geospatial Heterogeneity in Monetary Value of Proximity to Waterfront Ecosystem Services in the Gulf of Mexico # YEAR: 2021.0 VENUE: Water DOI: 10.3390/w13172401 # AUTHORS: Ram P. Dahal; R. Grala; J. Gordon; I. Munn; D. Petrolia # PAGES: 20 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [9] # ABSTRACT: Open spaces, including waterfront areas, are critical to coastal communities and provide many benefits, including recreation opportunities, economic development, ecological benefits, and other ecosystem services. However, it is not clear how values of waterfront ecosystem services vary across geographical areas which prevents development and adoption of site-specific natural resource conservation plans and suitable long-term land management strategies. This study estimated the monetary value of distance to different waterfront types in coastal counties of Mississippi and Alabama (U.S.) using a geographically weighted regression (GWR) approach as an extension to a traditional hedonic pricing method (HPM). In addition, the study utilized publicly available data from the U.S. Census Bureau instead of certified rolls of county property assessors and Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data which can be costly and difficult to obtain. Residents valued most waterfront types which was reflected in greater assessed prices for houses in proximity to these waterfronts. However, the value of ecosystem services associated with waterfronts differed geospatially. The marginal implicit prices ranged from −$6343 to $6773 per km depending on a waterfront type. These estimates will be useful to city developers, land-use planners, and other stakeholders to make more informed and balanced decisions related to natural resource preservation associated with coastal areas, land-use planning, and zoning. In addition, information from this study can be used in developing healthy living environments where local economy can benefit from increased property tax revenues associated with waterfronts and their ecosystem services. ===== PAGE 1 (score 13, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 13) ===== water Article Geospatial Heterogeneity in Monetary Value of Proximity to Waterfront Ecosystem Services in the Gulf of Mexico Ram P. Dahal 1,* , Robert K. Grala 2, Jason S. Gordon 3, Ian A. Munn 2 and Daniel R. Petrolia 4   Citation: Dahal, R.P.; Grala, R.K.; Gordon, J.S.; Munn, I.A.; Petrolia, D.R. Geospatial Heterogeneity in Monetary Value of Proximity to Waterfront Ecosystem Services in the Gulf of Mexico. Water 2021, 13, 2401. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13172401 Academic Editor: Maria Mimikou Received: 2 August 2021 Accepted: 27 August 2021 Published: 31 August 2021 Publisher’s Note: MDPI stays neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affil- iations. Copyright: © 2021 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/ 4.0/). 1 Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, P.O. Box 7921, Madison, WI 53707-7921, USA 2 Department of Forestry, Mississippi State University, P.O. Box 9681, Starkville, MS 39762, USA; r.grala@msstate.edu (R.K.G.); iam1@msstate.edu (I.A.M.) 3 Warnell School of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602, USA; jason.gordon@uga.edu 4 Department of Agricultural Economics, Mississippi State University, P.O. Box 5187, Starkville, MS 39762, USA; d.petrolia@msstate.edu * Correspondence: ram.dahal@wisconsin.gov Abstract: Open spaces, including waterfront areas, are critical to coastal communities and provide many benefits, including recreation opportunities, economic development, ecological benefits, and other ecosystem services. However, it is not clear how values of waterfront ecosystem services vary across geographical areas which prevents development and adoption of site-specific natural resource conservation plans and suitable long-term land management strategies. This study estimated the monetary value of distance to different waterfront types in coastal counties of Mississippi and Alabama (U.S.) using a geographically weighted regression (GWR) approach as an extension to a traditional hedonic pricing method (HPM). In addition, the study utilized publicly available data from the U.S. Census Bureau instead of certified rolls of county property assessors and Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data which can be costly and difficult to obtain. Residents valued most waterfront types which was reflected in greater assessed prices for houses in proximity to these waterfronts. However, the value of ecosystem services associated with waterfronts differed geospatially. The marginal implicit prices ranged from −$6343 to $6773 per km depending on a waterfront type. These estimates will be useful to city developers, land-use planners, and other stakeholders to make more informed and balanced decisions related to natural resource preservation associated with coastal areas, land-use planning, and zoning. In addition, information from this study can be used in developing healthy living environments where local economy can benefit from increased property tax revenues associated with waterfronts and their ecosystem services. Keywords: geographically weighted regression; hedonic pricing method; environmental amenities; spatial variability; marginal implicit price; open space 1. Introduction As coastal areas experience rapid population growth, waterfront open space is increas- ingly limited resulting in overuse and a decreased potential to provide ecological, sociocul- tural, and economic benefits [1,2]. Urban waterfronts represent publicly or privately-owned landscapes that are part of a city and in contact with a water body such as an ocean, lake, river, or estuary [3–6]. These areas provide many benefits and ecosystem services such as natural scenery; ecological benefits such as wildlife habitat and urban heat reduction; recreational opportunities such as hiking and boating; and produce economic benefits related to higher real estate values and increased tax revenues [7–10]. Waterfronts are therefore important to coastal communities and their visitors, and future land-use planning decisions should balance their preservation and development in ways that enhance cultural, environmental, and economic values of open spaces and adjacent areas. Considering the Water 2021, 13, 2401. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13172401 https://www.mdpi.com/journal/water ===== PAGE 9 (score 86, numeric-paren 33, table-words 20, var-words 13) ===== Water 2021, 13, 2401 9 of 20 value had a nonlinear relationship with house age and the value decreased at a decreasing rate with age. Table 2. Parameter estimates from the ordinary least square (OLS) global and geographically weighted regression (GWR) local models used to estimate the monetary value associated with proximity to waterfront ecosystem services in Mississippi and Alabama (U.S.), and results of the spatial variability test. Variables Global Model Local Model Test for Spatial Variability (Difference of Criterion) a Parameter Coefficient White Std. Error Min. Lower Quartile Median Upper Quartile Max. Intercept 8.647 *** 0.915 7.523 7.746 7.891 10.040 10.178 1575.438 *** Rooms 0.059 * 0.031 0.031 0.042 0.049 0.098 0.104 −35.518 *** House Age −0.014 *** 0.003 −0.017 −0.016 −0.015 −0.014 −0.013 −14.978 *** House Age–squared 0.000 *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.432 Ln(Income) 0.420 *** 0.067 0.266 0.273 0.496 0.507 0.525 5057.518 *** Median Age 0.007 ** 0.003 −0.002 −0.001 0.000 0.014 0.014 −12.500 *** Poverty −0.001 0.002 −0.002 −0.002 −0.001 0.001 0.001 1.059 Ln(Pop den) 0.000 0.021 −0.031 −0.026 0.014 0.021 0.036 −20.126 *** Vacant −0.009 ** 0.004 −0.012 −0.009 −0.008 −0.008 −0.006 1.249 Recreation 0.019 *** 0.006 0.009 0.015 0.022 0.024 0.033 −0.832 * Ln(Road) 0.004 0.014 −0.004 0.002 0.004 0.009 0.028 −15.059 *** Ln(Rail) 0.013 0.013 −0.021 −0.008 0.011 0.017 0.028 −15.908 *** Ln(School) 0.000 0.022 −0.021 −0.016 0.011 0.012 0.016 −49.912 *** Ln(Shopping centers) −0.036 * 0.021 −0.051 −0.033 −0.029 −0.024 −0.013 −51.620 *** Ln(Hospital) −0.086 *** 0.025 −0.157 −0.143 −0.137 −0.055 −0.032 −29.118 *** Ln(Airport) 0.006 0.026 0.000 0.016 0.052 0.062 0.076 −149.902 *** Ln(Park) −0.010 0.021 −0.036 −0.032 0.010 0.016 0.023 −37.697 *** Ln(Bay) −0.059 *** 0.009 −0.064 −0.057 −0.054 −0.052 −0.047 −9.532 *** Ln(River) −0.004 0.012 −0.032 −0.028 −0.025 −0.008 −0.005 −2.123 ** Ln(Stream) −0.030 * 0.017 −0.078 −0.059 −0.055 −0.046 −0.033 −76.215 *** Ln(Bayou) 0.038 ** 0.018 0.032 0.036 0.048 0.061 0.073 −47.041 *** Ln(Water) −0.029 *** 0.011 −0.040 −0.035 −0.015 −0.014 −0.012 −12.116 *** R2 0.518 0.572 R2 adj 0.500 0.530 AICc 447.863 427.544 CV 0.123 0.120 Residual Sum of sq. 69.201 61.425 Bandwidth (m.) 533.083 N 620 620 Note: The dependent variable is ln (housing value), * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01, and a negative value of difference criterion suggests a spatial variability. Neighborhood characteristics had both positive and negative effects on house values (Table 2). Median household income (p < 0.001) and percentage of houses used for recre- ational purposes (p = 0.001) were positively associated with house value in OLS model as well as in GWR model. A 1.0% increase in income and percentage of houses used for recreational purposes were associated with house value increases of 0.27% to 0.53% and 0.9% to 3.30%, respectively, in GWR model. However, the percentage of vacant houses was negatively related with house values. Median household age had both positive and negative relationship with house value in GWR model. Distance-related neighborhood variables, such as distance to the nearest shopping center and hospital, were negatively related to house value. With a 1.0% increase in distance to the nearest shopping center and hospital, a house value decreased by 0.013% to 0.033% and 0.032% to 0.143%, respectively, in GWR model. 3.2. Ecosystem Service Attributes Proximities to different waterfront types and their ecosystem services were related to house values. Results from the OLS model showed that of six variables, four were statistically significant at the 10% or better significance level. Stationarity for each of the six variables was rejected, suggesting the monetary value of ecosystem services was spatially heterogeneous. The OLS model indicated that proximity to selected waterfront types (bay, ===== PAGE 10 (score 9, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 3) ===== Water 2021, 13, 2401 10 of 20 stream, and other water body) was associated with increased house values. However, proximity to a bayou was negatively related to the house value. The relationship of distance to different waterfronts and house values, holding all other variables constant, is plotted in Figure 3. The figure shows downward sloping relationships between house value and distance to bay, river, stream, and other water body and an upward sloping relationship with distance to a bayou. A downward sloping relationship implies that houses located nearer to waterfronts (bay, river, stream, and other water body) were assessed higher values, whereas upward slope indicated that houses located distant from waterfronts (bayou) were assessed higher values. Figure 3. Relationships between assessed house value and proximity to waterfront ecosystem services. Marginal implicit prices for each of the significant waterfront coefficients were esti- mated at the mean assessed house value of $139,204 and distance of one mile (1.609 km) to the selected waterfront types (Table 3) using Equation (1). The GWR model indicated that the implicit price of distance to a bay varied across the study area (Figure 4A). The local parameter coefficients of distance to a bay estimated by the GWR model were significant throughout the study area suggesting benefits of a bay were reflected in the house value throughout the study area and the implicit price was estimated to be between $4039 and $5574 for each 1 km decrease in distance to a bay (Table 3). The GWR model suggested that the marginal implicit price, assumed to be constant across the study area in the OLS model, in fact, varied between locations and the houses were valued at a relatively higher rate on peripheries of urban centers than other areas (Figure 4A). Table 3. Estimated marginal implicit prices per 1 km decrease in distance to waterfront ecosystem services. Waterfront Type Marginal Implicit Price per km OLS GWR * Nearest bay $5133 $4039 to $5574 Nearest stream $2566 $2898 to $6773 Nearest river NS $2455 to $2802 Nearest bayou −$3267 −$3608 to −$6343 Nearest other water body $2534 $2287 to $3432 Note: NS represents a statistically insignificant coefficient. * Only significant GWR estimates were translated to US$ values.