# RECORD 670783d3e4613f6e96cb818330755422772653ef # TITLE: The impact of energy certification on the real estate market: an analysis using Big Data and hedonic pricing # YEAR: 2026.0 VENUE: Aestimum DOI: 10.36253/aestim-19711 # AUTHORS: D. Vecchiato; Carolina Bonardi Pellizzari; Andrea Dominici; T. Tempesta # PAGES: 19 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [10, 12, 13, 18, 19] # ABSTRACT: This study analyses the effect of Energy Performance Certificates (EPC) on residential buildings in Padua (Italy). Introduced by the 2002/91/EC Directive, EPCs became mandatory in European Union countries for buildings at sale or lease. Using web-scraping we collected 5,188 real estate offers in 2022 and 2023, of which 1,738 were in the ‘apartment’ category and suitable for data analysis. We examined EPC effects on prices both in aggregate terms (2022–2023 combined) and by year, to test short-run stability. Results confirm previous findings: a price premium emerges as energy classes improve, with the highest values for top EPC ratings. While most housing characteristics showed stable short-run effects, EPC classes revealed a stronger and more significant impact over time, especially for lower energy classes. ===== PAGE 1 (score 10, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 10) ===== Aestimum 88: 51-69, 2026 Firenze University Press www.fupress.com/ceset A E S T I M U M CENTRO STUDI DI ESTIMO E DI ECONOMIA TERRITORIALE - Ce.S.E.T. ISSN 1592-6117 (print) | ISSN 1724-2118 (online) | DOI: 10.36253/aestim-19711 Citation: Vecchiato, D., Bonardi Pellizzari, C., Dominici, A. & Tempesta, T. (2026). The impact of energy certification on the real estate market and its effect in the short-run: an analysis using Big Data and hedonic pricing. Aestimum 88: 51-69. doi: 10.36253/aestim-19711 Received: September 23, 2025 Accepted: January 23, 2026 Published: September 11, 2026 © 2026 Author(s). This is an open access, peer-reviewed article pub­ lished by Firenze University Press (https://www.fupress.com) and distrib­ uted, except where otherwise noted, under the terms of the CC BY 4.0 License for content and CC0 1.0 Uni­ versal for metadata. Data Availability Statement: The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reason­ able request. Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funders had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript, or in the decision to publish the results. ORCID: DV: 0000-0002-4652-3961 CBP: 0000-0002-6019-9686 AD: 0000-0002-6701-0858 TT: 0000-0002-6445-4744 The impact of energy certification on the real estate market and its effect in the short-run: an analysis using Big Data and hedonic pricing Daniel Vecchiato, Carolina Bonardi Pellizzari, Andrea Dominici*, Tiziano Tempesta Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry - TESAF, University of Padua, Italy E-mail: daniel.vecchiato@unipd.it; carolina.bonardipellizzari@phd.unipd.it; andrea. dominici@unipd.it; tiziano.tempesta@unipd.it *Corresponding author Abstract. This study analyses the effect of Energy Performance Certificates (EPC) on residential buildings in Padua (Italy). Introduced by the 2002/91/EC Directive, EPCs became mandatory in European Union countries for buildings for sale or lease. Using web-scraping we collected 5,188 real estate offers in 2022 and 2023, of which 1,738 were in the ‘apartment’ category and suitable for data analysis. We examined EPC effects on prices both in aggregate terms (2022–2023 combined) and by year, to test short-run stability. Results confirm previous findings: a price premium emerges as energy classes improve, with the highest values for top EPC ratings. While most hous­ ing characteristics showed stable short-run effects, EPC classes revealed a stronger and more significant impact over time, especially for lower energy classes. Keywords: appraisal, hedonic pricing, energy, energy performance certificates, big data, web crawling. 1. INTRODUCTION The last few decades have been marked by an unprecedented increase in energy consumption. According to the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) 2021 report, demand grew even more sharply after COVID-19 years. Coupled with pressures to adopt renewable energy sources and challenges related to ongoing conflicts, such as the war in Ukraine, this has led to rising energy prices and further pressure on the energy transition (IEA, 2021). To reduce energy consumption while maintaining performance, various technologies and policies have been developed to improve energy efficiency. In the housing sector, energy efficiency can be translated into technologies to improve the sustainability of apartments, houses, or entire buildings in terms of energy use and CO2 emissions. Examples include solar panels, mod­ ern heating systems, efficient lighting and appliances, wall insulation, and ===== PAGE 10 (score 91, numeric-paren 54, table-words 6, var-words 6) ===== 60 Daniel Vecchiato et al. Table 3. The hedonic models results. Dependent variable: ln(P/m2) Full sample year=2022 year=2023 Constant 7.126*** 7.185*** 7.102*** [7.063, 7.189] [7.100, 7.271] [7.013, 7.191] Surface (m2) -0.003*** -0.003*** -0.003*** [-0.003, -0.003] [-0.003, -0.002] [-0.004, -0.003] Bathrooms 0.149*** 0.091*** 0.170*** [0.118, 0.179] [0.047, 0.136] [0.129, 0.212] Zone: Camin, Zona Industriale 0.082 0.060 0.091 [-0.017, 0.181] [-0.102, 0.223] [-0.036, 0.218] Zone: Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra 0.417*** 0.400*** 0.441*** [0.350, 0.484] [0.314, 0.485] [0.342, 0.540] Zone: Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro 0.195*** 0.181*** 0.209*** [0.134, 0.255] [0.102, 0.260] [0.123, 0.296] Zone: Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione 0.402*** 0.383*** 0.423*** [0.319, 0.485] [0.275, 0.490] [0.303, 0.543] Zone: Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino 0.778*** 0.806*** 0.764*** [0.721, 0.835] [0.731, 0.882] [0.683, 0.845] Zone: Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria 0.174*** 0.175*** 0.166*** [0.116, 0.232] [0.101, 0.250] [0.082, 0.251] Zone: Sacro Cuore, Altichiero 0.199*** 0.161*** 0.234*** [0.124, 0.274] [0.061, 0.260] [0.128, 0.340] Zone: Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X 0.118*** 0.253*** 0.055 [0.052, 0.184] [0.162, 0.344] [-0.036, 0.146] Zone: Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni 0.442*** 0.408*** 0.459*** [0.374, 0.511] [0.308, 0.508] [0.367, 0.551] Zone: Torre, Mortise, Ponte di Brenta reference EPC: >=A 0.506*** 0.473*** 0.517*** [0.459, 0.553] [0.410, 0.536] [0.449, 0.585] EPC: B 0.361*** 0.312*** 0.361*** [0.265, 0.458] [0.202, 0.421] [0.200, 0.522] EPC: C 0.253*** 0.183*** 0.321*** [0.167, 0.339] [0.080, 0.287] [0.185, 0.457] EPC: D 0.245*** 0.165*** 0.279*** [0.192, 0.299] [0.089, 0.241] [0.205, 0.352] EPC: E 0.091*** 0.077** 0.095*** [0.043, 0.139] [0.016, 0.139] [0.025, 0.166] EPC: F 0.071*** 0.026 0.097*** [0.029, 0.113] [-0.032, 0.084] [0.039, 0.155] EPC: G reference Elevator (present) 0.103*** 0.093*** 0.093*** [0.070, 0.135] [0.049, 0.136] [0.047, 0.139] Alarm System (present) 0.033* 0.087*** 0.005 [-0.005, 0.070] [0.037, 0.138] [-0.049, 0.059] Observations 1,738 705 1,033 R2 0.550 0.622 0.529 Adjusted R2 0.545 0.612 0.521 AIC 758.055 84.128 622.167 BIC 867.265 175.292 720.972 Note: 95% confidence intervals in brackets. * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01. ===== PAGE 11 (score 30, numeric-paren 0, table-words 9, var-words 12) ===== 61 The impact of energy certification on the real estate market and its effect in the short-run price. A dwelling of EPC class >= A is worth, on aver­ age, 65.8% more than a similar counterpart in class G, while a dwelling with a B label presents a price pre­ mium of 43.5%. The influence of the EPC C, D, and E labels is lower, with a price premium of 28.8%, 27.8%, and 9.5%, respectively, compared to the G label. Class F has the lowest effect on the dwellings, with a price pre­ mium of 7.3%. The surface of the dwelling (in m2) pre­ sented a negative coefficient: this was expected and con­ sistent with theory given that the dependent variable in our model is the price per square meter and it usually decreases with the dwelling size. The higher the num­ ber of bathrooms, the higher the impact on real estate prices. Each additional bathroom increases the premium price by 14.9%. In the same direction, the presence of an elevator and an alarm system command a price premi­ um of 10.8% and 3.3%, respectively. All the zone estima­ tions are positive and statistically significant, except for “Camin, Zona Industriale”, which is not statistically sig­ nificant. Since the zone of reference in our model (zone: “Torre, Mortise, Ponte di Brenta”) was an industrial area located in the north-east part of the city, results sug­ gested that areas closer to the city centre present a posi­ tive effect on the price given factors such as accessibility and prestige. The price ranges from 12.5% of the zone “Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X” to 117.7% of the zone “Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Molino”, which is the most central, histori­ cal and attractive district of the city. Regarding the second objective, namely to study the stability of the EPC effect in the short run, we adopted a sequential approach. First, we draw some general con­ siderations investigating the results of the single mod­ els of the two years considered (Table 3); second, we did a more detailed investigation to check if the results of the two years could be considered statistically dif­ ferent (Table 5). In the second model (Table 5) all vari­ ables (apart from the surface) have been interacted with a dummy indicating if the data were collected in 2023, keeping 2022 as the base level. Considering the results of the single models (general approach), from Table 3 it is possible to observe that some differences, despite being of small magnitude, between the two years considered emerge. More specifically, all EPC classes have a greater influence on dwelling prices in 2023 compared to 2022. A similar result can be observed for the number of bath­ rooms, and in 5 cases out of 8 if we look at the urban zone. The impact on price of the presence of an elevator Figure 4. Plot of the coefficients estimated in Table 3. Note: the constant term was omitted because it was out of scale compared to the other coefficients. The dependent variable is the dwelling price, expressed as ln(P/m2). ===== PAGE 12 (score 25, numeric-paren 0, table-words 5, var-words 10) ===== 62 Daniel Vecchiato et al. is nearly unchanged between the timespan considered, while the presence of an alarm system has a positive effect in 2022, and it is not significant in 2023. Nevertheless, checking if the results of the two years could be considered statistically different (detailed anal­ ysis, Table 5), it is possible to notice that the dummy variable Year=2023 is not significant, indicating that the dwelling price does not depend on the year of the list­ ing prices, and, therefore, that prices are not influenced by market dynamics or inflation between the two years. Looking at the stability of the EPC effect in the short term, from our results, it emerges that such a difference is significant only for some EPC classes. More specifical­ ly, there is no statistically significant effect in the most energy efficient classes (>= A and B) with respect to G, while for the other classes, apart from class E, the effect is positive and increasing, and it ranges from 8% (class F) to nearly 15% (class C). It is therefore possible to observe that in 3 EPC classes out of 6, namely in 50 % of cases, there is a different effect of EPC between the two years examined. On the contrary, we can observe that all other variables have no significant differences between the two years, apart from the presence of an alarm sys­ tem (negative effect) and one case out of 9 for what con­ cerns the location of the dwelling. 5. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS This study contributes to the growing body of research on the impact of energy performance cer­ tificates on residential property prices, with a specific focus on the city of Padua, Italy. Our results confirm the trend found by previous authors, where the premi­ um price increases passing from lower energy classes to the best performing EPC class, confirming the findings of other studies conducted on the impact of EPC on residential properties in Padua by Copiello and Boni­ faci (2015), Copiello and Donati (2021) and Copiello and Coletto (2023). More in detail, from our results the price for an apartment presenting EPC class >= A is 65.8% higher compared to the worst-performing apartments (belonging to class G). In comparison with the findings reported for the city of Padua, this out­ Table 4. Estimated percentage change based on the results of the hedonic models presented in Table 3. Dependent variable: ln(P/m2) % change† (Full sample) (year=2022) (year=2023) Surface (m2) −0.309 −0.257 −0.325 Bathrooms 14.871 9.137 17.039 Zone: Camin, Zona Industriale - - - Zone: Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra 51.769 49.123 55.413 Zone: Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro 21.506 19.821 23.303 Zone: Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione 49.524 46.613 52.657 Zone: Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino 117.745 124.002 114.665 Zone: Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria 18.970 19.172 18.085 Zone: Sacro Cuore, Altichiero 21.994 17.417 26.349 Zone: Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X 12.514 28.815 - Zone: Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni 55.657 50.403 58.229 Zone: Torre, Mortise, Ponte di Brenta reference EPC: >=A 65.833 60.429 67.656 EPC: B 43.504 36.551 43.475 EPC: C 28.799 20.131 37.865 EPC: D 27.777 17.907 32.130 EPC: E 9.516 8.038 10.013 EPC: F 7.323 - 10.173 EPC: G reference Elevator (present) 10.820 9.721 9.738 Alarm System (present) 3.307 9.139 - Note: † For categorical and dummy variables, the percentage change was calculated using Eq. 3. Reference levels and statistically not significant coefficients were omitted. ===== PAGE 13 (score 54, numeric-paren 23, table-words 6, var-words 7) ===== 63 The impact of energy certification on the real estate market and its effect in the short-run Table 5. The hedonic models results to check if the year affects the estimated coefficients. Dependent variable: ln(P/m2) β 95% Conf. Int. Constant 7.192*** [7.091, 7.292] Surface (m2) -0.003*** [-0.003, -0.003] Bathrooms 0.122*** [0.081, 0.163] Year = 2023 -0.096 [-0.225, 0.032] 2023 × Bathrooms 0.036 [-0.010, 0.082] Zone Camin, Zona Industriale 0.056 [-0.135, 0.247] Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra 0.403*** [0.302, 0.503] Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro 0.180*** [0.087, 0.272] Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione 0.390*** [0.265, 0.516] Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino 0.808*** [0.720, 0.897] Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria 0.179*** [0.092, 0.266] Sacro Cuore, Altichiero 0.160*** [0.043, 0.277] Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X 0.254*** [0.148, 0.361] Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni 0.407*** [0.290, 0.525] Torre, Mortise, Ponte di Brenta reference Camin, Zona Industriale × 2023 0.035 [-0.188, 0.259] Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra × 2023 0.036 [-0.100, 0.171] Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro × 2023 0.031 [-0.091, 0.153] Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione × 2023 0.032 [-0.135, 0.199] Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino × 2023 -0.050 [-0.165, 0.066] Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria × 2023 -0.017 [-0.133, 0.100] Sacro Cuore, Altichiero × 2023 0.077 [-0.076, 0.229] Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X × 2023 -0.198*** [-0.334, -0.063] Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni × 2023 0.051 [-0.094, 0.195] EPC >=A 0.466*** [0.392, 0.540] B 0.311*** [0.182, 0.439] C 0.180*** [0.059, 0.301] D 0.157*** [0.068, 0.246] E 0.070* [-0.002, 0.141] F 0.022 [-0.046, 0.090] G reference >=A × 2023 0.053 [-0.044, 0.149] B × 2023 0.051 [-0.144, 0.247] C × 2023 0.147* [-0.027, 0.320] D × 2023 0.124** [0.012, 0.235] E × 2023 0.029 [-0.067, 0.125] F × 2023 0.076* [-0.011, 0.162] Elevator (present) 0.093*** [0.042, 0.144] 2023 × Elevator (present) 0.001 [-0.066, 0.068] Alarm System (present) 0.089*** [0.029, 0.149] 2023 × Alarm System (present) -0.087** [-0.165, -0.010] Observations 1,738 R2 0.560 Adjusted R2 0.550 AIC 758.230 BIC 971.190 Note: 95% confidence intervals in brackets. * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01. ===== PAGE 14 (score 6, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 6) ===== 64 Daniel Vecchiato et al. come is higher than that of 21.9% detected by Copiello and Bonifaci (2015), but it is consistent with the 61.7% highlighted by Copiello and Donati (2021) and with the band found by Copiello and Coletto (2023). Even if these studies have the same urban area in common with our application, a direct comparison of the results is not straightforward due to some differences. Even if all these studies used as data listing prices, the timing of data collection and the sample size were not the same. Moreover, we have to consider the different analyti­ cal approaches implemented and the independent vari­ ables included in the models. For example, Copiello and Bonifaci (2015) focused on residential buildings using listing prices collected from April to July 2013, namely around ten years before our application. Such a time gap might be one of the causes of the discrepancy of our results with those of the authors, since the impact of the EPC might have changed as a result of numer­ ous dynamics over nearly a decade. Such a hypothesis is supported by Barreca et al. (2021), who found that, contrary to empirical evidence, in the first years after the implementation of EPC in Italy, these labels are increasingly exerting a significant influence on price variations. If the data of Copiello and Donati (2021) refer to around a few years before our study (third quar­ ter of 2019), the authors analysed the data with a spa­ tial dynamic model. Findings of Copiello and Coletto (2023) are referred to 2022 but are limited to a specific period of the year (March-July), so including 321 obser­ vations. Moreover, the different analytical approaches implemented and the independent variables included in the models make it challenging to compare the results across studies. Lastly, it should be noted that we have adjusted our estimates as suggested by Halvorsen and Palmquist (1980) for discrete variables (see Eq. 3), and therefore the magnitude of the estimates, when great­ er than 25%, could be even greater in the case where estimates were not adjusted. Our findings showed that while for other characteristics results could be consid­ ered quite stable in the short run, for the EPC classes there seems to be a greater effect with time, an effect that proved significant for lower energy classes. Such a result, despite needing further validation, is quite interesting and could be explained with some consid­ erations. First, it might well be that, as highlighted by Olaussen et al. (2017), the EPC, being potentially highly correlated with other characteristics of the building or dwelling, captures, along with the premium price for energy efficiency, other aspects related to the dwelling, like for example its maintenance status or whether it was recently renovated. In this respect, it is possible that old dwellings with low EPC classes were partially ren­ ovated, with an improvement of the EPC class. Partial renovation could improve the EPC but not bring it to the highest levels, which could be an explanation for the difference between the two years found to be significant only for lower EPC classes, rewarding the niche market of partially renovated dwellings. The observed price premiums associated with higher EPC ratings could serve as an incentive for homeown­ ers to invest in energy-efficient upgrades and renova­ tions. Beyond the potential for reducing energy costs and enhancing environmental sustainability, our find­ ings suggest that such investments may also translate into tangible increases in property values. This dual ben­ efit could motivate homeowners to prioritize energy effi­ ciency measures, contributing to the EU’s overall goal of decarbonizing the building stock. Our study suggests some lines for future research. First, our results should be validated given that they could be ‘context-dependent’ both in space and time, and therefore similar studies would be necessary to validate our results considering different cities in differ­ ent periods. A further aspect that deserves attention is the understanding of the reliability of the use of listing prices in the appraisal practice, especially when using results in absolute values rather than relative percent­ ages. In this respect, it would be interesting to scientifi­ cally estimate the average discrepancy of listing prices from real transaction prices. For now, it is possible to affirm that the relative percentages of the premium pric­ es derived in listing price studies could be used, subject to further validation, in classical appraisal approaches like, for example, the Market Comparison Approach. Such analytical effort would be particularly relevant given that the use of Big Data collected with the web crawling technique resulted particularly effective and therefore allows to overcome the difficulty of operat­ ing with real transaction data, especially in the Italian or similar context, where data are available, but of dif­ ficult accessibility. Furthermore, Italian data need to be carefully studied, given that they depend on the data reported in transaction documents (they are not read­ ily available in a ‘database’ form), which do not follow a standard format, and often miss some important infor­ mation like the status of the dwelling, while for exam­ ple the EPC is nowadays always reported given that it is compulsory by law. REFERENCES Banca d’Italia. (2025). Sondaggio congiunturale sul mer­ cato delle abitazioni in Italia. Available at: https:// ===== PAGE 18 (score 20, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 11) ===== 68 Daniel Vecchiato et al. Table A1. EPC classes comparisons between the study sample and Padua Municipality residential statistics of registered EPCs. Own elabo­ ration based on data available on Regione del Veneto (2025). Energy label Full sample Study Sample Municipal Registered EPCs * year=2022 year=2023 year=2022 year=2023 n % n % n % n % n % >=A 418 24.1 159 22.6 259 25.1 649 13.3 924 14.8 B 42 2.4 24 3.4 18 1.7 129 2.6 221 3.5 C 54 3.1 29 4.1 25 2.4 220 4.5 381 6.1 D 169 9.7 58 8.2 111 10.8 494 10.1 699 11.2 E 233 13.4 106 15 127 12.3 799 16.4 1,085 17.3 F 345 19.9 120 17 225 21.8 1,330 27.3 1,542 24.6 G 477 27.4 209 29.6 268 25.9 1,247 25.6 1,407 22.5 all 1,738 100.0 705 100.0 1,033 100.0 4,868 100.0 6,259 100.0 Note: * data refer to the registered EPCs in the municipality of Padua for residential buildings (Regione del Veneto, 2025) of all types (apartments, detached houses, etc.). The considered municipality data included all registered EPCs, not only those for buildings on sale, while the study sample considered only residential buildings in the apartments category for sale. Table A2. Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) analysis related to the Full sample model reported in Table 3. Variable VIF 1/VIF Surface (m2) 1.94 0.515517 Bathrooms 2.01 0.498356 Zone: Camin, Zona Industriale 1.24 0.808198 Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra 1.75 0.572506 Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro 2.05 0.48838 Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione 1.46 0.686173 Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino 2.84 0.351695 Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria 2.29 0.437268 Sacro Cuore, Altichiero 1.62 0.618551 Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X 1.82 0.548833 Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni 1.79 0.559873 EPC: >=A 2.06 0.486187 B 1.11 0.9012 C 1.13 0.88326 D 1.27 0.786563 E 1.35 0.738194 F 1.41 0.707525 Elevator (present) 1.31 0.760979 Alarm System (present) 1.1 0.912921 Mean VIF 1.66 ===== PAGE 19 (score 87, numeric-paren 51, table-words 5, var-words 7) ===== 69 The impact of energy certification on the real estate market and its effect in the short-run Table A3. The hedonic models result considering the EPC level D as reference level. Dependent variable: ln(P/m2) Full sample year=2022 year=2023 Constant 7.371*** 7.350*** 7.380*** [7.296, 7.446] [7.247, 7.453] [7.277, 7.484] Surface (m2) -0.003*** -0.003*** -0.003*** [-0.003, -0.003] [-0.003, -0.002] [-0.004, -0.003] Bathrooms 0.149*** 0.091*** 0.170*** [0.118, 0.179] [0.047, 0.136] [0.129, 0.212] Zone: Camin, Zona Industriale 0.082 0.060 0.091 [-0.017, 0.181] [-0.102, 0.223] [-0.036, 0.218] Zone: Forcellini, San Camillo, Nazareth, Terranegra 0.417*** 0.400*** 0.441*** [0.350, 0.484] [0.314, 0.485] [0.342, 0.540] Zone: Guizza, Crocifisso, Ponte Quattro Martiri, Voltabarozzo, Salboro 0.195*** 0.181*** 0.209*** [0.134, 0.255] [0.102, 0.260] [0.123, 0.296] Zone: Piazza Mazzini, Ospedale Militare, Porta Trento, Stazione 0.402*** 0.383*** 0.423*** [0.319, 0.485] [0.275, 0.490] [0.303, 0.543] Zone: Piazze, Duomo, Santo, Santa Sofia, Altinate, Savonarola, Ponte Molino 0.778*** 0.806*** 0.764*** [0.721, 0.835] [0.731, 0.882] [0.683, 0.845] Zone: Sacra Famiglia, Basso Isonzo, Brusegana, Aeroporto, Paltana, Mandria 0.174*** 0.175*** 0.166*** [0.116, 0.232] [0.101, 0.250] [0.082, 0.251] Zone: Sacro Cuore, Altichiero 0.199*** 0.161*** 0.234*** [0.124, 0.274] [0.061, 0.260] [0.128, 0.340] Zone: Scrovegni, Portello, Ospedali, Stanga, Pio X 0.118*** 0.253*** 0.055 [0.052, 0.184] [0.162, 0.344] [-0.036, 0.146] Zone: Specola, Riviere, San Giuseppe, San Giovanni 0.442*** 0.408*** 0.459*** [0.374, 0.511] [0.308, 0.508] [0.367, 0.551] Zone: Torre, Mortise, Ponte di Brenta reference EPC: >=A 0.261*** 0.308*** 0.238*** [0.203, 0.319] [0.226, 0.390] [0.159, 0.317] EPC: B 0.116** 0.147** 0.082 [0.013, 0.219] [0.024, 0.269] [-0.083, 0.248] EPC: C 0.008 0.019 0.042 [-0.085, 0.101] [-0.097, 0.134] [-0.100, 0.185] EPC: D Reference EPC: E -0.154*** -0.087** -0.183*** [-0.214, -0.094] [-0.170, -0.005] [-0.267, -0.100] EPC: F -0.174*** -0.138*** -0.182*** [-0.230, -0.119] [-0.219, -0.058] [-0.256, -0.107] EPC: G -0.245*** -0.165*** -0.279*** [-0.299, -0.192] [-0.241, -0.089] [-0.352, -0.205] Elevator (present) 0.103*** 0.093*** 0.093*** [0.070, 0.135] [0.049, 0.136] [0.047, 0.139] Alarm System (present) 0.033* 0.087*** 0.005 [-0.005, 0.070] [0.037, 0.138] [-0.049, 0.059] Observations 1738 705 1033 Adjusted R2 0.545 0.612 0.521 AIC 758.055 84.128 622.167 BIC 867.265 175.292 720.972 Note: 95% confidence intervals in brackets. * p < 0.10, ** p < 0.05, *** p < 0.01.