# RECORD 6e83e47fe67686f424f9c68dca8dac1370a653d3 # TITLE: An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Shopping Malls and Surrounding Property Prices: Evidence from Xian, China # YEAR: 2024.0 VENUE: Advances in Economics, Management and Political Sciences DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024ox0141 # AUTHORS: Ao Tan # PAGES: 10 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [6, 7, 8] # ABSTRACT: Shopping malls have become integral components of urban areas in China, and their influence on the local economy and real estate markets is substantial due to the country's rapid urbanisation and economic expansion. This study examines the price premium of properties in Weiyang District, Xi'an, China that are affected by their proximity to malls. The study analyses a comprehensive dataset of 10,175 transaction prices for second-hand homes in 12 administrative zones of Weiyang District from September 2017 to June 2021 based on the hedonic price model and ordinary linear regression. The findings indicate that the value of properties in proximity to local shopping malls is notably enhanced; however, this positive effect fades as the distance from the malls increases. This study addresses a research gap in the influence of shopping centres on property prices in the Weiyang District. It offers valuable insights for local urban planners, property developers, and investors. These results have the potential to enhance the value of property and optimise urban development. The research methodology includes statistical methodologies to guarantee the accuracy of the findings and stresses the necessity of strategic urban planning to maximise the advantages of commercial amenities. To develop a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamics between commercial amenities and property values, future research might investigate the longitudinal impacts over a longer period and incorporate supplementary variables, such as socio-economic factors and real estate developments. ===== PAGE 1 (score 10, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 10) ===== An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship Between Shopping Malls and Surrounding Property Prices: Evidence from Xi’an, China Ao Tan1,a,* 1Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom a. at2g20@soton.ac.uk *corresponding author Abstract: Shopping malls have become integral components of urban areas in China, and their influence on the local economy and real estate markets is substantial due to the country's rapid urbanisation and economic expansion. This study examines the price premium of properties in Weiyang District, Xi'an, China that are affected by their proximity to malls. The study analyses a comprehensive dataset of 10,175 transaction prices for second-hand homes in 12 administrative zones of Weiyang District from September 2017 to June 2021 based on the hedonic price model and ordinary linear regression. The findings indicate that the value of properties in proximity to local shopping malls is notably enhanced; however, this positive effect fades as the distance from the malls increases. This study addresses a research gap in the influence of shopping centres on property prices in the Weiyang District. It offers valuable insights for local urban planners, property developers, and investors. These results have the potential to enhance the value of property and optimise urban development. The research methodology includes statistical methodologies to guarantee the accuracy of the findings and stresses the necessity of strategic urban planning to maximise the advantages of commercial amenities. To develop a more comprehensive understanding of the dynamics between commercial amenities and property values, future research might investigate the longitudinal impacts over a longer period and incorporate supplementary variables, such as socio- economic factors and real estate developments. Keywords: Hedonic Price Model, Property Price, Shopping Mall, Price Premium. 1. Introduction Shopping malls are large, indoor commercial complexes that include a wide range of retail establishments, restaurants, entertainment venues, and other services, providing a complete shopping experience. Typically, these complex malls are home to a variety of businesses and play a significant role in modern urbanization. However, nowadays, shopping malls are experiencing severe challenges. Firstly, the widespread of e-commerce has led many consumers to opt for online shopping platforms. Furthermore, customers now tend towards experiential purchasing rather than traditional conventional retail. Also, the mall situation is being worsened by the excessive competition in retail centres [1]. Proceedings of ICFTBA 2024 Workshop: Finance in the Age of Environmental Risks and Sustainability DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024OX0141 © 2024 The Authors. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). 65 ===== PAGE 6 (score 29, numeric-paren 1, table-words 4, var-words 13) ===== density of malls is low (less than one mall) within a 500m, 800m and 1km radius, suggesting that while some dwellings are close to retail areas, others are further away. Table 2: Descriptive statistics of second-hand housing transaction data. Variable Abbreviation Mean Std. Dev. Min Total price tprice 132.085 53.841 14 Total number of rooms room 3.934 1.138 1 A size 207.683 316.332 21.65 Total floors of the building tfloors 24.791 9.547 1 Age of building bage 9.9 4.294 1 Orientation of house orientation 3.211 1.113 1 House decoration degree decoration 2.464 .665 1 Floor/ level of the house floorno 3.106 .799 1 Structure of building structure 3.102 .654 1 Subway nearby subway .153 .36 0 Distance from community to CBD (km) cbd2 3.945 3.032 .162 Distance from community to mall (km) dshop 1.648 1.068 .036 MallsNo around community within 3km shop3km 7.009 4.683 0 MallsNo around community within 500m shop500m .260 .834 0 MallsNo around community within 800m shop800m .641 1.568 0 MallsNo around community within 1km shop1km .894 1.928 0 Furthermore, the correlation matrix (Table 3) shows correlations between the distance to a shopping mall and the CBD and the malls number of shopping centres within 3 km. The strong negative correlation between the distance to a mall and the number of malls within 3 km ( -0.619) shows that houses closer to a large shopping centre have fewer malls within 3km. This pattern is indicative of urban planning strategies. Besides, a relatively positive correlation between distance to a mall and distance to the CBD (0.513) shows that houses further away from the CBD are closer to suburban malls and serve as local commercial centres. These links show the distribution and planning of commercial facilities in different locations. Table 3: Correlation matrix of key variables. Variables tprice room size tfloors bage subway cbd2 dshop shop3km tprice 1.000 room 0.688 1.000 size 0.196 0.208 1.000 tfloors 0.114 -0.089 -0.006 1.000 bage -0.350 -0.089 -0.060 -0.628 1.000 subway 0.008 -0.000 -0.003 0.004 -0.001 1.000 cbd2 0.044 0.145 0.034 0.016 -0.269 0.003 1.000 dshop -0.025 0.105 0.001 0.003 -0.138 -0.002 0.513 1.000 shop3km -0.029 -0.121 -0.016 -0.001 0.239 -0.002 -0.723 -0.619 1.000 4.2. Multicollinearity Results (VIF) The study utilizes the variance inflation factor (VIF) as shown in Table 4 to identify the presence of multicollinearity in the regression analysis. As a result, the study reveals the existence of moderate to Proceedings of ICFTBA 2024 Workshop: Finance in the Age of Environmental Risks and Sustainability DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024OX0141 70 ===== PAGE 7 (score 53, numeric-paren 33, table-words 3, var-words 9) ===== strong multicollinearity in the distance to the nearest shopping mall and CBD, the number of malls within an 800-meter and one-kilometre radius. The existence of multicollinearity is expected because of the mutual connection between these variables. For example, properties in proximity to a certain shopping mall may also be near other commercial amenities, resulting in a convergence with other location-related factors. On the other hand, the variable subway exhibits no substantial multicollinearity, which suggests that underground access is separate from other factors in the area. Table 4: Variance inflation factor. Variable VIF 1/VIF lndshop 4.905 .204 lncbd2 4.494 .223 bshop800m 4.126 .242 bshop1km 3.629 .276 shop3km 3.514 .285 bshop500m 2.63 .38 lntfloors 1.902 .526 lnbage 1.85 .541 lnstructure 1.398 .715 lnroom 1.254 .797 lnorientation 1.154 .866 lnsize 1.138 .879 lndecoration 1.032 .969 lnfloorno 1.002 .998 subway 1.001 .999 Mean VIF 2.335 . 4.3. Regression Analysis The regression results shown in Table 5 provide important insights into the impact of shopping malls on property prices in Weiyang District, Xi'an, China. Three models, specified in column (1) to (3) respectively, were used to analyse this relationship, each containing different variables relating to the proximity and number of shopping malls. Table 5: Regression results. Variables (1) (2) (3) lnroom 0.766*** 0.764*** 0.765*** (113.44) (113.22) (113.23) lnsize 0.0309*** 0.0308*** 0.0310*** (11.21) (11.18) (11.26) lntfloors 0.124*** 0.118*** 0.118*** (23.33) (22.23) (22.14) lnbage -0.191*** -0.199*** -0.198*** (-30.31) (-31.88) (-31.08) lnorientation 0.0421*** 0.0417*** 0.0423*** (8.57) (8.47) (8.60) lndecoration 0.0800*** 0.0788*** 0.0775*** (12.16) (11.99) (11.75) Proceedings of ICFTBA 2024 Workshop: Finance in the Age of Environmental Risks and Sustainability DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024OX0141 71 ===== PAGE 8 (score 50, numeric-paren 31, table-words 3, var-words 9) ===== Table 5: (continued) lnfloorno 0.00440 0.00482 0.00556 (0.56) (0.61) (0.70) lnstructure 0.164*** 0.161*** 0.164*** (14.45) (14.14) (14.42) subway 0.0124* 0.0123* 0.0120* (2.04) (2.04) (1.99) lncbd2 -0.0487*** -0.0413*** -0.0684*** (-11.28) (-8.07) (-17.63) lndshop -0.0239*** (-5.63) shop3km 0.00478*** (5.98) bshop500m -0.0393*** (-3.86) bshop800m 0.0553*** (5.01) bshop1km -0.0334*** (-3.74) Constant 3.449*** 3.443*** 3.500*** (89.43) (89.06) (89.20) Adjusted 𝑅2 0.685 0.686 0.685 Note: t-statistics in parentheses; * p < 0.05, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001. Model 1 includes the logarithm of the nearest shopping centre and other residential variables. The coefficient for distance to a shopping centre means that the property price decreases by 3,154.83 RMB for every 1 increase in distance to the nearest shopping centre. The decline in property prices with increasing distance illustrates that convenience is a key determinant of property value. Several reasons support this claim. For example, properties near retail areas are attractive due to their diversity of amenities and services. Shopping centres include restaurants, entertainment, and other amenities that improve the lifestyle and raise property values. This result suggests that urban planners should consider integrating shopping centres into residential areas to increase property values. Also, investors should select properties near shopping areas to enhance their investment potential. Model 2 shifts the focus to the number of shopping malls within a 3-kilometre radius rather than proximity to the nearest shopping centre. The coefficient for the variable the number of malls within 3km means each additional shopping centre within this radius increases property prices by 631.37 RMB. This model highlights the positive cumulative effect of multiple malls on property values. Multiple shopping centres increase property prices due to their convenience, appeal to varied demographics, economic impact, shopping experience, infrastructure, and community. This result suggests that developers should aim to create clusters of malls to maximise the positive impact on surrounding properties. Also, investors should consider mixed-use projects that combine residential, commercial and retail space. Such projects create a self-sustaining community that increases property values and attracts long-term tenants. In summary, clustering shopping centres not only improves the shopping experience but also contributes to increased footfall, benefiting both retailers and residents. Model 3 introduces binary variables reflecting proximity to shopping malls within 500 metres, 800 metres and one kilometre. The variable malls within 500 metres indicates that proximity to a shopping Proceedings of ICFTBA 2024 Workshop: Finance in the Age of Environmental Risks and Sustainability DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024OX0141 72 ===== PAGE 9 (score 16, numeric-paren 0, table-words 2, var-words 12) ===== centre within 500 metres lowers property prices by 5,187.94 RMB, which is likely due to negative externalities such as noise and traffic congestion. This suggests that policy makers should take measures to mitigate these negative effects, such as better traffic management and noise reduction strategies. Conversely, the coefficient of the variable for the number of malls within 800 metres means that properties within this radius experience an increase in value of 7,305.30 RMB. This indicates that a balanced distance to shopping centres can increase property value, suggesting that urban developers should aim for a moderate distance between residential areas and shopping centres. The variable for malls within one kilometre has negative coefficient of -0.0334, which correlates with a decrease in property values of 4,411.64 RMB, suggesting that careful land use planning is needed to balance the benefits of proximity with the potential disadvantages. The mixed effects at different distances highlight the complexity of urban living, where benefits such as accessibility need to be weighed against potential disruption. In addition to proximity to shopping centres, various housing attributes such as the number of rooms, size of the house, number of total floors, age of the building, orientation, quality of amenities, building structure, proximity to the metro and distance to the CBD also have a notable impact on housing prices across all models. These findings indicate that the various characteristics of the property also play a crucial role in influencing house values. The results of this study provide important insights for urban planners as they suggest that strategically located shopping centres can increase property values. However, care must be taken to mitigate negative externalities in densely populated urban areas. For property developers, these findings can be used to optimise the location of projects and ensure that new residential areas are close enough to shopping facilities to maximise property values. Simultaneously, the results suggest investors to consider properties that are strategically located near shopping centres as these tend to have higher appreciation rates. Investing in residential properties within an 800-metre radius of shopping malls can be particularly lucrative due to the observed increase in property values. In addition, properties in areas where there are multiple shopping centres within a 3-kilometre radius can offer significant returns due to the positive impact on property values. In summary, proximity to shopping malls has a significant and variable impact on property prices, with the relationship varying according to distance and specific valuation methods. These results provide a solid basis for future urban development strategies and underline the importance of balanced planning to optimise property values. 5. Conclusion This empirical study of housing price premiums in the Weiyang district of Xi'an shows that the proximity and density of shopping malls relatively significantly affect surrounding housing prices. The results of this study are of great importance for urban planners, property developers and policymakers and fill a research gap on the influence of shopping malls on house prices in the Weiyang District of Xi'an. Better integration of malls with residential areas and careful determination of the optimal proximity of such facilities can drive up property prices and improve the overall quality of life in the city. However, there are some limitations to this study. Data collection is prohibited beyond June 2021 due to political restrictions. In addition, this study did not assess the external effects of universities. Future research could consider extending the data collection period beyond June 2021 to understand recent trends and the impact of the pandemic on property values and urban development. Overcoming policy restrictions by working with local authorities to gain access to more comprehensive and up- to-date data will be crucial. Secondly, assessing the externalities of universities and higher education institutions, such as their impact on local housing markets, economic activity and social dynamics, will help policymakers integrate educational institutions into urban development plans. Proceedings of ICFTBA 2024 Workshop: Finance in the Age of Environmental Risks and Sustainability DOI: 10.54254/2754-1169/94/2024OX0141 73