# RECORD 7de41ea5f998e11b3cc730af7771c0a4b73baa2f # TITLE: Approach to hedonic model and analyzing factors affecting real estate prices in Hanoi # YEAR: 2022.0 VENUE: International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics DOI: 10.22271/maths.2022.v7.i4b.849 # AUTHORS: Nhat Hong Nguyen; Quang Duy Phung # PAGES: 4 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [3] # ABSTRACT: In real estate valuation techniques and housing market research, real estate prices are often analyzed using The Hedonic model based on factors that affect real estate prices. The Hedonic model shows the factors that affect real estate prices. The determinants of real estate prices in Hanoi in this article use 240 observations. The variables that have the greatest influence on real estate prices are the location of the property, the area of the land, the area of the house, the distance from the property to the city center, and the distance from the property to the street frontage. ===== PAGE 1 (score 14, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 12) ===== ~101~ International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics 2022; 7(4): 101-104 ISSN: 2456-1452 Maths 2022; 7(4): 101-104 © 2022 Stats & Maths www.mathsjournal.com Received: 01-04-2022 Accepted: 04-05-2022 Nguyen Hong Nhat National Economic University, Hanoi, Vietnam Phung Duy Quang Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Vietnam Corresponding Author: Phung Duy Quang Foreign Trade University, Hanoi, Vietnam Approach to hedonic model and analyzing factors affecting real estate prices in Hanoi Nguyen Hong Nhat and Phung Duy Quang DOI: https://doi.org/10.22271/maths.2022.v7.i4b.849 Abstract In real estate valuation techniques and housing market research, real estate prices are often analyzed using The Hedonic model based on factors that affect real estate prices. The Hedonic model shows the factors that affect real estate prices. The determinants of real estate prices in Hanoi in this article use 240 observations. The variables that have the greatest influence on real estate prices are the location of the property, the area of the land, the area of the house, the distance from the property to the city center, and the distance from the property to the street frontage. Keywords: Real estate price, Hedonic model, land area, house area, distance 1. Introduction For many households, housing not only provides them shelter, but it is also a major asset. Real estate is one of the most important assets in the investment and buying and selling portfolio of households. Indeed, in industrialized countries, real estate is the asset that makes up the largest share of affluent households. As a result, the value of their apartments has a great impact on consumption, household savings and the supply-demand mechanism. Thus, home prices are of great concern to property developers, banks, policy makers or the general public as well as existing and potential owners (Ustaoilu, E. 2003) [10]. The real estate market can be influenced by macroeconomic variables, spatial differences, community structural features and properties of real estate. Real estate valuation is necessary to provide a quantitative measure of the benefits and liabilities accrued from ownership of real estate. Valuations are performed by real estate agents, appraisal and inspection specialists, mortgage lenders, brokers, property developers, investors and fund managers, lending companies, market researchers, analysts, consultants and other professionals. 2. The Hedonic model and experimental studies The Hedonic model is one of the oldest techniques of economic valuation developed by Lancaster (1966), Ridker (1967) [7], Grilihces (1971), Rosen (1974) and others. Originally used to study the relationship between air pollution reductions and property values, the Hedonic model became an important study in the second half of the 1970s and throughout the 1980s. During this period, the Hedonic pricing method has become a very important tool for academic research, used in theoretical and experimental studies to determine the monetary value of goods in relation to the environmental and physical characteristics of the property. The first basic Hedonic model was presented by Ridker (1967) [7]: 𝑃𝑖= 𝑓(𝑆1𝑖, . . . , 𝑆𝑘𝑖; 𝑁1𝑖, . . . , 𝑁𝑚𝑖, 𝑍1𝑖, 𝑍2𝑖, . . . . , 𝑍𝑛𝑖) In which: Pi is the house price; S is the structural characteristics of the house (1 2 … k) such as the area of the house, the number of rooms, the type of construction and some other factors. N is neighborhood characteristics (1….m), such as distance to workplace, quality of school, local crime rate and other factors. ===== PAGE 3 (score 96, numeric-paren 63, table-words 6, var-words 5) ===== ~103~ International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics https://www.mathsjournal.com Table 1: Description of variables Variable Description Expectation of Sign LogPRICE The logarithm of real estate prices AREA Land area (m2) + HAREA House area (m2) + DIS1: Distance from the property to the center (km) - DIS2: Distance from the property to street frontage (km) - WIDTH Front pavement width (m) + SHAPE Real estate shape: dummy variable (gets the value 1 if the back is wider or equal to the front of the land; value 0 if the back is narrower than the front) + NOF Number of floors: dummy variable (gets the value 1 if the number of floors <= 4; value 0 if > 4) - TERRACE Terrace: dummy variable (gets value 1 if there is a terrace; value 0 if there is no terrace) + LOCATION Location: dummy variable (gets value 1 if property is in frontage; value 0 if property is in alleys) + USE Usage: dummy variable (gets value 1 if the property is for business, office, or residential use; gets value 0 for residential use only) + Table 2: Descriptive statistics of variables Variable Average value Maximum value Minimum value Standard deviation LogPRICE 8.20 12.65 7.24 0.84 AREA 56.50 260.60 52.10 24.3 HAREA 2.780 4.30 2.12 1.23 DIS1: 24.60 30.30 22.40 4.62 DIS2: 4.60 6.60 3.20 1.26 WIDTH 6.30 8.65 5.40 1.68 SHAPE 0.42 1.00 0.00 0.12 NOF 4.20 1.00 0.00 0.36 TERRACE 0.65 1.00 0.00 0.21 LOCATION 0.43 1.00 0.00 0.36 USE 0.54 1.00 0.00 0.42 Table 3: Results of 6 regression models Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 AREA 0.0142*** (9.426) 0.0143*** (9.426) 0.0145*** (9.864) 0.0141*** (10.124) 0,.0148*** (10.012) 0,.0146*** (9.942) HAREA 0.0008 (1.432) 0.0008 (1.420) 0.0008 (1.274) 0.0009* (2.524) 0,.0012* (2.788) 0.0012* (2.982) DIS1: -0.045* (-1.984) -0.065* (-1.928) -0.0665* (-1.948) -0.0648* (-2.114) -0.0684* (-2.682) -0.0840* (-2.683) DIS2: -0.0016* (-1.914) -0.0016* (-1.976) -0.0016* (-1.978) -0.0016* (-1.928) -0.0017* (-1.926) -0.0015* (-1.968) LOCATION 0.9284*** (7.192) 0.8294*** (7.899) 0.8368*** (9.827) 0.8426*** (9.248) 0.8424*** (9.842) 0.8468*** (9.468) WIDTH -0.0085* (-1.826) -0.0088* (-1.824) -0.0086* (-1.946) -0.0084* (-1.964) -0.0094* (-1.848) SHAPE 0.1283 (0.984) 0.1078 (0.872) 0.1268 (0.924) 0.1046 (0.924) NOF -0.1193 (-0.742) -0.1428 (-0.846) -0.1464 (-0.846) TERRACE -0.0426 (-0.492) -0.0428 (-0.548) USE 0.0602 (0.620) R2 0.7824 0.7918 0.7824 0.7784 0.7689 0.7846 R2 correction 0.7739 0.7846 0.7758 0.7727 0.7640 0.7809 Statistical value F 91.8873*** 109.8138*** 119.1681*** 136.4073*** 155.7097*** 213.9984*** Robust standard errors in parentheses *** p<0.001, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1 Source: Estimated results from the model 4. Result Consider model 1 LogPRICE = 12.45 + 0.0142AREA + 0.0008HAREA −0.045DIS1 −0.0016DIS2 +0.9284LOCATION −0.0085WIDTH + 0.1283SHAP −0.1193NOF- 0.0426TERRACE + 0.0602USE + ε (1) Model 1 has multicollinearity between variables and autocorrelation between USE and LOCATION, because the correlation coefficient between these two variables is 0.78. At the same time, the USE variable was not statistically significant, so the USE variable was excluded from model 1. ===== PAGE 4 (score 10, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 7) ===== ~104~ International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics https://www.mathsjournal.com Consider model 2 LogPRICE = 12.45 + 0.0143AREA + 0.0008HAREA −0.0605DIS1 −0.0016DIS2 +0.8294LOCATION −0.0088WIDTH + 0.1078SHAP −0.1428NOF- 0.0428TERRACE + ε (2) This model has eliminated autocorrelation but the test still shows signs of collinearity because 𝑅𝑖 2 is high. Hence model 2’s variables will be omitted. The TERRACE variable has low statistical significance and the sign is opposite to our expectation, so we remove the variable TERRACE from model 2. Similarly, when considering model 3, 4, we also remove variables NOF, SHAPE from the model. Consider model 3 LogPRICE = 12.45 + 0.0148AREA + 0.0012HAREA −0.0684DIS1 −0.0017DIS2 +0.8424LOCATION −0.0094WIDTH + ε (3) This model has eliminated autocorrelation but the test still shows collinearity because 𝑅𝑖 2 is high. Hence model 5’s variables will be omitted. The WIDTH variable has low statistical significance and the opposite sign is desired, so we remove the TERRACE variable from model 5. Consider model 4 LogPRICE = 9.45 + 0.0146AREA + 0.0012HAREA −0.0840DIS1 −0.0015DIS2 +0.8468LOCATION + ε (4) The variables of model 6 are all statistically significant, the signs of the coefficients are consistent with the expectations. The analysis results show that the price of real estate in the frontage is usually 84.68% higher than in alleys. For real estate in the alley, 1m further from the frontage causes the average price to decrease by 0.12%. Similarly, if real estate is 1km away from the center, the price will decrease by 8.4% on average. If the land area increases by 1m2, the price will increase by 1.46%. We illustrate the following two cases: *Case 1: Real estate in the frontage LOCATION =1; DIS1= 0; AREA =60m2; HAREA = 186.2m2; DIS2=3.2 receives lnPRICE = 11.39144. Then PRICE = 88.56 (equivalent to 86 billion 560 million VND). With a frontage house 3.2 km from the center, with an area of 60m2, the house area is 186.2m2 (4 floors), the price is 86 billion 560 million VND. *Case 2: real estate in alleys. LOCATION =0; DIS1= 0; AREA =60m2; HAREA = 186.2m2; DIS2=3.2 receives lnPRICE = 10.54464. Then PRICE = 37.973 (equivalent to 37 billion 973 million). With houses in alleys 3.2 km from the center, with an area of 60m2, the house area is 186.2m2 (4 floors), the price has decreased significantly, at only 37 billion 973 million VND. 5. Conclusion This article applies Hedonic model and the Status - Quality Trade-off Theory to determine real estate prices in Hanoi area. The results show that location variables, distance from property to street frontage, distance from property to center, land area and house area are important variables affecting property prices. 6. References 1. Gabriel Kayode Babawale. The Impact of Neighbourhood Churches on House Prices, Journal of Sustainable Development. 3/2011;4(1):246-253. 2. Hasan Selim. Determinants of house prices in Turkey: Hedonic regression versus artificial neural network, Expert Systems with Applications. 2009;36:2843-2852. 3. Hoàng Hữu Phê, Patrick Wakely. 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Determinants of house prices in Turkey: Hedonic regression model, Doðuþ niversitesi Dergisi, 2008, 65-76. 10. Ustaoðlu E. Hedonic Price Analysis of Office Rents: A Case Study of the Office Market in Ankara, Middle East Technical University, Unpublished MSc, Thesis, 2003.