# RECORD 84fe25f12d7833b71a83f2c2ae3a06dfc013ffcf # TITLE: Do street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in Chinese megacities? An analysis using open access datasets and deep learning # YEAR: 2019.0 VENUE: PLoS ONE DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 # AUTHORS: Xiao Fu; Tian-Xia Jia; Xue-Qi Zhang; Shanlin Li; Yonglin Zhang # PAGES: 18 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [9, 10, 13] # ABSTRACT: Many studies have explored the relationship between housing prices and environmental characteristics using the hedonic price model (HPM). However, few studies have deeply examined the impact of scene perception near residential units on housing prices. This article used house purchasing records from FANG.com and open access geolocation data (including massive street view pictures, point of interest (POI) data and road network data) and proposed a framework named “open-access-dataset-based hedonic price modeling (OADB-HPM)” for comprehensive analysis in Beijing and Shanghai, China. A state-of-the-art deep learning framework and massive Baidu street view panoramas were employed to visualize and quantify three major scene perception characteristics (greenery, sky and building view indexes, abbreviated GVI, SVI and BVI, respectively) at the street level. Then, the newly introduced scene perception characteristics were combined with other traditional characteristics in the HPM to calculate marginal prices, and the results for Beijing and Shanghai were explored and compared. The empirical results showed that the greenery and sky perceptual elements at the property level can significantly increase the housing price in Beijing (RMB 39,377 and 6011, respectively) and Shanghai (RMB 21,689 and 2763, respectively), indicating an objectively higher willingness by buyers to pay for houses that provide the ability to perceive natural elements in the surrounding environment. This study developed quantification tools to help decision makers and planners understand and analyze the interaction between residents and urban scene components. ===== PAGE 1 (score 5, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 5) ===== RESEARCH ARTICLE Do street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in Chinese megacities? An analysis using open access datasets and deep learning Xiao Fu1, Tianxia Jia1,2, Xueqi Zhang1,2, Shanlin Li3, Yonglin ZhangID1,2* 1 State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, 2 College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, 3 National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China * ylzhang_rcees@foxmail.com Abstract Many studies have explored the relationship between housing prices and environmental characteristics using the hedonic price model (HPM). However, few studies have deeply examined the impact of scene perception near residential units on housing prices. This arti- cle used house purchasing records from FANG.com and open access geolocation data (including massive street view pictures, point of interest (POI) data and road network data) and proposed a framework named “open-access-dataset-based hedonic price modeling (OADB-HPM)” for comprehensive analysis in Beijing and Shanghai, China. A state-of-the- art deep learning framework and massive Baidu street view panoramas were employed to visualize and quantify three major scene perception characteristics (greenery, sky and build- ing view indexes, abbreviated GVI, SVI and BVI, respectively) at the street level. Then, the newly introduced scene perception characteristics were combined with other traditional characteristics in the HPM to calculate marginal prices, and the results for Beijing and Shanghai were explored and compared. The empirical results showed that the greenery and sky perceptual elements at the property level can significantly increase the housing price in Beijing (RMB 39,377 and 6011, respectively) and Shanghai (RMB 21,689 and 2763, respectively), indicating an objectively higher willingness by buyers to pay for houses that provide the ability to perceive natural elements in the surrounding environment. This study developed quantification tools to help decision makers and planners understand and ana- lyze the interaction between residents and urban scene components. Introduction Urban scenes can be considered a vital medium for human beings, and it is important to recognize and understand this aspect of cities [1] to ensure the spatial security of urban sustainability [2]. The spatial distributions of urban scenes exhibit variety, complexity and PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 1 / 18 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 OPEN ACCESS Citation: Fu X, Jia T, Zhang X, Li S, Zhang Y (2019) Do street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in Chinese megacities? An analysis using open access datasets and deep learning. PLoS ONE 14(5): e0217505. https://doi.org/10.1371/ journal.pone.0217505 Editor: Shihe Fu, Xiamen University, CHINA Received: January 16, 2019 Accepted: May 12, 2019 Published: May 30, 2019 Copyright: © 2019 Fu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Data Availability Statement: All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files. Funding: All authors were funded by The National Key Research and Development Program of China (2016YFC0503605). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. ===== PAGE 9 (score 31, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 15) ===== descriptions of the variables are shown in Table 1. The data frames used to build the HPMs can be found at https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.7823975.v1. The independent variables in this article were classified into four major categories: location, structure, neighborhood and scene perception characteristics. The location characteristic included one variable named CENTER, which represented the shortest road distance from a residential unit to the city center. To be more realistic, road distance and road network buffers were adopted for all distance calculations in this paper. The structure characteristics included AREA (average usable area in the apartment), year (year of construction), HS (households), FR (floor-area ratio), PF (property management fee), GR (greening rate) and the dummy variables ORI and BU. The dummy variable ORI repre- sented the main orientation of the buildings in the residential unit: if the buildings mainly face south, the value was set to 1; otherwise, it was set to 0. The dummy variable BU represented the major building type: if the building was a slab, the value was set to 1; otherwise, it was set to 0. Table 1. Variable descriptions and basic statistical information. Cities Beijing Shanghai Variables Description Mean Standard deviation Mean Standard deviation Dependent variable LNPRICE Log selling price in 10,000 RMB (Chinese currency, US $1 = RMB 6.71) 5.64 0.54 5.43 0.58 Location characteristic CENTER Road distance to city center (km) 10.87 6.32 15.11 9.30 Structure characteristics AREA Average usable area in the apartment (m2) 88.45 96.84 86.58 44.97 AGE 2018 minus the year of construction of the building 19.64 13.75 22.78 23.90 ORI Dummy variable, 1 if the building has windows facing south 0.78 0.41 0.93 0.25 HS Number of households 1030 1200 1037 942 FR Floor-area ratio 2.52 1.55 2.27 1.61 PF Property management fee (RMB/m2 per month) 1.76 1.42 1.27 1.28 GR Green coverage rate (%) 0.32 0.07 0.34 0.11 BU Dummy variable, 1 if the building is a slab; 0 if the building is any other type 0.60 0.49 0.87 0.34 Neighborhood characteristics AIRP Road distance to the nearest airport (km) 22.13 6.75 13.56 8.58 BUS Road distance to the nearest bus station (km) 0.24 0.20 0.18 0.16 SUB Road distance to the nearest subway station entrance (km) 1.47 1.33 1.63 2.11 TRAIN Road distance to the nearest train station (km) 4.74 3.04 7.09 5.26 FINAN Road distance to the nearest financial facility (km) 0.26 0.36 0.32 0.36 RESTA Road distance to the nearest restaurant (km) 0.14 0.21 0.15 0.22 HOSP Road distance to the nearest hospital (km) 0.18 0.22 0.23 0.24 EDU Road distance to the nearest educational facility (km) 0.18 0.24 0.21 0.24 SHOP Road distance to the nearest shopping mall (km) 0.10 0.17 0.09 0.16 PARK Road distance to the nearest park (km) 1.66 1.34 1.46 1.08 WATER Road distance to the nearest water body (km) 0.73 0.50 0.35 0.28 WATER_A Area of the nearest river or lake (km2) 0.12 0.22 0.11 0.28 Scene perception characteristics LNGVI Logarithmic mean green view index within 800 m road distance 2.80 0.34 2.97 0.31 LNBVI Logarithmic mean building view index within 800 m road distance 2.22 0.54 2.37 0.55 LNSVI Logarithmic mean sky view index within 800 m road distance 3.74 0.16 3.65 0.26 https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505.t001 Street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in typical Chinese megacities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 9 / 18 ===== PAGE 10 (score 26, numeric-paren 0, table-words 4, var-words 15) ===== The neighborhood characteristics included the road distances between the housing estates and diverse urban amenities and environmental infrastructures, including the shortest road distances to airports (AIRP), bus stations (BUS), subway stations (SUB), train stations (TRAIN), financial facilities (FINAN), restaurants (RESTA), medical facilities (HOSP), educa- tional facilities (EDU), commercial facilities (SHOP), urban parks (PARK), and water bodies (WATER), as well as the area of the nearest water body (WATER_A). Finally, the newly introduced scene perception characteristics (GVI, BVI and SVI) at the residential unit level were transformed by the natural logarithm before building the HPMs. The coefficients of the independent variables can explain the percentage change in the depen- dent variables in the HPMs. Results and discussion Mapping scene perception indicators To improve the observations and comparisons, this study plotted the street-level GVI, BVI and SVI values in thematic maps for Beijing and Shanghai in 2015, as shown in Fig 5. The three view indexes (VIs) were each mapped using five value intervals, and the value intervals in Beijing and Shanghai were the same. The GVI value intervals were [0.00, 0.10], [0.11, 0.20], [0.21, 0.30], [0.31, 0.40], and [0.41, 0.70]; the BVI intervals were [0.00, 0.05], [0.06, 0.10], [0.11, 0.20], [0.21, 0.30], and [0.31, 0.65]; and the SVI intervals were [0.00, 0.20], [0.21, 0.35], [0.36, 0.45], [0.46, 0.55], and [0.56, 0.65], which correspond to the qualitative levels of very low, low, medium, high and very high. The statistical results indicate that the average GVI values in Beijing and Shanghai are 16.44 and 19.49, respectively, which indicated that pedestrians in Shanghai tend to see more green scenes than those in Beijing. Fig 5(A) and 5(B) indicate that high and very high GVI road seg- ments have a broader distribution and in general look “greener” in Shanghai than in Beijing. The GVI values of road segments above the high level are mainly located in the central areas (Dongcheng and Xicheng Districts), the northwestern area (Haidian District) and part of the southern area, but the high GVI segments are mainly concentrated along the western bank of the Huangpu River in Shanghai. The statistical results indicate that the average BVI value in Shanghai is slightly higher than that in Beijing (10.7 and 9.21, respectively). The spatial distri- butions in Fig 5(C) and 5(D) show that the BVI values in both cities present low-inside-and- high-outside gradient variations. The spatial distributions of the SVI values in Beijing and Shanghai show the opposite pattern relative to the BVI values (Fig 5(E) and 5(F)) and present high-inside-and-low-outside gradient variations. According to the statistical results, the aver- age SVI of Beijing is higher than that of Shanghai (42.10 and 38.47, respectively). Therefore, from an overall perspective, people in Shanghai tend to see more profile areas of greenery and buildings, whereas people in Beijing tend to see more open road canyons. OLS regression modeling The OLS regression modeling was four-fold: first, all independent variables were incorporated into the OLS model calculation; second, all VIs were removed from the model, but other vari- ables remained the same; third, the GVI was added to the OLS model; fourth, the GVI and BVI were added to the model. The last three models controlled the VIs to show their contribu- tions to the adjusted R2, and we included the last three models in the Supporting Information to show the soundness of our model (S1 File). The model results in Table 2 show that the adjusted R2 values were 0.7242 and 0.7511 for Bei- jing and Shanghai, respectively, and most of the independent variables were statistically significant. The variance inflation factor (VIF) test was performed to verify whether the variables exhibited multicollinearity. The VIFs of the variables (less than 4) indicated that the Street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in typical Chinese megacities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 10 / 18 ===== PAGE 11 (score 0, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 0) ===== Fig 5. The spatial distributions of VIs in Beijing and Shanghai (GVI, BVI and SVI). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505.g005 Street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in typical Chinese megacities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 11 / 18 ===== PAGE 13 (score 40, numeric-paren 0, table-words 4, var-words 16) ===== housing prices through the newly built OADB-HPM framework. The model results in the pre- vious section showed that street-level GVI and SVI had positive effects on the neighboring housing prices in both Beijing and Shanghai, indicating that house buyers may have require- ments for urban greenery and sky openness; however, BVI was not significant in any model, indicating that house buyers did not favor more visible artificial buildings in their living envi- ronment. According to the marginal price calculation, an increase in GVI and SVI by 1% can increase housing prices by 0.2273% and 0.0899%, respectively, in Beijing and by 0.1853% and 0.0466%, respectively, in Shanghai (the conversion formula for the marginal prices for the Table 2. OLS regression model (all variables). Model 1 (Beijing) Model 2 (Shanghai) Variables Full name Unstandardized Coefficients Standard Error VIF Unstandardized Coefficients Standard Error VIF Constant Constant 3.828 0.4116 5.55 0.2933 Location characteristic CENTER City center -0.0452 0.0012 2.51 -0.0154 0.0012 3.45 Structure characteristics AREA Housing area 0.0079 0.0002 1.55 0.0099 0.0001 1.39 AGE Building age -0.0027 0.0001 1.19 -0.0001 0.0001 1.05 ORI Orientation 0.0679 0.0131 1.13 0.0532 0.0204 1.02 HS Households 0.0000 0.0000 1.36 0.0000 0.0000 1.49 FR Floor-area ratio -0.0084 0.0034 1.18 0.0000 0.0000 1.01 PF Property management fee 0.0324 0.0054 1.47 0.0021 0.0028 1.13 GR Green coverage rate 0.2421 0.0822 1.18 0.2744 0.0832 1.35 BU Building types 0.0322 0.0119 1.21 0.0189 0.0225 1.05 Neighborhood characteristic AIRP Airport 0.0176 0.0091 1.17 -0.0077 0.0013 3.46 BUS Bus station -0.0117 0.0315 1.15 -0.0447 0.0392 1.14 SUB Subway station -0.0172 0.0048 1.59 -0.0073 0.0039 1.60 TRAIN Train station 0.0024 0.0022 1.83 -0.0006 0.0013 1.88 FINAN Financial facility -0.0858 0.0189 1.94 -0.0892 0.0190 1.78 RESTA Restaurant 0.1017 0.0389 2.18 0.0421 0.0511 1.65 HOSP Hospital 0.0151 0.0360 1.90 0.0116 0.04134 1.85 EDU Educational facility -0.0614 0.0330 1.46 -0.0958 0.0362 1.69 SHOP Shopping mall 0.1149 0.05178 2.69 0.1042 0.0677 2.70 PARK Park -0.0033 0.0048 1.62 -0.0153 0.0059 1.40 WATER Water body 0.0337 0.0102 1.16 0.0416 0.0246 1.22 WATER_A Water body area 0.0447 0.0215 1.12 0.0226 0.0367 1.08 Scene perception characteristics LNGVI Green view index 0.2273 0.0818 3.31 0.1853 0.0471 2.71 LNBVI Building view index -0.0005 0.0018 3.96 -0.0008 0.0014 2.64 LNSVI Sky view index 0.0899 0.0280 3.17 0.0466 0.0298 3.50 F ratio 200.5200 171.1500 Adjusted R2 0.7242 0.7511 Durbin-Watson 1.7628 1.8212  Indicates significance at the 10% level  indicates significance at the 5% level  indicates significance at the 1% level. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505.t002 Street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in typical Chinese megacities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 13 / 18 ===== PAGE 14 (score 17, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 15) ===== dummy logarithm transformed variables were ex−1, where x is the nonnormalized coefficient in the model). Therefore, the house buyers in Beijing and Shanghai favor the perception of nat- ural aspects (green vegetation and open sky). Through a comparison of the model results, home buyers in Beijing and Shanghai exhibited the same willingness to pay for the GVI and SVI, but there were significant differences in the marginal prices. Residents in Beijing showed significantly more willing to pay for GVI than those in Shanghai, which may be caused by the locations, climates and seasons of the two cities. Moreover, the two cities were located at different latitudes, and the green leaf period in Beijing is shorter than that in Shanghai due to climate, humidity and seasonal changes. This difference may be one of the major reasons affecting people’s perception and willingness to pay for the greenery around housing estates. In summary, according to the results in this article, the government should attach impor- tance to the adjustment and optimization of the visual scenery around residential areas and high-rise building clusters to improve people’s visual access to natural elements. For example, the construction of open spaces and green parks in the public spaces between neighboring housing estates may help to meet the needs of people. The government can fine-tune and reshape the urban spatial structure according to the needs of residents to build an appropriate living environment to meet people’s practical needs. For instance, the configuration of three- dimensional green walls, corridors and roads can increase the daily interaction opportunities between people and green vegetation, and the appropriate use of domes made of transparent material and open walls may increase the sense of openness in various spaces. The government should pay attention to the potential economic impacts of urban scene perception on real estate. On the one hand, in the absence of government control, real estate developers could exploit urban green and open spaces for additional benefits. Over time, the excessive accumulation of such benefits may lead to low-income consumers being unable to bear the financial costs resulting from increased housing prices. This phenomenon is detri- mental to the sustainable development of the environment, society and economy. This phe- nomenon not only violates the fairness of the living environment in cities but also may harm the overall interests of citizens. On the other hand, in terms of the pleasant visual environment surrounding a property, developers almost unconditionally obtain the economic benefits of a pleasant residential environment but do not contribute to the maintenance or optimization of the urban visual landscape. Therefore, the government should collect real estate tax from real estate developers according to the constructions of urban scenes, and this revenue could be used to fund the optimization and maintenance of urban scenes. The government needs to strengthen the supervision of housing sales in the real estate market, restrain behaviors that abuse green scenes and open spaces as bargaining chips in the process of real estate sales to dis- rupt the market, and prevent developers from maliciously raising housing prices by citing the appropriateness of the public visual environment during the sales process. The goals of real estate developers should be to properly use the influence of urban visual elements on housing price on the basis of reasonable bidding and scientific planning, improve the competitiveness of their real estate brands, and participate in the construction of high-quality residential environment. In summary, this article identified the actual requirements for visible greenery and sky openness in Beijing and Shanghai based on the newly constructed OADB-HPM framework. Due to the previous lack of technology and appropriate research framework, the potential effect of the visible element characteristics of residential environments on housing prices has often been ignored by researchers and decision makers. However, the framework and techni- cal means proposed in this paper can now be used as an effective supplement and quantifica- tion tool. Street-level scene perceptions affect housing prices in typical Chinese megacities PLOS ONE | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217505 May 30, 2019 14 / 18