# RECORD 9ba5bc20c4b8dd4891df1e9ed1d47b53aa5ee9df # TITLE: The Impact of Housing Market Segmentation between Tourists and Residents on the Hedonic Price for Landscape Quality # YEAR: 2008.0 VENUE: nan DOI: 10.1007/bf03399270 # AUTHORS: N. Soguel; Marc J. Martin; Alexandre Tangerini # PAGES: 24 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [10, 11, 15, 16, 17] # ABSTRACT: SummaryMarket segmentation is an important issue when estimating the implicit price for an environmental amenity from a surrogate market like property. This paper tests the hypothesis of a segmentation of the housing market between tourists and residents and computes the implicit price for natural landscape quality in Swiss alpine resorts. The results show a clear segmentation between both groups of consumers, although tests also show that the estimated coefficient for landscape is similar in the tourists’ model and in the residents’. However, since the functional form is non linear, the nominal — rather than relative — value of a change in natural landscape quality is higher in the tourist housing market than in the residents’. Hence, considering the segmentation of the market between tourists and residents is essential in order to provide valid estimates of the nominal implicit price of natural landscape quality. ===== PAGE 1 (score 3, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 3) ===== © Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics 2008, Vol. 144 (4) 655–678 a Institut de hautes études en administration publique-IDHEAP/Swiss Graduate School of Public Administration, University of Lausanne, Switzerland. b Service cantonal de recherche et d’information statistiques-SCRIS/ Statistical Office of the Canton of Vaud. Corresponding author: nsoguel@idheap.unil.ch. The research benefited from the support of the Swiss National Research Foundation allocated as part of the National Research Program 48 “Landscapes and habitats of the Alps”. Helpful comments by Anil Markandya, Tim Taylor and the editors of this special issue are gratefully acknowledged. The Impact of Housing Market Segmentation between Tourists and Residents on the Hedonic Price for Landscape Quality Nils Soguela, Marc-Jean Martinb and Alexandre Tangerinia JEL-Classification: D49, Q26, Q51 Keywords: Hedonic prices method, Market segmentation, Landscape quality, Landscape value, MACBETH 1. Introduction Market segmentation has long been a controversial empirical issue in the use of the hedonic price method. It happens when a given market, such as housing, is organised into a series of submarkets each of them showing a unique functional relationship between prices and (property) attributes. If segmentation does exist, estimating a single hedonic price function for the whole market provides faulty estimates of the implicit prices. A bias in implicit prices is especially problemati- cal when the hedonic price technique utilises the considered market to estimate economic values for environmental services, like landscape. The very idea of the method is to overtake the problem of the absence of clearly defined markets for environmental resources and to observe some surrogate market instead. The most common markets used as surrogates are those for property or labour. Therefore any bias in implicit price for an environmental amenity is all the more damag- ing as few alternative techniques may exist. Segmentation does not render the hedonic pricing technique invalid. Rather it makes its use more difficult, as separate functions must be computed for each ===== PAGE 10 (score 37, numeric-paren 24, table-words 2, var-words 7) ===== 664 Soguel / Martinl / Tangerini 8 Another strategy to cope with the differences between resorts consists of introducing in the model a dummy variable for each resort. Results for this strategy are not reported for two reasons. First, it leads to identical conclusions: the impact of the landscape quality is simi- lar and so is the finding about the segmentation between residents and tourists as well as the spatial segmentation. Second, this strategy comes at the cost of having to abandon all other local neigbourhood characteristics Ni since these variables do not vary within the resorts and are thus colinear with the resort-specific dummies. It also offers less explanatory power than the models where the number of rooms interacts with a dummy for each resort (see Models 2 and 4). resort (e.g. lnRooms × Verbier) resulting in strictly positive values when flats are located in Verbier (Verbier = 1) and null values when flats are located else- where (Verbier = 0)8. Hence, the results for four models are presented in Table 2: two for tourists and two for residents. Breusch-Pagan, Cook-Weisberg and Szroeter tests signal hetero- scedasticity problems especially when modelling without spatially segmenting the number of rooms and modelling the market for residents. Therefore we use the Huber-White-sandwich estimator of the variance of the regression estimators. Table 2: Hedonic Price Functions for Apartments Rented either by Tourists or by Residents in Six Swiss Alpine Resorts (OLS, log-log Specification)a Independent variables Models Tourists Residents 1 2 3 4 Ln Rooms (number of rooms in the apartment excluding kitchen and bathrooms) 0.5748** (21.73) 0.5190** (14.56) Ln Rooms × Verbier (number of rooms in the apartment if located in Verbier) 0.9036** (15.17) 0.6100** (7.87) Ln Rooms × Anzere 0.6507** (15.17) 0.4445** (12.62) Ln Rooms × Ovronnaz 0.5234** (9.50) 0.5264** (9.83) Ln Rooms × Champery 0.5178** (12.88) 0.4082** (8.22) Ln Rooms × Grimentz 0.4813** (12.54) 0.5168** (14.46) ===== PAGE 11 (score 68, numeric-paren 46, table-words 2, var-words 11) ===== The Impact of Housing Market Segmentation between Tourists and Residents 665 Independent variables Models Tourists Residents 1 2 3 4 Ln Rooms × Haute-Nendaz 0.4209** (9.91) 0.4182** (4.80) Ln Landscape-Quality (visibility-adjusted MACBETH score) 0.0449** (6.57) 0.0225** (3.84) 0.0351** (4.28) 0.0287** (2.67) Ln Resort-Infrastructureb 0.1297** (6.19) −0.0260 (−0.54) 0.1962 (0.82) 0.0156 (0.58) Ln Distances-to-Infrastructure (sum of the distances to the resort’s main infrastructures: ropeways, grocery stores, and resort centres) 0.0428** (2.68) 0.0001 (0.01) 0.1393** (2.63) 0.1509** (2.91) Ln Average-Ski-Runs (ratio between the length of the runs in kilometres and the number of ski lifts) c 0.3234** (10.45) 0.1678* (2.40) −0.0380 (−0.53) -0.1663* (-2.22) Ln Flat-Equipment (1+sum of dummies if the flat features a TV-cable, fire-place, balcony, dishwasher, security system) 0.1545** (3.32) 0.1914** (4.44) 0.1027** (2.75) 0.1091* (2.15) Constant 7.3369** (92.10) 7.2409** (52.94) 6.1568** (38.02) 6.3375** (42.43) N Adjusted-R2 F Largest VIF Mean VIF σ2 (OLS) 401 0.7472 202.56 1.38 1.25 0.22 401 0.8151 187.30 6.93 3.33 0.19 105 0.8517 91.15 2.43 1.98 0.15 105 0.8677 80.91 4.36 2.62 0.15 a. The dependent variable is the natural logarithm of the rent during the period of February to March 2003 (including bills). For residents, the average nominal monthly rent equals 812 CHF, with a standard deviation of 308. For tourists, the average nominal rent on a monthly basis equals 4635 CHF, with a standard deviation of 2301. In March 2003, 1 CHF = 0.681 €. T-values are shown between parentheses under the estimated parameters according to Huber- White-sandwich estimator of the variance of the regression estimators. Coefficients with double asterisk are significant to 99%. Those with a single asterisk are significant to 95% (bilateral test). b. The infrastructure index is made up of several sub-indexes. Each of them measures the impor- tance of a type of infrastructure relative to the total offered by the six resorts. For example, Ver- bier hosts 13 (34%) of the 38 bars of the six resorts (100%) and 18 (46%) of the sports stores. After averaging the percentages over the seven different types of infrastructure, Verbier offers the largest total infrastructure (37%), and Grimetz and Ovronnaz the smallest (7% each). c. This average length offers an estimate of the “rate-of-return” one can expect from each lift, in terms of the duration of the descent. ===== PAGE 12 (score 9, numeric-paren 0, table-words 1, var-words 7) ===== 666 Soguel / Martinl / Tangerini 9 Several additional variables were tested and rejected in light of the criteria used to select the variables to be retained in the models. Just to mention a few, they include the quality of the built environment in the resort (MACBETH score), the level of noise pollution, the age of the house, the number of years since the last repair either in the house or in the apartment, the number of apartments in the house, and the floor on which the apartment is located. There is no indication of multicollinearity, according to the variance inflation factors (the largest and mean VIF peaks at a value of 6.93 and 3.33 which is far from the generally accepted threshold of 10). The independent variables retained in the hedonic function explain a share of the rent variability ranging between 0.75 (Model 1) and 0.87 (Model 4). How- ever the set of independent variables that influence significantly and with the expected sign both tourists’ and residents’ rent is rather small.9 As in many hedonic price studies, the number of rooms (Ln Rooms) influ- ences positively and significantly both tourists’ and residents’ rent. It is true in both types of models: with or without interaction between the number of rooms and a dummy variable for each resort (Models 4 and 2, respectively 3 and 1). However, according to the size of the coefficient, the effect is larger on the tour- ist market. It is interesting to see that interacting the number of rooms with a dummy for each resort captures the effect of local neighbourhood characteristics like the visi- bility-adjusted quality of the landscape (Ln Landscape-Quality), the resorts infra- structure (Ln Resort-Infrastructure), the distance to infrastructure (Ln Distances- to-Infrastructure) and the average length of the ski runs (Ln Average-Ski-Runs). In fact, these latter characteristics are able to significantly explain the variabil- ity of the rents especially in Model 1 (model for tourists). However the value of their coefficients obviously drops when one introduces interaction variables for the number of rooms into the model, as does their degree of significance. This demonstrates that the local neighbourhood characteristics at our disposal are not powerful enough to explain fully the variability of the rents between the six considered resorts. Therefore, Model 1 still suffers to some extent from a spatial segmentation bias. Although the statistics for the visibility-adjusted quality of the landscape are affected when moving from Model 1 to Model 2 or from Model 3 to Model 4, they nevertheless convey that the quality of landscape impacts significantly and positively on the rents. The distance to a resort’s main infrastructure influences the rents with a sub- stantial probability, except in Model 2. Interestingly, it impacts positively, mean- ing that rents are relatively higher for apartments located away from the resorts’ ===== PAGE 15 (score 21, numeric-paren 11, table-words 2, var-words 4) ===== The Impact of Housing Market Segmentation between Tourists and Residents 669 An important consequence of the existence of submarkets is that estimates of implicit prices derived from the parameters of a pooled data hedonic function are likely to be biased. To compare the parameters across submarkets we employ the Tiao-Goldberger test suggested by Michaels and Smith (1990). In our case the test is particularly useful since it considers the null hypothesis that the coef- ficients of a particular regressor take the same value in each of the models. The test works by comparing each parameter estimate to the weighted sum of param- eter estimates across Models 1 and 3 as well as across Models 2 and 4. Table 3 reports the parameter estimates and the Tiao-Goldberger test statistics for the Table 3: Results of Tests for Differences between Tourists’ and Residents’ Hedonic Functionsa Comparison of models … … without geographical interaction terms (Models 1 and 3) … with geographical interaction terms (Models 2 and 4) Chow test F-statistics 547.69** 401.49** Wald test Chi-squared statistics 8047.6314** 12789.516** Tiao-Goldberger test F-statistics Ln Rooms 0.66 Ln Rooms × Verbier 11.89** Ln Rooms × Anzere 10.29** Ln Rooms × Ovronnaz 0.02 Ln Rooms × Champery 0.62 Ln Rooms × Grimentz 0.00 Ln Rooms × Haute-Nendaz 0.02 Ln Landscape-Quality 1.29 0.38 Ln Resort-Infrastructure b 1.08 0.06 Ln Distances-to-Infrastructure 1.53 4.39* Ln Average-Ski-Runs 18.32** 4.26* Ln Flat-Equipment 0.48 0.12 Constant 309.97** 13.94** N 506 506 a Coefficients with double asterisks are different at the 99% level between the compared models, those with a single asterisk at the 95% level. ===== PAGE 16 (score 14, numeric-paren 4, table-words 2, var-words 5) ===== 670 Soguel / Martinl / Tangerini coefficients that were estimated across the two submarkets. Of most interest in this research is the possible difference in the implicit price of the landscape qual- ity. The test statistics for both comparisons indicate that the null hypothesis of equality of parameter estimates cannot be rejected, even at the 1% level of con- fidence. This finding is important and shows that the quality of the landscape does not affect the rental markets of tourists and residents in different ways. In turn the null hypothesis can be rejected for some other parameters (test scores italicised). Models with geographical interaction terms are different as far as five coefficients are concerned, including the constant. This finding leads us to adapt the estimation strategy and to compute the two more general models presented in Table 4. Each model is a joint model for both tourists and residents. When the Tiao-Goldberger test indicates that the param- eters are different between the two markets the concerned explanatory variable is interacted either with a dummy indicating that the tenant is a resident (R) or with a dummy indicating the tenant is a tourist (T). Model 5 presents results without geographic interaction terms for the number of rooms and Model 6 presents results with geographic interaction terms. This further modelling step has three consequences. First, it sheds further light on the differences in parameters and their impact on rents. For example, the difference between constants in tourists’ and residents’ models is approximately equal to 1 (7.33 − 6.29 in Model 5 and 7.31 − 6.13 in Model 6). The significance of the parameters echoes the one found in Models 1 to 4. Second, it provides us with more accurate estimates for parameters that are common to both tourists and residents. The 95%-confidence intervals for the landscape quality variable show clearly the increased accuracy. Intervals are broader in Model 2 (0.0110 to 0.0340) and Model 4 (0.0074 to 0.0501) than in Model 6 (0.0157 to 0.0341). Third, since Models 5 and 6 are general and no longer specific to either tourists or residents, the estimated hedonic functions explain a slightly lower share of the rent variance than the previous – specific – models. Considering models with geographic interaction terms for the number of rooms, the adjusted-R2 is slightly lower in Model 6 (0.8087) than in Model 2 (0.8151) for tourists. It is also slightly lower in Model 6 (0.8587) than in Model 4 (0.8677) for residents. ===== PAGE 17 (score 40, numeric-paren 22, table-words 5, var-words 3) ===== The Impact of Housing Market Segmentation between Tourists and Residents 671 Table 4: Joint Hedonic Price Functions for Apartments Rented by Tourists and by Residents in Six Swiss Alpine Resorts (OLS, log-log Specification) Independent variables Model 5, without geographical interaction terms a Model 6, with geographical interaction terms b Parameters T-values Parameters T-values Ln Rooms 0.5770** 25.76 Ln Rooms × Verbier × R 0.5995** 10.66 Ln Rooms × Verbier × T 0.8857** 20.46 Ln Rooms × Anzere × R 0.4432** 16.66 Ln Rooms × Anzere × T 0.6499** 16.03 Ln Rooms × Ovronnaz 0.5267** 12.55 Ln Rooms × Champery 0.5102** 14.11 Ln Rooms × Grimentz 0.4905** 15.77 Ln Rooms × Haute-Nendaz 0.4122** 11.5 Ln Landscape-Quality 0.0417** 7.58 0.0249** 5.31 Ln Resort-Infrastructure b 0.1138** 6.39 −0.0060 −0.19 Ln Distances-to-Infrastructure 0.0470** 3.11 Ln Distances × R 0.1320** 2.69 Ln Distances × T 0.0020 0.13 Ln Average-Ski-Runs × R −0.0592 −1.01 −0.0777 −1.19 Ln Average-Ski-Runs × T 0.3251** 10.89 0.1695** 2.72 Ln Flat-Equipment 0.1324** 3.93 0.1672** 5.26 Constant × R 6.2926** 56.28 6.1325** 46.96 Constant × T 7.3389** 110.51 7.3079** 66.12 N Adjusted pseudo-R2 if R = 1 Adjusted pseudo-R2 if T = 1 506 0.8270 0.7422 506 0.8587 0.8087 a Same dependent variable as in Models 1 and 3. b Same dependent variable as in Models 2 and 4. R Dummy variable taking the value 1 if the tenant is a resident, 0 if a tourist. T Dummy variable taking the value 1 if the tenant is a tourist, 0 if a resident. Coefficients with double asterisk are significant to 99%. Those with a single asterisk are signifi- cant to 95% (bilateral test). T-values according to Huber-White-sandwich estimator of the vari- ance of the regression estimators. ===== PAGE 18 (score 10, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 4) ===== 672 Soguel / Martinl / Tangerini 11 lnY = 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 ln ln ln ... ln , hence ... . nb b b n n n a b X b X b X Y aX X X + + + + = 7. Simulating the Impact of Changes in Landscape Quality Table 5 presents the simulated rent according to the visibility-adjusted quality of the landscape in each resort. All other characteristics of the apartment (Si, Ni) are held constant at their average value. Simulations are carried out for rents paid by tourists (upper part of the table) or by residents (lower part of the table) using either models with or without geographic interaction terms for the number of rooms (Model 6 and Model 5). When the simulation is based on Model 6 (i.e. with interaction terms), two extremes are considered: an apartment specifically located in Verbier vs. one in Champery (i.e. interaction variables for resorts other than the considered one being set equal to 0). Therefore the results reported in the column “Verbier” are for an average flat located in Verbier and rented by a tourist (upper part of the column) or a resident (lower part) that benefits from a landscape quality varying between 10 and 110 according to the visibility-adjusted MACBETH score. Results reported in the column “Haute-Nendaz” are for a flat located in this resort, rented either by a tourist or a resident and benefiting from varying levels of landscape quality. Considering the two extreme visibility-adjusted MACBETH scores for the landscape quality, the rent for a score of 110 (as in Champery) is considerably higher than for a score of 10 (as in Haute-Nendaz). Comparison between the simulations using both models also shows differences. Simulations with Model 5 indicate a percentage of variation due to landscape quality almost twice as high as the one with Model 6 (21.6% and 12.4% respectively. Since both models are joint models for tourists and residents, the percentage of variation in the rent is the same across the two groups. This underscores the assertion that the relative marginal implicit price of landscape quality is identical. However, when it comes to the nominal marginal implicit price (measured in CHF), the double-log specification of the hedonic equations must be taken into consideration. Due to the multiplicative property of such a specification11, a “boosting” and multiplicative effect appears as the constant differs across the two groups. Since the difference in constant is 1.05 in Model 5 and 1.18 in Model 6, a multiplicative effect of 2.85 (Model 5) and 3.24 (Model 6) occurs on the nom- inal tourists’ market price when the visibility-adjusted quality of the landscape varies (or any other characteristic). Were the landscape quality variable to double, then the effect would be an increase in rent of 4.17% according to Model 5 and of 2.49% according to Model 6. However the nominal effect measured in CHF