# RECORD d956659c01d343fed17ef54a0b1e248a34a32995 # TITLE: THE EFFECT OF URBAN GREEN SPACES ON HOUSE PRICES IN WARSAW # YEAR: 2018.0 VENUE: International Journal of Strategic Property Management DOI: 10.3846/ijspm.2018.5220 # AUTHORS: R. Trojanek; Michał Głuszak; Justyna Tanas # PAGES: 14 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [7, 9, 10, 11] # ABSTRACT: In the paper, we analysed the impact of proximity to urban green areas on apartment prices in Warsaw. The data-set contained in 43 075 geo-coded apartment transactions for the years 2010 to 2015. In this research, the hedonic method was used in Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Weighted Least Squares (WLS) and Median Quantile Regression (Median QR) models. We found substantial evidence that proximity to an urban green area is positively linked with apartment prices. On an average presence of a green area within 100 meters from an apartment increases the price of a dwelling by 2,8% to 3,1%. The effect of park/forest proximity on house prices is more significant for newer apartments than those built before 1989. We found that proximity to a park or a forest is particularly important (and has a higher implicit price as a result) in the case of buildings constructed after 1989. The impact of an urban green was particularly high in the case of a post-transformation housing estate. Close vicinity (less than 100 m distance) to an urban green increased the sales prices of apartments in new residential buildings by 8,0–8,6%, depending on a model. ===== PAGE 1 (score 16, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 16) ===== Copyright © 2018 The Author(s). Published by VGTU Press This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unre- stricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. *Corresponding author. E-mail: r.trojanek@ue.poznan.pl International Journal of Strategic Property Management ISSN: 1648-715X / eISSN: 1648-9179 2018 Volume 22 Issue 5: 358–371 https://doi.org/10.3846/ijspm.2018.5220 THE EFFECT OF URBAN GREEN SPACES ON HOUSE PRICES IN WARSAW Radoslaw TROJANEK1,*, Michal GLUSZAK2, Justyna TANAS3 1 Department of Microeconomics, Poznan University of Economics and Business, Al. Niepodleglosci 10, 61-875 Poznan, Poland 2 Department of Real Estate and Investment Economics, Cracow University of Economics, ul. Rakowicka 27 bld. B, 31-510 Krakow, Poland 3 Department of Investment and Real Estate, University of Gdansk, ul. Bazynskiego 8, 80-309 Gdansk, Poland Received 17 July 2017; accepted 18 November 2017 Abstract. In the paper, we analysed the impact of proximity to urban green areas on apartment prices in Warsaw. The data- set contained in 43 075 geo-coded apartment transactions for the years 2010 to 2015. In this research, the hedonic method was used in Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Weighted Least Squares (WLS) and Median Quantile Regression (Median QR) models. We found substantial evidence that proximity to an urban green area is positively linked with apartment prices. On an average presence of a green area within 100 meters from an apartment increases the price of a dwelling by 2,8% to 3,1%. The effect of park/forest proximity on house prices is more significant for newer apartments than those built before 1989. We found that proximity to a park or a forest is particularly important (and has a higher implicit price as a result) in the case of buildings constructed after 1989. The impact of an urban green was particularly high in the case of a post- transformation housing estate. Close vicinity (less than 100 m distance) to an urban green increased the sales prices of apartments in new residential buildings by 8,0–8,6%, depending on a model. Keywords: hedonic methods, parks, urban green, property prices. Introduction The market value of a property depends mainly on its physical characteristics, out of which the most important is location. The location choices depend mostly on indi- vidual preferences but generally can be related to the dis- tance from work, schools, and hospitals, an accessibility of public transport, positive or negative neighbourhood effects both about built and natural environment. Among, various factors affecting housing choices, and thus house prices, environmental attributes rank very high in the hierarchy of importance (Źróbek, M. Trojanek, Źróbek- Sokolnik, & R. Trojanek, 2015; Gluszak & Marona, 2017). Green spaces not only provide a pleasant and natural environment but also improve the quality of life in urban areas and undertake essential environmental functions (B. Zhang, Xie, C. Zhang, & J. Zhang, 2012; Streimikiene, 2014). A considerable range of benefits provided by urban green areas has been studied and reported in the literature. The list includes, but is not limited to (Konijnendijk, Anner- stedt, Maruthaveeran, & Nielsen, 2013): human health and wellbeing, social cohesion, tourism, biodiversity, air qual- ity and carbon sequestration, water management and the role of parks in the cooling of urban areas. Moreover, green spaces have a significant economic effect, most notably an impact on neighbouring property values. The latter effect was reported in a great number of research papers (for ex- ample Espey & Owusu-Edusei, 2001; Jim & Chen, 2010). The topic of urban green in CEE (Central and Eastern Europe) cities has been neglected in the discussion on the post-1989 transformation of the major metropolitan areas. Like many cities in the region, Warsaw experienced dis- continuity of urban development (Staniszkis, 2012), and as a metropolitan area entity consists of two different sys- tems. First of them is a heritage of a socialist period, and it is key characteristics are relatively low housing quality, but low development densities (building coverage ratios), greenness, and well-planned accessible public infrastruc- ture. The second urban system is an effect of spontaneous, chaotic and dynamic development (Kusiak, 2012), that was not adequately regulated, due to malfunctions in ur- ban planning. The higher quality of housing often comes at a price of high development density, lack of urban green ===== PAGE 7 (score 38, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 22) ===== 364 R. Trojanek et al. The effect of urban green spaces on house prices in Warsaw construct models that will not be biased because of a low- quality dataset). The research is based on transaction data. The sample is based on residential property sales from the 1st quarter of 2010 to the 4th quarter of 2015. The data was obtained from Board of Geodesy and Municipal Cadastre in Warsaw. All non-market transactions (e.g. debt enforce- ment sales) were removed from the final dataset. Notarial contracts contain following information: transaction date, sales price, area of a dwelling, the floor on which a dwell- ing is located, and the area of any auxiliary premises (e.g. a garage/parking spot in an indoor parking lot or a cellar/ storage). On the other hand, notarial contracts do not in- clude information on various price determinants such as construction technology, architecture, building quality. Using cadastre data, additional information was gathered on the height of buildings and the year of construction. Fi- nally, using Street View application on maps.google.com, the missing data concerning the height, and most impor- tantly building technology was added. Locations of trans- actions (exact addresses) were geocoded with google maps API. Based on WMS servers of the Warsaw City Hall, the vector layer of parks was prepared. In this research, we ex- cluded apartments built before 1939. The reason for which was the fact that in the case of such apartments, the techni- cal condition of a building is a significant determinant of their value (our base does not include this factor), which might burden the obtained results. Moreover, during the Second World War Warsaw was almost completely demol- ished, so the share of such transactions is very small (should not burden the results). The final dataset contained 43 075 geo-coded apartments sold between 1q 2010 and 4q 2015 (Figure 1). Taking into account Dubin (1988) and Malpezzi (2008) suggestions three major categories of characteristics of dwellings may be distinguished: (1) structural attributes S, (2) neighbourhood related services and features N, (3) location and accessibility L. Additionally it is important to control for time (T). The choice of qualitative and quantitative data was limited by the availability of information gathered. Table 2 presents variables used in the study. To conclude we controlled for various characteristics typically used in hedonic pricing models for residential market: location (administrative district), construction technology, floor, time of construction, area of an apart- ment, presence of a garage, presence of a basement, height of building, and distance to a city centre, a kindergarten, a primary school, a subway and an urban green areas. The summary statistics of variables are presented in Table 3. The results of the hedonic models’ estimation are pre- sented in Section 3. Table 3. Summary statistics of variables used in the research (source: own elaboration) Category Variable Mean Standard deviation Category Variable Mean Standard deviation T 2010 0.16 0.37 S area 52.86 24.23 2011 0.16 0.37 area2 3381.06 4089.24 2012 0.14 0.35 basement 0.43 0.50 2013 0.17 0.38 cons1950 0.18 0.38 2014 0.17 0.38 cons1960 0.16 0.36 2015 0.19 0.39 cons1970 0.11 0.31 L d1 0.06 0.24 cons1980 0.04 0.20 d2 0.10 0.30 cons1990 0.06 0.23 d3 0.06 0.23 cons2000 0.40 0.49 d4 0.15 0.36 cons2010 0.06 0.24 d5 0.05 0.23 floor1 0.13 0.34 d6 0.10 0.30 floor2 0.51 0.50 d7 0.03 0.17 floor3 0.36 0.48 d8 0.01 0.09 garage 0.42 0.66 d9 0.09 0.28 height 1.67 0.67 d10 0.05 0.22 technology 1.73 0.44 d11 0.04 0.20 N kindergarten 0.28 0.19 d12 0.07 0.25 school 0.45 0.29 d13 0.01 0.11 subway 2.78 2.48 d14 0.01 0.09 duga100 0.06 0.24 d15 0.03 0.18 duga200 0.11 0.31 d16 0.02 0.13 duga300 0.12 0.32 d17 0.10 0.30 duga400 0.11 0.32 d18 0.02 0.14 duga500 0.10 0.30 dcc 6.31 3.37 duga501 0.50 0.50 ===== PAGE 8 (score 14, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 8) ===== International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 2018, 22(5): 358–371 365 2.4. Hedonic price models In a great number of researchers, the aim of which is to es- timate the implicit price for each characteristic of a good, the hedonic method is used. Since Lancaster’s (1966) and Rosen’s (1974) seminal work, the hedonic method is widely employed in housing studies. Hedonic price mod- els focus on the utility derived from individual character- istics of a good. The core of the hedonic methodology is the assumption that the price of any heterogeneous good (apartment in this study) is the function of its attributes (localisation, area, quality of an apartment). As housing is heterogeneous good, it is difficult to even indicate a full list of crucial attributes. In our study, we examine the im- plicit value of one of neighbourhood related environmen- tal features, namely the proximity to the urban green area (duga). We hypothesise that transaction price is a function of a distance to the urban green area (duga), while con- trolling for other relevant structural (S), neighbourhood (N), and location attributes (L), as well as time (T). In general, the price is a hedonic function: ( , , , , ) price f duga S N L T = . (1) In our research, we use a typical log-linear hedonic model specification, commonly used in the literature (Malpezzi, 2008). Regress apartment’s price (natural loga- rithm of sales price) on a set of independent variables. Our baseline model is given by: 0 1 100 2 200 3 300 4 400 5 500 ln . k k m m i i j j price duga duga duga duga duga S N L T = β +β +β +β + β +β + ∑θ + ∑ω + ∑γ + ∑τ + ε (2) In this research, we used several variants of hedon- ic regression, namely standard Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), robust Weighted Least Squares (WLS) and Median Quantile Regression (Median QR) models. We use differ- ent estimation techniques to ensure the results are robust and reliable. The housing literature is quite consistent on treating housing as heterogeneous in several dimensions. From econometric (or data analysis) perspective, this het- erogeneity can create heteroscedasticity in the residuals, while estimating the price function using standard OLS. Therefore, we decided to address the problem using differ- ent analytical approaches. Firstly, a robust model, employ- ing OLS with heteroscedasticity-correction (WLS) was es- timated. Secondly, we decided to employ median quantile regression. The quantile regression relies on minimisation of weighted absolute deviations, and during the process, conditional quantiles (percentile) functions are estimated (Koenker & Bassett, 1978; Koenker & Hallock, 2001). The quantile regression involves weighing, both symmetric (for the median, quantile = 0.5), and asymmetric (for all other quantiles). In this research we decided to use symmetric weighting (quantile-0.5). Within the quantile regression approach, there is no limitation imposed on explaining the mean of the dependent variable. The quantile regression is more flexible, as it can be employed to explain the implicit prices of housing attributes at any point of the distribution of the dependent variable, thus for low-priced, medium- priced, and high-priced properties (J. Zietz, E. Zietz, & Sirmans, 2008). The mechanism to perform the quantile regression is similar to ordinary regression. The difference in the mechanism to perform the quantile regression to ordinary regression lies in the way of searching for the margin of sums of squared residuals; the quantile regression looks for the margin of weighted sums of absolute residuals. There are several theoretical advantages of a hedonic quantile regression reported in the literature. The technique can be particularly useful in case of heteroscedasticity, outliers, and unobserved heterogeneity found in the empirical data on housing transactions (Liao & Wang, 2012). Due to the high number of independent variables available, multicollinearity may be a serious concern. Multicollinearity leads to unstable coefficients and inflated standard errors. The Variance Inflation Factors (VIFs) was used to detect it. The VIF values in models do not exceed 6.8 which is in line with the most conservative rules of thumb that the mean of the VIFs should not be consider- ably larger than 10. 3. Results We estimated two groups of regression models. The first group of models, later referred to as a general model, is based on the whole sample of housing transactions con- ducted in Warsaw (apartments built after 1950). The sec- ond group of models was based on the same sample. How- ever, new variables were introduced to track the influence of a construction period (different housing estate) on proximity to the urban green area. The estimation results for the general model is presented in Table 4. As a robustness check, alongside baseline OLS model we used WLS and quantile regression. The results are rela- tively similar, albeit we found several differences regarding statistical significance for selected parameters. The esti- mates discussed below refer to quantile regression model. In our study nominal prices were used (we did not correct for inflation) and we observed that within the pe- riod under study (2010–2015), the time had a significant impact on transaction prices. It is worth mentioning that housing prices in the biggest cities in Poland increased by about 100% between 2006 and 2007 (Trojanek, 2012). At the end of 2007, the subsequent decreasing phase in the house price cycle began resulting from this abnormal price increase and the beginning of the financial crisis. The regression coefficients of the locational variables (districts) can be interpreted as district values. In this research, the base variable was d9 corresponding to the Downtown district. Statistically significant negative coef- ficients of regression of other districts confirmed the fact that consumers for apartments in the city centre are will- ing to pay more (Trojanek, 2015). In general, the relations between physical character- istics of apartments and sales prices were consistent with expectations. Additionally, we found that the increase ===== PAGE 9 (score 45, numeric-paren 0, table-words 6, var-words 6) ===== 366 R. Trojanek et al. The effect of urban green spaces on house prices in Warsaw Table 4. Estimation results – general mode (dependent variable is natural logarithm of sale price) (source: own elaboration) OLS WLS Median QR Variable Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability const 11.9593 0.0001 11.8682 0.0001 11.9052 0.0001 Y2011 –0.0071 0.0130 –0.0071 0.0027 –0.0088 0.0011 Y2012 –0.0805 0.0001 –0.0809 0.0001 –0.0788 0.0001 Y2013 –0.1290 0.0001 –0.1282 0.0001 –0.1261 0.0001 Y2014 –0.0987 0.0001 –0.0995 0.0001 –0.0981 0.0001 Y2015 –0.0907 0.0001 –0.0951 0.0001 –0.0922 0.0001 d1 –0.1572 0.0001 –0.1490 0.0001 –0.1358 0.0001 d2 –0.2174 0.0001 –0.2347 0.0001 –0.2115 0.0001 d3 –0.1479 0.0001 –0.1553 0.0001 –0.1393 0.0001 d4 –0.0746 0.0001 –0.0802 0.0001 –0.0687 0.0001 d5 –0.1553 0.0001 –0.1396 0.0001 –0.1291 0.0001 d6 –0.1708 0.0001 –0.1690 0.0001 –0.1578 0.0001 d7 –0.2860 0.0001 –0.2837 0.0001 –0.2705 0.0001 d8 –0.1126 0.0001 –0.1154 0.0001 –0.0987 0.0001 d10 –0.2220 0.0001 –0.2142 0.0001 –0.2046 0.0001 d11 –0.1309 0.0001 –0.1258 0.0001 –0.1021 0.0001 d12 –0.0102 0.2429 –0.0244 0.0018 0.0013 0.8743 d13 –0.1069 0.0001 –0.0993 0.0001 –0.0870 0.0001 d14 0.0177 0.2303 0.0182 0.1767 0.0478 0.0006 d15 –0.1504 0.0001 –0.1186 0.0001 –0.1221 0.0001 d16 –0.2111 0.0001 –0.1911 0.0001 –0.1733 0.0001 d17 –0.1953 0.0001 –0.1859 0.0001 –0.1758 0.0001 d18 –0.0651 0.0001 –0.0797 0.0001 –0.0685 0.0001 area 0.0227 0.0001 0.0256 0.0001 0.0242 0.0001 area2 –0.0001 0.0001 –0.0001 0.0001 –0.0001 0.0001 basement 0.0294 0.0001 0.0204 0.0001 0.0216 0.0001 cons1960 0.0147 0.0001 0.0154 0.0001 0.0180 0.0001 cons1970 0.0341 0.0001 0.0245 0.0001 0.0307 0.0001 cons1980 0.0608 0.0001 0.0371 0.0001 0.0415 0.0001 cons1990 0.1354 0.0001 0.1310 0.0001 0.1366 0.0001 cons2000 0.2273 0.0001 0.2079 0.0001 0.2139 0.0001 cons2010 0.2213 0.0001 0.2210 0.0001 0.2059 0.0001 floor2 0.0269 0.0001 0.0256 0.0001 0.0269 0.0001 floor3 0.0284 0.0001 0.0288 0.0001 0.0302 0.0001 garage 0.0291 0.0001 0.0250 0.0001 0.0267 0.0001 height –0.0061 0.0001 –0.0037 0.0063 –0.0026 0.0757 technology 0.0497 0.0001 0.0482 0.0001 0.0484 0.0001 dcc –0.0268 0.0001 –0.0217 0.0001 –0.0233 0.0001 kindergarten –0.0119 0.0131 –0.0029 0.5049 –0.0081 0.0718 school –0.0352 0.0001 –0.0288 0.0001 –0.0307 0.0001 subway –0.0160 0.0001 –0.0188 0.0001 –0.0186 0.0001 duga100 0.0452 0.0001 0.0276 0.0001 0.0304 0.0001 duga200 0.0145 0.0001 0.0138 0.0001 0.0077 0.0042 duga300 0.0120 0.0001 0.0069 0.0044 0.0065 0.0126 duga400 0.0074 0.0074 0.0021 0.3788 0.0028 0.2807 duga500 0.0056 0.0510 0.0015 0.5372 0.0029 0.2778 R-squared 0.8702 0.8495 – N 43075 43075 43075 ===== PAGE 10 (score 39, numeric-paren 0, table-words 6, var-words 11) ===== International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 2018, 22(5): 358–371 367 in distance from the city centre negatively affects the value of the apartment. The negative relation between the distance and a property price was also observed in case of a kindergarten, a primary school and a subway station (Trojanek & Gluszak, 2017). What is important, estimation results confirm the findings from earlier stud- ies in Poland which suggest that the proximity to an ur- ban green area has a positive impact on property values (Zygmunt & Gluszak, 2015; Czembrowski & Kronenberg, 2016; Trojanek, 2016). The results suggest that proximity to urban green has a significant positive impact on apartments’ prices up within 400 metres distance, and the reported price pre- miums were the highest within 100 meters distance band. The effect is statistically insignificant beyond this distance threshold. These findings are also in line with the existing body of evidence, which suggests that urban green affects property process within 500–600 meters radius, and the values of adjacent properties are affected the most (Lut- zenhiser & Netusil, 2001; McCord et al., 2014). On average the distance to urban green areas has a significant nonlinear impact on residential prices. Direct proximity to a park or an urban forest (up to 100-meter distance) increased apartment sale prices by 2.8%–3.1% (depending on a model) compared with apartments lo- cated outside 500 distance band. The premium declined with distance – apartments located in the second distance band (100–200 meters, thus relatively close, but not in di- rect proximity to the urban green) were still sold for a higher price than comparable apartments situated further from the green area, but the difference was only by about 1.0%. The premium had somewhat steep distance decay function – proximity to the urban green did not affect significantly sales prices of otherwise comparable apart- ments located outside 400 meters distance band from ur- ban green. The result can be intuitively explained – it is worth to pay for proximity to the park/forest only if it is easily accessible (a short walk from the building entrance, plus sometimes a relaxing view from the apartment). If the trip to the park/forest demands longer walk/drive the direct benefits from urban green will diminish. To discuss the impact of an urban green on a housing value of different housing estates, we estimated an alterna- tive model with interaction terms. We interacted distance to an urban green (duga) with period1 and period2 dum- my variables. Variable period1 takes value 1 if the dwelling was built during the years 1950–1989, otherwise it takes 0. Analogously, period2 is equal to 1 if the dwelling was built after 1989, and 0 otherwise. The models were estimated again, and the results were presented in Table 5. Table 5. Hedonic regression estimation results (dependent variable is natural logarithm of sale price) (source: own elaboration) OLS WLS Median QR Variable Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability const 11.9685 0.0001 11.8746 0.0001 11.9074 0.0001 Y2011 –0.0068 0.0174 –0.0070 0.0031 –0.0079 0.0024 Y2012 –0.0805 0.0001 –0.0810 0.0001 –0.0796 0.0001 Y2013 –0.1291 0.0001 –0.1283 0.0001 –0.1274 0.0001 Y2014 –0.0989 0.0001 –0.0996 0.0001 –0.0984 0.0001 Y2015 –0.0905 0.0001 –0.0951 0.0001 –0.0913 0.0001 d1 –0.1602 0.0001 –0.1521 0.0001 –0.1387 0.0001 d2 –0.2198 0.0001 –0.2363 0.0001 –0.2118 0.0001 d3 –0.1451 0.0001 –0.1533 0.0001 –0.1354 0.0001 d4 –0.0747 0.0001 –0.0801 0.0001 –0.0673 0.0001 d5 –0.1547 0.0001 –0.1396 0.0001 –0.1284 0.0001 d6 –0.1753 0.0001 –0.1712 0.0001 –0.1599 0.0001 d7 –0.2900 0.0001 –0.2869 0.0001 –0.2738 0.0001 d8 –0.1253 0.0001 –0.1230 0.0001 –0.1083 0.0001 d10 –0.2259 0.0001 –0.2180 0.0001 –0.2056 0.0001 d11 –0.1345 0.0001 –0.1295 0.0001 –0.1051 0.0001 d12 –0.0041 0.6345 –0.0188 0.0161 0.0069 0.3836 d13 –0.1136 0.0001 –0.1062 0.0001 –0.0902 0.0001 d14 0.0008 0.9589 0.0067 0.6314 0.0368 0.0063 d15 –0.1449 0.0001 –0.1153 0.0001 –0.1161 0.0001 d16 –0.2159 0.0001 –0.1961 0.0001 –0.1771 0.0001 d17 –0.1972 0.0001 –0.1881 0.0001 –0.1763 0.0001 d18 –0.0620 0.0001 –0.0749 0.0001 –0.0631 0.0001 area 0.0227 0.0001 0.0257 0.0001 0.0243 0.0001 area2 –0.0001 0.0001 –0.0001 0.0001 –0.0001 0.0001 basement 0.0287 0.0001 0.0198 0.0001 0.0215 0.0001 cons1960 0.0144 0.0002 0.0143 0.0001 0.0181 0.0001 ===== PAGE 11 (score 35, numeric-paren 0, table-words 5, var-words 10) ===== 368 R. Trojanek et al. The effect of urban green spaces on house prices in Warsaw The results of the second group models estimation (with variables which should distinguish the influence of proximity to an urban green area on different housing es- tate) provide interesting results. On an average proximity to an urban green areas did not have a significant impact on sale prices (neither in OLS, not WLS and Median QR model) in case of apartments built in years 1950–1989. Even immediate proximity (an urban green area located within 100 meters from the apartment) did not influence house prices. No significant (at alpha = 0.05) difference was observed for other distance bands. The results differed significantly in case of building constructed after 1989. The impact of an urban green was particularly strong in case of post-transformation housing stock. Close vicinity (less than 100 m distance) to urban green increased the sales prices of apartments in new resi- dential buildings by 8.0–8.6%, depending on a model. It did not have a significant impact in case of apartments located in socialist housing estates. The empirical results provide arguments in support of the research hypothesis. Apparently, relative lack of green areas around buildings and dense development typical for post-transformation residential development increases the hedonic value of public urban green areas. In the Figure 3 duga’s regression coefficients of quantile models are presented. OLS WLS Median QR Variable Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability Coefficient Probability cons1970 0.0342 0.0001 0.0238 0.0001 0.0297 0.0001 cons1980 0.0564 0.0001 0.0328 0.0001 0.0408 0.0001 cons1990 0.1197 0.0001 0.1190 0.0001 0.1237 0.0001 cons2000 0.2116 0.0001 0.1960 0.0001 0.2026 0.0001 cons2010 0.2074 0.0001 0.2098 0.0001 0.1949 0.0001 floor2 0.0268 0.0001 0.0254 0.0001 0.0267 0.0001 floor3 0.0281 0.0001 0.0288 0.0001 0.0305 0.0001 garage 0.0293 0.0001 0.0256 0.0001 0.0265 0.0001 height –0.0059 0.0002 –0.0038 0.0046 –0.0023 0.1029 technology 0.0495 0.0001 0.0476 0.0001 0.0492 0.0001 dcc –0.0270 0.0001 –0.0219 0.0001 –0.0237 0.0001 kindergarten –0.0117 0.0145 –0.0024 0.5690 –0.0082 0.0596 school –0.0354 0.0001 –0.0290 0.0001 –0.0294 0.0001 subway –0.0146 0.0001 –0.0176 0.0001 –0.0175 0.0001 period1 x duga100 –0.0037 0.4587 –0.0057 0.1814 0.0022 0.6303 period1 x duga200 –0.0015 0.6965 0.0020 0.5545 –0.0034 0.3284 period1 x duga300 0.0009 0.8070 –0.0001 0.9685 –0.0017 0.6198 period1 x duga400 –0.0009 0.8015 –0.0046 0.1672 –0.0043 0.1940 period1 x duga500 0.0042 0.2963 0.0015 0.6614 0.0002 0.9484 period2 x duga100 0.0993 0.0001 0.0768 0.0001 0.0826 0.0001 period2 x duga200 0.0310 0.0001 0.0273 0.0001 0.0208 0.0001 period2 x duga300 0.0220 0.0001 0.0136 0.0002 0.0147 0.0001 period2 x duga400 0.0139 0.0008 0.0084 0.0191 0.0111 0.0032 period2 x duga500 0.0040 0.3152 0.0003 0.9339 0.0051 0.1665 R-squared 0.8709 0.8498 – N 43075 43075 43075 End of Table 5 –0.02 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0 100 200 300 400 500 Coef. Distance to urban green area All 1950‐1989 1990 and afer Figure 3. Regression coefficients of distance to urban green areas (quantile models) (source: own elaboration) We believe that this finding can have interesting policy implications. It is easy to dismiss positive effects of urban green areas when the city is relatively green. Increasing de- mand for residential land and chaotic housing development resulted in a decrease of green areas at the urban fringe, where most of the new housing projects have been locat- ed. The relative shortage of green areas has increased the implicit price of proximity to parks and urban forests in ===== PAGE 12 (score 24, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 23) ===== International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 2018, 22(5): 358–371 369 Warsaw. The residential value increase around parks and value can be captured in property taxes, but currently, this option is not exploited (in Poland nowadays property taxes are based on the size of a dwelling, not on its value – the location does not influence the tax amount). Currently, the tax system in Poland does not allow to link taxation with property value directly. Although the law allows for tax rate differentiation (based on location and other factors), in practice tax rates in most of the cities in Poland (Warsaw included) are set uniformly at a highest possible level for residential property (thus no differentiation is possible if we want to increase revenues). The increase in revenues from property tax revenues could be used to establish and main- tain urban green and recreational areas, that would gener- ate positive externalities and help to mitigate the negative effects of air pollution, typical to major cities in Poland. Conclusions We found strong evidence that proximity to a park is posi- tively linked with apartment prices what is in line with previous studies. On the average presence of an urban green area within 100 meters from apartment increases the price of the dwelling by 2.8% to 3.1%. However, the effect of park/forest proximity on house prices is more significant for newer apartments than those built before 1989. We found that proximity to a park is particularly important (and has a higher implicit price as a result) in the case of buildings constructed after 1989. Modern residential buildings are located smaller lots and built ac- cordingly to the density maximisation principle (both re- garding floor area ration and building coverage ratio). As a result, green areas within gated communities are often limited and can be treated like a club good, available only to residents. In that context, proximity to a publicly ac- cessible green area outside the gates, only within a short walking distance is highly beneficial and translates into a significantly higher price of subject apartments. We did not find a significant effect of urban green prox- imity on prices of apartments located in housing estates built during the years 1950–1989. This somewhat surpris- ing result may stem from the fact that contrary to modern residential buildings there is an abundance of green ar- eas (children playgrounds, recreation facilities, conveni- ent walking paths) within housing estates for public use. Presence of additional public park in proximity may not result in significantly higher residential satisfaction, and as a consequence will not be capitalised in apartment price. 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