# RECORD e2aec14baa7ef3008564e4685e54665957939139 # TITLE: Determinants of Luxurious Condominium Prices in Bangkok CBD: A Case study of Encouraging Housing Affordability in Bangkok, Thailand # YEAR: 2022.0 VENUE: International Review for Spatial Planning and Sustainable Development DOI: 10.14246/irspsd.10.1_167 # AUTHORS: Pornraht Pongprasert # PAGES: 16 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [12] # ABSTRACT: : This study aims to find the factors influencing prices of luxurious condominiums within 1-km radius of urban rail transit stations in Bangkok CBD, where the property value rapidly increases since last decade. According to recorded data, the average price of condominiums in CBD is higher, nearly 28% during 2016-2019. Besides, the growth of luxurious condominium in these areas grows higher sharply. 52% of new condominiums are above Luxury class while housing affordability of Bangkok’s largest population is too low. Also, urban policy cannot control the unpredictable price of condominiums in CBD. As a tool for urban planners, post-windfall gain tax would be collected from real estate developers who get uplift property values as result of public infrastructure planning. It would be used to fund infrastructure such as transit, affordable housing. This paper can recommend urban policy planners which factors influencing unpredictable price of luxurious condominium in CBD should be considered in condition of windfall profit taxation. In addition, results suggest developers to set more reasonable price of new luxurious condominiums near rail station in CBD. In this study, 55 luxurious condominiums constructed within 5 years are research samples. Hedonic approach is applied to study the effects of location, structural and neighborhood attributes of luxurious condominium price in Bangkok CBD. Results are shown 6 key attributes; the number of units, percentage of car parking space/unit, locating private recreation park within project area, rate of common area fee, location of building in street corner and distance to expressway are interrelated to luxurious condominium price near urban rail transit stations in Bangkok CBD. ===== PAGE 1 (score 14, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 14) ===== 167 International review for spatial planning and sustainable development D: Planning Assessment, Vol.10 No.1 (2022), 167-182 ISSN: 2187-3666 (online) DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.14246/irspsd.10.1_167 Copyright@SPSD Press from 2010, SPSD Press, Kanazawa Determinants of Luxurious Condominium Prices in Bangkok CBD: A Case study of Encouraging Housing Affordability in Bangkok, Thailand Pornraht Pongprasert1* 1 Department of Real Estate Business, Thammasat Business School, Thammasat University * Corresponding Author, Email: pondmail@hotmail.com Received: June 15, 2019 Accepted: Nov 06, 2021 Key words: Luxurious condominium prices, Hedonic pricing model, Central business district, Bangkok Abstract: This study aims to find the factors influencing prices of luxurious condominiums within 1-km radius of urban rail transit stations in Bangkok CBD, where the property value rapidly increases since last decade. According to recorded data, the average price of condominiums in CBD is higher, nearly 28% during 2016-2019. Besides, the growth of luxurious condominium in these areas grows higher sharply. 52% of new condominiums are above Luxury class while housing affordability of Bangkok’s largest population is too low. Also, urban policy cannot control the unpredictable price of condominiums in CBD. As a tool for urban planners, post-windfall gain tax would be collected from real estate developers who get uplift property values as result of public infrastructure planning. It would be used to fund infrastructure such as transit, affordable housing. This paper can recommend urban policy planners which factors influencing unpredictable price of luxurious condominium in CBD should be considered in condition of windfall profit taxation. In addition, results suggest developers to set more reasonable price of new luxurious condominiums near rail station in CBD. In this study, 55 luxurious condominiums constructed within 5 years are research samples. Hedonic approach is applied to study the effects of location, structural and neighborhood attributes of luxurious condominium price in Bangkok CBD. Results are shown 6 key attributes; the number of units, percentage of car parking space/unit, locating private recreation park within project area, rate of common area fee, location of building in street corner and distance to expressway are interrelated to luxurious condominium price near urban rail transit stations in Bangkok CBD. 1. INTRODUCTION During the last 10 years, the average price of condominiums in Bangkok, especially in CBD, has grown higher because of an increase of land price in Bangkok. Moreover, some developers equip their projects with much more facilities and amenities and set the sale price higher. Some are necessary, but some are not needed among residents near rail services such as car parking space. This marketing strategy obviously contradicts to the concept of sustainable urban development near public transit station or transit-oriented development (TOD) which enhances real estate developers to design the surrounding area around transit station useful for rail ridership in the city, and for reducing car ownership and use by station-area residents. Low-and ===== PAGE 12 (score 54, numeric-paren 38, table-words 5, var-words 6) ===== 178 IRSPSDD International, Vol.10 No.1(2022), 167-182 units, higher number of available car parking spaces, locating private recreation park in the project, setting higher common area fee and location of building in the corner of street, the sale prices of luxury condominiums would be higher. Table 3. The regression coefficients of 3 functional forms Variables Model 1 Linear functional form Model 2 Semi-log functional form Model 3 Double-log functional form DIST_TO_ST 14.93413 (0.521) .00001 (-.355) -.00781 (-.267) CORE_CBD 2640.75367 (.191) -0.0400 (-.258) -.00833 (-.216) UNITS 69.28454* (1.786) .00008* (1.767) .03358 (.513) FLOORS -483.23396 (-.861) -.00038 (-.600) -.04395 (-.935) AREA -4.16441 (-1.378) -.00001 (-1.522) -.01511 (-.329) FACILITY -13592.16403 (-.921) -.01804 (-1.089) -.00618 (-.136) DEVELOPER 13892.27443 (.881) .01976 (1.117) .05353 (1.163) CAR_PARK 528.34177*** (3.070) .00060*** (3.085) .10543 (1.447) PARK 46997.97505*** (3.115) .06900*** (4.076) .15030*** (3.525) FEE 1530.39732*** (4.336) .00189*** (4.773) .38470*** (4.360) CORNER 25253.07083 (1.59) .04489** (2.277) .07695 (1.519) MAIN_RD 15.79588 (.542) .00001 (.288) -.00219 (-.193) EXPWAY -24.97502*** (-2.734) -.00003*** (-2.760) -.08183*** (-2.855) DEPART .55753 (.041) .00001 (.361) .00861 (.350) SCHOOL 5.20411 (.261) .00001 (.298) .00813 (.308) HOSP 6.90188 (.421) .00002 (.961) .03615 (1.176) Constant 88577.789** (2.168) 5.18966*** (113.200) 10.57771*** (15.153) Observations 55 55 55 R2 0.805 0.861 0.830 Adjusted R2 0.722 0.802 0.758 F-statistic 9.777 (Sig. 0.00) 14.669 (Sig. 000) 11.593 (Sig. 000) Note: The number in the table is the coefficients of variables but the number in parentheses is t-statistic *** Significance level at 0.01; **Significance level at 0.05 and *Significance level at 0.1 ===== PAGE 13 (score 14, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 14) ===== Pongprasert 179 5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS Bangkok is now one of the most expensive cities in Asia in terms of residential property price (Group, 2021), with a lack of available affordable housing. The lack of sufficient financial tools for ensuring new housing is truly affordable for low and middle incomes (the largest group of population in Bangkok). According to the data of average household income in Bangkok in 2019, it can be concluded that half of people from middle-class and below cannot afford to live in condominium because of their low housing affordability. The biggest size of condominium they could afford is only 20-sq.m. (smallest as required by law) in the middle range class and only 7.08 sq.m. (smaller than required by law) in luxury class condominium of which most developers prefer to launch the construction project near urban rail routes and set the high price. The prices tend to grow rapidly and they are difficult to predict. In addition, more speculators or real estate investors buy and sell condominium rooms in higher prices for their own benefit at the same time. The market pays no attention to residents needing to live near transit station in CBD area. In this situation, the inequality problem becomes critical. Low-and mid-income people cannot live near areas of employment, recreation and public mass transit systems in Bangkok CBD. Several people say, “You could not live in an urban area of Bangkok (especially in CBD area) unless you are rich”. This contradicts to the direction of sustainable urban development in the city as mentioned in the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) no.11 as to make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable. In 2018, The Thai government initially discussed how to increase the housing affordability among most people and how to manage the greater prices of residential property, including land speculation in Bangkok CBD. The Windfall Gains Tax was introduced and planned to use in Bangkok in the near future. It is a tool of urban policy planners to control unpredictable land and property prices and to create more sustainable urban development. The approach is to collect increment land value tax from land owners and real estate developers gaining profits from the transport infrastructure projects invested by government. First, the ceiling for the windfall gain tax is at 5% of the inflated value of property from infrastructure projects. As for benefits, this tax revenue is used by government to fund the new transit infrastructure and useful for the creation of more affordable housing and suppress the growth in land value when affordability is a critical. The inflated value of residential property is exactly affected from transport infrastructure projects. However, in fact, there are many factors related to unpredictable prices of luxurious condominiums like locational, structural and neighborhood attributes. These could be used in criteria of charging either the windfall gains tax system or other property tax systems in Bangkok. In this paper, the factors influencing the luxurious condominium prices in Bangkok CBD have been investigated. The expected outcomes should bring benefits to 3 groups of people; urban policy planners, developers and customers. Policy planners will deeply understand condominium attributes directly affecting to the inflated prices of luxurious condominium. The expected results would be their guidance to plan the policies such as property tax policy and sustainable urban development policy. At least, the factors can be set in the criteria of charging the higher rate of windfall gains tax from developers. When the city government gets more tax revenues, the infrastructure and affordable housing projects in a new town/village near urban rail stations would be subsidized in Bangkok