# RECORD f90cf5207d8f2a48c20e426cb00e7a3d92fecdbe # TITLE: The Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities on Housing Price in Urban China: New Evidence From Changsha # YEAR: 2022.0 VENUE: Frontiers in Environmental Science DOI: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.833831 # AUTHORS: Tuo-Fu Huang; Qing-Yun He; Xiao Ouyang # PAGES: 16 CANDIDATE TABLE PAGES (1-based): [8, 9] # ABSTRACT: This study takes Changsha, an emerging mega-city in China, as a sample to analyze the influence of natural amenity (NA) on housing prices during different periods. We divided the NA into four categories according to their characteristics: Green Space (GS), Wetland Park (WP), XiangRiver Scenic Belt (XR), and green ratio within a community. The housing transaction data is used to calculate the accessibility of a settlement to nearest NA via the distance. The capitalization effect of NA is investigated through a geographic weighted regression (GWR), combined with the hedonic theory. Results show that ①the impact and scope of NA on housing prices gradually expanded during years. ②As the key nature landscape of Changsha, the impact coefficient of XR has risen from 2.34% in 2012 to 5.32% in 2020. WP has a remarkable increase for affecting housing prices, rising from 1.24 to 3.65%. Effect of GS keeps in line during years, at 2.34–3.72%. And green ratio’s impact increase from 3.61 to 4.55%. ③The higher capitalization effect of NA undergoes a spatial expansion from the central area to urban fringe over time, which also implies the capitalization of NA is becoming more pronounced. ④Residential communities impacted by NA have a propensity to separate over time. This study provides a different perspective in defining the importance of natural amenities in urban habitat of modern China. ===== PAGE 1 (score 13, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 12) ===== The Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities on Housing Price in Urban China: New Evidence From Changsha Huang Tuofu 1, He Qingyun 1* and Ouyang Xiao 2* 1College of Geographic Science, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China, 2Hunan Institute of Economic Geography, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, China This study takes Changsha, an emerging mega-city in China, as a sample to analyze the influence of natural amenity (NA) on housing prices during different periods. We divided the NA into four categories according to their characteristics: Green Space (GS), Wetland Park (WP), XiangRiver Scenic Belt (XR), and green ratio within a community. The housing transaction data is used to calculate the accessibility of a settlement to nearest NA via the distance. The capitalization effect of NA is investigated through a geographic weighted regression (GWR), combined with the hedonic theory. Results show that ①the impact and scope of NA on housing prices gradually expanded during years. ②As the key nature landscape of Changsha, the impact coefficient of XR has risen from 2.34% in 2012 to 5.32% in 2020. WP has a remarkable increase for affecting housing prices, rising from 1.24 to 3.65%. Effect of GS keeps in line during years, at 2.34–3.72%. And green ratio’s impact increase from 3.61 to 4.55%. ③The higher capitalization effect of NA undergoes a spatial expansion from the central area to urban fringe over time, which also implies the capitalization of NA is becoming more pronounced. ④Residential communities impacted by NA have a propensity to separate over time. This study provides a different perspective in defining the importance of natural amenities in urban habitat of modern China. Keywords: natural amenities, hedonic theory, GWR, spatial expansion, Changsha city INTRODUCTION China has experienced a world-renowned urbanization process, with the rate growing from 16.22% in 1978 to 63.89% in 2020, and the Chinese urban landscape has changed tremendously (Yibo et al., 2020; Alix-Garcia et al., 2014). Rapid urbanization and the associated increase in vehicle traffic have many negative implications, including increased air and water pollution, noise and congestion. Physiological ailments such as chronic bronchitis and pneumonia, as well as mental problems as depression and burnout syndrome, have emerged as a significant threat to public health. However, urban settings also have features that promote health and may assist in attenuating some of the negative health implications of urban life. Natural amenities (NA) is increasingly being viewed as an essential settings for health promotion to solve city residential problems (De Vries et al., 2003; Anderson and West, 2006; Rajapaksa et al., 2017). The past decades, in particular, have seen an incline in interest for ecological, nature-based health promotion initiatives in both studies and practices. The new strategy of urban planning is to create, conserve, maintain, and develop NA across urban areas (Gómez-Baggethun and Barton, 2013; Tuofu et al., 2021). Edited by: Bao-Jie He, Chongqing University, China Reviewed by: Junsong Wang, South China University of Technology, China Jun Yang, Northeastern University, China *Correspondence: He Qingyun heqingyun1848@gmail.com Ouyang Xiao xiao.ouyang@foxmail.com Specialty section: This article was submitted to Land Use Dynamics, a section of the journal Frontiers in Environmental Science Received: 12 December 2021 Accepted: 03 February 2022 Published: 28 February 2022 Citation: Tuofu H, Qingyun H and Xiao O (2022) The Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities on Housing Price in Urban China: New Evidence From Changsha. Front. Environ. Sci. 10:833831. doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.833831 Frontiers in Environmental Science | www.frontiersin.org February 2022 | Volume 10 | Article 833831 1 ORIGINAL RESEARCH published: 28 February 2022 doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2022.833831 ===== PAGE 8 (score 18, numeric-paren 0, table-words 3, var-words 10) ===== studies. We are primarily concerned with the estimated values and trends of NA variables. Among the many structural factors influencing a property’s pricing, the green ratio has a long-term and growing impact. The house price can rise by 3.61% in 2012 and 4.38% in 2020 for each level increase in the green ratio. Moreover, the GWR’s estimate rate is increased even faster, from 3.04% in 2012 to 4.55% in 2020. Evidence shows that the requirements for nature amenities within a community of home buyers in Changsha have increased rapidly in the last decade. The influence of proximity to WP, XR and GS on housing price have progressively risen, with varying rates from OLS. XR had the most significant effect on housing prices in 2012 of all NA. Each additional kilometer of distance resulted in a 3.45% decline in housing values. At the time, wetlands had a coefficient of 1.17%, while green spaces had a coefficient of 1.98%. In 2016, XR effect coefficient climbed slightly to 3.65%, but wetlands and green spaces influence on values increased more rapidly, by 1.76% t and 2.67%, respectively. WP have the most excellent effect on values in 2020, with a coefficient of 3.34%, followed by XR and GS, with coefficients of 4.08 and 3.28%, respectively. GWR mean results of wetland, XR and green spaces have the same trend, from 2012 at 1.24, 2.34, and 2.75–3.65, 5.32, and 3.72% in 2020, respectively. The increased capitalization of the three forms of NA accessibility also shows the growing awareness of residents toward the natural environment and green recreational opportunities in the immediate vicinity. Simultaneously, the mean GWR values for all three accessibility factors are higher than OLS coefficients, indicating that the sample variables are more susceptible to the effect of housing prices. With respect to other key variables, the capitalization effects follow a different trend. CBD still determines housing prices significantly, although this influence is gradually diminishing. Each kilometer away from the CBD Wuyi square influenced 6.91% of samples’ housing prices in 2012, compared with 5.82 and 4.61% in 2016 and 2020. In GWR mean view, the results are at 8.41, 8.15, and 6.26% during the same time. The structure of Changsha city is rapidly changing, as evidenced by the fact that housing prices are decreasingly dependent on the accessibility of the city’s core. A dispersed polycentric pattern has emerged as significant NA around housing and residency are accumulating in other locations outside the core area. Neighborhood characteristics such as metro and educational institutions also have an effect on housing prices. Due to the shortage of educational facilities in China’s main cities, property ownership has become a popular market-based method of acquiring high-quality schools. Accordingly, the impact factor for quality middle schools in Changsha with GWR has increased from 3.24 to 5.72%. The metro is a major transportation route in modern China, often increasing the value of surrounding real estate. In Changsha, this impact on property prices is from 3.78% in 2012 to 4.24% in 2020. The rest variable estimates are shown with Table 4. It was easily found that statistic test values of GWR were higher for all 3 years after accounting for the spatial heterogeneity variables, indicating the advantage of GWR more suitable to deal with spatial heterogeneity. As shown in Table 5, while the R2 values of all models have fallen over time, indicating that the variables impacting housing prices are becoming more complicated. However, comparing the OLS model with the GWR model, we can see that the fitted value of GWR is much better than that of OLS, and the residual squares and standard deviations of GWR are significantly lower than those of OLS. Therefore, the GWR model fitting effect is superior to the general OLS regression effect, making it a suitable approach for analyzing the evolution of the spatial structure of residential pricing in Changsha and the evolution of heterogeneity of crucial factors. The Spatial Change of Estimates The spatial distribution of the estimated coefficients for the years 2012, 2016 and 2020 are compared to show the trend of variables. Since we focus on NA, the variables XR, WP, GS and green ratio are the main objects to study. Simultaneously, due to the accessibility to the CBD being the primary factor impacting the urban structure, we also analyze this variable. To facilitate comparison, we group the coefficient values into five average quantiles, each one covering a 20% interval in order, from the lowest to the highest. The distribution of GWR estimate value of CBD variable is shown in Figure 5. The distance between the house sample and Changsha’s CBD Wuyi Square has a negative effect on the housing prices. In terms of the spatial and temporal evolution of the coefficient values, their spatial distribution changes more noticeably and exhibits a trend throughout the three cross- sectional years. In 2012, the CBD variable had a high value in the north of Changsha’s urban core area, notably along the XiangRiver’s north coast and in the central section of Kaifu District, with a coefficient value of lower than −29% per km. The area of a strong influence of CBD variable in 2012 is relatively small, while the impact value is large. In 2016, the high-value area of CBD expanded into the center of the city, including a part of Yuhua and Tianxin districts, the northern part of Yuelu district. Although the area has expanded, the impact values have decreased, with the value is greater than −20% per km. In 2020, the CBD high-value area was mainly around Wuyi CBD and Changsha south region, while the northern part of the city, west of XR, is less severely affected. In general, the high-value region of the CBD variable expands and then contracts, progressively shifting the impact area from the north-central to the southern section of Changsha city. This change indicates that as the overall size of the city grows and polycentric structure emerges, the correlation between CBD accessibility, as an indicator, and housing prices tends to decline. The diminishing influence of the CBD on price while the increasing impact of NA accessibility on price is a sample of the evolution toward polycentric city structure. It could be implied that the development of NA is one of the driving forces in the evolution of the urban spatial structure of Changsha. The distribution of GWR estimate value of WP is shown in Figure 6. With the rapid development of wetlands amenities in Changsha, an increasing number of people are choosing to locate homes close to them, attracting more housing development with high-density. Therefore, the capitalization effect of NA on housing price increases as market develops, and this effect Frontiers in Environmental Science | www.frontiersin.org February 2022 | Volume 10 | Article 833831 8 Tuofu et al. Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities ===== PAGE 9 (score 56, numeric-paren 30, table-words 4, var-words 3) ===== reflects spatial heterogeneity over time. In 2012, the high values for the variable area of wetlands were mainly in the southern part of core city, with the high value of the local capitalization coefficient being between 3 and 7%.In 2016, the range of WP’s high impacts changed to the east of the city, and the coefficient topped 12%, higher than in 2012. House prices in Changsha TABLE 4 | 2012, 2016, 2020 Global regression results and GWR mean results. Year 2012 Year 2016 Year 2020 Variable Estimate t value Mean Estimate t value Mean Estimate t value Mean Cons 8.855364 736.1038 8.752163 8.839498 830.0295 8.841037 8.897656 546.6361 8.868051 Plotratio 0.02112* 1.565706 0.032761 0.02256 0.191491 0.01054 −0.02328** −1.70085 −0.01448 Greenratio 0.03613*** 4.05615 0.030435 0.02976*** 4.142,814 0.048289 0.04382*** 5.786237 0.045568 P.M 0.01167** 1.834622 0.019406 0.02562*** 2.349936 0.031475 0.04145*** 2.323811 0.044331 B.Age −0.01512* −1.54565 −0.047719 −0.01722** −1.69759 −0.03906 −0.01691*** −3.53801 −0.02237 Subway 0.06076*** 4.50837 0.037899 0.05351*** 4.256587 0.043836 0.05325*** 2.89867 0.042437 QP.school 0.02421* 1.35006 0.007632 0.022502 0.836127 0.022131 0.029394 0.115719 0.015944 QM.school 0.01405** 1.766699 0.03242 0.030255* 1.519839 0.038927 0.05389*** 2.380489 0.05728 d.CBD −0.06916*** −3.71642 -0.08411 −0.05889*** −3.41646 −0.08158 −0.04623*** −3.15669 −0.06261 d.Wetland −0.01178*** −2.87305 −0.01241 −0.01763*** −2.42941 −0.02419 −0.03341*** −3.11678 −0.03645 d.Xriver −0.03445*** −2.7655 −0.02342 −0.03656*** −2.4744 −0.02694 −0.04085*** −2.52188 −0.05321 d.Gspace −0.01986*** −2.22424 −0.02752 −0.02671*** −3.01611 −0.03334 −0.03286*** −2.36141 −0.03727 N 513 679 1,013 TABLE 5 | Comparison test parameters of OLS model and GWR model for 2012, 2016, 2020. 2012 2016 2020 Test model OLS GWR OLS GWR OLS GWR Classic AIC 219.39489 148.154552 200.650388 181.790936 233.869488 192.747132 AICc 220.627322 185.185672 201.810693 186.910349 235.733249 201.089886 BIC/MDL 297.742219 556.019445 286.429929 361.450754 305.074561 341.377132 CV 0.085675 0.093511 0.079155 0.077744 13.902162 9.855557 R2 0.175308 0.44046 0.192313 0.261499 0.299147 0.430731 Adjusted R2 0.150093 0.299076 0.170151 0.204694 0.266771 0.355767 Residual Ssquares 46.258981 31.385991 50.289644 45.981838 37.734529 30.649917 FIGURE 5 | Spatial and temporal variation of CBD influence coefficients in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Frontiers in Environmental Science | www.frontiersin.org February 2022 | Volume 10 | Article 833831 9 Tuofu et al. Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities ===== PAGE 10 (score 10, numeric-paren 0, table-words 0, var-words 10) ===== increased sharply from 2017 to 2020, with the extreme value of the coefficient exceeding 20% from 2020, much higher than in 2016. During this period, several well-known wetlands in Yuelu District, such as Meixi Lake and Yanghu Lake, were highly sought after by homebuyers and became a rallying point for high-priced houses, so the influence of blue on surrounding house prices increased significantly. The area of coefficient extremes is concentrated in Meixi Lake, Yanghu Lake, and the city’s east, outside the core urban area, which may imply that homebuyers are increasingly attracted to fringe blue space. Nonetheless, Yuelu district as a significant urban ecological region in Changsha has been enhanced, affecting housing prices. XR is the traditional center of Changsha’s natural landscape, and its accessibility has a significant impact on housing prices. The spatial heterogeneity variation of this effect was found via GWR during times, as shown by Figure 7. In 2012, the main impact high value area of the variable radiated is the southern area of Yuelu District outside the western ring road, with the highest coefficient value over −20%. During this period, Yanghu New Town has been gradually developed, and its main high-end properties are located along XR, which is typical of river-view buildings. At this time, on the east bank of the river, lots of older houses with poorer scenic, which are not as sensitive to distance to this river as high-end river view houses. Only few new buildings high-rise residences along the riverbank that are more affected by the landscape of XR in this region. In 2016, the high value area spread further to the east of the river and south of the city as it expanded southward with the construction of a large number of high-rise residential buildings. The concentration of high-system value properties in the southern region increased significantly, but the impact high-value diminish to about −15%. In 2020, the extreme value further decreased to about −10%. With the rise of a new residential area on the north side of the west bank of XiangRiver and the development of areas across the river, the high-value area of the access variables is further expanded. Overall, the residential neighborhoods whose house prices are affected by XR accessibility variable are more robust in the west of the river than in the east, and there is a higher density. Despite residential samples in the newly developed area being more affected by XiangRiver, the regression coefficients of the 3 years have decayed, indicating that the real influence of this accessibility variable has weakened. The green ratio is an important NA within a community, and it has a profound impact on the housing price of the community. This impact also has very obvious temporal and spatial differentiation as shown in Figure 8. In 2012, the extreme impact area of greening rate on house price was mainly distributed in the core area within the east ring road of the city as well the south city area, with the high value range between 5 and 6%.Most of the development areas of good quality properties in this period were located along with XR in the core of the city, which affected the degree of community greening. Simultaneously, there is a tendency that the surrounding NA on the east ring road is lower than in west, making property purchasers more sensitive to the NA inside community. 2016, high-value area expanded to the west bank of XR and the east part of Changsha, while the impact of the south city was significantly declined. In 2020, the number of properties covered by the high-value affection in east XR was significantly reduced. The high-value areas are mainly concentrated in several large residential groups of Meixi, Yanghu Lake and north region, with a decreasing distribution pattern of coefficient values from north to south. The average value of the estimated coefficient for those 3 years has increased gradually, which is maintained between 6 and 10%. As shown in Figure 9, the impact of green space on residential prices is broadly distributed in urban Changsha, and the high FIGURE 6 | Spatial and temporal variation of WP influenced coefficients in 2012, 2016 and 2020. Frontiers in Environmental Science | www.frontiersin.org February 2022 | Volume 10 | Article 833831 10 Tuofu et al. Capitalization Effect of Natural Amenities