% ============================================================================ % UQO Working Paper Template — Economics / Finance % ============================================================================ \documentclass[12pt,letterpaper]{article} % --- Encoding & Language --- \usepackage[utf8]{inputenc} \usepackage[T1]{fontenc} \usepackage[english]{babel} % --- Page Layout --- \usepackage[ letterpaper, top=1in, bottom=1in, left=1in, right=1in ]{geometry} % --- Typography --- \usepackage{mathptmx} % Times-like font (text + math) \usepackage{microtype} % Improved typographic refinements \usepackage{setspace} \onehalfspacing % 1.5 line spacing % --- Math --- \usepackage{amsmath,amssymb,amsthm} % --- Tables --- \usepackage{booktabs} \usepackage{tabularx} \usepackage{multirow} \usepackage{threeparttable} \usepackage{placeins} \usepackage{tikz} \usetikzlibrary{positioning,arrows.meta,fit,calc} \usepackage{siunitx} \sisetup{ input-symbols = {()}, table-format = -1.3, parse-numbers = false } % --- Figures --- \usepackage{graphicx} \usepackage{subcaption} \usepackage{float} % --- Colors & Links --- \usepackage[dvipsnames]{xcolor} \usepackage[ colorlinks = true, linkcolor = NavyBlue, citecolor = NavyBlue, urlcolor = NavyBlue, breaklinks = true ]{hyperref} \hypersetup{pdftitle={Beyond Hedonic Models: Spatiotemporal, Hierarchical and Probabilistic Architectures for Residential Real Estate Price Forecasting}, pdfauthor={}} % --- Bibliography --- \usepackage[authoryear,round,semicolon]{natbib} \bibliographystyle{aer} % --- Captions --- \usepackage[ font = small, labelfont = bf, labelsep = period, justification = justified, singlelinecheck = false ]{caption} % --- Headers & Footers --- \usepackage{fancyhdr} \pagestyle{fancy} \fancyhf{} \renewcommand{\headrulewidth}{0pt} \fancyfoot[C]{\thepage} % --- Section Formatting --- \usepackage{titlesec} \titleformat{\section}{\large\bfseries}{\thesection.}{0.5em}{} \titleformat{\subsection}{\normalsize\bfseries}{\thesubsection.}{0.5em}{} \titleformat{\subsubsection}{\normalsize\itshape}{\thesubsubsection.}{0.5em}{} % --- Appendix Support --- \usepackage[toc,page]{appendix} \usepackage{longtable} \usepackage{bm} \input{tables/numbers} \input{tables/numbers_missing} \newcommand{\E}{\mathbb{E}} \newcommand{\Var}{\mathrm{Var}} \DeclareMathOperator*{\argmin}{arg\,min} % --- Misc --- \usepackage{enumitem} \setlist{nosep,leftmargin=*} % ============================================================================ % METADATA — Edit these fields for each working paper % ============================================================================ \newcommand{\WPnumber}{23} \newcommand{\WPtitle}{Beyond Hedonic Models: Spatiotemporal, Hierarchical and Probabilistic Architectures for Residential Real Estate Price Forecasting} \newcommand{\WPsubtitle}{A pseudo-real-time evaluation on 632{,}000 Quebec transactions and 82 local market indices, 2021--2026} \newcommand{\WPdate}{October 2026} \newcommand{\WPversion}{1.0} \input{sections/abstract} \newcommand{\WPkeywords}{house price forecasting, machine learning, graph neural networks, state-space models, hierarchical Bayes, regime switching, probabilistic forecasting, Quebec} \newcommand{\WPjel}{R31, C53, C45, C11, C21, C55} % --- Author --- \newcommand{\WPauthor}{Simon-Pierre Boucher} \newcommand{\WPaffiliation}{% Département des sciences administratives\\ Université du Québec en Outaouais% } \newcommand{\WPemail}{simon-pierre.boucher@uqo.ca} \newcommand{\WPaddress}{% Gatineau -- Pavillon Alexandre-Taché\\ 283, boulevard Alexandre-Taché\\ Gatineau, Québec, Canada J9A 1L8% } % ============================================================================ % DOCUMENT % ============================================================================ \begin{document} % --- Title Page --- \input{sections/titlepage_anon} % --- Main Body --- \input{sections/introduction} \input{sections/literature} \input{sections/data} \input{sections/targets} \input{sections/architectures} \input{sections/benchmarks} \input{sections/simulation} \input{sections/framework} \input{sections/results} \input{sections/heterogeneity} \input{sections/probabilistic} \input{sections/interpretation} \input{sections/ablation} \input{sections/conclusion} % --- References --- \newpage \bibliography{references} % --- Appendix --- \input{appendix/appendix} \end{document}