% WP23 (forecasting-architectures-quebec) -- verified references only.
% Every entry was checked on 2026-10-21 against Crossref (/works/<DOI>), the arXiv API, proceedings.neurips.cc,
% jmlr.org, RePEc or the publisher page; sources and caveats are recorded in docs/literature/references_verified.json
% and docs/literature/unverified.md. The first block (42 entries) is reused verbatim from WP22
% (../sharp-hpi-quebec/paper/references.bib, verified there); the second block (110 entries) is new.
% Keys: lowercase author+year+word. natbib/aer.bst compatible; non-ASCII characters are LaTeX-escaped.

%% ===================== Block 1: entries reused from WP22 =====================

@article{caseshiller1987,
  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},
  title        = {Prices of Single-Family Homes Since 1970: New Indexes for Four Cities},
  journal      = {New England Economic Review},
  year         = {1987},
  pages        = {45--56},
  month        = {September},
  url          = {https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedbne/y1987isepp45-56.html}
}

@article{caseshiller1989,
  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},
  title        = {The Efficiency of the Market for Single-Family Homes},
  journal      = {American Economic Review},
  year         = {1989},
  volume       = {79},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {125--137},
  url          = {https://ideas.repec.org/a/aea/aecrev/v79y1989i1p125-37.html}
}

@article{hollypesaran2010,
  author       = {Holly, Sean and Pesaran, M. Hashem and Yamagata, Takashi},
  title        = {A spatio-temporal model of house prices in the {USA}},
  journal      = {Journal of Econometrics},
  year         = {2010},
  volume       = {158},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {160--173},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2010.03.040}
}

@article{pace2000spatiotemporal,
  author       = {Pace, R. Kelley and Barry, Ronald and Gilley, Otis W. and Sirmans, C. F.},
  title        = {A method for spatial--temporal forecasting with an application to real estate prices},
  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2000},
  volume       = {16},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {229--246},
  doi          = {10.1016/s0169-2070(99)00047-3}
}

@book{anselin1988,
  author       = {Anselin, Luc},
  title        = {Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models},
  year         = {1988},
  publisher    = {Kluwer Academic Publishers},
  doi          = {10.1007/978-94-015-7799-1}
}

@article{kelejianprucha2010,
  author       = {Kelejian, Harry H. and Prucha, Ingmar R.},
  title        = {Specification and estimation of spatial autoregressive models with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances},
  journal      = {Journal of Econometrics},
  year         = {2010},
  volume       = {157},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {53--67},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2009.10.025}
}

@book{lesagepace2009,
  author       = {LeSage, James and Pace, Robert Kelley},
  title        = {Introduction to Spatial Econometrics},
  year         = {2009},
  publisher    = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},
  doi          = {10.1201/9781420064254}
}

@article{hyndman2011hierarchical,
  author       = {Hyndman, Rob J. and Ahmed, Roman A. and Athanasopoulos, George and Shang, Han Lin},
  title        = {Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series},
  journal      = {Computational Statistics \& Data Analysis},
  year         = {2011},
  volume       = {55},
  number       = {9},
  pages        = {2579--2589},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.csda.2011.03.006}
}

@article{wickramasuriya2019mint,
  author       = {Wickramasuriya, Shanika L. and Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J.},
  title        = {Optimal Forecast Reconciliation for Hierarchical and Grouped Time Series Through Trace Minimization},
  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year         = {2019},
  volume       = {114},
  number       = {526},
  pages        = {804--819},
  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.2018.1448825}
}

@article{athanasopoulos2024reconciliation,
  author       = {Athanasopoulos, George and Hyndman, Rob J. and Kourentzes, Nikolaos and Panagiotelis, Anastasios},
  title        = {Forecast reconciliation: A review},
  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2024},
  volume       = {40},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {430--456},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.10.010}
}

@book{durbinkoopman2012,
  author       = {Durbin, James and Koopman, Siem Jan},
  title        = {Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods},
  year         = {2012},
  publisher    = {Oxford University Press},
  edition      = {2},
  doi          = {10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199641178.001.0001}
}

@book{harvey1989,
  author       = {Harvey, Andrew C.},
  title        = {Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the {Kalman} Filter},
  year         = {1989},
  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press},
  doi          = {10.1017/CBO9781107049994}
}

@article{kalman1960,
  author       = {Kalman, R. E.},
  title        = {A New Approach to Linear Filtering and Prediction Problems},
  journal      = {Journal of Basic Engineering},
  year         = {1960},
  volume       = {82},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {35--45},
  doi          = {10.1115/1.3662552}
}

@inproceedings{ke2017lightgbm,
  author       = {Ke, Guolin and Meng, Qi and Finley, Thomas and Wang, Taifeng and Chen, Wei and Ma, Weidong and Ye, Qiwei and Liu, Tie-Yan},
  title        = {LightGBM: A Highly Efficient Gradient Boosting Decision Tree},
  booktitle    = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30 (NIPS 2017)},
  year         = {2017},
  pages        = {3146--3154},
  url          = {https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2017/hash/6449f44a102fde848669bdd9eb6b76fa-Abstract.html}
}

@article{gatzlaffhaurin1997,
  author       = {Gatzlaff, Dean H. and Haurin, Donald R.},
  title        = {Sample Selection Bias and Repeat-Sales Index Estimates},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {1997},
  volume       = {14},
  number       = {1-2},
  pages        = {33--50},
  doi          = {10.1023/a:1007763816289}
}

@article{gatzlaffhaurin1998,
  author       = {Gatzlaff, Dean H. and Haurin, Donald R.},
  title        = {Sample Selection and Biases in Local House Value Indices},
  journal      = {Journal of Urban Economics},
  year         = {1998},
  volume       = {43},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {199--222},
  doi          = {10.1006/juec.1997.2045}
}

@article{hwangquigley2004,
  author       = {Hwang, Min and Quigley, John M.},
  title        = {Selectivity, Quality Adjustment and Mean Reversion in the Measurement of House Values},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {2004},
  volume       = {28},
  number       = {2-3},
  pages        = {161--178},
  doi          = {10.1023/b:real.0000011152.40485.12}
}

@article{clapp1991alltransactions,
  author       = {Clapp, John M. and Giaccotto, Carmelo and Tirtiroglu, Dogan},
  title        = {Housing Price Indices Based on All Transactions Compared to Repeat Subsamples},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {1991},
  volume       = {19},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {270--285},
  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.00553}
}

@book{gelmanhill2007,
  author       = {Gelman, Andrew and Hill, Jennifer},
  title        = {Data Analysis Using Regression and {Multilevel/Hierarchical} Models},
  year         = {2007},
  publisher    = {Cambridge University Press},
  doi          = {10.1017/CBO9780511790942}
}

@article{gelman2006prior,
  author       = {Gelman, Andrew},
  title        = {Prior distributions for variance parameters in hierarchical models (comment on article by Browne and Draper)},
  journal      = {Bayesian Analysis},
  year         = {2006},
  volume       = {1},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {515--534},
  doi          = {10.1214/06-ba117a}
}

@article{rosen1974,
  author       = {Rosen, Sherwin},
  title        = {Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition},
  journal      = {Journal of Political Economy},
  year         = {1974},
  volume       = {82},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {34--55},
  doi          = {10.1086/260169}
}

@article{francke2017hierarchical,
  author       = {Francke, Marc K. and van de Minne, Alex},
  title        = {The Hierarchical Repeat Sales Model for Granular Commercial Real Estate and Residential Price Indices},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {2017},
  volume       = {55},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {511--532},
  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-017-9632-1}
}

@article{francke2010thin,
  author       = {Francke, Marc K.},
  title        = {Repeat Sales Index for Thin Markets},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {2010},
  volume       = {41},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {24--52},
  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-009-9203-1}
}

@article{francke2021heterogeneity,
  author       = {Francke, Marc and van de Minne, Alex},
  title        = {Modeling unobserved heterogeneity in hedonic price models},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {2021},
  volume       = {49},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {1315--1339},
  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12320}
}

@article{bailey1963,
  author       = {Bailey, Martin J. and Muth, Richard F. and Nourse, Hugh O.},
  title        = {A Regression Method for Real Estate Price Index Construction},
  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year         = {1963},
  volume       = {58},
  number       = {304},
  pages        = {933--942},
  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1963.10480679}
}

@article{goetzmann1992,
  author       = {Goetzmann, William Nelson},
  title        = {The accuracy of real estate indices: Repeat sale estimators},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {1992},
  volume       = {5},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {5--53},
  doi          = {10.1007/bf00153997}
}

@article{clappgiaccotto1992,
  author       = {Clapp, John M. and Giaccotto, Carmelo},
  title        = {Estimating Price Indices for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods},
  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year         = {1992},
  volume       = {87},
  number       = {418},
  pages        = {300--306},
  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1992.10475209}
}

@article{bourassa2006simple,
  author       = {Bourassa, Steven C. and Hoesli, Martin and Sun, Jian},
  title        = {A simple alternative house price index method},
  journal      = {Journal of Housing Economics},
  year         = {2006},
  volume       = {15},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {80--97},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.jhe.2006.03.001}
}

@book{wood2017gam,
  author       = {Wood, Simon N.},
  title        = {Generalized Additive Models},
  year         = {2017},
  publisher    = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},
  edition      = {2},
  doi          = {10.1201/9781315370279}
}

@article{chernozhukov2018dml,
  author       = {Chernozhukov, Victor and Chetverikov, Denis and Demirer, Mert and Duflo, Esther and Hansen, Christian and Newey, Whitney and Robins, James},
  title        = {Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters},
  journal      = {The Econometrics Journal},
  year         = {2018},
  volume       = {21},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {C1-C68},
  doi          = {10.1111/ectj.12097}
}

@article{hill2013survey,
  author       = {Hill, Robert J.},
  title        = {Hedonic Price Indexes for Residential Housing: A Survey, Evaluation and Taxonomy},
  journal      = {Journal of Economic Surveys},
  year         = {2013},
  volume       = {27},
  number       = {5},
  pages        = {879--914},
  doi          = {10.1111/j.1467-6419.2012.00731.x}
}

@article{hill2026survey,
  author       = {Hill, Robert J. and Steurer, Miriam},
  title        = {Real Estate Price Measurement Since the Global Financial Crisis: Methods, Data and Policy Developments},
  journal      = {Review of Income and Wealth},
  year         = {2026},
  volume       = {72},
  number       = {1},
  doi          = {10.1111/roiw.70055},
  note         = {Article e70055}
}

@book{eurostat2013handbook,
  author       = {{Eurostat} and {ILO} and {IMF} and {OECD} and {UNECE} and {World Bank}},
  title        = {Handbook on Residential Property Price Indices ({RPPIs})},
  year         = {2013},
  publisher    = {OECD Publishing / Eurostat},
  doi          = {10.1787/9789264197183-en}
}

@article{nagaraja2011autoregressive,
  author       = {Nagaraja, Chaitra H. and Brown, Lawrence D. and Zhao, Linda H.},
  title        = {An autoregressive approach to house price modeling},
  journal      = {The Annals of Applied Statistics},
  year         = {2011},
  volume       = {5},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {124--149},
  doi          = {10.1214/10-aoas380}
}

@article{bogin2019local,
  author       = {Bogin, Alexander and Doerner, William and Larson, William},
  title        = {Local House Price Dynamics: New Indices and Stylized Facts},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {2019},
  volume       = {47},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {365--398},
  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12233}
}

@article{mcmillen2012matching,
  author       = {McMillen, Daniel P.},
  title        = {Repeat Sales as a Matching Estimator},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {2012},
  volume       = {40},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {745--773},
  doi          = {10.1111/j.1540-6229.2012.00343.x}
}

@article{fayherriot1979,
  author       = {Fay, Robert E. and Herriot, Roger A.},
  title        = {Estimates of Income for Small Places: An Application of {James-Stein} Procedures to Census Data},
  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year         = {1979},
  volume       = {74},
  number       = {366},
  pages        = {269--277},
  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1979.10482505}
}

@article{efronmorris1973,
  author       = {Efron, Bradley and Morris, Carl},
  title        = {Stein's Estimation Rule and its Competitors---An Empirical {Bayes} Approach},
  journal      = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
  year         = {1973},
  volume       = {68},
  number       = {341},
  pages        = {117--130},
  doi          = {10.1080/01621459.1973.10481350}
}

@article{francke2022daily,
  author       = {Francke, Marc and van de Minne, Alex},
  title        = {Daily appraisal of commercial real estate a new mixed frequency approach},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {2022},
  volume       = {50},
  number       = {5},
  pages        = {1257--1281},
  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.12378}
}

@article{francke2025censustract,
  author       = {Francke, Marc and Rolheiser, Lyndsey and van de Minne, Alex},
  title        = {Estimating Census Tract House Price Indexes: A New Spatial Dynamic Factor Approach},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {2025},
  volume       = {70},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {483--514},
  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-023-09957-w}
}

@article{dattalahiri2000,
  author       = {Datta, Gauri Sankar and Lahiri, Partha},
  title        = {A Unified Measure of Uncertainty of Estimated Best Linear Unbiased Predictors in Small Area Estimation Problems},
  journal      = {Statistica Sinica},
  year         = {2000},
  volume       = {10},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {613--627},
  url          = {https://www3.stat.sinica.edu.tw/statistica/J10n2/j10n214/j10n214.htm}
}

@article{pfeffermann2013sae,
  author       = {Pfeffermann, Danny},
  title        = {New Important Developments in Small Area Estimation},
  journal      = {Statistical Science},
  year         = {2013},
  volume       = {28},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {40--68},
  doi          = {10.1214/12-sts395}
}

%% ===================== Block 2: new entries verified for WP23 =====================

@article{rapachstrauss2009,
  author       = {Rapach, David E. and Strauss, Jack K.},
  title        = {Differences in housing price forecastability across US states},
  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2009},
  volume       = {25},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {351--372},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.01.009}
}

@article{borkmoller2015,
  author       = {Bork, Lasse and M{\o}ller, Stig V.},
  title        = {Forecasting house prices in the 50 states using Dynamic Model Averaging and Dynamic Model Selection},
  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2015},
  volume       = {31},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {63--78},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.05.005}
}

@incollection{ghysels2013forecasting,
  author       = {Ghysels, Eric and Plazzi, Alberto and Valkanov, Rossen and Torous, Walter},
  editor       = {Elliott, Graham and Timmermann, Allan},
  title        = {Forecasting Real Estate Prices},
  booktitle    = {Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Volume 2A},
  year         = {2013},
  volume       = {2},
  pages        = {509--580},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  doi          = {10.1016/b978-0-444-53683-9.00009-8}
}

@article{gupta2011forecasting,
  author       = {Gupta, Rangan and Kabundi, Alain and Miller, Stephen M.},
  title        = {Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals},
  journal      = {Economic Modelling},
  year         = {2011},
  volume       = {28},
  number       = {4},
  pages        = {2013--2021},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.econmod.2011.04.005}
}

@article{gupta2011large,
  author       = {Gupta, Rangan and Kabundi, Alain and Miller, Stephen},
  title        = {Using Large Data Sets to Forecast House Prices: A Case Study of Twenty U.S. States},
  journal      = {Journal of Housing Research},
  year         = {2011},
  volume       = {20},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {161--190},
  doi          = {10.1080/10835547.2011.12092042}
}

@article{plakandaras2015forecasting,
  author       = {Plakandaras, Vasilios and Gupta, Rangan and Gogas, Periklis and Papadimitriou, Theophilos},
  title        = {Forecasting the U.S. real house price index},
  journal      = {Economic Modelling},
  year         = {2015},
  volume       = {45},
  pages        = {259--267},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.econmod.2014.10.050}
}

@article{milunovich2020forecasting,
  author       = {Milunovich, George},
  title        = {Forecasting Australia's real house price index: A comparison of time series and machine learning methods},
  journal      = {Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2020},
  volume       = {39},
  number       = {7},
  pages        = {1098--1118},
  doi          = {10.1002/for.2678}
}

@article{kouwenbergzwinkels2014,
  author       = {Kouwenberg, Roy and Zwinkels, Remco},
  title        = {Forecasting the US housing market},
  journal      = {International Journal of Forecasting},
  year         = {2014},
  volume       = {30},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {415--425},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.12.010}
}

@article{caseshiller1990forecasting,
  author       = {Case, Karl E. and Shiller, Robert J.},
  title        = {Forecasting Prices and Excess Returns in the Housing Market},
  journal      = {Real Estate Economics},
  year         = {1990},
  volume       = {18},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {253--273},
  doi          = {10.1111/1540-6229.00521}
}

@article{xuzhang2022hpi,
  author       = {Xu, Xiaojie and Zhang, Yun},
  title        = {Residential housing price index forecasting via neural networks},
  journal      = {Neural Computing and Applications},
  year         = {2022},
  volume       = {34},
  number       = {17},
  pages        = {14763--14776},
  doi          = {10.1007/s00521-022-07309-y}
}

@article{yeo2025deepdfvar,
  author       = {Yeo, Jisu and Stitsyuk, Artyom and Choi, Jaesik},
  title        = {Deep-DFVAR: Dynamic factor vector autoregression with deep learning for regional house price index forecasting},
  journal      = {Neurocomputing},
  year         = {2025},
  volume       = {656},
  pages        = {131103},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.neucom.2025.131103}
}

@article{bourassa2010spatial,
  author       = {Bourassa, Steven and Cantoni, Eva and Hoesli, Martin},
  title        = {Predicting House Prices with Spatial Dependence: A Comparison of Alternative Methods},
  journal      = {Journal of Real Estate Research},
  year         = {2010},
  volume       = {32},
  number       = {2},
  pages        = {139--160},
  doi          = {10.1080/10835547.2010.12091276}
}

@article{pacehayunga2020residuals,
  author       = {Pace, R. Kelley and Hayunga, Darren},
  title        = {Examining the Information Content of Residuals from Hedonic and Spatial Models Using Trees and Forests},
  journal      = {The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics},
  year         = {2020},
  volume       = {60},
  number       = {1-2},
  pages        = {170--180},
  doi          = {10.1007/s11146-019-09724-w}
}

@article{mayer2019updating,
  author       = {Mayer, Michael and Bourassa, Steven C. and Hoesli, Martin and Scognamiglio, Donato},
  title        = {Estimation and updating methods for hedonic valuation},
  journal      = {Journal of European Real Estate Research},
  year         = {2019},
  volume       = {12},
  number       = {1},
  pages        = {134--150},
  doi          = {10.1108/jerer-08-2018-0035}
}

@article{hu2019rental,
  author       = {Hu, Lirong and He, Shenjing and Han, Zixuan and Xiao, He and Su, Shiliang and Weng, Min and Cai, Zhongliang},
  title        = {Monitoring housing rental prices based on social media: An integrated approach of machine-learning algorithms and hedonic modeling to inform equitable housing policies},
  journal      = {Land Use Policy},
  year         = {2019},
  volume       = {82},
  pages        = {657--673},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.12.030}
}

@article{kok2017bigdata,
  author       = {Kok, Nils and Koponen, Eija-Leena and Mart{\'{\i}}nez-Barbosa, Carmen Adriana},
  title        = {Big Data in Real Estate? From Manual Appraisal to Automated Valuation},
  journal      = {The Journal of Portfolio Management},
  year         = {2017},
  volume       = {43},
  number       = {6},
  pages        = {202--211},
  doi          = {10.3905/jpm.2017.43.6.202}
}

@article{baldominos2018opportunities,
  author       = {Baldominos, Alejandro and Blanco, Iv{\'a}n and Moreno, Antonio Jos{\'e} and Iturrarte, Rub{\'e}n and Bern{\'a}rdez, {\'O}scar and Afonso, Carlos},
  title        = {Identifying Real Estate Opportunities Using Machine Learning},
  journal      = {Applied Sciences},
  year         = {2018},
  volume       = {8},
  number       = {11},
  pages        = {2321},
  doi          = {10.3390/app8112321}
}

@article{hong2020randomforest,
  author       = {Hong, Jengei and Choi, Heeyoul and Kim, Woo-sung},
  title        = {A house price valuation based on the random forest approach: The mass appraisal of residential property in South Korea},
  journal      = {International Journal of Strategic Property Management},
  year         = {2020},
  volume       = {24},
  number       = {3},
  pages        = {140--152},
  doi          = {10.3846/ijspm.2020.11544}
}

@article{lorenz2023interpretable,
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@techreport{boucher2026sharphpi,
  author      = {Boucher, Simon-Pierre},
  title       = {{SHARP-HPI}: A Spatially Hierarchical, Adaptive and Robust Framework for Quality-Adjusted Housing Price Indices},
  institution = {Universit\'e du Qu\'ebec en Outaouais, D\'epartement des sciences administratives},
  type        = {Working Paper},
  number      = {22},
  year        = {2026}
}