\begin{table}[htbp]
\centering\scriptsize
\caption{Task B robustness at the municipality level, horizon 3: MAE (×100) under alternative designs}\label{tab:robust_b}
\resizebox{\textwidth}{!}{%
\begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr}
\toprule
Model & Expanding (baseline) & Rolling 24 origins & Cells with $n \ge 10$ & Winsorised target & Seed 1 & Seed 2 & Bandwidth 30 / 120 km \\
\midrule
No change & 4.38 & 4.38 & 4.40 & 4.24 & — & — & — \\
Momentum & 4.39 & 4.38 & 4.40 & 4.25 & — & — & — \\
AR(2), cell & 3.95 & 3.92 & 4.06 & 3.82 & — & — & — \\
Ridge (panel) & 3.73 & 3.52 & 3.63 & 3.59 & — & — & — \\
QANSS & 3.75 & 3.88 & 3.69 & 3.72 & 3.96 & 3.87 & — \\
TFT-lite & 4.33 & 4.46 & 4.12 & 4.21 & 4.51 & 4.83 & — \\
DSGFN & 3.76 & 3.90 & 3.83 & 3.76 & 4.05 & 3.66 & — \\
DSGFN, bandwidth 30 km & — & — & — & — & — & — & 4.00 \\
DSGFN, bandwidth 120 km & — & — & — & — & — & — & 3.98 \\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}}
\par\vspace{3pt}\parbox{\textwidth}{\footnotesize Rolling: models estimated on the 24 most recent origins only. Seeds: neural models re-estimated with different random seeds (the baseline is seed 0). Winsorised: targets clipped at the 1st and 99th percentiles in training and test.}
\end{table}