model,h,tau,share_below
dsgfn,1,0.05,0.15448361162646876
dsgfn,1,0.25,0.4432900432900433
dsgfn,1,0.5,0.6268398268398269
dsgfn,1,0.75,0.7742733457019171
dsgfn,1,0.95,0.933704390847248
rw_drift,6,0.05,0.07134693877551021
rw_drift,6,0.25,0.3743673469387755
rw_drift,6,0.5,0.6566530612244897
rw_drift,6,0.75,0.8659591836734694
rw_drift,6,0.95,0.9825306122448979
qrefa,6,0.05,0.14220408163265305
qrefa,6,0.25,0.4737959183673469
qrefa,6,0.5,0.7000816326530612
qrefa,6,0.75,0.8413061224489796
qrefa,6,0.95,0.9604897959183674
seasonal_naive,12,0.05,0.11711145996860282
seasonal_naive,12,0.25,0.6291993720565149
seasonal_naive,12,0.5,0.8295133437990581
seasonal_naive,12,0.75,0.9309262166405023
seasonal_naive,12,0.95,0.9858712715855573
local_linear_trend,12,0.05,0.031711145996860285
local_linear_trend,12,0.25,0.28414442700156983
local_linear_trend,12,0.5,0.6043956043956044
local_linear_trend,12,0.75,0.8640502354788069
local_linear_trend,12,0.95,0.9808477237048666
qrefa,12,0.05,0.45965463108320254
qrefa,12,0.25,0.7456828885400314
qrefa,12,0.5,0.8671899529042386
qrefa,12,0.75,0.9346938775510204
qrefa,12,0.95,0.9726844583987441
tcn,6,0.05,0.16424489795918368
tcn,6,0.25,0.52
tcn,6,0.5,0.7126530612244898
tcn,6,0.75,0.8199183673469388
tcn,6,0.95,0.913469387755102
momentum,3,0.05,0.03949967083607637
momentum,3,0.25,0.23673469387755103
momentum,3,0.5,0.4795260039499671
momentum,3,0.75,0.7524687294272547
momentum,3,0.95,0.9627386438446346
qrefa,3,0.05,0.11994733377221857
qrefa,3,0.25,0.423963133640553
qrefa,3,0.5,0.6556945358788677
qrefa,3,0.75,0.8446346280447663
qrefa,3,0.95,0.9684002633311389
gru,6,0.05,0.1046530612244898
gru,6,0.25,0.44179591836734694
gru,6,0.5,0.6742857142857143
gru,6,0.75,0.8055510204081633
gru,6,0.95,0.9133061224489796
ar2_cell,1,0.05,0.04465058750773036
ar2_cell,1,0.25,0.2649350649350649
ar2_cell,1,0.5,0.5099567099567099
ar2_cell,1,0.75,0.7574520717377861
ar2_cell,1,0.95,0.9536178107606679
ar2_cell,3,0.05,0.04331797235023042
ar2_cell,3,0.25,0.2371296905859118
ar2_cell,3,0.5,0.48834759710335746
ar2_cell,3,0.75,0.7579986833443054
ar2_cell,3,0.95,0.9640552995391705
rw_drift,12,0.05,0.11711145996860282
rw_drift,12,0.25,0.6291993720565149
rw_drift,12,0.5,0.8295133437990581
rw_drift,12,0.75,0.9309262166405023
rw_drift,12,0.95,0.9858712715855573
qrefa,1,0.05,0.09548546691403834
qrefa,1,0.25,0.3358070500927644
qrefa,1,0.5,0.577365491651206
qrefa,1,0.75,0.7709338280766852
qrefa,1,0.95,0.9500309214594929
local_linear_trend,6,0.05,0.03183673469387755
local_linear_trend,6,0.25,0.24979591836734694
local_linear_trend,6,0.5,0.5670204081632653
local_linear_trend,6,0.75,0.8355918367346938
local_linear_trend,6,0.95,0.9800816326530613
ridge_panel,1,0.05,0.05640074211502783
ridge_panel,1,0.25,0.3435992578849722
ridge_panel,1,0.5,0.6027210884353742
ridge_panel,1,0.75,0.7898577612863327
ridge_panel,1,0.95,0.953865182436611
rw_drift,3,0.05,0.05766951942067149
rw_drift,3,0.25,0.2976958525345622
rw_drift,3,0.5,0.5684002633311389
rw_drift,3,0.75,0.8034233048057933
rw_drift,3,0.95,0.9748518762343648
qanss,3,0.05,0.017116524028966424
qanss,3,0.25,0.15470704410796576
qanss,3,0.5,0.46346280447662935
qanss,3,0.75,0.8313364055299539
qanss,3,0.95,0.9847267939433838
lstm,12,0.05,0.343171114599686
lstm,12,0.25,0.7167974882260597
lstm,12,0.5,0.8558869701726844
lstm,12,0.75,0.9588697017268446
lstm,12,0.95,0.9802197802197802
mean_growth,3,0.05,0.050032916392363395
mean_growth,3,0.25,0.25385121790651743
mean_growth,3,0.5,0.5008558262014483
mean_growth,3,0.75,0.7583936800526663
mean_growth,3,0.95,0.9560236998025017
momentum,1,0.05,0.043042671614100185
momentum,1,0.25,0.2561533704390847
momentum,1,0.5,0.5098330241187384
momentum,1,0.75,0.7605442176870748
momentum,1,0.95,0.9583178726035869
bhpf,1,0.05,0.05615337043908473
bhpf,1,0.25,0.2504638218923933
bhpf,1,0.5,0.5959183673469388
bhpf,1,0.75,0.8368583797155226
bhpf,1,0.95,0.9605442176870749
mean_growth,6,0.05,0.045224489795918366
mean_growth,6,0.25,0.27591836734693875
mean_growth,6,0.5,0.5578775510204081
mean_growth,6,0.75,0.7941224489795918
mean_growth,6,0.95,0.9688163265306122
gru,3,0.05,0.12086899275839368
gru,3,0.25,0.41382488479262675
gru,3,0.5,0.6117182356813693
gru,3,0.75,0.7747202106649111
gru,3,0.95,0.9306122448979591
momentum,6,0.05,0.04212244897959184
momentum,6,0.25,0.2553469387755102
momentum,6,0.5,0.5106938775510204
momentum,6,0.75,0.7768163265306123
momentum,6,0.95,0.9707755102040816
seasonal_naive,1,0.05,0.04625850340136054
seasonal_naive,1,0.25,0.2664192949907236
seasonal_naive,1,0.5,0.535064935064935
seasonal_naive,1,0.75,0.7752628324056895
seasonal_naive,1,0.95,0.956091527520099
mlp_panel,12,0.05,0.6351648351648351
mlp_panel,12,0.25,0.921193092621664
mlp_panel,12,0.5,0.9701726844583988
mlp_panel,12,0.75,0.9902668759811617
mlp_panel,12,0.95,0.9974882260596546
ar2_cell,12,0.05,0.07566718995290424
ar2_cell,12,0.25,0.3315541601255887
ar2_cell,12,0.5,0.5711145996860283
ar2_cell,12,0.75,0.7959183673469388
ar2_cell,12,0.95,0.9616954474097331
local_linear_trend,1,0.05,0.046753246753246755
local_linear_trend,1,0.25,0.2586270871985158
local_linear_trend,1,0.5,0.527643784786642
local_linear_trend,1,0.75,0.7860235003092146
local_linear_trend,1,0.95,0.9586889301175016
bhpf,3,0.05,0.06872942725477288
bhpf,3,0.25,0.3479921000658328
bhpf,3,0.5,0.6647794601711653
bhpf,3,0.75,0.8758393680052666
bhpf,3,0.95,0.969980250164582
lstm,1,0.05,0.1552257266542981
lstm,1,0.25,0.3971552257266543
lstm,1,0.5,0.5512677798392084
lstm,1,0.75,0.6963512677798392
lstm,1,0.95,0.843661100803958
tcn,12,0.05,0.2693877551020408
tcn,12,0.25,0.7620094191522763
tcn,12,0.5,0.8926216640502355
tcn,12,0.75,0.9604395604395605
tcn,12,0.95,0.9883830455259026
no_change,3,0.05,0.044502962475312706
no_change,3,0.25,0.2455562870309414
no_change,3,0.5,0.49387755102040815
no_change,3,0.75,0.7628703094140882
no_change,3,0.95,0.9636603028308097
gru,1,0.05,0.14867037724180582
gru,1,0.25,0.37105751391465674
gru,1,0.5,0.5303648732220161
gru,1,0.75,0.6931354359925789
gru,1,0.95,0.8520717377860235
gru,12,0.05,0.22543171114599686
gru,12,0.25,0.7416012558869701
gru,12,0.5,0.8885400313971743
gru,12,0.75,0.9620094191522763
gru,12,0.95,0.9896389324960754
ar2_cell,6,0.05,0.0393469387755102
ar2_cell,6,0.25,0.26481632653061227
ar2_cell,6,0.5,0.5258775510204081
ar2_cell,6,0.75,0.7818775510204081
ar2_cell,6,0.95,0.9714285714285714
tcn,1,0.05,0.1614100185528757
tcn,1,0.25,0.3586889301175015
tcn,1,0.5,0.5094619666048238
tcn,1,0.75,0.6603586889301175
tcn,1,0.95,0.8549165120593692
lightgbm_panel,6,0.05,0.15836734693877552
lightgbm_panel,6,0.25,0.4406530612244898
lightgbm_panel,6,0.5,0.6052244897959184
lightgbm_panel,6,0.75,0.7466122448979592
lightgbm_panel,6,0.95,0.896
lstm,3,0.05,0.18841342988808427
lstm,3,0.25,0.4699144173798552
lstm,3,0.5,0.6372613561553654
lstm,3,0.75,0.7826201448321264
lstm,3,0.95,0.9074391046741277
mlp_panel,6,0.05,0.27118367346938776
mlp_panel,6,0.25,0.5312653061224489
mlp_panel,6,0.5,0.7128163265306122
mlp_panel,6,0.75,0.8137142857142857
mlp_panel,6,0.95,0.9049795918367347
raref,3,0.05,0.0901909150757077
raref,3,0.25,0.4119815668202765
raref,3,0.5,0.6558262014483213
raref,3,0.75,0.8293614219881501
raref,3,0.95,0.976036866359447
mlp_panel,1,0.05,0.15955473098330242
mlp_panel,1,0.25,0.3882498453927025
mlp_panel,1,0.5,0.5609152752009895
mlp_panel,1,0.75,0.7076066790352504
mlp_panel,1,0.95,0.878169449598021
lstm,6,0.05,0.15983673469387755
lstm,6,0.25,0.4257959183673469
lstm,6,0.5,0.6202448979591837
lstm,6,0.75,0.7823673469387755
lstm,6,0.95,0.8775510204081632
no_change,1,0.05,0.04440321583178726
no_change,1,0.25,0.2612244897959184
no_change,1,0.5,0.5151515151515151
no_change,1,0.75,0.7675943104514533
no_change,1,0.95,0.9572047000618429
dsgfn,3,0.05,0.19947333772218565
dsgfn,3,0.25,0.47518104015799867
dsgfn,3,0.5,0.6736010533245557
dsgfn,3,0.75,0.8169848584595129
dsgfn,3,0.95,0.9289005924950625
bhpf,12,0.05,0.4640502354788069
bhpf,12,0.25,0.759497645211931
bhpf,12,0.5,0.858712715855573
bhpf,12,0.75,0.9287284144427002
bhpf,12,0.95,0.9673469387755103
qanss,6,0.05,0.017142857142857144
qanss,6,0.25,0.144
qanss,6,0.5,0.42612244897959184
qanss,6,0.75,0.7634285714285715
qanss,6,0.95,0.9706122448979592
raref,1,0.05,0.060482374768089056
raref,1,0.25,0.36277056277056274
raref,1,0.5,0.6160791589363018
raref,1,0.75,0.8085343228200371
raref,1,0.95,0.95856524427953
tcn,3,0.05,0.17116524028966426
tcn,3,0.25,0.4551678736010533
tcn,3,0.5,0.6201448321263989
tcn,3,0.75,0.7346938775510204
tcn,3,0.95,0.8858459512837393
ridge_panel,3,0.05,0.07834101382488479
ridge_panel,3,0.25,0.4131665569453588
ridge_panel,3,0.5,0.6516129032258065
ridge_panel,3,0.75,0.8338380513495721
ridge_panel,3,0.95,0.9741935483870968
tft_lite,12,0.05,0.37331240188383047
tft_lite,12,0.25,0.598116169544741
tft_lite,12,0.5,0.7434850863422292
tft_lite,12,0.75,0.8455259026687598
tft_lite,12,0.95,0.9368916797488226
momentum,12,0.05,0.07346938775510205
momentum,12,0.25,0.34097331240188383
momentum,12,0.5,0.5808477237048666
momentum,12,0.75,0.792778649921507
momentum,12,0.95,0.9626373626373627
qanss,12,0.05,0.03108320251177394
qanss,12,0.25,0.23296703296703297
qanss,12,0.5,0.5444270015698587
qanss,12,0.75,0.7682888540031397
qanss,12,0.95,0.9591836734693877
mean_growth,12,0.05,0.11773940345368916
mean_growth,12,0.25,0.3990580847723705
mean_growth,12,0.5,0.5912087912087912
mean_growth,12,0.75,0.7500784929356358
mean_growth,12,0.95,0.9161695447409733
qanss,1,0.05,0.011626468769325913
qanss,1,0.25,0.11935683364254793
qanss,1,0.5,0.4795299938157081
qanss,1,0.75,0.8711193568336425
qanss,1,0.95,0.9882498453927026
tft_lite,3,0.05,0.14193548387096774
tft_lite,3,0.25,0.39855167873601055
tft_lite,3,0.5,0.5673469387755102
tft_lite,3,0.75,0.710862409479921
tft_lite,3,0.95,0.8703094140882159
seasonal_naive,6,0.05,0.05551020408163265
seasonal_naive,6,0.25,0.3586938775510204
seasonal_naive,6,0.5,0.678530612244898
seasonal_naive,6,0.75,0.8821224489795918
seasonal_naive,6,0.95,0.9774693877551021
ridge_panel,6,0.05,0.11885714285714286
ridge_panel,6,0.25,0.5044897959183674
ridge_panel,6,0.5,0.7154285714285714
ridge_panel,6,0.75,0.8408163265306122
ridge_panel,6,0.95,0.9529795918367346
no_change,6,0.05,0.03836734693877551
no_change,6,0.25,0.2558367346938776
no_change,6,0.5,0.5446530612244898
no_change,6,0.75,0.8045714285714286
no_change,6,0.95,0.9750204081632653
no_change,12,0.05,0.07912087912087912
no_change,12,0.25,0.3478806907378336
no_change,12,0.5,0.5808477237048666
no_change,12,0.75,0.7978021978021979
no_change,12,0.95,0.9620094191522763
dsgfn,6,0.05,0.24522448979591838
dsgfn,6,0.25,0.5373061224489796
dsgfn,6,0.5,0.7422040816326531
dsgfn,6,0.75,0.8726530612244898
dsgfn,6,0.95,0.963265306122449
lightgbm_panel,3,0.05,0.11823568136932192
lightgbm_panel,3,0.25,0.3400921658986175
lightgbm_panel,3,0.5,0.5252139565503621
lightgbm_panel,3,0.75,0.6820276497695853
lightgbm_panel,3,0.95,0.8808426596445029
lightgbm_panel,12,0.05,0.2599686028257457
lightgbm_panel,12,0.25,0.5676609105180533
lightgbm_panel,12,0.5,0.7186813186813187
lightgbm_panel,12,0.75,0.8213500784929356
lightgbm_panel,12,0.95,0.9224489795918367
tft_lite,1,0.05,0.15967841682127396
tft_lite,1,0.25,0.3767470624613482
tft_lite,1,0.5,0.5523809523809524
tft_lite,1,0.75,0.6935064935064935
tft_lite,1,0.95,0.8481137909709339
raref,6,0.05,0.11787755102040816
raref,6,0.25,0.488
raref,6,0.5,0.7103673469387755
raref,6,0.75,0.8409795918367347
raref,6,0.95,0.9531428571428572
rw_drift,1,0.05,0.04638218923933209
rw_drift,1,0.25,0.27804576376004947
rw_drift,1,0.5,0.5452071737786024
rw_drift,1,0.75,0.7888682745825603
rw_drift,1,0.95,0.9641311069882499
bhpf,6,0.05,0.12457142857142857
bhpf,6,0.25,0.4336326530612245
bhpf,6,0.5,0.6901224489795919
bhpf,6,0.75,0.8448979591836735
bhpf,6,0.95,0.9513469387755102
dsgfn,12,0.05,0.5356357927786499
dsgfn,12,0.25,0.78712715855573
dsgfn,12,0.5,0.8976452119309262
dsgfn,12,0.75,0.9513343799058085
dsgfn,12,0.95,0.9808477237048666
lightgbm_panel,1,0.05,0.11020408163265306
lightgbm_panel,1,0.25,0.31440940012368584
lightgbm_panel,1,0.5,0.49004329004329006
lightgbm_panel,1,0.75,0.6589981447124305
lightgbm_panel,1,0.95,0.8779220779220779
seasonal_naive,3,0.05,0.04990125082290981
seasonal_naive,3,0.25,0.2608294930875576
seasonal_naive,3,0.5,0.5815668202764976
seasonal_naive,3,0.75,0.8238314680710994
seasonal_naive,3,0.95,0.9673469387755103
local_linear_trend,3,0.05,0.04845292955892034
local_linear_trend,3,0.25,0.25055957867017775
local_linear_trend,3,0.5,0.5296905859117841
local_linear_trend,3,0.75,0.797761685319289
local_linear_trend,3,0.95,0.9644502962475313
raref,12,0.05,0.4932496075353218
raref,12,0.25,0.8172684458398745
raref,12,0.5,0.915541601255887
raref,12,0.75,0.9616954474097331
raref,12,0.95,0.9930926216640502
tft_lite,6,0.05,0.24979591836734694
tft_lite,6,0.25,0.5631020408163265
tft_lite,6,0.5,0.718530612244898
tft_lite,6,0.75,0.8285714285714286
tft_lite,6,0.95,0.9296326530612244
mlp_panel,3,0.05,0.21909150757077026
mlp_panel,3,0.25,0.5206056616194865
mlp_panel,3,0.5,0.6749177090190915
mlp_panel,3,0.75,0.808953258722844
mlp_panel,3,0.95,0.9452271231073074
mean_growth,1,0.05,0.04613481756338899
mean_growth,1,0.25,0.2623376623376623
mean_growth,1,0.5,0.5181199752628324
mean_growth,1,0.75,0.7703153988868274
mean_growth,1,0.95,0.9558441558441558
ridge_panel,12,0.05,0.5152276295133438
ridge_panel,12,0.25,0.8345368916797489
ridge_panel,12,0.5,0.9259026687598116
ridge_panel,12,0.75,0.9664050235478807
ridge_panel,12,0.95,0.9934065934065934