model,h,n,share_declines,brier_decline,brier_skill_decline,brier_up2,brier_skill_up2
lightgbm_panel,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.21928315987886524,0.08872299497677905,0.16602721493965827,0.16080006570522476
bhpf,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.2262226156087177,0.059884636219615484,0.20689922180995976,-0.045791278325443274
raref,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.2263580566698373,0.05932178258050147,0.2063321071697286,-0.042924744853852115
qanss,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.22645550875210235,0.05891680008340128,0.18874635846549534,0.04596405065163578
ridge_panel,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.23086390147832278,0.0405968026757777,0.20547466973824036,-0.03859074794600592
qrefa,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.2337368979738533,0.02865746523036905,0.18507937349305467,0.0644991658076094
momentum,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.23958857411434503,0.0043396019224029025,0.19481552858723092,0.01528686818347591
ar2_cell,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.24384632106023515,-0.013354355457365186,0.19702025994953787,0.004142849324531128
no_change,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.24396272041604133,-0.013838077309988428,0.20166772001319344,-0.01934816798534089
mean_growth,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.24942067068227392,-0.03651973045164181,0.20371291997321644,-0.029685820596659918
dsgfn,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.25163348443506117,-0.04571554051944671,0.20840285288943008,-0.05339152087335153
tft_lite,1,8085,0.40321583178726034,0.2752026233492194,-0.14366202365356018,0.21536105027536884,-0.08856237398446432
qrefa,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.1755423848803094,0.17217788380531418,0.2120256017216914,0.1514367265423916
lightgbm_panel,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.18074860316943936,0.14762641924353548,0.20701061189976058,0.1715075865946607
dsgfn,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.18185853205787755,0.14239222077984814,0.23544214062476757,0.05771967188818994
bhpf,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.18411549152556178,0.13174885983896834,0.2173244448875677,0.1302298361203731
ridge_panel,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.18794442747989878,0.1136923781143161,0.22027454388065595,0.11842302770539259
raref,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.1938523074308455,0.08583202013552083,0.22740925436197365,0.08986867751354088
qanss,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.1967151549893861,0.07233141442214985,0.21603966154442186,0.1353717621448287
momentum,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.2053672870591195,0.03152972265724541,0.242168533721719,0.03079947876734268
ar2_cell,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.2077906270383743,0.020101745127751758,0.24581113351998804,0.016221161886665003
no_change,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.2166040584200815,-0.021460601323882278,0.25511032851350995,-0.02099583115637982
tft_lite,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.22336772133246965,-0.053356657362874316,0.24771557462211855,0.008599257915594904
mean_growth,3,7595,0.3052007899934167,0.22572834638583555,-0.0644888840815212,0.2640650311468166,-0.05683410595742133
qrefa,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.16559324812586895,0.06275376866440074,0.22289448379821586,0.051618700095309555
dsgfn,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.1700969499809324,0.03726313037757356,0.24097467928995442,-0.025309714689996987
momentum,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.17065191714194894,0.03412205496499143,0.22268768341483686,0.05249860350551372
lightgbm_panel,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.17402607745011303,0.01502454302812084,0.23906653164814418,-0.017190843778017273
ar2_cell,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.17619756964515887,0.0027340487041348505,0.23214222525077768,0.012271001083149047
no_change,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.17859085236866623,-0.010811764537132396,0.23696632312850274,-0.00825478375541211
bhpf,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.17881543407288783,-0.012082881314482208,0.23447121970524365,0.002361492554455169
qanss,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.18148693988984244,-0.027203417853681078,0.22348342244046165,0.0491128579336757
raref,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.18464495469516598,-0.045077561324444515,0.2434499129028816,-0.035841448052769787
tft_lite,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.18565414246188722,-0.0507894936753972,0.25361836227583107,-0.07910661581287948
ridge_panel,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.18599398866111114,-0.05271299945272356,0.24948469088186243,-0.06151848808900162
mean_growth,6,6125,0.22922448979591836,0.1867070568828642,-0.056748915838729985,0.24253306773348074,-0.03194041470842324
ar2_cell,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.08904263744412978,-0.007689350034670195,0.15212649134579986,-0.013257499059329936
momentum,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.08926895858318873,-0.01025061066287769,0.15198940606671982,-0.01234442543349612
no_change,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.08950572832216319,-0.012930117371388716,0.1529014133400336,-0.018418963804208044
lightgbm_panel,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.0901163254482887,-0.01984020268354625,0.16207171593128789,-0.0794989097559633
raref,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.09446081461915624,-0.06900648520264951,0.17348894611644758,-0.15554479763030415
ridge_panel,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.0946304231330352,-0.07092593298650796,0.17411600923673923,-0.15972142987494586
tft_lite,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.09496108208330867,-0.074667977385106,0.17414281150092037,-0.15989994970362953
dsgfn,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.09582739220659943,-0.08447194894440635,0.17380776213872323,-0.15766831157276906
qrefa,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.09657975733218348,-0.0929864128703457,0.17547144593644534,-0.168749485332792
bhpf,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.09708369011912137,-0.0986893852564592,0.17534334892722206,-0.16789627920114247
mean_growth,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.0985618819366152,-0.11541797949572552,0.16636592700161326,-0.10810103901733004
qanss,12,3185,0.09795918367346938,0.17994451392381264,-1.0364195792377173,0.2384506757870825,-0.5882305130394183