model,h,year,mae,n,mae_nc,mase
momentum,1,2023,0.01875510620294524,245,0.019399220851790355,0.9667968804641106
ar2_cell,1,2023,0.019029691254125517,245,0.019399220851790355,0.9809513175561
mean_growth,1,2023,0.019128884539905824,245,0.019399220851790355,0.9860645788843843
qrefa,1,2023,0.019269343680867225,245,0.019399220851790355,0.9933050315826915
no_change,1,2023,0.019399220851790355,245,0.019399220851790355,1.0
lightgbm_panel,1,2023,0.019688002423057,245,0.019399220851790355,1.014886245868993
tft_lite,1,2023,0.019721600954876666,245,0.019399220851790355,1.0166181985116458
dsgfn,1,2023,0.020547377566828343,245,0.019399220851790355,1.0591857128598041
qanss,1,2023,0.020949606768917033,245,0.019399220851790355,1.0799200096216026
ridge_panel,1,2023,0.02162602557085507,245,0.019399220851790355,1.114788358567463
raref,1,2023,0.021899676050996308,245,0.019399220851790355,1.1288946199597076
bhpf,1,2023,0.021940981879162384,245,0.019399220851790355,1.13102387187563
lightgbm_panel,1,2024,0.022929780614466187,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.8506106265879574
qanss,1,2024,0.025465507935211424,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9446767950097578
raref,1,2024,0.02601839804787542,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9651869871077452
qrefa,1,2024,0.026030149385737306,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9656229185730308
ridge_panel,1,2024,0.02637849511261528,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9785452653669628
bhpf,1,2024,0.02655415346138175,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9850615448125406
ar2_cell,1,2024,0.026697723981902538,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9903874837071631
mean_growth,1,2024,0.026853224718508848,2940,0.026956847113989272,0.9961559897920462
no_change,1,2024,0.026956847113989272,2940,0.026956847113989272,1.0
momentum,1,2024,0.02742700824496941,2940,0.026956847113989272,1.0174412507884183
dsgfn,1,2024,0.02864047278652051,2940,0.026956847113989272,1.0624563275301404
tft_lite,1,2024,0.03221714449799074,2940,0.026956847113989272,1.1951377088632755
lightgbm_panel,1,2025,0.02081433039271779,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.8881583033840128
qanss,1,2025,0.021567640907056,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9203024548273877
qrefa,1,2025,0.021733023804899436,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9273594290939607
raref,1,2025,0.022179632803956448,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9464164673649245
ridge_panel,1,2025,0.02229720149095217,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9514331843864694
bhpf,1,2025,0.022298837349215568,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.951502987309378
ar2_cell,1,2025,0.022531312254341008,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9614228124212061
mean_growth,1,2025,0.02303832068262835,2940,0.023435383437177982,0.9830571257511524
no_change,1,2025,0.023435383437177982,2940,0.023435383437177982,1.0
momentum,1,2025,0.023547562679703885,2940,0.023435383437177982,1.0047867466229694
tft_lite,1,2025,0.024381041718639706,2940,0.023435383437177982,1.040351730706549
dsgfn,1,2025,0.02458781798661421,2940,0.023435383437177982,1.0491749816052935
lightgbm_panel,1,2026,0.020761723680854126,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.8675936141156297
qanss,1,2026,0.0217881304818662,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9104852352416793
dsgfn,1,2026,0.021973573547148115,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9182345542141203
bhpf,1,2026,0.022828015654565048,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9539400923198049
ridge_panel,1,2026,0.023067393935297924,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9639432631024573
qrefa,1,2026,0.023373189680854427,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9767218955583553
raref,1,2026,0.023482581478361547,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9812931742446875
momentum,1,2026,0.02350714138975373,1960,0.02393024031420208,0.9823194870217309
no_change,1,2026,0.02393024031420208,1960,0.02393024031420208,1.0
ar2_cell,1,2026,0.02402754208819278,1960,0.02393024031420208,1.00406605920848
mean_growth,1,2026,0.024387305611625013,1960,0.02393024031420208,1.0190999041974382
tft_lite,1,2026,0.024713221025255982,1960,0.02393024031420208,1.032719299964122
dsgfn,3,2023,0.027729231741380242,245,0.03746327381343818,0.7401710773988387
ar2_cell,3,2023,0.028669378127765863,245,0.03746327381343818,0.7652662250110687
qrefa,3,2023,0.02883588293892151,245,0.03746327381343818,0.7697107060776412
tft_lite,3,2023,0.030699696334136394,245,0.03746327381343818,0.8194611204300123
qanss,3,2023,0.03164254997007272,245,0.03746327381343818,0.8446285321365173
lightgbm_panel,3,2023,0.03167031245660157,245,0.03746327381343818,0.8453695908775953
ridge_panel,3,2023,0.03276907119091106,245,0.03746327381343818,0.8746985475454284
raref,3,2023,0.032924285476187275,245,0.03746327381343818,0.8788416527649338
momentum,3,2023,0.0357234528248493,245,0.03746327381343818,0.9535592912340511
bhpf,3,2023,0.035859985056200055,245,0.03746327381343818,0.9572037199625885
mean_growth,3,2023,0.03628818839538027,245,0.03746327381343818,0.9686336697665646
no_change,3,2023,0.03746327381343818,245,0.03746327381343818,1.0
ridge_panel,3,2024,0.03231007581948012,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.734569470599105
raref,3,2024,0.03247168930838793,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.7382437527534387
bhpf,3,2024,0.033248823912262034,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.7559119054913491
lightgbm_panel,3,2024,0.03351291021047068,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.7619159066379713
qrefa,3,2024,0.03390558453505283,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.7708433561536503
qanss,3,2024,0.03482635491060987,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.7917770677021846
ar2_cell,3,2024,0.037802365246972204,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.8594366531978376
dsgfn,3,2024,0.03914566896731361,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.8899766589910173
mean_growth,3,2024,0.04147218036626793,2940,0.04398505126156204,0.9428698882183622
no_change,3,2024,0.04398505126156204,2940,0.04398505126156204,1.0
momentum,3,2024,0.04529206381583636,2940,0.04398505126156204,1.0297149262485117
tft_lite,3,2024,0.050559717664568925,2940,0.04398505126156204,1.1494750196813435
lightgbm_panel,3,2025,0.030723064419900307,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.7804248029747178
qanss,3,2025,0.03404144656337354,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.8647180783824098
qrefa,3,2025,0.03569301263253824,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9066710263862787
raref,3,2025,0.035845816998700916,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.910552550563891
ridge_panel,3,2025,0.036345302381531205,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9232404379489654
tft_lite,3,2025,0.0365696032570243,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9289381106866617
bhpf,3,2025,0.03660760173834244,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9299033450425431
dsgfn,3,2025,0.037552740752921435,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9539116900160595
ar2_cell,3,2025,0.03784663473427941,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9613771612126173
mean_growth,3,2025,0.03814944088616681,2940,0.0393671040474294,0.9690690186457315
no_change,3,2025,0.0393671040474294,2940,0.0393671040474294,1.0
momentum,3,2025,0.03993135853251023,2940,0.0393671040474294,1.014333146893432
lightgbm_panel,3,2026,0.02951116781710869,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.678174864147418
dsgfn,3,2026,0.032456385336691145,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.7458567838737352
qrefa,3,2026,0.03273787925883727,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.7523255926851269
tft_lite,3,2026,0.034101513277421724,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.7836622826132084
qanss,3,2026,0.03692153611658637,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.8484671936792616
ar2_cell,3,2026,0.03815940237794308,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.8769137054822129
bhpf,3,2026,0.03886380273461405,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.8931010220652519
ridge_panel,3,2026,0.03894868063601005,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.8950515399032812
mean_growth,3,2026,0.041291912598110846,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.9488996636851643
momentum,3,2026,0.042558566260753244,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.9780077179955851
raref,3,2026,0.04292336989254306,1470,0.04351557301406221,0.9863910071613264
no_change,3,2026,0.04351557301406221,1470,0.04351557301406221,1.0
lightgbm_panel,6,2024,0.03848086935682741,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.6804361934243677
ar2_cell,6,2024,0.041130379880955394,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.7272860407798974
qrefa,6,2024,0.0424958951839152,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.7514317019964583
dsgfn,6,2024,0.043489544854635916,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.7690018663623687
bhpf,6,2024,0.04367220046054736,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.7722316656696951
ridge_panel,6,2024,0.04446435322087528,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.7862388702328245
mean_growth,6,2024,0.04554067555532772,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.8052708901531984
raref,6,2024,0.047334933807387215,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.8369977787463484
qanss,6,2024,0.04963287809278727,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.877631072338544
tft_lite,6,2024,0.055271056229212044,2450,0.056553237068663754,0.9773278965818534
no_change,6,2024,0.056553237068663754,2450,0.056553237068663754,1.0
momentum,6,2024,0.06316788784693615,2450,0.056553237068663754,1.1169632565902685
qanss,6,2025,0.04102387237698231,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.7893280981942703
lightgbm_panel,6,2025,0.042566219548988156,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.8190039403197386
ar2_cell,6,2025,0.0452146289449501,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.8699611959523734
mean_growth,6,2025,0.046622051206398916,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.897040988098202
qrefa,6,2025,0.04839400797571957,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.9311346800334152
raref,6,2025,0.04922366889926902,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.9470979385213882
ridge_panel,6,2025,0.05144771052570614,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.9898900604149197
bhpf,6,2025,0.05174755203617847,2940,0.051973155992839706,0.9956592215278919
no_change,6,2025,0.051973155992839706,2940,0.051973155992839706,1.0
tft_lite,6,2025,0.05208247520669765,2940,0.051973155992839706,1.002103378403132
dsgfn,6,2025,0.05255637836514123,2940,0.051973155992839706,1.0112216077927205
momentum,6,2025,0.053913692381642585,2940,0.051973155992839706,1.0373372821359979
raref,6,2026,0.03652254932680825,735,0.051382535614600315,0.7107969447196839
lightgbm_panel,6,2026,0.03682413546485643,735,0.051382535614600315,0.716666373591592
qrefa,6,2026,0.037772752624198734,735,0.051382535614600315,0.7351282332097607
tft_lite,6,2026,0.04022469222080597,735,0.051382535614600315,0.7828475519876086
bhpf,6,2026,0.042485090518231745,735,0.051382535614600315,0.8268391197525805
ridge_panel,6,2026,0.042568383339604485,735,0.051382535614600315,0.8284601534438232
ar2_cell,6,2026,0.04339133468813524,735,0.051382535614600315,0.844476321947133
dsgfn,6,2026,0.04360043507413684,735,0.051382535614600315,0.8485458055469689
mean_growth,6,2026,0.0445268119830981,735,0.051382535614600315,0.8665748284023149
qanss,6,2026,0.04647229194745964,735,0.051382535614600315,0.9044374979084249
no_change,6,2026,0.051382535614600315,735,0.051382535614600315,1.0
momentum,6,2026,0.05162541302018786,735,0.051382535614600315,1.004726847413862
lightgbm_panel,12,2024,0.04724395318688856,980,0.09246246759531036,0.5109527618672892
ar2_cell,12,2024,0.047899659764403864,980,0.09246246759531036,0.5180443590803897
mean_growth,12,2024,0.052970913288024786,980,0.09246246759531036,0.5728909758267303
qrefa,12,2024,0.05405462222078063,980,0.09246246759531036,0.5846115037440581
bhpf,12,2024,0.05824048005540375,980,0.09246246759531036,0.6298823897963726
dsgfn,12,2024,0.059599827066601725,980,0.09246246759531036,0.644583998422562
tft_lite,12,2024,0.061129192453969965,980,0.09246246759531036,0.6611243896444572
ridge_panel,12,2024,0.06534455356939246,980,0.09246246759531036,0.7067143595538943
raref,12,2024,0.06589907960601733,980,0.09246246759531036,0.7127116690681927
no_change,12,2024,0.09246246759531036,980,0.09246246759531036,1.0
momentum,12,2024,0.09248651075829044,980,0.09246246759531036,1.00026003159558
qanss,12,2024,0.11395765631915561,980,0.09246246759531036,1.2324747465958334
ar2_cell,12,2025,0.04719500413874869,2205,0.06757312959825848,0.6984285679727497
mean_growth,12,2025,0.050286719196402964,2205,0.06757312959825848,0.7441821844773484
lightgbm_panel,12,2025,0.06112927286576948,2205,0.06757312959825848,0.9046387703100395
qanss,12,2025,0.0664152717860454,2205,0.06757312959825848,0.982865114889648
no_change,12,2025,0.06757312959825848,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.0
momentum,12,2025,0.06776110867391313,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.0027818613222776
tft_lite,12,2025,0.0729860295800699,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.0801043256985825
qrefa,12,2025,0.08595550393038008,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.2720367465797433
bhpf,12,2025,0.09097339036340617,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.3462953529645425
dsgfn,12,2025,0.09384503277522302,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.3887921624047679
raref,12,2025,0.09719304281432875,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.4383386324145278
ridge_panel,12,2025,0.10258817198795189,2205,0.06757312959825848,1.5181799718004452