h,fit_origin,model,seconds,n_train,n_test 1,2023-12,no_change,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,mean_growth,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,momentum,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,rw_drift,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,ar2_cell,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,local_linear_trend,1.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,ridge_panel,0.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,raref,1.0,2940,735 1,2023-12,bhpf,0.2,2940,735 1,2024-03,no_change,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,mean_growth,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,momentum,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,rw_drift,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,ar2_cell,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,local_linear_trend,1.1,3675,735 1,2024-03,ridge_panel,0.0,3675,735 1,2024-03,raref,2.1,3675,735 1,2024-03,bhpf,0.2,3675,735 1,2024-06,no_change,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,mean_growth,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,momentum,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,rw_drift,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,ar2_cell,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,local_linear_trend,1.3,4410,735 1,2024-06,ridge_panel,0.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,raref,2.0,4410,735 1,2024-06,bhpf,0.2,4410,735 1,2024-09,no_change,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,mean_growth,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,momentum,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,rw_drift,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,ar2_cell,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,local_linear_trend,1.5,5145,735 1,2024-09,ridge_panel,0.0,5145,735 1,2024-09,raref,2.7,5145,735 1,2024-09,bhpf,0.2,5145,735 1,2024-12,no_change,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,mean_growth,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,momentum,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,rw_drift,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,ar2_cell,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,local_linear_trend,1.6,5880,735 1,2024-12,ridge_panel,0.0,5880,735 1,2024-12,raref,3.9,5880,735 1,2024-12,bhpf,0.2,5880,735 1,2025-03,no_change,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,mean_growth,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,momentum,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,rw_drift,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,ar2_cell,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,local_linear_trend,1.8,6615,735 1,2025-03,ridge_panel,0.0,6615,735 1,2025-03,raref,4.7,6615,735 1,2025-03,bhpf,0.2,6615,735 1,2025-06,no_change,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,mean_growth,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,momentum,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,rw_drift,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,ar2_cell,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,local_linear_trend,2.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,ridge_panel,0.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,raref,6.0,7350,735 1,2025-06,bhpf,0.2,7350,735 1,2025-09,no_change,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,mean_growth,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,momentum,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,rw_drift,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,ar2_cell,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,local_linear_trend,2.2,8085,735 1,2025-09,ridge_panel,0.0,8085,735 1,2025-09,raref,6.5,8085,735 1,2025-09,bhpf,0.2,8085,735 1,2025-12,no_change,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,mean_growth,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,momentum,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,rw_drift,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,ar2_cell,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,local_linear_trend,2.3,8820,735 1,2025-12,ridge_panel,0.0,8820,735 1,2025-12,raref,7.5,8820,735 1,2025-12,bhpf,0.2,8820,735 1,2026-03,no_change,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,mean_growth,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,momentum,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,rw_drift,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,ar2_cell,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,local_linear_trend,2.5,9555,735 1,2026-03,ridge_panel,0.0,9555,735 1,2026-03,raref,9.1,9555,735 1,2026-03,bhpf,0.2,9555,735 1,2026-06,no_change,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,mean_growth,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,momentum,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,rw_drift,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,ar2_cell,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,local_linear_trend,2.6,10290,735 1,2026-06,ridge_panel,0.0,10290,735 1,2026-06,raref,9.6,10290,735 1,2026-06,bhpf,0.2,10290,735 3,2023-12,no_change,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,mean_growth,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,momentum,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,rw_drift,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,ar2_cell,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,local_linear_trend,0.9,2450,735 3,2023-12,ridge_panel,0.0,2450,735 3,2023-12,raref,0.9,2450,735 3,2023-12,bhpf,0.2,2450,735 3,2024-03,no_change,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,mean_growth,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,momentum,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,rw_drift,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,ar2_cell,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,local_linear_trend,1.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,ridge_panel,0.0,3185,735 3,2024-03,raref,1.4,3185,735 3,2024-03,bhpf,0.2,3185,735 3,2024-06,no_change,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,mean_growth,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,momentum,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,rw_drift,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,ar2_cell,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,local_linear_trend,1.2,3920,735 3,2024-06,ridge_panel,0.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,raref,2.0,3920,735 3,2024-06,bhpf,0.2,3920,735 3,2024-09,no_change,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,mean_growth,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,momentum,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,rw_drift,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,ar2_cell,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,local_linear_trend,1.4,4655,735 3,2024-09,ridge_panel,0.0,4655,735 3,2024-09,raref,2.6,4655,735 3,2024-09,bhpf,0.2,4655,735 3,2024-12,no_change,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,mean_growth,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,momentum,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,rw_drift,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,ar2_cell,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,local_linear_trend,1.5,5390,735 3,2024-12,ridge_panel,0.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,raref,4.0,5390,735 3,2024-12,bhpf,0.2,5390,735 3,2025-03,no_change,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,mean_growth,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,momentum,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,rw_drift,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,ar2_cell,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,local_linear_trend,1.7,6125,735 3,2025-03,ridge_panel,0.0,6125,735 3,2025-03,raref,4.1,6125,735 3,2025-03,bhpf,0.2,6125,735 3,2025-06,no_change,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,mean_growth,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,momentum,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,rw_drift,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,ar2_cell,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,local_linear_trend,1.9,6860,735 3,2025-06,ridge_panel,0.0,6860,735 3,2025-06,raref,5.1,6860,735 3,2025-06,bhpf,0.2,6860,735 3,2025-09,no_change,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,mean_growth,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,momentum,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,rw_drift,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,ar2_cell,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,local_linear_trend,2.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,ridge_panel,0.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,raref,6.0,7595,735 3,2025-09,bhpf,0.2,7595,735 3,2025-12,no_change,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,mean_growth,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,momentum,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,rw_drift,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,ar2_cell,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,local_linear_trend,2.2,8330,735 3,2025-12,ridge_panel,0.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,raref,7.0,8330,735 3,2025-12,bhpf,0.2,8330,735 3,2026-03,no_change,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,mean_growth,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,momentum,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,rw_drift,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,ar2_cell,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,local_linear_trend,2.4,9065,735 3,2026-03,ridge_panel,0.0,9065,735 3,2026-03,raref,8.2,9065,735 3,2026-03,bhpf,0.2,9065,735 3,2026-06,no_change,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,mean_growth,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,momentum,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,rw_drift,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,ar2_cell,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,local_linear_trend,2.3,9800,245 3,2026-06,ridge_panel,0.0,9800,245 3,2026-06,raref,8.3,9800,245 3,2026-06,bhpf,0.2,9800,245 6,2024-03,no_change,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,mean_growth,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,momentum,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,rw_drift,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,ar2_cell,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,local_linear_trend,0.9,2450,735 6,2024-03,ridge_panel,0.0,2450,735 6,2024-03,raref,0.8,2450,735 6,2024-03,bhpf,0.2,2450,735 6,2024-06,no_change,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,mean_growth,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,momentum,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,rw_drift,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,ar2_cell,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,local_linear_trend,1.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,ridge_panel,0.0,3185,735 6,2024-06,raref,1.2,3185,735 6,2024-06,bhpf,0.2,3185,735 6,2024-09,no_change,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,mean_growth,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,momentum,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,rw_drift,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,ar2_cell,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,local_linear_trend,1.2,3920,735 6,2024-09,ridge_panel,0.0,3920,735 6,2024-09,raref,1.7,3920,735 6,2024-09,bhpf,0.2,3920,735 6,2024-12,no_change,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,mean_growth,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,momentum,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,rw_drift,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,ar2_cell,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,local_linear_trend,1.3,4655,735 6,2024-12,ridge_panel,0.0,4655,735 6,2024-12,raref,2.4,4655,735 6,2024-12,bhpf,0.2,4655,735 6,2025-03,no_change,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,mean_growth,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,momentum,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,rw_drift,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,ar2_cell,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,local_linear_trend,1.5,5390,735 6,2025-03,ridge_panel,0.0,5390,735 6,2025-03,raref,3.1,5390,735 6,2025-03,bhpf,0.2,5390,735 6,2025-06,no_change,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,mean_growth,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,momentum,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,rw_drift,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,ar2_cell,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,local_linear_trend,1.6,6125,735 6,2025-06,ridge_panel,0.0,6125,735 6,2025-06,raref,3.6,6125,735 6,2025-06,bhpf,0.2,6125,735 6,2025-09,no_change,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,mean_growth,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,momentum,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,rw_drift,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,ar2_cell,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,local_linear_trend,1.9,6860,735 6,2025-09,ridge_panel,0.0,6860,735 6,2025-09,raref,4.2,6860,735 6,2025-09,bhpf,0.2,6860,735 6,2025-12,no_change,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,mean_growth,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,momentum,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,rw_drift,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,ar2_cell,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,local_linear_trend,2.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,ridge_panel,0.0,7595,735 6,2025-12,raref,4.9,7595,735 6,2025-12,bhpf,0.2,7595,735 6,2026-03,no_change,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,mean_growth,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,momentum,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,rw_drift,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,ar2_cell,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,local_linear_trend,2.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,ridge_panel,0.0,8330,245 6,2026-03,raref,5.5,8330,245 6,2026-03,bhpf,0.1,8330,245 12,2024-09,no_change,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,mean_growth,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,momentum,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,rw_drift,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,ar2_cell,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,local_linear_trend,0.9,2450,735 12,2024-09,ridge_panel,0.0,2450,735 12,2024-09,raref,0.6,2450,735 12,2024-09,bhpf,0.2,2450,735 12,2024-12,no_change,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,mean_growth,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,momentum,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,rw_drift,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,seasonal_naive,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,ar2_cell,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,local_linear_trend,1.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,ridge_panel,0.0,3185,735 12,2024-12,raref,1.2,3185,735 12,2024-12,bhpf,0.2,3185,735 12,2025-03,no_change,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,mean_growth,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,momentum,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,rw_drift,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,seasonal_naive,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,ar2_cell,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,local_linear_trend,1.2,3920,735 12,2025-03,ridge_panel,0.0,3920,735 12,2025-03,raref,1.9,3920,735 12,2025-03,bhpf,0.2,3920,735 12,2025-06,no_change,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,mean_growth,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,momentum,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,rw_drift,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,seasonal_naive,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,ar2_cell,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,local_linear_trend,1.4,4655,735 12,2025-06,ridge_panel,0.0,4655,735 12,2025-06,raref,2.1,4655,735 12,2025-06,bhpf,0.2,4655,735 12,2025-09,no_change,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,mean_growth,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,momentum,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,rw_drift,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,seasonal_naive,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,ar2_cell,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,local_linear_trend,1.3,5390,245 12,2025-09,ridge_panel,0.0,5390,245 12,2025-09,raref,2.5,5390,245 12,2025-09,bhpf,0.1,5390,245