origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.933500,5.957100,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.733948,5.957100,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.933500,4.831700,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.463230,4.831700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.046800,5.397400,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.812446,5.397400,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.046800,4.559300,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.351835,4.559300,ardl_direct_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.512900,4.831700,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.062994,4.831700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.512900,3.569900,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.506270,3.569900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.957100,4.559300,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.590574,4.559300,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.957100,2.974900,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.124700,2.974900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.397400,3.569900,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.075115,3.569900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.397400,2.251600,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.710249,2.251600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.831700,2.974900,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.498882,2.974900,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.831700,3.486200,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.188577,3.486200,ardl_direct_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.559300,2.251600,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.297243,2.251600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.559300,2.744700,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.048127,2.744700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.569900,3.486200,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.428245,3.486200,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.569900,2.440800,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.298917,2.440800,ardl_direct_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.974900,2.744700,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.946099,2.744700,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.974900,2.428600,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.909503,2.428600,ardl_direct_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.251600,2.440800,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.515265,2.440800,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.251600,2.215400,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.679685,2.215400,ardl_direct_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.486200,2.428600,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.351233,2.428600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.486200,1.661400,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.222850,1.661400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.744700,2.215400,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.786112,2.215400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.744700,1.624600,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.792536,1.624600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.440800,1.661400,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.524703,1.661400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.440800,1.369000,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.572085,1.369000,ardl_direct_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.428600,1.624600,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.488009,1.624600,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.428600,1.113200,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.529714,1.113200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.215400,1.369000,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.350735,1.369000,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.215400,1.332400,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.446047,1.332400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.661400,1.113200,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.893191,1.113200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.661400,1.714200,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,2.083252,1.714200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.624600,1.332400,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.882787,1.332400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.624600,1.885700,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,2.088397,1.885700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369000,1.714200,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.668734,1.714200,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369000,1.188400,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.926004,1.188400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.113200,1.885700,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.420963,1.885700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.113200,1.454700,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.707933,1.454700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.332400,1.188400,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.578252,1.188400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.332400,1.196400,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.814800,1.196400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.714200,1.454700,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.871131,1.454700,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.714200,1.552100,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,2.021065,1.552100,ardl_direct_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.885700,1.196400,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.993806,1.196400,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.885700,1.678500,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.091487,1.678500,ardl_direct_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.188400,1.552100,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.419333,1.552100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.188400,2.031400,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.625574,2.031400,ardl_direct_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.454700,1.678500,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.617840,1.678500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.454700,2.120000,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.776301,2.120000,ardl_direct_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.196400,2.031400,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.407439,2.031400,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.196400,2.193200,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.609596,2.193200,ardl_direct_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.552100,2.120000,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.705493,2.120000,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.552100,2.504100,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.845174,2.504100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.678500,2.193200,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.789480,2.193200,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.678500,2.819300,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.899253,2.819300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.031400,2.504100,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.077303,2.504100,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.031400,2.339800,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.128477,2.339800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.120000,2.819300,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.141786,2.819300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.120000,2.673500,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.176142,2.673500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.193200,2.339800,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.198422,2.339800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.193200,2.955700,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.220977,2.955700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.504100,2.673500,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.446129,2.673500,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.504100,2.168300,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.417448,2.168300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.819300,2.955700,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.709193,2.955700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.819300,2.322700,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.631126,2.322700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.339800,2.168300,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.346702,2.168300,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.339800,1.873800,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.356214,1.873800,ardl_direct_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.673500,2.322700,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.627541,2.322700,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.673500,1.561900,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.586783,1.561900,ardl_direct_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.955700,1.873800,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.843824,1.873800,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.955700,1.275300,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.753432,1.275300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.168300,1.561900,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.189052,1.561900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.168300,1.737300,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.222606,1.737300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.322700,1.275300,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.297541,1.275300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.322700,1.557300,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.299393,1.557300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.873800,1.737300,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.922496,1.737300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.873800,1.507400,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.996922,1.507400,ardl_direct_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.561900,1.557300,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.686596,1.557300,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.561900,0.806000,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.818360,0.806000,ardl_direct_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.275300,1.507400,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.438603,1.507400,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.275300,1.103900,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.612386,1.103900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.737300,0.806000,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.783347,0.806000,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.737300,1.008500,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.870211,1.008500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.557300,1.103900,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.641981,1.103900,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.557300,0.446600,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.757875,0.446600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.507400,1.008500,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.621385,1.008500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.507400,0.769700,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.750109,0.769700,ardl_direct_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806000,0.446600,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.052641,0.446600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806000,0.417500,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.295888,0.417500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.103900,0.769700,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.265901,0.769700,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.103900,1.148800,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.453369,1.148800,ardl_direct_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.008500,0.417500,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.161292,0.417500,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.008500,1.646600,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.356154,1.646600,ardl_direct_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.446600,1.148800,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.675356,1.148800,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.446600,2.090900,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.949608,2.090900,ardl_direct_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.769700,1.646600,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.946536,1.646600,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.769700,1.420300,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.169822,1.420300,ardl_direct_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01