origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.834183,1.049043,ar_sdum_aic 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.115760,4.583383,ar_sdum_aic 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.012594,-0.310680,ar_sdum_aic 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.012050,4.583383,ar_sdum_aic 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.696369,0.207093,ar_sdum_aic 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.869946,3.095991,ar_sdum_aic 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.772584,0.207093,ar_sdum_aic 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.072064,-0.310680,ar_sdum_aic 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.925225,2.255260,ar_sdum_aic 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.265679,-0.310680,ar_sdum_aic 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.196338,3.095991,ar_sdum_aic 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.336042,0.408685,ar_sdum_aic 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.190790,3.095991,ar_sdum_aic 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.028672,2.255260,ar_sdum_aic 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.010704,1.325348,ar_sdum_aic 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.142939,2.255260,ar_sdum_aic 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.125329,0.408685,ar_sdum_aic 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.040250,4.151411,ar_sdum_aic 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.908078,0.408685,ar_sdum_aic 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.398206,1.325348,ar_sdum_aic 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.761059,3.210451,ar_sdum_aic 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.341060,1.325348,ar_sdum_aic 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.265210,4.151411,ar_sdum_aic 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.267738,1.894085,ar_sdum_aic 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.384473,4.151411,ar_sdum_aic 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.549901,3.210451,ar_sdum_aic 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.158558,-1.195220,ar_sdum_aic 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.766296,3.210451,ar_sdum_aic 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.767143,1.894085,ar_sdum_aic 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.224319,2.486024,ar_sdum_aic 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.695160,1.894085,ar_sdum_aic 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.187756,-1.195220,ar_sdum_aic 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.801870,5.317656,ar_sdum_aic 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.325445,-1.195220,ar_sdum_aic 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.966773,2.486024,ar_sdum_aic 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.386704,1.074613,ar_sdum_aic 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.794387,2.486024,ar_sdum_aic 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.095038,5.317656,ar_sdum_aic 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.012029,-0.585795,ar_sdum_aic 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.170370,5.317656,ar_sdum_aic 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305820,1.074613,ar_sdum_aic 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.101913,1.365522,ar_sdum_aic 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.433978,1.074613,ar_sdum_aic 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.328820,-0.585795,ar_sdum_aic 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.954805,-1.756529,ar_sdum_aic 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.369429,-0.585795,ar_sdum_aic 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.125438,1.365522,ar_sdum_aic 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.358926,2.048535,ar_sdum_aic 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.101538,1.365522,ar_sdum_aic 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.028438,-1.756529,ar_sdum_aic 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.016798,1.456843,ar_sdum_aic 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.944922,-1.756529,ar_sdum_aic 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.549911,2.048535,ar_sdum_aic 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.018491,3.955175,ar_sdum_aic 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.818036,2.048535,ar_sdum_aic 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.326200,1.456843,ar_sdum_aic 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.360516,5.718468,ar_sdum_aic 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.471588,1.456843,ar_sdum_aic 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.050564,3.955175,ar_sdum_aic 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.348562,4.797236,ar_sdum_aic 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.049133,3.955175,ar_sdum_aic 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.288245,5.718468,ar_sdum_aic 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.163270,4.000499,ar_sdum_aic 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.509049,5.718468,ar_sdum_aic 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.912460,4.797236,ar_sdum_aic 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.251863,8.155133,ar_sdum_aic 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.204958,4.797236,ar_sdum_aic 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.422446,4.000499,ar_sdum_aic 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.833740,12.149214,ar_sdum_aic 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.141853,4.000499,ar_sdum_aic 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.424750,8.155133,ar_sdum_aic 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.647516,3.329702,ar_sdum_aic 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.209095,8.155133,ar_sdum_aic 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.978970,12.149214,ar_sdum_aic 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.343608,2.175574,ar_sdum_aic 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.058240,12.149214,ar_sdum_aic 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.785598,3.329702,ar_sdum_aic 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.385142,2.422677,ar_sdum_aic 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.303565,3.329702,ar_sdum_aic 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.168519,2.175574,ar_sdum_aic 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.137492,5.908274,ar_sdum_aic 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.809970,2.175574,ar_sdum_aic 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.554184,2.422677,ar_sdum_aic 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.577017,3.975083,ar_sdum_aic 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996063,2.422677,ar_sdum_aic 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.233632,5.908274,ar_sdum_aic 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.320451,0.336488,ar_sdum_aic 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319,5.908274,ar_sdum_aic 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.564103,3.975083,ar_sdum_aic 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.373529,1.007769,ar_sdum_aic 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.157148,3.975083,ar_sdum_aic 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.490554,0.336488,ar_sdum_aic 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.119297,5.497796,ar_sdum_aic 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.088593,0.336488,ar_sdum_aic 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.630575,1.007769,ar_sdum_aic 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.670616,1.239030,ar_sdum_aic 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.384879,1.007769,ar_sdum_aic 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.103709,5.497796,ar_sdum_aic 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.301670,-0.164982,ar_sdum_aic 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.659621,5.497796,ar_sdum_aic 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.501064,1.239030,ar_sdum_aic 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.311266,2.467620,ar_sdum_aic 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086244,1.239030,ar_sdum_aic 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.441786,-0.164982,ar_sdum_aic 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.162240,3.510585,ar_sdum_aic 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.174086,-0.164982,ar_sdum_aic 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.285992,2.467620,ar_sdum_aic 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.625884,2.026963,ar_sdum_aic 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.179187,2.467620,ar_sdum_aic 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.101868,3.510585,ar_sdum_aic 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.281159,0.888620,ar_sdum_aic 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192653,3.510585,ar_sdum_aic 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.643862,2.026963,ar_sdum_aic 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.332116,2.092560,ar_sdum_aic 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.429401,2.026963,ar_sdum_aic 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.222715,0.888620,ar_sdum_aic 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.120620,6.607773,ar_sdum_aic 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.410280,0.888620,ar_sdum_aic 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.369787,2.092560,ar_sdum_aic 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.646253,2.440232,ar_sdum_aic 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive