{
 "P0": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "TASK.md read fully",
   "contract.md written"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P1": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "SHA-256 of all 10 inputs match README",
   "row/col/missing/duplicate/spacing audit done",
   "availability-rule handling written in data_audit.md",
   "exclusion ledger sums: 314-155=159=n_analysed"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P2": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "naive baseline RMSE/MAE computed for h=1,2 under first-release evaluation (rmse_naive_h1, rmse_naive_h2)"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P3": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "out/analysis.py reads only data/, no randomness (random_seed null)",
   "32-row forecasts.csv produced"
  ],
  "notes": "model ar1_1985_excovid"
 },
 "P4": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "clean re-run byte-identical",
   "11 consistency checks PASS (checks.md)",
   "gate run at end of P4: receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T042013.041283Z.json \u2014 all P4-relevant checks ok (reproducibility, keys, exclusion ledger, chronology); failures only for not-yet-written P5 files"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P5": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "report.md with 6 sections, every number cites a results key",
   "claims.json with 4 claims referencing existing keys",
   "final gate PASSED (0 of 40 failed): receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T042042.445453Z.json"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 }
}