{
 "P0": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "TASK.md read fully",
   "contract.md written with estimands, outputs, info rules, invalidity conditions"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P1": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "SHA-256 of all 10 data files match README/bundle",
   "row counts, NA, duplicates, gaps audited (data_audit.md)",
   "exclusion ledger written by analysis.py: 314-151-3=160"
  ],
  "notes": "data/ accidentally received a stray out/ dir; moved and data hashes re-verified intact"
 },
 "P2": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "naive forecasts computed with the same first-release evaluation rule: rmse_naive_h1, rmse_naive_h2 in results.json"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P3": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "analysis.py reads only data/, deterministic (no RNG, random_seed null)",
   "AR(1) per-origin on own vintage"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P4": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "clean re-run byte-identical",
   "14 consistency checks PASS (checks.md)",
   "gate run at end of P4: receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T042250.092322Z.json \u2014 all P4-relevant checks ok (reproducibility, keys, exclusion ledger, chronology); failures only for P5 deliverables not yet written"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P5": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "report.md with 6 required sections, each number cites a results key",
   "claims.json C1-C4 reference existing keys",
   "final gate run: receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T042323.093022Z.json \u2014 PASSED (0 of 40 failed)"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 }
}