origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.986796,1.049043,dirSAR_bic 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.121094,4.583383,dirSAR_bic 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.064412,-0.31068,dirSAR_bic 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,3.870082,4.583383,dirSAR_bic 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.664672,0.207093,dirSAR_bic 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.955931,3.095991,dirSAR_bic 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.4106,0.207093,dirSAR_bic 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.108792,-0.31068,dirSAR_bic 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.904048,2.25526,dirSAR_bic 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,0.068575,-0.31068,dirSAR_bic 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.222449,3.095991,dirSAR_bic 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.38427,0.408685,dirSAR_bic 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.942142,3.095991,dirSAR_bic 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,3.992602,2.25526,dirSAR_bic 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.046551,1.325348,dirSAR_bic 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,3.904048,2.25526,dirSAR_bic 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.110252,0.408685,dirSAR_bic 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.01022,4.151411,dirSAR_bic 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,1.355895,0.408685,dirSAR_bic 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.431333,1.325348,dirSAR_bic 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.829103,3.210451,dirSAR_bic 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.051336,1.325348,dirSAR_bic 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.22007,4.151411,dirSAR_bic 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.339925,1.894085,dirSAR_bic 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,1.994589,4.151411,dirSAR_bic 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.518969,3.210451,dirSAR_bic 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.104678,-1.19522,dirSAR_bic 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.829103,3.210451,dirSAR_bic 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.8002,1.894085,dirSAR_bic 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.107546,2.486024,dirSAR_bic 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,1.314712,1.894085,dirSAR_bic 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.255621,-1.19522,dirSAR_bic 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.802206,5.317656,dirSAR_bic 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.106728,-1.19522,dirSAR_bic 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.947559,2.486024,dirSAR_bic 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.364019,1.074613,dirSAR_bic 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,2.088364,2.486024,dirSAR_bic 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.114554,5.317656,dirSAR_bic 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,0.048161,-0.585795,dirSAR_bic 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.802206,5.317656,dirSAR_bic 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.269067,1.074613,dirSAR_bic 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.124002,1.365522,dirSAR_bic 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.338852,1.074613,dirSAR_bic 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.324034,-0.585795,dirSAR_bic 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.865349,-1.756529,dirSAR_bic 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,0.05248,-0.585795,dirSAR_bic 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.169601,1.365522,dirSAR_bic 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.35196,2.048535,dirSAR_bic 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.104933,1.365522,dirSAR_bic 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.02248,-1.756529,dirSAR_bic 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,0.021746,1.456843,dirSAR_bic 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.865349,-1.756529,dirSAR_bic 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.533424,2.048535,dirSAR_bic 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.092399,3.955175,dirSAR_bic 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.328283,2.048535,dirSAR_bic 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.326117,1.456843,dirSAR_bic 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.640474,5.718468,dirSAR_bic 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,0.026949,1.456843,dirSAR_bic 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.907129,3.955175,dirSAR_bic 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.379823,4.797236,dirSAR_bic 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.075357,3.955175,dirSAR_bic 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.303324,5.718468,dirSAR_bic 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.07915,4.000499,dirSAR_bic 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.640474,5.718468,dirSAR_bic 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.945523,4.797236,dirSAR_bic 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.16691,8.155133,dirSAR_bic 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.355985,4.797236,dirSAR_bic 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.378906,4.000499,dirSAR_bic 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.720397,12.149214,dirSAR_bic 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.081945,4.000499,dirSAR_bic 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,2.147658,8.155133,dirSAR_bic 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.511262,3.329702,dirSAR_bic 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.147658,8.155133,dirSAR_bic 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,3.720397,12.149214,dirSAR_bic 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.229971,2.175574,dirSAR_bic 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.05824,12.149214,dirSAR_bic 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.511262,3.329702,dirSAR_bic 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.397226,2.422677,dirSAR_bic 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.303565,3.329702,dirSAR_bic 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,0.227077,2.175574,dirSAR_bic 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.032575,5.908274,dirSAR_bic 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.80997,2.175574,dirSAR_bic 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.370157,2.422677,dirSAR_bic 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.578612,3.975083,dirSAR_bic 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996063,2.422677,dirSAR_bic 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.032575,5.908274,dirSAR_bic 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.30203,0.336488,dirSAR_bic 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319,5.908274,dirSAR_bic 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.578612,3.975083,dirSAR_bic 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.398169,1.007769,dirSAR_bic 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.157148,3.975083,dirSAR_bic 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.296666,0.336488,dirSAR_bic 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.099565,5.497796,dirSAR_bic 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.088593,0.336488,dirSAR_bic 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.372032,1.007769,dirSAR_bic 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.6642,1.23903,dirSAR_bic 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.384879,1.007769,dirSAR_bic 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.099565,5.497796,dirSAR_bic 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.303261,-0.164982,dirSAR_bic 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.659621,5.497796,dirSAR_bic 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.6642,1.23903,dirSAR_bic 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.348511,2.46762,dirSAR_bic 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086244,1.23903,dirSAR_bic 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.298039,-0.164982,dirSAR_bic 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.14778,3.510585,dirSAR_bic 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.174086,-0.164982,dirSAR_bic 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.324989,2.46762,dirSAR_bic 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.649539,2.026963,dirSAR_bic 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.179187,2.46762,dirSAR_bic 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.14778,3.510585,dirSAR_bic 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.287115,0.88862,dirSAR_bic 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192653,3.510585,dirSAR_bic 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.649539,2.026963,dirSAR_bic 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.46762,2.09256,snaive 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.352619,2.09256,dirSAR_bic 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.429401,2.026963,dirSAR_bic 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.282605,0.88862,dirSAR_bic 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.12654,6.607773,dirSAR_bic 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.41028,0.88862,dirSAR_bic 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.46762,2.09256,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.329743,2.09256,dirSAR_bic 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.66212,2.440232,dirSAR_bic