origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.834183271803245,1.049043,ar_seas_aic 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.0120500314417695,4.583383,ar_seas_aic 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.7725835984953477,0.207093,ar_seas_aic 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.2656785388246843,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.1907895915131586,3.095991,ar_seas_aic 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.1429387265564985,2.25526,ar_seas_aic 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.908078204139176,0.408685,ar_seas_aic 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.34105993909426724,1.325348,ar_seas_aic 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.38447273101918,4.151411,ar_seas_aic 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.7662955566535437,3.210451,ar_seas_aic 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.6951600161512808,1.894085,ar_seas_aic 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.3254454205345114,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.7943865030274848,2.486024,ar_seas_aic 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.170370322698083,5.317656,ar_seas_aic 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.4339784156386526,1.074613,ar_seas_aic 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.3694289235740813,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.1015381094526706,1.365522,ar_seas_aic 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.9449222074731845,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.8180358248113766,2.048535,ar_seas_aic 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.4715878639939748,1.456843,ar_seas_aic 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.0491329631160893,3.955175,ar_seas_aic 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.50904891151412,5.718468,ar_seas_aic 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.204958005015008,4.797236,ar_seas_aic 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.14185314061644494,4.000499,ar_seas_aic 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.2090953082101477,8.155133,ar_seas_aic 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.058240373747086,12.149214,ar_seas_aic 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.3035650733394455,3.329702,ar_seas_aic 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.8099695182170692,2.175574,ar_seas_aic 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,2.996062674306381,2.422677,ar_seas_aic 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049319128581741,5.908274,ar_seas_aic 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.1571475507346998,3.975083,ar_seas_aic 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.0885933631598355,0.336488,ar_seas_aic 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.3848786533448267,1.007769,ar_seas_aic 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.6596212132548187,5.497796,ar_seas_aic 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.086243524528437,1.23903,ar_seas_aic 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.17408570163431936,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.1791873739611156,2.46762,ar_seas_aic 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192652719413716,3.510585,ar_seas_aic 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.4294010433853563,2.026963,ar_seas_aic 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.4102801424441731,0.88862,ar_seas_aic 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.115759619584688,4.583383,ar_seas_aic 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.696368935522088,0.207093,ar_seas_aic 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.0720635928712352,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.1963381542716283,3.095991,ar_seas_aic 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.0286720180167075,2.25526,ar_seas_aic 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.1253288949070477,0.408685,ar_seas_aic 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.3982055055476992,1.325348,ar_seas_aic 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.2652100099435133,4.151411,ar_seas_aic 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.5499005423634857,3.210451,ar_seas_aic 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.7671427212111313,1.894085,ar_seas_aic 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.187755768126471,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.9667734407746278,2.486024,ar_seas_aic 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.095038335846163,5.317656,ar_seas_aic 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.3058198967706267,1.074613,ar_seas_aic 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.3288198143411938,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.1254383932334155,1.365522,ar_seas_aic 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.028438411692139,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.5499112731234288,2.048535,ar_seas_aic 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.3262004184727076,1.456843,ar_seas_aic 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.0505643826107742,3.955175,ar_seas_aic 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.2882453867826813,5.718468,ar_seas_aic 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.9124595664565254,4.797236,ar_seas_aic 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.4224464248697042,4.000499,ar_seas_aic 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.4247499003202229,8.155133,ar_seas_aic 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.9789702946536005,12.149214,ar_seas_aic 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.7855979199985703,3.329702,ar_seas_aic 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.1685192962955613,2.175574,ar_seas_aic 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.5541844574218593,2.422677,ar_seas_aic 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.233632145300049,5.908274,ar_seas_aic 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.564103260604919,3.975083,ar_seas_aic 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.4905540887834188,0.336488,ar_seas_aic 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.6305751325174294,1.007769,ar_seas_aic 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.10370882240392,5.497796,ar_seas_aic 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.5010643634135352,1.23903,ar_seas_aic 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.44178557646359695,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.2859918351163877,2.46762,ar_seas_aic 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.101867946341197,3.510585,ar_seas_aic 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.643861799243206,2.026963,ar_seas_aic 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.22271502996920312,0.88862,ar_seas_aic 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.369787185364882,2.09256,ar_seas_aic 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.012593637904925181,-0.31068,ar_seas_aic 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.8699460074633982,3.095991,ar_seas_aic 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.9252247838572156,2.25526,ar_seas_aic 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.3360415345088694,0.408685,ar_seas_aic 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.010703821442089811,1.325348,ar_seas_aic 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.0402501695337385,4.151411,ar_seas_aic 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.7610588410627477,3.210451,ar_seas_aic 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.267737572369454,1.894085,ar_seas_aic 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.15855814437255633,-1.19522,ar_seas_aic 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.2243194027041957,2.486024,ar_seas_aic 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.8018698720184534,5.317656,ar_seas_aic 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.386703936414504,1.074613,ar_seas_aic 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.012029088611386296,-0.585795,ar_seas_aic 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.101912706762667,1.365522,ar_seas_aic 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.954805304035018,-1.756529,ar_seas_aic 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.358926303564242,2.048535,ar_seas_aic 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.016798467840961617,1.456843,ar_seas_aic 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.0184907419870894,3.955175,ar_seas_aic 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.3605161291099566,5.718468,ar_seas_aic 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.3485623654412595,4.797236,ar_seas_aic 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.16327045960349995,4.000499,ar_seas_aic 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.2518634920324785,8.155133,ar_seas_aic 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.833739843289732,12.149214,ar_seas_aic 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.647516149369044,3.329702,ar_seas_aic 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.3436075794272191,2.175574,ar_seas_aic 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.385141800526399,2.422677,ar_seas_aic 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.137492041377124,5.908274,ar_seas_aic 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.577017487629817,3.975083,ar_seas_aic 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.3204509715160617,0.336488,ar_seas_aic 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.373529095527809,1.007769,ar_seas_aic 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.119296785305236,5.497796,ar_seas_aic 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.6706155071328659,1.23903,ar_seas_aic 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.3016699277389048,-0.164982,ar_seas_aic 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.3112663594293745,2.46762,ar_seas_aic 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.162239580865158,3.510585,ar_seas_aic 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.6258843793550295,2.026963,ar_seas_aic 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.28115896826926967,0.88862,ar_seas_aic 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.332116002267724,2.09256,ar_seas_aic 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.120619590943022,6.607773,ar_seas_aic 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.6462526425283996,2.440232,ar_seas_aic 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.46762,2.09256,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.31068,snaive 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.25526,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.31068,1.325348,snaive 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.25526,3.210451,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.19522,snaive 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.19522,-0.585795,snaive 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.23903,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.46762,snaive 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.23903,2.026963,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.88862,snaive 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.46762,2.09256,snaive 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive