origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,1.859489,1.049043,sar_aic 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.013076,4.583383,sar_aic 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.773983,0.207093,sar_aic 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.267427,-0.310680,sar_aic 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,2.214506,3.095991,sar_aic 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.143812,2.255260,sar_aic 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.906100,0.408685,sar_aic 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,0.342464,1.325348,sar_aic 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,2.409491,4.151411,sar_aic 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,3.764803,3.210451,sar_aic 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.692014,1.894085,sar_aic 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,0.328220,-1.195220,sar_aic 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,1.819095,2.486024,sar_aic 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,4.172296,5.317656,sar_aic 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.434044,1.074613,sar_aic 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-0.372408,-0.585795,sar_aic 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.127658,1.365522,sar_aic 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,3.945379,-1.756529,sar_aic 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,0.816231,2.048535,sar_aic 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,1.477449,1.456843,sar_aic 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,2.072310,3.955175,sar_aic 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,3.507841,5.718468,sar_aic 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,1.203344,4.797236,sar_aic 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,0.137984,4.000499,sar_aic 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,2.229779,8.155133,sar_aic 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.052773,12.149214,sar_aic 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.320146,3.329702,sar_aic 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,0.802489,2.175574,sar_aic 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,3.020414,2.422677,sar_aic 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,4.049265,5.908274,sar_aic 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,2.175071,3.975083,sar_aic 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,1.081548,0.336488,sar_aic 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.409246,1.007769,sar_aic 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,3.661132,5.497796,sar_aic 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,2.106103,1.239030,sar_aic 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.169979,-0.164982,sar_aic 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,2.201587,2.467620,sar_aic 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,4.192497,3.510585,sar_aic 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.449900,2.026963,sar_aic 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,0.405072,0.888620,sar_aic 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.120418,4.583383,sar_aic 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.697718,0.207093,sar_aic 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.073121,-0.310680,sar_aic 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,2.219854,3.095991,sar_aic 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.032199,2.255260,sar_aic 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,1.124101,0.408685,sar_aic 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,0.399563,1.325348,sar_aic 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,2.289940,4.151411,sar_aic 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,3.551221,3.210451,sar_aic 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.763900,1.894085,sar_aic 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,0.190176,-1.195220,sar_aic 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,1.992209,2.486024,sar_aic 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,4.099386,5.317656,sar_aic 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.305644,1.074613,sar_aic 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-0.331702,-0.585795,sar_aic 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.151297,1.365522,sar_aic 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,4.032203,-1.756529,sar_aic 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.550912,2.048535,sar_aic 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,1.330588,1.456843,sar_aic 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,2.074325,3.955175,sar_aic 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,3.289094,5.718468,sar_aic 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,0.909852,4.797236,sar_aic 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,-0.427268,4.000499,sar_aic 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,1.444811,8.155133,sar_aic 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,2.977652,12.149214,sar_aic 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,1.806765,3.329702,sar_aic 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,1.166025,2.175574,sar_aic 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,2.577478,2.422677,sar_aic 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,4.240857,5.908274,sar_aic 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,1.583915,3.975083,sar_aic 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,0.491700,0.336488,sar_aic 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.651728,1.007769,sar_aic 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,4.111528,5.497796,sar_aic 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,1.523301,1.239030,sar_aic 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.442922,-0.164982,sar_aic 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,2.306731,2.467620,sar_aic 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,4.109058,3.510585,sar_aic 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.663558,2.026963,sar_aic 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,0.224566,0.888620,sar_aic 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.389484,2.092560,sar_aic 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,0.009914,-0.310680,sar_aic 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.891664,3.095991,sar_aic 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,3.928455,2.255260,sar_aic 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,1.330437,0.408685,sar_aic 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,0.008387,1.325348,sar_aic 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,2.064028,4.151411,sar_aic 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,3.763207,3.210451,sar_aic 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,1.261483,1.894085,sar_aic 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,0.159654,-1.195220,sar_aic 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,2.252250,2.486024,sar_aic 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.804560,5.317656,sar_aic 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.380589,1.074613,sar_aic 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-0.015047,-0.585795,sar_aic 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.127589,1.365522,sar_aic 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,3.958910,-1.756529,sar_aic 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.352787,2.048535,sar_aic 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.019778,1.456843,sar_aic 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,2.041539,3.955175,sar_aic 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,3.361318,5.718468,sar_aic 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,1.342526,4.797236,sar_aic 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,0.161611,4.000499,sar_aic 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,2.278229,8.155133,sar_aic 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,3.838628,12.149214,sar_aic 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,1.644553,3.329702,sar_aic 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,0.345388,2.175574,sar_aic 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,2.411761,2.422677,sar_aic 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,4.145549,5.908274,sar_aic 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,1.599162,3.975083,sar_aic 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,0.323399,0.336488,sar_aic 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.398704,1.007769,sar_aic 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,4.127055,5.497796,sar_aic 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,1.693793,1.239030,sar_aic 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.304497,-0.164982,sar_aic 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,2.333960,2.467620,sar_aic 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,4.169164,3.510585,sar_aic 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.647745,2.026963,sar_aic 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,0.283302,0.888620,sar_aic 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.353997,2.092560,sar_aic 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,4.127567,6.607773,sar_aic 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,1.667955,2.440232,sar_aic 2015-10-01,2016-01-01,1,0.212823,1.049043,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-04-01,1,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-07-01,1,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-07-01,2016-10-01,1,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-01-01,1,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-04-01,1,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-07-01,1,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-07-01,2017-10-01,1,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-01-01,1,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-04-01,1,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-07-01,1,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-07-01,2018-10-01,1,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-01-01,1,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-04-01,1,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-07-01,1,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-07-01,2019-10-01,1,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-01-01,1,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-04-01,1,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-07-01,1,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-07-01,2020-10-01,1,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-01-01,1,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-04-01,1,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-07-01,1,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-07-01,2021-10-01,1,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-01-01,1,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-04-01,1,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-07-01,1,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,1,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,1,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,1,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,1,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,1,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,1,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,1,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,1,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,1,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,1,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,1,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,1,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,1,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-04-01,2,4.548509,4.583383,snaive 2016-01-01,2016-07-01,2,1.469818,0.207093,snaive 2016-04-01,2016-10-01,2,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-01-01,2,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-04-01,2,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2017-01-01,2017-07-01,2,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2017-04-01,2017-10-01,2,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-01-01,2,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-04-01,2,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2018-01-01,2018-07-01,2,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2018-04-01,2018-10-01,2,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-01-01,2,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-04-01,2,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2019-01-01,2019-07-01,2,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2019-04-01,2019-10-01,2,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-01-01,2,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-04-01,2,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2020-01-01,2020-07-01,2,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2020-04-01,2020-10-01,2,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-01-01,2,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-04-01,2,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2021-01-01,2021-07-01,2,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2021-04-01,2021-10-01,2,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-01-01,2,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-04-01,2,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2022-01-01,2022-07-01,2,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2022-04-01,2022-10-01,2,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-01-01,2,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-04-01,2,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2023-01-01,2023-07-01,2,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2023-04-01,2023-10-01,2,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-01-01,2,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-04-01,2,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2024-01-01,2024-07-01,2,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2024-04-01,2024-10-01,2,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-01-01,2,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-04-01,2,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2025-01-01,2025-07-01,2,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2025-04-01,2025-10-01,2,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-01-01,2,2.467620,2.092560,snaive 2015-10-01,2016-10-01,4,-0.944263,-0.310680,snaive 2016-01-01,2017-01-01,4,1.049043,3.095991,snaive 2016-04-01,2017-04-01,4,4.583383,2.255260,snaive 2016-07-01,2017-07-01,4,0.207093,0.408685,snaive 2016-10-01,2017-10-01,4,-0.310680,1.325348,snaive 2017-01-01,2018-01-01,4,3.095991,4.151411,snaive 2017-04-01,2018-04-01,4,2.255260,3.210451,snaive 2017-07-01,2018-07-01,4,0.408685,1.894085,snaive 2017-10-01,2018-10-01,4,1.325348,-1.195220,snaive 2018-01-01,2019-01-01,4,4.151411,2.486024,snaive 2018-04-01,2019-04-01,4,3.210451,5.317656,snaive 2018-07-01,2019-07-01,4,1.894085,1.074613,snaive 2018-10-01,2019-10-01,4,-1.195220,-0.585795,snaive 2019-01-01,2020-01-01,4,2.486024,1.365522,snaive 2019-04-01,2020-04-01,4,5.317656,-1.756529,snaive 2019-07-01,2020-07-01,4,1.074613,2.048535,snaive 2019-10-01,2020-10-01,4,-0.585795,1.456843,snaive 2020-01-01,2021-01-01,4,1.365522,3.955175,snaive 2020-04-01,2021-04-01,4,-1.756529,5.718468,snaive 2020-07-01,2021-07-01,4,2.048535,4.797236,snaive 2020-10-01,2021-10-01,4,1.456843,4.000499,snaive 2021-01-01,2022-01-01,4,3.955175,8.155133,snaive 2021-04-01,2022-04-01,4,5.718468,12.149214,snaive 2021-07-01,2022-07-01,4,4.797236,3.329702,snaive 2021-10-01,2022-10-01,4,4.000499,2.175574,snaive 2022-01-01,2023-01-01,4,8.155133,2.422677,snaive 2022-04-01,2023-04-01,4,12.149214,5.908274,snaive 2022-07-01,2023-07-01,4,3.329702,3.975083,snaive 2022-10-01,2023-10-01,4,2.175574,0.336488,snaive 2023-01-01,2024-01-01,4,2.422677,1.007769,snaive 2023-04-01,2024-04-01,4,5.908274,5.497796,snaive 2023-07-01,2024-07-01,4,3.975083,1.239030,snaive 2023-10-01,2024-10-01,4,0.336488,-0.164982,snaive 2024-01-01,2025-01-01,4,1.007769,2.467620,snaive 2024-04-01,2025-04-01,4,5.497796,3.510585,snaive 2024-07-01,2025-07-01,4,1.239030,2.026963,snaive 2024-10-01,2025-10-01,4,-0.164982,0.888620,snaive 2025-01-01,2026-01-01,4,2.467620,2.092560,snaive 2025-04-01,2026-04-01,4,3.510585,6.607773,snaive 2025-07-01,2026-07-01,4,2.026963,2.440232,snaive