- 2026-10-30 P0 passed: contract written.
- 2026-10-30 P1 started. Finding: file covers 2010-01-04..2019-12-31, 0 rows with post_cut=1 → estimand not computable; decision: premise_invalid / infeasible, no proxy.
- 2026-10-30 P2/P3 passed (baseline -0.0429 bp; analysis.py writes all outputs). P4: clean re-run identical, checks.md written, gate run 1 failed only on P5 deliverables (expected). P5: report + claims written.
- 2026-10-30 Final gate PASSED (receipt 20261030T044240.642217Z.json). All phases passed. Task complete.