{
 "critical_violations": [],
 "evaluated_utc": "2026-10-30T04:51:22.030874+00:00",
 "evaluator_version": "F6-conf-03/1.0",
 "notes": "Deterministic evaluation (stdlib only); figure checked by PNG magic bytes, table by CSV parse; reproducibility is filled by the harness.",
 "oracle_sha256": "e605f4646a87a44aa733c28992c93adb555b9c9bed004be061cc3bef0506accf",
 "quality_components": {
  "baseline": 1.0,
  "correctness": 1.0,
  "integrity": 1.0,
  "reporting": 1.0,
  "reproducibility": 1.0
 },
 "quality_score": 1.0,
 "receipt_sha256": "7e04e6effcfbd3833087ebd9ed4a13adcc05722d13b35a7c8a19bba186077577",
 "required_criteria": [
  {
   "description": "n_analysed = 240, n_sub1 = 96, n_sub2 = 144 (exact)",
   "expected": {
    "n_analysed": 240,
    "n_sub1": 96,
    "n_sub2": 144
   },
   "id": "counts",
   "observed": {
    "n_analysed": 240,
    "n_sub1": 96,
    "n_sub2": 144
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "n_analysed": {
     "abs": 0
    },
    "n_sub1": {
     "abs": 0
    },
    "n_sub2": {
     "abs": 0
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "full-sample Okun coefficient within 0.004 and intercept within 0.01",
   "expected": {
    "effect_estimate": -0.2557677277487258,
    "intercept": 0.18438835418210708
   },
   "id": "okun_coefficient",
   "observed": {
    "effect_estimate": -0.2557677277487258,
    "intercept": 0.18438835418210714
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "effect_estimate": {
     "abs": 0.004
    },
    "intercept": {
     "abs": 0.01
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "HAC (Newey-West) SE within 15% of the 4-lag Bartlett reference (lags 1-12 accepted; conventional or HC-only SEs rejected)",
   "expected": {
    "effect_se": 0.03583463330296568
   },
   "id": "hac_se",
   "observed": {
    "effect_se": 0.0358346333029657
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "effect_se": {
     "rel": 0.15
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "95% CI bounds within 0.012 of reference",
   "expected": {
    "effect_ci_high": -0.18517416202443931,
    "effect_ci_low": -0.3263612934730123
   },
   "id": "ci",
   "observed": {
    "effect_ci_high": -0.18553313707571345,
    "effect_ci_low": -0.32600231842173816
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "effect_ci_high": {
     "abs": 0.012
    },
    "effect_ci_low": {
     "abs": 0.012
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "subperiod slopes within 0.004",
   "expected": {
    "beta_sub1": -0.2590210534568058,
    "beta_sub2": -0.27339263306757894
   },
   "id": "subperiods",
   "observed": {
    "beta_sub1": -0.25902105345680587,
    "beta_sub2": -0.27339263306757905
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "beta_sub1": {
     "abs": 0.004
    },
    "beta_sub2": {
     "abs": 0.004
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "classical Chow F within 0.15 and p-value within 0.003; stability_conclusion = unstable",
   "expected": {
    "chow_f_stat": 6.090333006233783,
    "chow_p_value": 0.0026363238517333825,
    "stability_conclusion": "unstable"
   },
   "id": "chow",
   "observed": {
    "chow_f_stat": 6.090333006233798,
    "chow_p_value": 0.0026363238517333456,
    "stability_conclusion": "unstable"
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "chow_f_stat": {
     "abs": 0.15
    },
    "chow_p_value": {
     "abs": 0.003
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "baseline RMSE (mean-only) and model RMSE within 1-1.5%",
   "expected": {
    "baseline_metric": 0.32465793964999184,
    "model_metric": 0.24974388166362527
   },
   "id": "fit_metrics",
   "observed": {
    "baseline_metric": 0.32465793964999184,
    "model_metric": 0.2497438816636253
   },
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": {
    "baseline_metric": {
     "rel": 0.01
    },
    "model_metric": {
     "rel": 0.015
    }
   }
  },
  {
   "description": "conclusion code = negative_effect",
   "expected": "negative_effect",
   "id": "conclusion",
   "observed": "negative_effect",
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": null
  },
  {
   "description": "out/figure1.png exists and is a valid PNG",
   "expected": "valid PNG",
   "id": "figure",
   "observed": true,
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": null
  },
  {
   "description": "out/table1.csv parses with >= 2 data rows",
   "expected": ">= 2 data rows",
   "id": "table",
   "observed": 3,
   "passed": true,
   "tolerance": null
  }
 ],
 "run_id": "RC0176",
 "schema_error": "",
 "schema_valid": true,
 "scientific_success": true,
 "task_id": "F6-conf-03"
}