- 2026-10-30 P0 passed: contract written.
- 2026-10-30 P1 passed: audit done, 1 missing value outside sample.
- 2026-10-30 P2/P3 passed: baseline RMSE 0.325; beta -0.256, HAC lag 4 (NW rule floor(4(n/100)^(2/9))).
- 2026-10-30 P4 passed: rerun identical; gate receipt 20261030T045240.752418Z (P5 items pending).
- 2026-10-30 P5 passed: report, claims written; final gate 20261030T045321.418618Z passed.