"""Regenerates out/results.json and out/counterexample.csv from data/ (deterministic).""" import json, os import numpy as np, pandas as pd from scipy import stats ROOT = os.path.dirname(os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))) D, O = os.path.join(ROOT, "data"), os.path.join(ROOT, "out") props = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(D, "propositions.csv")) design = pd.read_csv(os.path.join(D, "design.csv")) issues = [] assert set(props["id"]) == {"A", "B"}, "unexpected proposition ids" p = dict(zip(design["parameter"], design["value"])) seed, n = int(p["seed"]), int(p["n"]) # Counterexample to A: X ~ N(0,1), W independent Rademacher (+/-1 w.p. 1/2), Y = W*X. rng = np.random.default_rng(seed) x = rng.standard_normal(n) w = rng.choice(np.array([-1.0, 1.0]), size=n) y = w * x pd.DataFrame({"x": x, "y": y}).to_csv(os.path.join(O, "counterexample.csv"), index=False) s = x + y ks = stats.kstest(s, "norm", args=(s.mean(), s.std(ddof=1))).statistic # extra diagnostics (marginal KS vs N(0,1), atom at zero) ks_x = stats.kstest(x, "norm").statistic ks_y = stats.kstest(y, "norm").statistic frac_zero = float(np.mean(s == 0.0)) print(f"KS(x vs N(0,1))={ks_x:.4f} KS(y vs N(0,1))={ks_y:.4f} KS(sum)={ks:.4f} P(sum==0)={frac_zero:.4f}") res = { "task_id": "F5-conf-03", "statement_true": False, "counterexample_provided": True, "counterexample_values": { "construction": "X ~ N(0,1); W independent of X with P(W=1)=P(W=-1)=1/2; Y = W*X. " "Then Y ~ N(0,1) by symmetry, but X+Y = (1+W)X equals 0 with probability 1/2 and 2X otherwise.", "n": n, "seed": seed, "mean_x": float(x.mean()), "sd_x": float(x.std(ddof=1)), "mean_y": float(y.mean()), "sd_y": float(y.std(ddof=1)), "mean_sum": float(s.mean()), "sd_sum": float(s.std(ddof=1)), "ks_sum_vs_normal": float(ks), "ks_x_vs_std_normal": float(ks_x), "ks_y_vs_std_normal": float(ks_y), "fraction_sum_exactly_zero": frac_zero, "ks_5pct_critical_value_approx": float(1.358 / np.sqrt(n)), }, "statement_b_true": True, "feasibility": "complete", "feasibility_reason": None, "data_issues": issues, "n_input_rows": {"propositions.csv": int(len(props)), "design.csv": int(len(design))}, "n_analysed": n, "random_seed": seed, } with open(os.path.join(O, "results.json"), "w") as f: json.dump(res, f, indent=2)