origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,5.650093,5.9571,ardl_emp_direct,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.053551,5.3974,ardl_emp_direct,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,4.977263,4.8317,ardl_emp_direct,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.211647,4.5593,ardl_emp_direct,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,4.758584,3.5699,ardl_emp_direct,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,3.936437,2.9749,ardl_emp_direct,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.442729,2.2516,ardl_emp_direct,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.007077,3.4862,ardl_emp_direct,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.917912,2.7447,ardl_emp_direct,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,3.485187,2.4408,ardl_emp_direct,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,2.297546,2.4286,ardl_emp_direct,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.909405,2.2154,ardl_emp_direct,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.328227,1.6614,ardl_emp_direct,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.290949,1.6246,ardl_emp_direct,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.532257,1.369,ardl_emp_direct,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.765781,1.1132,ardl_emp_direct,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.992092,1.3324,ardl_emp_direct,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.62175,1.7142,ardl_emp_direct,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.078455,1.8857,ardl_emp_direct,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.374965,1.1884,ardl_emp_direct,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.55588,1.4547,ardl_emp_direct,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.687196,1.1964,ardl_emp_direct,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.332365,1.5521,ardl_emp_direct,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.427036,1.6785,ardl_emp_direct,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.431507,2.0314,ardl_emp_direct,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.715489,2.12,ardl_emp_direct,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.534726,2.1932,ardl_emp_direct,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.01391,2.5041,ardl_emp_direct,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.035892,2.8193,ardl_emp_direct,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.156898,2.3398,ardl_emp_direct,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.401011,2.6735,ardl_emp_direct,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.780524,2.9557,ardl_emp_direct,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.590857,2.1683,ardl_emp_direct,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.706801,2.3227,ardl_emp_direct,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.714985,1.8738,ardl_emp_direct,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.039615,1.5619,ardl_emp_direct,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.15486,1.2753,ardl_emp_direct,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.858244,1.7373,ardl_emp_direct,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.872085,1.5573,ardl_emp_direct,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.307287,1.5074,ardl_emp_direct,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.513925,0.806,ardl_emp_direct,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.714111,1.1039,ardl_emp_direct,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.818786,1.0085,ardl_emp_direct,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.077328,0.4466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.019977,0.7697,ardl_emp_direct,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,0.955808,0.4175,ardl_emp_direct,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.463175,1.1488,ardl_emp_direct,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,1.089632,1.6466,ardl_emp_direct,2026-02-01,2026-03-01 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,5.627932,4.8317,ardl_emp_direct,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.488577,4.5593,ardl_emp_direct,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,3.556335,3.5699,ardl_emp_direct,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,4.388356,2.9749,ardl_emp_direct,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.197577,2.2516,ardl_emp_direct,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,3.364991,3.4862,ardl_emp_direct,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.128138,2.7447,ardl_emp_direct,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,2.697268,2.4408,ardl_emp_direct,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.804145,2.4286,ardl_emp_direct,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,3.825331,2.2154,ardl_emp_direct,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,1.730755,1.6614,ardl_emp_direct,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.867432,1.6246,ardl_emp_direct,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.24082,1.369,ardl_emp_direct,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.19474,1.1132,ardl_emp_direct,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.592863,1.3324,ardl_emp_direct,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.816816,1.7142,ardl_emp_direct,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,2.112368,1.8857,ardl_emp_direct,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.742322,1.1884,ardl_emp_direct,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.133925,1.4547,ardl_emp_direct,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.4408,1.1964,ardl_emp_direct,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.519464,1.5521,ardl_emp_direct,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.607323,1.6785,ardl_emp_direct,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.435987,2.0314,ardl_emp_direct,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.466824,2.12,ardl_emp_direct,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.585412,2.1932,ardl_emp_direct,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.804712,2.5041,ardl_emp_direct,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.51866,2.8193,ardl_emp_direct,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.016108,2.3398,ardl_emp_direct,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.0167,2.6735,ardl_emp_direct,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.149966,2.9557,ardl_emp_direct,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.34812,2.1683,ardl_emp_direct,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.718887,2.3227,ardl_emp_direct,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.65583,1.8738,ardl_emp_direct,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.659507,1.5619,ardl_emp_direct,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.558324,1.2753,ardl_emp_direct,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.005163,1.7373,ardl_emp_direct,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.103107,1.5573,ardl_emp_direct,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.90954,1.5074,ardl_emp_direct,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,2.043737,0.806,ardl_emp_direct,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.427016,1.1039,ardl_emp_direct,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.52681,1.0085,ardl_emp_direct,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.862677,0.4466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,2.007814,0.7697,ardl_emp_direct,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.311949,0.4175,ardl_emp_direct,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.137141,1.1488,ardl_emp_direct,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.106631,1.6466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.706106,2.0909,ardl_emp_direct,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.385635,1.4203,ardl_emp_direct,2026-02-01,2026-03-01 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.9335,5.9571,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.0468,5.3974,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.5129,4.8317,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.9571,4.5593,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.3974,3.5699,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.8317,2.9749,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.5593,2.2516,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.5699,3.4862,naive,2022-10-01, 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9749,2.7447,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.2516,2.4408,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.4862,2.4286,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7447,2.2154,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.4408,1.6614,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.4286,1.6246,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.2154,1.369,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.6614,1.1132,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.6246,1.3324,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369,1.7142,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.1132,1.8857,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.3324,1.1884,naive,2023-10-01, 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.7142,1.4547,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.8857,1.1964,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.1884,1.5521,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.4547,1.6785,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.1964,2.0314,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.5521,2.12,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.6785,2.1932,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.0314,2.5041,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.12,2.8193,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.1932,2.3398,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.5041,2.6735,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.8193,2.9557,naive,2024-10-01, 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.3398,2.1683,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.6735,2.3227,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.9557,1.8738,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.1683,1.5619,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.3227,1.2753,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.8738,1.7373,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.5619,1.5573,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.2753,1.5074,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.7373,0.806,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.5573,1.1039,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.5074,1.0085,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806,0.4466,naive,2025-10-01, 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.1039,0.7697,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.0085,0.4175,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.4466,1.1488,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.7697,1.6466,naive,2026-02-01, 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.9335,4.8317,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.0468,4.5593,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.5129,3.5699,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.9571,2.9749,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.3974,2.2516,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.8317,3.4862,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.5593,2.7447,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.5699,2.4408,naive,2022-10-01, 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.9749,2.4286,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.2516,2.2154,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.4862,1.6614,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.7447,1.6246,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.4408,1.369,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.4286,1.1132,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.2154,1.3324,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.6614,1.7142,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.6246,1.8857,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369,1.1884,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.1132,1.4547,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.3324,1.1964,naive,2023-10-01, 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.7142,1.5521,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.8857,1.6785,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.1884,2.0314,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.4547,2.12,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.1964,2.1932,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.5521,2.5041,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.6785,2.8193,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.0314,2.3398,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.12,2.6735,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.1932,2.9557,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.5041,2.1683,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.8193,2.3227,naive,2024-10-01, 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.3398,1.8738,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.6735,1.5619,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.9557,1.2753,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.1683,1.7373,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.3227,1.5573,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.8738,1.5074,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.5619,0.806,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.2753,1.1039,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.7373,1.0085,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.5573,0.4466,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.5074,0.7697,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806,0.4175,naive,2025-10-01, 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.1039,1.1488,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.0085,1.6466,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.4466,2.0909,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.7697,1.4203,naive,2026-02-01,