origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.9335,5.9571,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.71344352,5.9571,ardl_emp_direct,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.9335,4.8317,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.39210287,4.8317,ardl_emp_direct,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.0468,5.3974,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.82154853,5.3974,ardl_emp_direct,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.0468,4.5593,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.1707626,4.5593,ardl_emp_direct,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.5129,4.8317,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.07691946,4.8317,ardl_emp_direct,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.5129,3.5699,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.33686915,3.5699,ardl_emp_direct,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.9571,4.5593,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.60936003,4.5593,ardl_emp_direct,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.9571,2.9749,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.00589337,2.9749,ardl_emp_direct,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.3974,3.5699,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.08685874,3.5699,ardl_emp_direct,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.3974,2.2516,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.61302724,2.2516,ardl_emp_direct,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.8317,2.9749,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.50320633,2.9749,ardl_emp_direct,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.8317,3.4862,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.13620257,3.4862,ardl_emp_direct,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.5593,2.2516,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.3003711,2.2516,ardl_emp_direct,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.5593,2.7447,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,3.97933144,2.7447,ardl_emp_direct,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.5699,3.4862,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.42843964,3.4862,ardl_emp_direct,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.5699,2.4408,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.24652642,2.4408,ardl_emp_direct,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9749,2.7447,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9449434,2.7447,ardl_emp_direct,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.9749,2.4286,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.84667752,2.4286,ardl_emp_direct,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.2516,2.4408,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.50698435,2.4408,ardl_emp_direct,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.2516,2.2154,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.5087196,2.2154,ardl_emp_direct,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.4862,2.4286,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.34800251,2.4286,ardl_emp_direct,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.4862,1.6614,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.15784331,1.6614,ardl_emp_direct,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7447,2.2154,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.78148615,2.2154,ardl_emp_direct,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.7447,1.6246,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.6999647,1.6246,ardl_emp_direct,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.4408,1.6614,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.52041923,1.6614,ardl_emp_direct,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.4408,1.369,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.48603569,1.369,ardl_emp_direct,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.4286,1.6246,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.48358776,1.6246,ardl_emp_direct,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.4286,1.1132,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.45712661,1.1132,ardl_emp_direct,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.2154,1.369,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.34387771,1.369,ardl_emp_direct,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.2154,1.3324,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.34800458,1.3324,ardl_emp_direct,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.6614,1.1132,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.88485416,1.1132,ardl_emp_direct,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.6614,1.7142,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.97846637,1.7142,ardl_emp_direct,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.6246,1.3324,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.87152837,1.3324,ardl_emp_direct,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.6246,1.8857,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.96037296,1.8857,ardl_emp_direct,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369,1.7142,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.65442387,1.7142,ardl_emp_direct,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369,1.1884,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.78372,1.1884,ardl_emp_direct,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.1132,1.8857,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.4070293,1.8857,ardl_emp_direct,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.1132,1.4547,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.5801653,1.4547,ardl_emp_direct,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.3324,1.1884,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.56465044,1.1884,ardl_emp_direct,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.3324,1.1964,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.69689211,1.1964,ardl_emp_direct,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.7142,1.4547,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.86093832,1.4547,ardl_emp_direct,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.7142,1.5521,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.93064274,1.5521,ardl_emp_direct,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.8857,1.1964,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.98717123,1.1964,ardl_emp_direct,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.8857,1.6785,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.02915387,1.6785,ardl_emp_direct,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.1884,1.5521,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.41204538,1.5521,ardl_emp_direct,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.1884,2.0314,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.55895726,2.0314,ardl_emp_direct,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.4547,1.6785,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.61210373,1.6785,ardl_emp_direct,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.4547,2.12,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.72733824,2.12,ardl_emp_direct,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.1964,2.0314,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.40034263,2.0314,ardl_emp_direct,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.1964,2.1932,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.55209543,2.1932,ardl_emp_direct,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.5521,2.12,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.69819626,2.12,ardl_emp_direct,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.5521,2.5041,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.78597043,2.5041,ardl_emp_direct,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.6785,2.1932,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.78473046,2.1932,ardl_emp_direct,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.6785,2.8193,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.86117984,2.8193,ardl_emp_direct,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.0314,2.5041,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.07354129,2.5041,ardl_emp_direct,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.0314,2.3398,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.09816427,2.3398,ardl_emp_direct,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.12,2.8193,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.1392127,2.8193,ardl_emp_direct,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.12,2.6735,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.1556469,2.6735,ardl_emp_direct,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.1932,2.3398,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.19639193,2.3398,ardl_emp_direct,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.1932,2.9557,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.20528709,2.9557,ardl_emp_direct,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.5041,2.6735,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.44494623,2.6735,ardl_emp_direct,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.5041,2.1683,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.40974497,2.1683,ardl_emp_direct,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.8193,2.9557,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.70778953,2.9557,ardl_emp_direct,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.8193,2.3227,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.62168836,2.3227,ardl_emp_direct,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.3398,2.1683,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.34259355,2.1683,ardl_emp_direct,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.3398,1.8738,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.32147953,1.8738,ardl_emp_direct,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.6735,2.3227,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.62282341,2.3227,ardl_emp_direct,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.6735,1.5619,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.54685516,1.5619,ardl_emp_direct,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.9557,1.8738,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.84055995,1.8738,ardl_emp_direct,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.9557,1.2753,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.72704858,1.2753,ardl_emp_direct,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.1683,1.5619,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.18660353,1.5619,ardl_emp_direct,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.1683,1.7373,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.20286734,1.7373,ardl_emp_direct,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.3227,1.2753,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.29668397,1.2753,ardl_emp_direct,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.3227,1.5573,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.29431679,1.5573,ardl_emp_direct,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.8738,1.7373,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.92204055,1.7373,ardl_emp_direct,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.8738,1.5074,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.99501108,1.5074,ardl_emp_direct,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.5619,1.5573,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.68395876,1.5573,ardl_emp_direct,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.5619,0.806,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.79739211,0.806,ardl_emp_direct,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.2753,1.5074,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.43694371,1.5074,ardl_emp_direct,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.2753,1.1039,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.59949737,1.1039,ardl_emp_direct,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.7373,0.806,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.78495962,0.806,ardl_emp_direct,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.7373,1.0085,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.88606245,1.0085,ardl_emp_direct,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.5573,1.1039,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.64295533,1.1039,ardl_emp_direct,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.5573,0.4466,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.76791891,0.4466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.5074,1.0085,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.62038216,1.0085,ardl_emp_direct,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.5074,0.7697,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.74307183,0.7697,ardl_emp_direct,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806,0.4466,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.05072639,0.4466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806,0.4175,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.27989702,0.4175,ardl_emp_direct,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.1039,0.7697,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.26663883,0.7697,ardl_emp_direct,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.1039,1.1488,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.46126133,1.1488,ardl_emp_direct,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.0085,0.4175,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.1642311,0.4175,ardl_emp_direct,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.0085,1.6466,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.38310078,1.6466,ardl_emp_direct,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.4466,1.1488,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.68037428,1.1488,ardl_emp_direct,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.4466,2.0909,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.99335708,2.0909,ardl_emp_direct,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.7697,1.6466,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.95070612,1.6466,ardl_emp_direct,2026-02-01,2026-03-01 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.7697,1.4203,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.20698647,1.4203,ardl_emp_direct,2026-02-01,2026-03-01