origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model,last_target_date_used,last_predictor_date_used 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.9335,5.9571,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-06-01,1,4.733948,5.9571,ardl_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.9335,4.8317,naive,2022-03-01, 2022-05-01,2022-08-01,3,4.46323,4.8317,ardl_emp,2022-03-01,2022-04-01 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,6.0468,5.3974,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-07-01,1,5.812446,5.3974,ardl_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,6.0468,4.5593,naive,2022-04-01, 2022-06-01,2022-09-01,3,5.351835,4.5593,ardl_emp,2022-04-01,2022-05-01 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.5129,4.8317,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-08-01,1,6.062994,4.8317,ardl_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,6.5129,3.5699,naive,2022-05-01, 2022-07-01,2022-10-01,3,5.50627,3.5699,ardl_emp,2022-05-01,2022-06-01 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.9571,4.5593,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-09-01,1,5.590574,4.5593,ardl_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.9571,2.9749,naive,2022-06-01, 2022-08-01,2022-11-01,3,5.1247,2.9749,ardl_emp,2022-06-01,2022-07-01 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.3974,3.5699,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-10-01,1,5.075115,3.5699,ardl_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,5.3974,2.2516,naive,2022-07-01, 2022-09-01,2022-12-01,3,4.710249,2.2516,ardl_emp,2022-07-01,2022-08-01 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.8317,2.9749,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2022-11-01,1,4.498882,2.9749,ardl_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.8317,3.4862,naive,2022-08-01, 2022-10-01,2023-01-01,3,4.188577,3.4862,ardl_emp,2022-08-01,2022-09-01 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.5593,2.2516,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2022-12-01,1,4.297243,2.2516,ardl_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.5593,2.7447,naive,2022-09-01, 2022-11-01,2023-02-01,3,4.048127,2.7447,ardl_emp,2022-09-01,2022-10-01 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.5699,3.4862,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-01-01,1,3.428245,3.4862,ardl_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.5699,2.4408,naive,2022-10-01, 2022-12-01,2023-03-01,3,3.298917,2.4408,ardl_emp,2022-10-01,2022-11-01 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.9749,2.7447,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-02-01,1,2.946099,2.7447,ardl_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.9749,2.4286,naive,2022-11-01, 2023-01-01,2023-04-01,3,2.909503,2.4286,ardl_emp,2022-11-01,2022-12-01 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.2516,2.4408,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-03-01,1,2.515265,2.4408,ardl_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.2516,2.2154,naive,2022-12-01, 2023-02-01,2023-05-01,3,2.679685,2.2154,ardl_emp,2022-12-01,2023-01-01 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.4862,2.4286,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-04-01,1,3.351233,2.4286,ardl_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.4862,1.6614,naive,2023-01-01, 2023-03-01,2023-06-01,3,3.22285,1.6614,ardl_emp,2023-01-01,2023-02-01 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.7447,2.2154,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-05-01,1,2.786112,2.2154,ardl_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.7447,1.6246,naive,2023-02-01, 2023-04-01,2023-07-01,3,2.792536,1.6246,ardl_emp,2023-02-01,2023-03-01 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.4408,1.6614,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-06-01,1,2.524703,1.6614,ardl_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.4408,1.369,naive,2023-03-01, 2023-05-01,2023-08-01,3,2.572085,1.369,ardl_emp,2023-03-01,2023-04-01 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.4286,1.6246,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-07-01,1,2.488009,1.6246,ardl_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.4286,1.1132,naive,2023-04-01, 2023-06-01,2023-09-01,3,2.529714,1.1132,ardl_emp,2023-04-01,2023-05-01 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.2154,1.369,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,2.350735,1.369,ardl_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.2154,1.3324,naive,2023-05-01, 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,2.446047,1.3324,ardl_emp,2023-05-01,2023-06-01 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.6614,1.1132,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,1.893191,1.1132,ardl_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,1.6614,1.7142,naive,2023-06-01, 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,2.083252,1.7142,ardl_emp,2023-06-01,2023-07-01 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.6246,1.3324,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,1.882787,1.3324,ardl_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,1.6246,1.8857,naive,2023-07-01, 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,2.088397,1.8857,ardl_emp,2023-07-01,2023-08-01 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.369,1.7142,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,1.668734,1.7142,ardl_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.369,1.1884,naive,2023-08-01, 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,1.926004,1.1884,ardl_emp,2023-08-01,2023-09-01 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.1132,1.8857,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,1.420963,1.8857,ardl_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.1132,1.4547,naive,2023-09-01, 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,1.707933,1.4547,ardl_emp,2023-09-01,2023-10-01 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.3324,1.1884,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,1.578252,1.1884,ardl_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.3324,1.1964,naive,2023-10-01, 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,1.8148,1.1964,ardl_emp,2023-10-01,2023-11-01 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.7142,1.4547,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,1.871131,1.4547,ardl_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,1.7142,1.5521,naive,2023-11-01, 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,2.021065,1.5521,ardl_emp,2023-11-01,2023-12-01 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.8857,1.1964,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,1.993806,1.1964,ardl_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,1.8857,1.6785,naive,2023-12-01, 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,2.091487,1.6785,ardl_emp,2023-12-01,2024-01-01 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.1884,1.5521,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,1.419333,1.5521,ardl_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.1884,2.0314,naive,2024-01-01, 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,1.625574,2.0314,ardl_emp,2024-01-01,2024-02-01 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.4547,1.6785,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,1.61784,1.6785,ardl_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.4547,2.12,naive,2024-02-01, 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,1.776301,2.12,ardl_emp,2024-02-01,2024-03-01 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.1964,2.0314,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,1.407439,2.0314,ardl_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.1964,2.1932,naive,2024-03-01, 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,1.609596,2.1932,ardl_emp,2024-03-01,2024-04-01 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.5521,2.12,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,1.705493,2.12,ardl_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.5521,2.5041,naive,2024-04-01, 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,1.845174,2.5041,ardl_emp,2024-04-01,2024-05-01 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.6785,2.1932,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,1.78948,2.1932,ardl_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.6785,2.8193,naive,2024-05-01, 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,1.899253,2.8193,ardl_emp,2024-05-01,2024-06-01 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.0314,2.5041,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,2.077303,2.5041,ardl_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.0314,2.3398,naive,2024-06-01, 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,2.128477,2.3398,ardl_emp,2024-06-01,2024-07-01 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.12,2.8193,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,2.141786,2.8193,ardl_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.12,2.6735,naive,2024-07-01, 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,2.176142,2.6735,ardl_emp,2024-07-01,2024-08-01 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.1932,2.3398,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,2.198422,2.3398,ardl_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.1932,2.9557,naive,2024-08-01, 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,2.220977,2.9557,ardl_emp,2024-08-01,2024-09-01 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.5041,2.6735,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,2.446129,2.6735,ardl_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.5041,2.1683,naive,2024-09-01, 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,2.417448,2.1683,ardl_emp,2024-09-01,2024-10-01 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.8193,2.9557,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,2.709193,2.9557,ardl_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.8193,2.3227,naive,2024-10-01, 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,2.631126,2.3227,ardl_emp,2024-10-01,2024-11-01 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.3398,2.1683,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,2.346702,2.1683,ardl_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.3398,1.8738,naive,2024-11-01, 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,2.356214,1.8738,ardl_emp,2024-11-01,2024-12-01 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.6735,2.3227,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,2.627541,2.3227,ardl_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.6735,1.5619,naive,2024-12-01, 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,2.586783,1.5619,ardl_emp,2024-12-01,2025-01-01 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.9557,1.8738,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,2.843824,1.8738,ardl_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.9557,1.2753,naive,2025-01-01, 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,2.753432,1.2753,ardl_emp,2025-01-01,2025-02-01 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.1683,1.5619,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,2.189052,1.5619,ardl_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.1683,1.7373,naive,2025-02-01, 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,2.222606,1.7373,ardl_emp,2025-02-01,2025-03-01 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.3227,1.2753,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,2.297541,1.2753,ardl_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.3227,1.5573,naive,2025-03-01, 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,2.299393,1.5573,ardl_emp,2025-03-01,2025-04-01 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.8738,1.7373,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,1.922496,1.7373,ardl_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.8738,1.5074,naive,2025-04-01, 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,1.996922,1.5074,ardl_emp,2025-04-01,2025-05-01 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.5619,1.5573,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,1.686596,1.5573,ardl_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.5619,0.806,naive,2025-05-01, 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,1.81836,0.806,ardl_emp,2025-05-01,2025-06-01 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.2753,1.5074,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,1.438603,1.5074,ardl_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.2753,1.1039,naive,2025-06-01, 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,1.612386,1.1039,ardl_emp,2025-06-01,2025-07-01 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.7373,0.806,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,1.783347,0.806,ardl_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.7373,1.0085,naive,2025-07-01, 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,1.870211,1.0085,ardl_emp,2025-07-01,2025-08-01 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.5573,1.1039,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,1.641981,1.1039,ardl_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.5573,0.4466,naive,2025-08-01, 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,1.757875,0.4466,ardl_emp,2025-08-01,2025-09-01 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.5074,1.0085,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,1.621385,1.0085,ardl_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.5074,0.7697,naive,2025-09-01, 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,1.750109,0.7697,ardl_emp,2025-09-01,2025-10-01 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,0.806,0.4466,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,1.052641,0.4466,ardl_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,0.806,0.4175,naive,2025-10-01, 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,1.295888,0.4175,ardl_emp,2025-10-01,2025-11-01 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.1039,0.7697,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,1.265901,0.7697,ardl_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.1039,1.1488,naive,2025-11-01, 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,1.453369,1.1488,ardl_emp,2025-11-01,2025-12-01 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.0085,0.4175,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,1.161292,0.4175,ardl_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.0085,1.6466,naive,2025-12-01, 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,1.356154,1.6466,ardl_emp,2025-12-01,2026-01-01 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.4466,1.1488,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,0.675356,1.1488,ardl_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.4466,2.0909,naive,2026-01-01, 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,0.949608,2.0909,ardl_emp,2026-01-01,2026-02-01 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.7697,1.6466,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,0.946536,1.6466,ardl_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,0.7697,1.4203,naive,2026-02-01, 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,1.169822,1.4203,ardl_emp,2026-02-01,2026-03-01