origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,3.500000,3.700000,naive 2023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,3.467557,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,3.500000,3.900000,naive 2023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,3.441986,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,3.700000,3.700000,naive 2023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,3.745056,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,3.700000,3.700000,naive 2023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,3.745157,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,3.700000,3.900000,naive 2023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,3.693534,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,3.700000,3.800000,naive 2023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,3.676847,3.800000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,3.900000,3.700000,naive 2023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,3.945206,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,3.900000,3.700000,naive 2023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,3.945747,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,3.700000,3.800000,naive 2023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,3.642242,3.800000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,3.700000,3.900000,naive 2023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,3.608942,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,3.800000,3.700000,naive 2023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,3.819206,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,3.800000,3.900000,naive 2023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,3.811039,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,3.700000,3.900000,naive 2024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,3.667978,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,3.700000,3.900000,naive 2024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,3.643080,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive 2024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,3.944749,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,3.900000,3.900000,naive 2024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,3.945001,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive 2024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,3.893711,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,3.900000,4.100000,naive 2024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,3.877521,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive 2024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,3.893718,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,3.900000,4.200000,naive 2024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,3.877546,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,3.900000,4.100000,naive 2024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,3.893725,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,3.900000,4.200000,naive 2024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,3.877570,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,4.100000,4.200000,naive 2024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,4.144912,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,4.100000,4.100000,naive 2024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,4.145635,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,4.219518,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,4.200000,4.100000,naive 2024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,4.212271,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive 2024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,4.193994,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,4.178528,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,4.100000,4.100000,naive 2024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,4.068394,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,4.100000,4.100000,naive 2024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,4.044505,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,4.100000,4.200000,naive 2024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,4.093924,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,4.100000,4.000000,naive 2024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,4.078281,4.000000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive 2024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,4.219534,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,4.212346,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,4.100000,4.000000,naive 2024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,4.068440,4.000000,AR_BIC_diff 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,4.100000,4.200000,naive 2024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,4.044618,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,4.000000,4.200000,naive 2025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,3.968355,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,4.000000,4.200000,naive 2025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,3.944334,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,4.244959,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,4.200000,4.300000,naive 2025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,4.245962,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,4.194030,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,4.200000,4.100000,naive 2025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,4.178671,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,4.200000,4.300000,naive 2025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,4.194037,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,4.200000,4.300000,naive 2025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,4.178694,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,4.300000,4.100000,naive 2025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,4.319575,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,4.300000,4.300000,naive 2025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,4.312634,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,4.100000,4.300000,naive 2025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,4.043160,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,4.100000,4.400000,naive 2025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,4.011349,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive 2025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,4.344734,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,4.300000,,naive 2025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,4.345780,,AR_BIC_diff 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,4.300000,4.400000,naive 2025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,4.294125,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,4.300000,4.500000,naive 2025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,4.279033,4.500000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,4.400000,,naive 2025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,4.419503,,AR_BIC_diff 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,4.400000,4.400000,naive 2025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,4.412700,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,4.400000,4.500000,naive 2025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,4.418670,4.500000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive 2025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,4.405431,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,4.500000,4.400000,naive 2025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,4.506871,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,4.500000,4.400000,naive 2025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,4.496071,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,4.400000,4.300000,naive 2025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,4.368977,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive 2025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,4.346185,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,4.300000,4.400000,naive 2026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,4.268892,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,4.300000,4.300000,naive 2026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,4.245902,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,4.400000,4.300000,naive 2026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,4.419558,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive 2026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,4.412917,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive 2026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,4.268948,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,4.300000,4.200000,naive 2026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,4.246017,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive 2026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,4.294207,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,4.300000,4.100000,naive 2026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,4.279329,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-05-01,2026-06-01,1,4.300000,4.200000,naive 2026-05-01,2026-06-01,1,4.294213,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-05-01,2026-08-01,3,4.300000,4.100000,naive 2026-05-01,2026-08-01,3,4.279352,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-06-01,2026-07-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive 2026-06-01,2026-07-01,1,4.168893,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff 2026-06-01,2026-09-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive 2026-06-01,2026-09-01,3,4.145808,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff