{
 "P0": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "TASK.md read fully; contract.md written"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P1": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "SHA-256 of all 23 data files computed and match README/bundle",
   "rows/cols/date ranges/missing/duplicates/gaps recorded in data_audit.md",
   "exclusions.csv written; ledger sums verified (80-0=80)",
   "availability-rule review: RSAFS_current only for (d); PAYEMS/UMCSENT unused in forecasts"
  ],
  "notes": "Irregular publication timing, post-2026-07 level revision documented."
 },
 "P2": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "naive, snaive, AR(1) computed per vintage and evaluated vs first release (rmse/mae_*_h1/h3 in results.json)",
   "AR(1) params cross-checked with statsmodels"
  ],
  "notes": ""
 },
 "P3": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "analysis.py reads only data/, writes results.json, forecasts.csv, table1.csv, figure1.png, supplementary.json",
   "seed 20261030 recorded (bootstrap only)",
   "model specification fixed a priori, no alternatives tried"
  ],
  "notes": "Model BE-RWD."
 },
 "P4": {
  "status": "blocked",
  "checks": [
   "clean-state rerun: results.json byte-identical",
   "checks.md items 1-14 PASS",
   "independent DM/revision recomputation PASS",
   "gate run receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T053408.762973Z.json: passed=false (report/claims not yet written; forecasts_chronology 40 rows)",
   "gate run 2 receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T053512.664445Z.json: only forecasts_chronology fails"
  ],
  "notes": "Blocked only by forecasts_chronology gate rule (origin_date < target_date) which is incompatible with TASK.md's YYYY-MM-01 target_date format for every h=1 target; see checks.md. All substantive checks pass."
 },
 "P5": {
  "status": "passed",
  "checks": [
   "report.md written with 6 required sections, each number cites a results.json key",
   "claims.json: 5 claims, all results_keys exist in results.json",
   "figure1.png inspected visually",
   "final gate run receipt out/state/gate_receipts/20261030T053512.664445Z.json: passed=false, 64/65 ok; sole failure forecasts_chronology (40 h=1 rows), a TASK.md-vs-gate rule conflict documented in checks.md and report"
  ],
  "notes": "Executed under stopping rule despite P4 blocked by forecasts_chronology rule conflict."
 }
}