Y2-1 Cox: P + strata(macro-region) & P\_z & 0.031 & 0.060 & 317 & 1.03 & 302 \\
Y2-2 Cox: P + X + midpoint + strata & P\_z & 0.000 & 0.068 & 208 & 1.00 & 201 \\
Y2-3 Cox: D + K + X + midpoint + strata & D\_pc1\_z & 0.128 & 0.133 & 208 & 1.14 & 201 \\
Y2-3 Cox: D + K + X + midpoint + strata & K\_mean\_z & 0.559$^{***}$ & 0.200 & 208 & 1.75 & 201 \\
Y2-4 Cox: complexity PC1 + X + strata & complexity\_pc1\_z & 0.399 & 0.291 & 208 & 1.49 & 201 \\
Y2-5 Cox: D + K + X + midpoint + polities per NGA (periodization) + strata & D\_pc1\_z & 0.082 & 0.135 & 206 & 1.09 & 200 \\
Y2-5 Cox: D + K + X + midpoint + polities per NGA (periodization) + strata & K\_mean\_z & 0.535$^{***}$ & 0.203 & 206 & 1.71 & 200 \\
Y2-5 Cox: D + K + X + midpoint + polities per NGA (periodization) + strata & n\_polities\_in\_nga\_z & 0.317$^{**}$ & 0.140 & 206 & 1.37 & 200 \\
Y3-1 logit: discontinuous succession $\sim$ P + FE & P\_z & 0.018 & 0.393 & 145 & -- & 24 \\
Y3-2 logit: + X & P\_z & 0.239 & 0.325 & 117 & -- & 18 \\