model,term,coef,se,ci_lo,ci_hi,p,n,llf,events,oster_beta_full,oster_beta_short,r2_full,r2_short,partial_r2_P,robustness_value
R: horizon h=1,P_modern_z,0.3213567148708202,0.09083368821472391,0.1433226859699613,0.499390743771679,0.0004033865236081567,14635,-2808.0317675913648,902.0,,,,,,
R: horizon h=3,P_modern_z,0.3801552512939208,0.08743103898059633,0.208790414891952,0.5515200876958897,1.3734812300788488e-05,14636,-4671.148530889891,1911.0,,,,,,
R: horizon h=10,P_modern_z,0.44836787666130096,0.09946197757436491,0.2534224006155458,0.6433133527070561,6.546240788346645e-06,14639,-6772.628475707487,4143.0,,,,,,
R: component y4_f5,P_modern_z,1.0156500813999165,0.19346828503420777,0.6364522427328694,1.3948479200669637,1.5234871478518989e-07,10279,-1808.887349599621,566.0,,,,,,
R: component y5_f5,P_modern_z,0.19260512197836493,0.13688401515900994,-0.07568754773329456,0.4608977916900244,0.15940721605412467,10853,-3395.11361590985,1460.0,,,,,,
R: component y6_f5,P_modern_z,0.2401324779402956,0.09374377507937355,0.056394678784723457,0.4238702770958678,0.010419628530832212,14636,-4999.715992637788,2068.0,,,,,,
R: K = PC1,P_modern_pc1_z,0.3914537472844485,0.08956840530204131,0.21589967289244752,0.5670078216764495,1.2399384937912057e-05,14637,-5679.302262784689,2692.0,,,,,,
R: standardized within year,P_modern_within_year_z,0.40368351781176914,0.09086097243313335,0.2255960118428278,0.5817710237807105,8.876667058058466e-06,14637,-5678.188330888828,2692.0,,,,,,
R: D = (log pop + log area)/2,P_modern_area_z,0.34592881078299376,0.09798058420039851,0.15388686575021268,0.5379707558157748,0.0004146412839006179,11735,-4783.260595993208,2359.0,,,,,,
R: years ≥ 1900,P_modern_z,0.38849560536553623,0.09125844722362034,0.20962904880724037,0.567362161923832,2.0710314821567656e-05,13083,-5226.436878149341,2475.0,,,,,,
R: polyarchy not controlled,P_modern_z,0.4477254264122505,0.08200788224449172,0.28698997721304675,0.6084608756114542,4.7736607748738476e-08,14676,-5719.316648249614,2706.0,,,,,,
R: + persistence control,P_modern_z,0.3885024901469061,0.08845342400145681,0.21513377910405074,0.5618712011897614,1.1222480551485459e-05,14598,-5648.480224894294,2682.0,,,,,,
Sensitivity (LPM): Oster bias-adjusted β at Rmax=1.3·R² (δ=1); Cinelli–Hazlett RV,P_modern_z,-0.03033118155565985,,,,,14637,,,0.03674837760182206,0.08187222469624048,0.15913747227692998,0.12702234634493959,0.0050953734994381135,0.06887964840435769