{ "snapshot_date": "2026-11-01", "window_start_utc": "2026-08-12 12:30 UTC", "window_end_utc": "2026-11-01 06:49 UTC", "window_days": 80.8, "S0_n": 273265, "S1_n": 136393, "S2_n": 80856, "S2L_n": 128091, "active_canonical_auto_at_snapshot": 49193, "active_canonical_region_missing": 1585, "active_canonical_top_regions": [ { "region": "Montérégie", "active_canonical": 9716, "share": 0.19750777549651374 }, { "region": "Montréal", "active_canonical": 5535, "share": 0.11251600837517534 }, { "region": "Capitale-Nationale", "active_canonical": 5496, "share": 0.11172321265220661 }, { "region": "Laurentides", "active_canonical": 5059, "share": 0.10283983493586486 }, { "region": "Chaudière-Appalaches", "active_canonical": 3682, "share": 0.074848047486431 } ], "sources_total": 143, "dealers_total": 2381, "coverage": { "T_days": 82, "day0_initial_stock_s2l": 13324, "connector_startup_entries": { "6": 22583, "11": 11271 }, "connector_startup_source": { "6": "otogo", "11": "autousagee" }, "connector_startup_listings_s2l": { "otogo": 22150, "autousagee": 11074 }, "connector_startup_listings_s2_total": 0, "entries_per_full_day_mean_excl_startup": 1034.6025641025642, "entries_day0_left_censored": 47235, "active_s2l_min": 13436, "active_s2l_max": 48797, "active_s2l_mean_full_days": 43918.4125, "active_s2l_at_last_full_day": 41708, "entries_per_full_day_mean": 1431.9125, "entries_per_full_day_median": 1050.5, "exits_per_full_day_mean_confirmable": 1041.2702702702702, "crawl_cycles_per_full_day_mean": 7.277843915627136, "crawl_cycles_per_full_day_min": 1.972027972027972, "crawl_cycles_per_full_day_max": 10.0, "crawl_cycles_total": 586, "days_with_fewer_than_4_cycles": [ 45, 46, 50 ], "max_gap_hours_same_source": 13.570681512819396, "median_gap_hours_same_source": 3.089500305851301, "sources_logged_min": 138, "sources_logged_max": 143, "failed_source_cycles_share": 0.01261806993810681 }, "dynamics": { "S2_n": 80856, "S2_exit_confirmed": 43734, "S2_right_censored_share": 0.4591124962897002, "S2L_n": 128091, "S2L_left_censored_n": 47235, "S2L_left_censored_share": 0.36876127128369673, "S2_completed_duration_median_days": 8.937921426483879, "S2_completed_duration_p25_days": 1.046458214259258, "S2_completed_duration_p75_days": 20.64263841892834, "S2_completed_duration_mean_days": 13.261397278354009, "S2_completed_share_within_7d": 0.44361366442584715, "S2_completed_share_within_30d": 0.8737366808432798, "S2_share_with_cut": 0.19699218363510437, "S2_n_with_cut": 15928, "S2_share_with_2plus_cuts": 0.0658083506480657, "S2_first_cut_pct_median": 2.77808645405045, "S2_first_cut_pct_mean": 4.592908169524914, "S2_first_cut_pct_p25": 1.755001755001755, "S2_first_cut_pct_p75": 4.76417341591234, "S2_first_cut_share_le_5pct": 0.7628704168759417, "S2_first_cut_share_gt_10pct": 0.07602963335007534, "S2_share_with_cut_by_class": { "direct_dealer": 0.2059703433922997, "full_portal": 0.18957402341426946, "banner": 0.2420401388260148 } }, "fig04": { "rule": "S2 listings with n_cuts >= 3 and 30 <= duration_days <= 70, body in {SUV, Sedan, Pickup}; within each body type the two listings with the lowest SHA-256(listing_id) hex digest; labelled A-F in body order.", "n_candidates": 1342, "n_candidates_by_body": { "SUV": 897, "Sedan": 283, "Pickup": 162 }, "selected": [ { "label": "Listing A", "listing_id": "lb0c0057ac8", "sha256_prefix": "00e2f4280878", "make": "Ford", "body": "SUV", "year": 2020, "n_cuts": 4, "duration_days": 67.3, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 20495.0, "last_price": 16995.0, "total_change_pct": -17.1 }, { "label": "Listing B", "listing_id": "l4898ebdf75", "sha256_prefix": "011aec727988", "make": "Hyundai", "body": "SUV", "year": 2025, "n_cuts": 4, "duration_days": 66.0, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 42990.0, "last_price": 40490.0, "total_change_pct": -5.8 }, { "label": "Listing C", "listing_id": "l677e15cbc3", "sha256_prefix": "00eda16b4332", "make": "Honda", "body": "Sedan", "year": 2018, "n_cuts": 3, "duration_days": 55.2, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 19888.0, "last_price": 18515.0, "total_change_pct": -6.9 }, { "label": "Listing D", "listing_id": "lce48e5369e", "sha256_prefix": "017095ce09ee", "make": "Kia", "body": "Sedan", "year": 2022, "n_cuts": 3, "duration_days": 43.4, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 18245.0, "last_price": 17249.0, "total_change_pct": -5.5 }, { "label": "Listing E", "listing_id": "l5fbc700db4", "sha256_prefix": "02796de2fcbe", "make": "RAM", "body": "Pickup", "year": 2018, "n_cuts": 3, "duration_days": 66.4, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 26961.0, "last_price": 23971.0, "total_change_pct": -11.1 }, { "label": "Listing F", "listing_id": "ldfb3fd378d", "sha256_prefix": "037f1a321503", "make": "GMC", "body": "Pickup", "year": 2021, "n_cuts": 3, "duration_days": 56.6, "exit_confirmed": false, "entry_price": 39995.0, "last_price": 34660.0, "total_change_pct": -13.3 } ] }, "tab01": [ { "source_class": "direct_dealer", "n_sources_with_listings": 131, "n_dealers": 131, "listings": 33061, "active_at_snapshot": 12222, "in_s1": true, "in_s2": true, "n_sources_in_s2": 113, "n_s1": 28380, "n_s2": 15376, "n_sources": 131, "found_per_cycle": 12522.994457833945, "mean_found_per_source": 95.59537754071714, "label": "Dealer websites" }, { "source_class": "full_portal", "n_sources_with_listings": 2, "n_dealers": 929, "listings": 107903, "active_at_snapshot": 39125, "in_s1": true, "in_s2": true, "n_sources_in_s2": 2, "n_s1": 92475, "n_s2": 58853, "n_sources": 2, "found_per_cycle": 36692.775528034676, "mean_found_per_source": 18346.387764017338, "label": "Full-inventory portals" }, { "source_class": "banner", "n_sources_with_listings": 5, "n_dealers": 5, "listings": 17162, "active_at_snapshot": 5579, "in_s1": true, "in_s2": true, "n_sources_in_s2": 4, "n_s1": 15309, "n_s2": 6627, "n_sources": 5, "found_per_cycle": 5131.368507237205, "mean_found_per_source": 1026.273701447441, "label": "Dealer groups" }, { "source_class": "sampled_portal", "n_sources_with_listings": 2, "n_dealers": 1313, "listings": 103027, "active_at_snapshot": 2654, "in_s1": false, "in_s2": false, "n_sources_in_s2": 0, "n_s1": 0, "n_s2": 0, "n_sources": 2, "found_per_cycle": 2359.140591777665, "mean_found_per_source": 1179.5702958888326, "label": "Sampled portals (excluded)" }, { "source_class": "private_marketplace", "n_sources_with_listings": 1, "n_dealers": 1, "listings": 11874, "active_at_snapshot": 3158, "in_s1": false, "in_s2": false, "n_sources_in_s2": 0, "n_s1": 0, "n_s2": 0, "n_sources": 1, "found_per_cycle": 3040.91061452514, "mean_found_per_source": 3040.91061452514, "label": "Private sellers (Kijiji)" }, { "source_class": "small_portal", "n_sources_with_listings": 2, "n_dealers": 2, "listings": 238, "active_at_snapshot": 83, "in_s1": true, "in_s2": false, "n_sources_in_s2": 0, "n_s1": 229, "n_s2": 0, "n_sources": 2, "found_per_cycle": 194.13841906625663, "mean_found_per_source": 97.06920953312832, "label": "Small portals" } ], "tab03": { "S1": { "N": 136393, "entry_price_mean": 29644.45475207672, "entry_price_median": 25627.0, "mileage_mean_km": 77817.36238663274, "mileage_median_km": 68629.0, "age_mean_years": 5.671836242804624, "age_median_years": 4.879980315332635, "dealers": 1046, "active_share": 0.3021049467348031, "powertrain_share": { "ICE": 0.8129156188367438, "HEV": 0.035742303490648344, "PHEV": 0.016804381456526362, "BEV": 0.06119082357598997, "Diesel": 0.017442244103436394, "unknown": 0.05590462853665511 }, "body_share": { "SUV": 0.5667079688840336, "Sedan": 0.20748132235525282, "Pickup": 0.105753227804946, "Hatchback": 0.04206960767781338, "Van": 0.03077870565204959, "Coupe": 0.013717712785846782, "Convertible": 0.011056285879773888, "Wagon": 0.005124896438966809 }, "body_missing_share": 0.017310272521317078, "duration_median_completed": 8.9356921752832, "n_completed": 47934, "share_with_cut": 0.2723233597032106, "first_cut_pct_median": 2.910421185535304 }, "S2": { "N": 80856, "entry_price_mean": 29942.407860888492, "entry_price_median": 25995.0, "mileage_mean_km": 74386.86401751262, "mileage_median_km": 65037.5, "age_mean_years": 5.5225845579461055, "age_median_years": 4.900723511527273, "dealers": 982, "active_share": 0.3589096665677253, "powertrain_share": { "ICE": 0.8035767289997032, "HEV": 0.03749876323340259, "PHEV": 0.019070940932027308, "BEV": 0.07063174037795587, "Diesel": 0.014111506876422281, "unknown": 0.05511031958048877 }, "body_share": { "SUV": 0.5713985356683486, "Sedan": 0.20729444939151084, "Pickup": 0.10334421687939052, "Hatchback": 0.043942317205896905, "Van": 0.02970713366973385, "Coupe": 0.01238003364005145, "Convertible": 0.009894132779261898, "Wagon": 0.005293361036905115 }, "body_missing_share": 0.01674581972890076, "duration_median_completed": 8.937921426483879, "n_completed": 43734, "share_with_cut": 0.19699218363510437, "first_cut_pct_median": 2.77808645405045 }, "top_bodies_S1": [ "SUV", "Sedan", "Pickup", "Hatchback", "Van" ], "region_total": { "N": 136393, "median_price": 25627.0, "median_km": 68629.0, "median_age": 4.879980315332635, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 44003, "share_exit_30d": 0.5930504738313297 }, "exit30_definition": "S2 listings with entry_ts <= snapshot - 37 days (so that an exit at day 30 is confirmable); exit within 30 d = exit_confirmed and duration_days <= 30", "S1_duration_note": "S1 completed spells exclude left-censored day-1 stock (duration unknown) but include all S1 sources" }, "tab03_by_region": [ { "region": "Montréal", "N": 12120, "median_price": 28995.0, "median_km": 56032.0, "median_age": 4.004882281678036, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 4290, "share_exit_30d": 0.6508158508158508 }, { "region": "Laval", "N": 8968, "median_price": 26495.0, "median_km": 68084.0, "median_age": 4.864039387345642, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 3309, "share_exit_30d": 0.5811423390752494 }, { "region": "Montérégie", "N": 26490, "median_price": 25488.5, "median_km": 73319.0, "median_age": 4.894800661584851, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 9137, "share_exit_30d": 0.6132209696837037 }, { "region": "Laurentides", "N": 12654, "median_price": 25696.0, "median_km": 71500.0, "median_age": 4.879980315332635, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 4033, "share_exit_30d": 0.5383089511529878 }, { "region": "Lanaudière", "N": 8549, "median_price": 26495.0, "median_km": 44422.0, "median_age": 3.880664778029418, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 2144, "share_exit_30d": 0.5634328358208955 }, { "region": "Capitale-Nationale", "N": 17015, "median_price": 26555.0, "median_km": 55315.0, "median_age": 3.9663401192143217, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 5358, "share_exit_30d": 0.6362448674878686 }, { "region": "Chaudière-Appalaches", "N": 9176, "median_price": 25321.5, "median_km": 76917.5, "median_age": 5.018263869246222, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 2820, "share_exit_30d": 0.5315602836879433 }, { "region": "Estrie", "N": 4627, "median_price": 23995.0, "median_km": 78690.0, "median_age": 5.01842924399327, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1769, "share_exit_30d": 0.5681175805539853 }, { "region": "Mauricie", "N": 7146, "median_price": 23995.0, "median_km": 68997.0, "median_age": 4.929613817183437, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 2303, "share_exit_30d": 0.611376465479809 }, { "region": "Centre-du-Québec", "N": 3839, "median_price": 25688.0, "median_km": 72640.0, "median_age": 4.897451169230362, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1333, "share_exit_30d": 0.5198799699924981 }, { "region": "Outaouais", "N": 4348, "median_price": 24988.0, "median_km": 78546.0, "median_age": 5.063261864948048, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1471, "share_exit_30d": 0.5588035350101972 }, { "region": "Bas-Saint-Laurent", "N": 4423, "median_price": 23995.0, "median_km": 76619.0, "median_age": 5.863293371344908, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1516, "share_exit_30d": 0.6029023746701847 }, { "region": "Saguenay–Lac-Saint-Jean", "N": 4009, "median_price": 25995.0, "median_km": 72220.0, "median_age": 5.863213607185498, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1622, "share_exit_30d": 0.6923551171393342 }, { "region": "Abitibi-Témiscamingue", "N": 3338, "median_price": 26970.0, "median_km": 73252.0, "median_age": 4.987991108879079, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1070, "share_exit_30d": 0.5317757009345795 }, { "region": "Côte-Nord", "N": 2909, "median_price": 25490.0, "median_km": 65486.0, "median_age": 4.926119384576455, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 1031, "share_exit_30d": 0.5761396702230844 }, { "region": "Gaspésie–Îles-de-la-Madeleine", "N": 741, "median_price": 23995.0, "median_km": 79782.0, "median_age": 4.981709989566159, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 244, "share_exit_30d": 0.5081967213114754 }, { "region": "Region missing", "N": 6041, "median_price": 21995.0, "median_km": 85479.0, "median_age": 5.894116198888067, "n_s2_entrants_37d": 553, "share_exit_30d": 0.4321880650994575 } ], "notes": [ "exit = observed disappearance from the source confirmed by >= 7 days of absence before the snapshot; it is NOT a sale", "day index 0 = 2026-08-12 UTC (partial day, crawl started 12:30 UTC); day 81 = 2026-11-01 (partial, snapshot 06:49 UTC)", "crawl cycles per day = sync_log rows / distinct sources logged that day (one row per source per cycle)", "S2 contains no left-censored listing by construction; the left-censored share refers to S2L" ] }