model,year,n,base_rate,logloss,brier,auc,pr_auc,cal_slope,cal_intercept
B1,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.5107558877820405,0.16857392797269125,0.735011240654572,0.500945467507721,1.2494497859491622,0.17147215601010907
B1,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.515611491178578,0.16984987578741495,0.7242822908046463,0.5043325024275267,0.9962751832192096,-0.09655294813007557
B1,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.49782738398321014,0.1620684057289185,0.7367705929901607,0.5301762060572242,1.151806049798447,0.07844457965220025
B1,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.5465763063348406,0.18408356157759398,0.7356598327071174,0.540784901697575,1.0988331628172792,0.31454201625674627
B1,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.6024767340585744,0.20618518930278837,0.6788542943363579,0.5160964458836128,0.7474082200333076,0.03744890103249872
B1,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.511079277653556,0.16676796746277409,0.7597299549854464,0.579236689252566,1.0268125241260633,-0.13302851060183005
B1,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.6152475147310402,0.21340596991995822,0.7235597168974242,0.6219483680636773,0.9266744757900103,0.3396100901442971
B1,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.5601827810819275,0.189119657394288,0.7209691201473779,0.5415731917207974,1.0499673353298749,0.14103955343545263
B1,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.5422263880543658,0.1802536554446686,0.7247052304364019,0.5466389151832708,0.9651729371351644,-0.1068225034601229
B1,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.5589796728615924,0.18556862696857168,0.7047669168550292,0.5412439268788232,0.8365497206824535,-0.1287194104038718
B1,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.5297051209510396,0.17357151703869136,0.7399549863506998,0.5787779218653628,1.0034404482412862,-0.07097283910558765
B2,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.5061372848724751,0.16649519964994075,0.7491283077773379,0.5175558563435104,1.0891508737213083,-0.17900645293518505
B2,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.5118384666004655,0.16850677151661628,0.7333403453693923,0.5117760294441798,0.9096302932822943,-0.08303306524652904
B2,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.4889617759488238,0.15882529067328943,0.7526015441839147,0.5447395077875092,1.0987797919488123,0.022716168876971324
B2,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.5339204100596248,0.17918954956028477,0.7501620200016512,0.5574327905029873,1.0415334280014856,0.19617164831062103
B2,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5730779554075073,0.19410487206476798,0.7224774942883748,0.5568217098936943,0.8192434325602835,-0.22566663524676883
B2,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.5091112101500666,0.16606939356590983,0.7641341749588213,0.5801642345273731,0.9011888901780453,-0.23827032594381806
B2,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.598907658373698,0.20624115140537266,0.7328752168624256,0.6314960225553641,0.8473910679772697,0.14597334393767572
B2,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.5603535916071419,0.18942171485310716,0.7212981302990065,0.538053885980415,0.9474694199650215,0.05608864370908161
B2,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.5386072373839011,0.1788100009958134,0.7301175253010653,0.5521657292139104,0.9023838503639865,-0.11816374341786247
B2,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.5525861399478742,0.18260153540178214,0.7196697026488766,0.5546679232823021,0.8146518694367658,-0.19990251426893627
B2,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.5261468831876263,0.17246425129775692,0.7453429023639426,0.5835264216003684,0.9404618795592531,-0.1940382365781069
B3,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.5081988803149804,0.16730723637442727,0.7467942848180209,0.5136020084012757,1.1164444181627011,-0.16935803106347888
B3,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.5122862366447415,0.1689442311441444,0.7316043157613453,0.5088501811471627,0.9411193627467724,-0.025284309811516487
B3,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.4899925734985685,0.15942120149163302,0.7511695969822447,0.5409746937446059,1.1185530662835037,0.034839989279066425
B3,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.5346427798892879,0.1797085708710976,0.749303436549634,0.5554527166566062,1.0519884810815143,0.2243196692535214
B3,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5698333366361298,0.19294063433126368,0.7241026796019098,0.5583745413311701,0.8645133967131213,-0.1388346653200449
B3,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.5097397091839849,0.16668121756180795,0.761907280173289,0.5766816377757611,0.9009776210787754,-0.22505350016370224
B3,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.6057869548654603,0.2092255352779668,0.7305117756490909,0.6264055650298297,0.8234656422213801,0.19069762051913117
B3,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.5606493228105808,0.18961113075536207,0.7210900299171327,0.5376241915727957,0.9561283812172608,0.07410227693683635
B3,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.5373605437193341,0.17841998957305333,0.7316432131409873,0.5539006631587993,0.9256428960015787,-0.11156583008598947
B3,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.5523120548900713,0.18278896022806793,0.7191179022625687,0.5536627546840526,0.8269883054283403,-0.20205314857004586
B3,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.5267004514685595,0.1728429571840143,0.7451093396062032,0.5818929766067689,0.9536751469752843,-0.19566797556495275
B4,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.5079595192104265,0.16722762200962063,0.7467155628916489,0.512858340773541,1.1292665176390118,-0.1438890496449904
B4,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.511275047254441,0.16859313578092977,0.7343264817756128,0.510380940181179,0.9544772796882395,-0.006835702929932241
B4,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.4900401760951168,0.1593814524160958,0.7518261693647043,0.5416340176548702,1.1276656383290296,0.028244073744020902
B4,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.5351572338714855,0.17995712794255708,0.748617118842186,0.5541762661133327,1.0512946260700182,0.22479593462908698
B4,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5682056905682068,0.1922562655073426,0.7255202864930591,0.5614994416278585,0.8854232866774625,-0.11913249989678482
B4,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.5093906961267861,0.16657029589692907,0.7625525310814774,0.5770472208942766,0.9006134933528119,-0.22473750709353374
B4,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.6065899769206533,0.2095903482906605,0.7308503725878024,0.6253968592199142,0.8151361111453854,0.18940513466924133
B4,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.5602700125953904,0.18945795306238508,0.7216184915159211,0.5376985155639172,0.9550184901672856,0.06608171939498975
B4,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.5378146726019226,0.17853840887859349,0.7313404876016943,0.5533658117631074,0.9246292081621896,-0.11295041249477655
B4,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.551754894217024,0.18251392983274944,0.7197079768145542,0.5544930441953799,0.8326060258918117,-0.17560896313486163
B4,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.5254872090644498,0.17238867802460614,0.7465255996979729,0.584077747131819,0.9533077589854101,-0.19956176949987478
B5,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.5071381505268494,0.1670658372378787,0.7443500212862894,0.5118877465549577,1.1180876051018132,-0.11089445276072303
B5,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.5112549595435559,0.16861062488311676,0.7330754666250716,0.5105315110229655,0.9525893692514084,-0.008032896917874881
B5,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.490400378674154,0.1596049133199821,0.7509337264508856,0.5397159471365058,1.1190654622374352,0.03537552878898175
B5,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.5359110193517617,0.18036518305584287,0.7490379296422383,0.5546469941305352,1.0506966641429272,0.2562262551168684
B5,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5694951239886773,0.19284695820533224,0.72331947053795,0.5592213848026653,0.8726797305530075,-0.12356503859381981
B5,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.5091438645265538,0.1664751893135511,0.7626484972585121,0.5772520680496539,0.9049340126409702,-0.21487875212869154
B5,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.6088328820736741,0.21060912432769802,0.7299365960985095,0.6238969104134093,0.8084004788723906,0.20116519760698143
B5,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.560124122510178,0.18939822488368127,0.7212898904355288,0.5373020005870551,0.9500410050181813,0.04864049179341925
B5,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.5377095692447663,0.17849763556323614,0.7312078791520497,0.553871929301852,0.9247412449175332,-0.127359112019572
B5,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.5515383530272056,0.18246373583969716,0.7200261308167489,0.5545498320002503,0.8320523720174545,-0.18040478191642179
B5,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.524717599905583,0.17208567866974434,0.7475604780159145,0.5844645080688976,0.9524869021628692,-0.18330152463505608
LB1,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.463750843768185,0.15078534146651834,0.7943344113407375,0.5899605253856136,1.1480899727946878,0.06289329913914901
LB1,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.47048561420848534,0.1542726949301321,0.7863156812209093,0.592320670904905,0.9246776814733078,-0.23619125535303323
LB1,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.4481826617860109,0.14512190197095592,0.7999266621036951,0.6158574538755053,0.999377410418621,-0.08005335645543185
LB1,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.4898164245564902,0.16287293068085534,0.7988073366970745,0.6255850569070408,1.0548396365961399,0.2332926186209926
LB1,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5697384670261423,0.19257559662811571,0.731202906734053,0.5877365961315191,0.7916043894116096,0.1528572528184177
LB1,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.4605835347907528,0.15032181578339096,0.8147089143482479,0.649922657055661,1.1273058453646974,-0.12327628803732309
LB1,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.525362609517756,0.17666468544114217,0.8016323961728469,0.7238509219069624,1.0038193676593394,0.15776183728866658
LB1,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.4875018587298464,0.161069716523985,0.8092428944618416,0.6668808144985827,1.1691072720997258,0.2957071144848521
LB1,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.48348621330718916,0.1589454787778493,0.7966141280064689,0.6414063843555613,1.0492018778854555,-0.0608083949439946
LB1,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.4958151078776117,0.16403749077157398,0.7859278070947255,0.6328585308142008,0.9728824808433969,-0.09592334463036893
LB1,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.47610195830117674,0.1559131213081163,0.8001269820526224,0.6513863569776001,1.0489679042839635,-0.06462757578674408
LB2,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.46772487640933025,0.15166385556251774,0.7956209994846477,0.5937536436308037,1.1939719044847008,-0.11088242546170822
LB2,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.46498926486543046,0.15211626003668927,0.7895216226548973,0.5959695346536691,0.9499274186904962,-0.10204012834897709
LB2,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.44856137322642675,0.14561249470530904,0.7999627116439396,0.6134591306349646,0.9923787398767125,-0.06692079519558435
LB2,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.48398919925919137,0.1607729606838302,0.8028690629351376,0.6316728035128001,1.071630558525088,0.16489262471772576
LB2,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5367171463426734,0.18134128317880419,0.7591394333268103,0.6119948864509284,0.9869289125590358,0.06773388126847589
LB2,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.4562638924980439,0.14875656845178223,0.8198146534217831,0.6553931785401278,1.1062536940671093,-0.14333609594358113
LB2,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.5152766994812709,0.17224977953299278,0.8093128646445771,0.7375170345898457,1.075504377855331,-0.001521129667699554
LB2,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.48877689150138415,0.1614494259877658,0.8059214697765898,0.6650792041751482,1.1489790938228281,0.24419539492872236
LB2,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.4800924241443243,0.1576244294723488,0.7995436802988791,0.6461100141126097,1.0375518523783103,-0.029372878781215635
LB2,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.4966141640245345,0.16455195037439663,0.7872477438901601,0.6303711799685108,0.9742698872584579,-0.15857384905763242
LB2,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.47815689657740157,0.15680064356446405,0.8007653046407619,0.6481770735979568,1.0475021680356924,-0.1476060988664519
LB3,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.466364233947265,0.1508774558937835,0.7969785419265213,0.6047553417269644,1.2310770224654264,-0.09701248651907828
LB3,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.4657599243212095,0.1522347223015933,0.7891444044847111,0.5940346455200646,0.9834810266923084,-0.09388848918749242
LB3,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.44776300080694176,0.1449654963737474,0.8022862345883569,0.6151952110682302,1.0594108255282257,-0.03634325522725811
LB3,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.4868659120807705,0.16181019113667605,0.8002180137220403,0.6279686556870572,1.1024221335390325,0.18099696344945024
LB3,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.53967542479815,0.18229101940912593,0.7563292107445803,0.6079193276310005,0.966849156967754,0.06247893866459336
LB3,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.4552688631360851,0.14844112636648782,0.8190620134705207,0.6560018781593411,1.0906349028218472,-0.10212982478657606
LB3,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.5174683322698801,0.1731351767979748,0.8072212430198291,0.7345055829121694,1.0649314695012753,0.02024032992251879
LB3,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.4948812488099092,0.1641354054923773,0.8012494087459665,0.6564231152005326,1.1195613470100159,0.30901799680954734
LB3,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.4812639212184594,0.15816605421487584,0.7984322344789407,0.6424619998577716,1.0242584212338017,-0.003880616063883036
LB3,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.4967605289012378,0.1645590199953845,0.7868540419041223,0.6298440963382583,0.9735930871269916,-0.1419702051142622
LB3,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.4798547111947886,0.1573564973431148,0.7990033832839635,0.6451593417878029,1.0550120407972543,-0.14048395924469867
LB4,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.46661165340360305,0.15090928285164318,0.7976099604896594,0.600112076190707,1.2596648015247935,-0.0661570520384695
LB4,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.4658056868096707,0.15237838384574895,0.788220770651215,0.5942778696907767,0.9303354117142161,-0.0821716926592456
LB4,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.4484234018586888,0.14528587031820453,0.8023414857737489,0.6121409975184383,1.0876711155571501,-0.011062289901834697
LB4,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.4854828011594318,0.16134909521084945,0.8018559599535579,0.630428962860946,1.0952324470813577,0.18322688805502885
LB4,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5370986435276226,0.18119989390984226,0.7589830489991101,0.612032812420978,0.9904158383466287,0.061345334354483805
LB4,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.4565965271942924,0.1488165924028402,0.8182772907782215,0.6555266284850243,1.1133824858395938,-0.11765943370316585
LB4,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.5181072699121965,0.17342272608652656,0.8066219163024617,0.7334312069959805,1.0746523369438368,0.016885488856458297
LB4,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.49583731589985464,0.16461732165827933,0.8008643558349396,0.6558862024787854,1.1278326948056756,0.3283925400616297
LB4,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.4817608681342123,0.15836269639700512,0.7979409563003093,0.6417483023331706,1.0249874258013332,0.00619143247684677
LB4,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.4964292039782962,0.1644835571273241,0.7872624011558799,0.6291016152445907,0.9708861558658956,-0.13495790388354892
LB4,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.4812968011369164,0.15793830660055114,0.7976786751466575,0.641965047820888,1.0448370239690257,-0.14875258237651184
LB5,2016,5869,0.26409950587834385,0.46607170495216255,0.15089514400754203,0.7963622104877921,0.599212231294948,1.2104378352628609,-0.08881651880361026
LB5,2017,6102,0.26565060635857096,0.46478569799806835,0.15180828523309292,0.7900508294600782,0.5964856457565391,1.0120123005318797,-0.06506580743077434
LB5,2018,6498,0.2574638350261619,0.446965365905867,0.14489686839582586,0.8028007147967258,0.6140960804494273,1.0394402471647284,-0.02385613707909359
LB5,2019,6949,0.3030651892358613,0.48559544460076376,0.16140835867113112,0.8018201733873839,0.6302751657085516,1.0635555890525716,0.17910799403048644
LB5,2020,7706,0.33376589670386714,0.5368137729052271,0.18119385025344853,0.7604517742540354,0.6130098275899375,0.9488042330740092,0.060185504372826736
LB5,2021,8354,0.28369643284654056,0.45691002975842426,0.14907368486985734,0.8180760509036755,0.6539132680060431,1.1192340741060929,-0.11048685859409521
LB5,2022,8375,0.39570149253731346,0.5175010498037221,0.17312418870212196,0.807158102650381,0.7348448066594137,1.060048407998306,0.016784122213637866
LB5,2023,8895,0.3163575042158516,0.49611900717784785,0.16472439145591944,0.8003181288567383,0.6549161092576122,1.121957466884319,0.32284140226414687
LB5,2024,9481,0.2984917202826706,0.48124895987274274,0.15821849465550972,0.7985400851010475,0.6424476133326087,1.030844408578382,-0.0073594802689479575
LB5,2025,10423,0.30413508586779237,0.4981884593453368,0.1650762573080499,0.7862432210146048,0.6284248472525844,0.9691043510866618,-0.17501714789015757
LB5,2026,8139,0.2948765204570586,0.4805332759433156,0.157731478525886,0.7984025236684671,0.6427228217103653,1.060455598699748,-0.1386493232513407