# PHASE 9 — Release (2026-11-03) ## Package - Repository `wp41_uqo` (git, `origin = gitsrv:srv/git/wp41_uqo.git`, branch `main`), installable package `chronos_x` (`pyproject.toml`, `make install`), CLI `chronos-x` (forecast at one origin from a saved model and a cached grid). - Configs: `pilot`, `feasibility`, `main`, `ablations`, `baselines`, `final`, `synthetic_smoke`. - Scripts: audit → universe → coverage → download → experiment (3 stages) → benchmark → pairwise/economic → evaluate → figures → static tables → references; `node_run.sh` for detached runs; `make_synthetic.py` for license-free fixtures. - Docs: `DATA_CARD`, `MODEL_CARD`, `REPRODUCIBILITY`, `LICENSE`, `OPERATIONS`, `PHASE_0..9_REPORT`, `README`, `CLAUDE.md`. - Paper: `paper/main.tex` + sections + generated tables/figures/macros + verified `references.bib` + `main.pdf`. ## License review (FirstRate Data private use) Committed / released: code, configs, manifests (tickers and selection rules), aggregate scores (summaries, leaderboards, comparisons, pairwise, subgroups, calibration), figures of scores, benchmark, API audit (no bars), coverage audit (bar counts per instrument — allowed aggregate), synthetic fixtures, the manuscript. Excluded by `.gitignore` and kept only on the compute node / laptop mirror: Parquet bars, grids, `origins_*.csv` (realised returns per origin), `pred_*.npz`, `per_origin_*.npz`, checkpoints. Checked with `git ls-files | grep -E 'parquet|origins_|pred_|\.pt$'` (empty). Attribution line in the paper: "Intraday data: FirstRate Data (private license), accessed through FinData OS." ## Reproducibility instructions `docs/REPRODUCIBILITY.md` (environment, license-free example, full study command list in order, seeds, artifact map). The synthetic example reproduces the software path end to end in about three minutes on an Apple-silicon laptop and is also the slow integration test. ## Gates at release - Offline tests: 27 passed (unit 6, synthetic 5, leakage 5, numerical 10, slow synthetic end-to-end pipeline 1), 5 live tests skipped without `WP41_LIVE` — `results/logs/release_tests.out`, 2026-11-03. - Live contract tests: 5/5 on 2026-11-02 (`WP41_LIVE=1`). - Manuscript: `latexmk` exit 0, 0 undefined references/citations, every table and figure generated from saved results. - Figures/tables ↔ outputs: `paper/tables/*.tex` and `paper/figures/*` regenerated from `results/metrics` immediately before the final build (`scripts/evaluate.py`, `make_figures.py`, `make_static_tables.py`); macros count 3 468. ## Not done / deferred (honest list) - SSRN deposit and www.spboucher.ai entry (owner's decision). - Extended-hours experiments, delisted-instrument backfill, quote data, mixed precision, Large (50–100 M) preset. - Foundation-model baselines (Chronos/TimesFM), iTransformer, EGARCH.